932 resultados para cognitive diagnostic model
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This dissertation comprised two experiments, which addressed three main goals: (a) to test a new paradigm for measuring objectively the accuracy of alibis, (b) to explore the effectiveness of three retrieval cues (time only, location only, and time-and-location) in an alibi context, and (c) to explore the metacognitive strategies of innocent alibi providers who experience different financial incentives as well as different motivations for reporting (be informative vs. be convincing). ^ The novel paradigm appears promising: by surreptitiously controlling the whereabouts of future alibi providers during a critical time, objective accuracy measurements were in fact possible. Such accuracy measurements revealed that time-cued retrieval can be devastating to innocent alibi providers. Participants who attempted to recall their whereabouts via a time cue were significantly less accurate than participants who attempted recall via a location cue (Experiment 1). ^ Innocent alibi providers, when cued effectively, may not, however, report their memories differently from memory reporters in non-alibi contexts. When cued effectively, participants who experienced a goal of being convincing did not differ in accuracy from participants who experienced a goal of merely being informative (Experiment 2). Similarly, participants did not differ from one another in accuracy across different levels of financial incentive (Experiment 2). ^ Despite the indistinguishable accuracy rates of alibi providers and non-alibi memory reporters when retrieval was cued effectively, proffering mistaken alibis presents a real risk for innocent suspects. Future research needs to address methods by which that risk can be reduced. ^
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In the course of daily living, humans frequently encounter situations in which a motor activity, once initiated, becomes unnecessary or inappropriate. Under such circumstances, the ability to inhibit motor responses can be of vital importance. Although the nature of response inhibition has been studied in psychology for several decades, its neural basis remains unclear. Using transcranial magnetic stimulation, we found that temporary deactivation of the pars opercularis in the right inferior frontal gyrus selectively impairs the ability to stop an initiated action. Critically, deactivation of the same region did not affect the ability to execute responses, nor did it influence physiological arousal. These findings confirm and extend recent reports that the inferior frontal gyrus is vital for mediating response inhibition.
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In this paper, three approaches for the assessment of credibility in a web environment will be presented, namely the checklists model, the cognitive authority model and the contextual model. This theoretical framework was used to conduct a study about the assessment of web resources credibility among a sample of 195 students, from elementary and secondary schools in a municipality in Oporto district (Portugal). The practices that young people and children claim to use regarding the use of criteria for web resources selection will be presented. In addition, these results will be discussed and compared with the perceptions that these respondents have demonstrated for the use of criteria to establish or assess authorship, originality, or information resources structure. These results will be also discussed and compared with the perceptions that these respondents have demonstrated for the elements that make up each of these criteria.
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A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Management from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics
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In their review, Jabe`s and Nelson provide an update of Nelson's 1995 cognitive neuroscience model of human memory development. Here, we highlight the major changes in perspective after 20 years of advances in our understanding of the neural basis of memory, and advocate the need for more systematic investigations of memory processes across the lifespan, which combine different models and levels of analysis: from genes, to brain to behavior.
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As part of the Affective Computing research field, the development of automatic affective recognition systems can enhance human-computer interactions by allowing the creation of interfaces that react to the user's emotional state. To that end, this Master Thesis brings affect recognition to nowadays most used human computer interface, mobile devices, by developing a facial expression recognition system able to perform detection under the difficult conditions of viewing angle and illumination that entails the interaction with a mobile device. Moreover, this Master Thesis proposes to combine emotional features detected from expression with contextual information of the current situation, to infer a complex and extensive emotional state of the user. Thus, a cognitive computational model of emotion is defined that provides a multicomponential affective state of the user through the integration of the detected emotional features into appraisal processes. In order to account for individual differences in the emotional experience, these processes can be adapted to the culture and personality of the user.
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Hiljainen tieto muodostaa organisaatioiden keskeisen kilpailutekijän, sillä sitä on vaikea kopioida. Hiljaista tietoa pyritään siirtämään erilaisia osaamisen kehittämisen menetelmiä hyödyntäen. Tässä tutkielmassa tutkitaan, miten hiljaista tietoa siirretään mentoroinnissa. Mentorointiin liittyvissä tutkimuksissa ei ole tutkittu sitä vuorovaikutukseen perustuvaa prosessia, jonka aikana hiljaista tietoa siirretään mentorilta aktorille. Tämä tutkielma toi lisää tietoa tähän tutkimusaukkoon. Tutkielman teoreettisessa osiossa esiteltiin kolme näkökulmaa, jotka muo-dostivat tutkielman viitekehyksen: hiljainen tieto ja sen siirtäminen, mentorointi sekä kognitiivinen oppipoikamalli. Tutkimusmenetelmänä käytettiin fenomenografista tapaustutkimusta. Tutkimuksen kohderyhmän muodostivat neljä mentori-aktori –paria, joita haastateltiin teemahaastattelulla. Empiiriset tulokset osoittivat, että hiljaisen tiedon siirtäminen mentoroinnissa tapahtui kognitiivisen oppipoikamallin vaiheita hyödyntäen. Kaikki kognitiivisen oppipoikamallin vaiheet esiintyivät mentorointiprosessissa. Siirrettävässä hiljaisessa tiedossa näyttäytyivät tiedon toiminnallinen, situationaalinen ja sosiaalinen luonne. Keskeisimmiksi hiljaisen tiedon siirtämisen menetelmiksi osoittautuivat mentorin läsnäolo, kuuntelu, kysymysten tekeminen ja aktorin oivalluttaminen. Tutkielman keskeisenä tuloksena ja toimenpide-ehdotuksena esitettiin hiljaisen tiedon siirtämisen malli mentoroinnissa, joka kehitettiin tutkimuksen teoreettisen viitekehyksen ja tutkimuksesta saatujen tulosten pohjalta.
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This qualitative inquiry used case study methodology to explore the change processes of 3 primary-grade teachers throughout their participation in 7 -month professional learning initiative focused on reading assessment and instruction. Participants took part in semimonthly inquiry-based professional learning community sessions, as well as concurrent individualized classroom-based literacy coaching. Each participant's experiences were first analyzed as a single case study, followed by cross-case analyses. While their patterns of professional growth differed, findings documented how all participants altered their understandings of the roles and relevancy of individual components of reading instruction (e.g., comprehension, decoding) and instructional approaches to scaffold students' growth (e.g., levelled text, strategy instruction), and experienced some form of conceptual change. Factors identified as affecting their change processes included; motivation, professional knowledge, professional beliefs (self-efficacy and theoretical orientation), resources (e.g., time, support), differentiated professional learning with associated goal-setting, and uncontrollable influences, with the affect of each factor compounded by interaction with the others. Comparison of participants' experiences to the Cognitive-Affective Model of Conceptual Change (CAMCC) and the Interconnected Model of Teacher Professional Growth (IMTPG) demonstrated the applicability of using both conceptual models, with the IMTPG providing macrolevel insights over time and the CAMCC microlevel insights at each change intervaL Recommendations include the provision of differentiated teacher professional learning opportunities, as well as research documenting the effects of teacher mentorship programs and the professional growth of teacher educators. ii
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Partner behavioral responses to pain can have a significant impact on patient pain and depression, but little is known about why partners respond in specific ways. Using a cognitive-behavioral model, the present study examined whether partner cognitions were associated with partner behavioral responses, which prior work has found to predict patient pain and depressive symptoms. Participants were 354 women with provoked vestibulodynia and their partners. Partner pain-related cognitions were assessed using the partner versions of the Pain Catastrophizing Scale and Extended Attributional Style Questionnaire, whereas their behavioral responses to pain were assessed with the Multidimensional Pain Inventory. Patient pain was measured using a numeric rating scale, and depressive symptoms were assessed using the Beck Depression Inventory–II. Path analysis was used to examine the proposed model. Partner catastrophizing and negative attributions were associated with negative partner responses, which were associated with higher patient pain. It was also found that partner pain catastrophizing was associated with solicitous partner responses, which in turn were associated with higher patient pain and depressive symptoms. The effect of partner cognitions on patient outcomes was partially mediated by partner behavioral responses. Findings highlight the importance of assessing partner cognitions, both in research and as a target for intervention. Perspective The present study presents a cognitive-behavioral model to partially explain how significant others' thoughts about pain have an effect on patient pain and depressive symptoms. Findings may inform cognitive-behavioral therapy for couples coping with PVD.
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Small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs) play an important role in the European economy. A critical challenge faced by SME leaders, as a consequence of the continuing digital technology revolution, is how to optimally align business strategy with digital technology to fully leverage the potential offered by these technologies in pursuit of longevity and growth. There is a paucity of empirical research examining how e-leadership in SMEs drives successful alignment between business strategy and digital technology fostering longevity and growth. To address this gap, in this paper we develop an empirically derived e-leadership model. Initially we develop a theoretical model of e-leadership drawing on strategic alignment theory. This provides a theoretical foundation on how SMEs can harness digital technology in support of their business strategy enabling sustainable growth. An in-depth empirical study was undertaken interviewing 42 successful European SME leaders to validate, advance and substantiate our theoretically driven model. The outcome of the two stage process – inductive development of a theoretically driven e-leadership model and deductive advancement to develop a complete model through in-depth interviews with successful European SME leaders – is an e-leadership model with specific constructs fostering effective strategic alignment. The resulting diagnostic model enables SME decision makers to exercise effective e-leadership by creating productive alignment between business strategy and digital technology improving longevity and growth prospects.
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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)
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Pós-graduação em Ciência da Informação - FFC
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La presente Tesis plantea una metodología de análisis estadístico de roturas de tubería en redes de distribución de agua, que analiza la relación entre las roturas y la presión de agua y que propone la implantación de una gestión de presiones que reduzca el número de roturas que se producen en dichas redes. Las redes de distribución de agua se deterioran y una de sus graves consecuencias es la aparición de roturas frecuentes en sus tuberías. Las roturas llevan asociados elevados costes sociales, económicos y medioambientales y es por ello por lo que las compañías gestoras del agua tratan de reducirlas en la medida de lo posible. Las redes de distribución de agua se pueden dividir en zonas o sectores que facilitan su control y que pueden ser independientes o aislarse mediante válvulas, como ocurre en las redes de países más desarrollados, o pueden estar intercomunicados hidráulicamente. La implantación de una gestión de presiones suele llevarse a cabo a través de las válvulas reductoras de presión (VPR), que se instalan en las cabeceras de estos sectores y que controlan la presión aguas abajo de la misma, aunque varíe su caudal de entrada. Los métodos más conocidos de la gestión de presiones son la reducción de presiones, que es el control más habitual, el mantenimiento de la presión, la prevención y/o alivio de los aumentos repentinos de presión y el establecimiento de un control por alturas. A partir del año 2005 se empezó a reconocer el efecto de la gestión de presiones sobre la disminución de las roturas. En esta Tesis, se sugiere una gestión de presiones que controle los rangos de los indicadores de la presión de cabecera que más influyan en la probabilidad de roturas de tubería. Así, la presión del agua se caracteriza a través de indicadores obtenidos de la presión registrada en la cabecera de los sectores, debido a que se asume que esta presión es representativa de la presión de operación de todas las tuberías porque las pérdidas de carga son relativamente bajas y las diferencias topográficas se tienen en cuenta en el diseño de los sectores. Y los indicadores de presión, que se pueden definir como el estadístico calculado a partir de las series de la presión de cabecera sobre una ventana de tiempo, pueden proveer la información necesaria para ayudar a la toma de decisiones a los gestores del agua con el fin de reducir las roturas de tubería en las redes de distribución de agua. La primera parte de la metodología que se propone en esta Tesis trata de encontrar los indicadores de presión que influyen más en la probabilidad de roturas de tuberías. Para conocer si un indicador es influyente en la probabilidad de las roturas se comparan las estimaciones de las funciones de distribución acumulada (FDAs) de los indicadores de presiones, considerando dos situaciones: cuando se condicionan a la ocurrencia de una rotura (suceso raro) y cuando se calculan en la situación normal de operación (normal operación). Por lo general, las compañías gestoras cuentan con registros de roturas de los años más recientes y al encontrarse las tuberías enterradas se complica el acceso a la información. Por ello, se propone el uso de funciones de probabilidad que permiten reducir la incertidumbre asociada a los datos registrados. De esta forma, se determinan las funciones de distribución acumuladas (FDAs) de los valores del indicador de la serie de presión (situación normal de operación) y las FDAs de los valores del indicador en el momento de ocurrencia de las roturas (condicionado a las roturas). Si las funciones de distribución provienen de la misma población, no se puede deducir que el indicador claramente influya en la probabilidad de roturas. Sin embargo, si se prueba estadísticamente que las funciones proceden de la misma población, se puede concluir que existe una relación entre el indicador analizado y la ocurrencia de las roturas. Debido a que el número de valores del indicador de la FDA condicionada a las roturas es mucho menor que el número de valores del indicador de la FDA incondicional a las roturas, se generan series aleatorias a partir de los valores de los indicadores con el mismo número de valores que roturas registradas hay. De esta forma, se comparan las FDAs de series aleatorias del indicador con la FDA condicionada a las roturas del mismo indicador y se deduce si el indicador es influyente en la probabilidad de las roturas. Los indicadores de presión pueden depender de unos parámetros. A través de un análisis de sensibilidad y aplicando un test estadístico robusto se determina la situación en la que estos parámetros dan lugar a que el indicador sea más influyente en la probabilidad de las roturas. Al mismo tiempo, los indicadores se pueden calcular en función de dos parámetros de cálculo que se denominan el tiempo de anticipación y el ancho de ventana. El tiempo de anticipación es el tiempo (en horas) entre el final del periodo de computación del indicador de presión y la rotura, y el ancho de ventana es el número de valores de presión que se requieren para calcular el indicador de presión y que es múltiplo de 24 horas debido al comportamiento cíclico diario de la presión. Un análisis de sensibilidad de los parámetros de cálculo explica cuándo los indicadores de presión influyen más en la probabilidad de roturas. En la segunda parte de la metodología se presenta un modelo de diagnóstico bayesiano. Este tipo de modelo forma parte de los modelos estadísticos de prevención de roturas, parten de los datos registrados para establecer patrones de fallo y utilizan el teorema de Bayes para determinar la probabilidad de fallo cuando se condiciona la red a unas determinadas características. Así, a través del teorema de Bayes se comparan la FDA genérica del indicador con la FDA condicionada a las roturas y se determina cuándo la probabilidad de roturas aumenta para ciertos rangos del indicador que se ha inferido como influyente en las roturas. Se determina un ratio de probabilidad (RP) que cuando es superior a la unidad permite distinguir cuándo la probabilidad de roturas incrementa para determinados intervalos del indicador. La primera parte de la metodología se aplica a la red de distribución de la Comunidad de Madrid (España) y a la red de distribución de Ciudad de Panamá (Panamá). Tras el filtrado de datos se deduce que se puede aplicar la metodología en 15 sectores en la Comunidad de Madrid y en dos sectores, llamados corregimientos, en Ciudad de Panamá. Los resultados demuestran que en las dos redes los indicadores más influyentes en la probabilidad de las roturas son el rango de la presión, que supone la diferencia entre la presión máxima y la presión mínima, y la variabilidad de la presión, que considera la propiedad estadística de la desviación típica. Se trata, por tanto, de indicadores que hacen referencia a la dispersión de los datos, a la persistencia de la variación de la presión y que se puede asimilar en resistencia de materiales a la fatiga. La segunda parte de la metodología se ha aplicado a los indicadores influyentes en la probabilidad de las roturas de la Comunidad de Madrid y se ha deducido que la probabilidad de roturas aumenta para valores extremos del indicador del rango de la presión y del indicador de la variabilidad de la presión. Finalmente, se recomienda una gestión de presiones que limite los intervalos de los indicadores influyentes en la probabilidad de roturas que incrementen dicha probabilidad. La metodología propuesta puede aplicarse a otras redes de distribución y puede ayudar a las compañías gestoras a reducir el número de fallos en el sistema a través de la gestión de presiones. This Thesis presents a methodology for the statistical analysis of pipe breaks in water distribution networks. The methodology studies the relationship between pipe breaks and water pressure, and proposes a pressure management procedure to reduce the number of breaks that occur in such networks. One of the manifestations of the deterioration of water supply systems is frequent pipe breaks. System failures are one of the major challenges faced by water utilities, due to their associated social, economic and environmental costs. For all these reasons, water utilities aim at reducing the problem of break occurrence to as great an extent as possible. Water distribution networks can be divided into areas or sectors, which facilitates the control of the network. These areas may be independent or isolated by valves, as it usually happens in developing countries. Alternatively, they can be hydraulically interconnected. The implementation of pressure management strategies is usually carried out through pressure-reducing valves (PRV). These valves are installed at the head of the sectors and, although the inflow may vary significantly, they control the downstream pressure. The most popular methods of pressure management consist of pressure reduction, which is the common form of control, pressure sustaining, prevention and/or alleviation of pressure surges or large variations in pressure, and level/altitude control. From 2005 onwards, the effects of pressure management on burst frequencies have become more widely recognized in the technical literature. This thesis suggests a pressure management that controls the pressure indicator ranges most influential on the probability of pipe breaks. Operating pressure in a sector is characterized by means of a pressure indicator at the head of the DMA, as head losses are relatively small and topographical differences were accounted for at the design stage. The pressure indicator, which may be defined as the calculated statistic from the time series of pressure head over a specific time window, may provide necessary information to help water utilities to make decisions to reduce pipe breaks in water distribution networks. The first part of the methodology presented in this Thesis provides the pressure indicators which have the greatest impact on the probability of pipe breaks to be determined. In order to know whether a pressure indicator influences the probability of pipe breaks, the proposed methodology compares estimates of cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) of a pressure indicator through consideration of two situations: when they are conditioned to the occurrence of a pipe break (a rare event), and when they are not (a normal operation). Water utilities usually have a history of failures limited to recent periods of time, and it is difficult to have access to precise information in an underground network. Therefore, the use of distribution functions to address such imprecision of recorded data is proposed. Cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) derived from the time series of pressure indicators (normal operation) and CDFs of indicator values at times coincident with a reported pipe break (conditioned to breaks) are compared. If all estimated CDFs are drawn from the same population, there is no reason to infer that the studied indicator clearly influences the probability of the rare event. However, when it is statistically proven that the estimated CDFs do not come from the same population, the analysed indicator may have an influence on the occurrence of pipe breaks. Due to the fact that the number of indicator values used to estimate the CDF conditioned to breaks is much lower in comparison with the number of indicator values to estimate the CDF of the unconditional pressure series, and that the obtained results depend on the size of the compared samples, CDFs from random sets of the same size sampled from the unconditional indicator values are estimated. Therefore, the comparison between the estimated CDFs of random sets of the indicator and the estimated CDF conditioned to breaks allows knowledge of if the indicator is influential on the probability of pipe breaks. Pressure indicators depend on various parameters. Sensitivity analysis and a robust statistical test allow determining the indicator for which these parameters result most influential on the probability of pipe breaks. At the same time, indicators can be calculated according to two model parameters, named as the anticipation time and the window width. The anticipation time refers to the time (hours) between the end of the period for the computation of the pressure indicator and the break. The window width is the number of instantaneous pressure values required to calculate the pressure indicator and is multiple of 24 hours, as water pressure has a cyclical behaviour which lasts one day. A sensitivity analysis of the model parameters explains when the pressure indicator is more influential on the probability of pipe breaks. The second part of the methodology presents a Bayesian diagnostic model. This kind of model belongs to the class of statistical predictive models, which are based on historical data, represent break behavior and patterns in water mains, and use the Bayes’ theorem to condition the probability of failure to specific system characteristics. The Bayes’ theorem allows comparing the break-conditioned FDA and the unconditional FDA of the indicators and determining when the probability of pipe breaks increases for certain pressure indicator ranges. A defined probability ratio provides a measure to establish whether the probability of breaks increases for certain ranges of the pressure indicator. The first part of the methodology is applied to the water distribution network of Madrid (Spain) and to the water distribution network of Panama City (Panama). The data filtering method suggests that the methodology can be applied to 15 sectors in Madrid and to two areas in Panama City. The results show that, in both systems, the most influential indicators on the probability of pipe breaks are the pressure range, which is the difference between the maximum pressure and the minimum pressure, and pressure variability, referred to the statistical property of the standard deviation. Therefore, they represent the dispersion of the data, the persistence of the variation in pressure and may be related to the fatigue in material resistance. The second part of the methodology has been applied to the influential indicators on the probability of pipe breaks in the water distribution network of Madrid. The main conclusion is that the probability of pipe breaks increases for the extreme values of the pressure range indicator and of the pressure variability indicator. Finally, a pressure management which limits the ranges of the pressure indicators influential on the probability of pipe breaks that increase such probability is recommended. The methodology presented here is general, may be applied to other water distribution networks, and could help water utilities reduce the number of system failures through pressure management.
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A definite diagnosis of prion diseases such as Creutzfeldt–Jakob disease (CJD) relies on the detection of pathological prion protein (PrPSc). However, no test for PrPSc in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) has been available thus far. Based on a setup for confocal dual-color fluorescence correlation spectroscopy, a technique suitable for single molecule detection, we developed a highly sensitive detection method for PrPSc. Pathological prion protein aggregates were labeled by specific antibody probes tagged with fluorescent dyes, resulting in intensely fluorescent targets, which were measured by dual-color fluorescence intensity distribution analysis in a confocal scanning setup. In a diagnostic model system, PrPSc aggregates were detected down to a concentration of 2 pM PrPSc, corresponding to an aggregate concentration of approximately 2 fM, which was more than one order of magnitude more sensitive than Western blot analysis. A PrPSc-specific signal could also be detected in a number of CSF samples from patients with CJD but not in control samples, providing the basis for a rapid and specific test for CJD and other prion diseases. Furthermore, this method could be adapted to the sensitive detection of other disease-associated amyloid aggregates such as in Alzheimer's disease.
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A teoria de Jean Piaget sobre o desenvolvimento da inteligência tem sido utilizada na área de inteligência computacional como inspiração para a proposição de modelos de agentes cognitivos. Embora os modelos propostos implementem aspectos básicos importantes da teoria de Piaget, como a estrutura do esquema cognitivo, não consideram o problema da fundamentação simbólica e, portanto, não se preocupam com os aspectos da teoria que levam à aquisição autônoma da semântica básica para a organização cognitiva do mundo externo, como é o caso da aquisição da noção de objeto. Neste trabalho apresentamos um modelo computacional de esquema cognitivo inspirado na teoria de Piaget sobre a inteligência sensório-motora que se desenvolve autonomamente construindo mecanismos por meio de princípios computacionais pautados pelo problema da fundamentação simbólica. O modelo de esquema proposto tem como base a classificação de situações sensório-motoras utilizadas para a percepção, captação e armazenamento das relações causais determiníscas de menor granularidade. Estas causalidades são então expandidas espaço-temporalmente por estruturas mais complexas que se utilizam das anteriores e que também são projetadas de forma a possibilitar que outras estruturas computacionais autônomas mais complexas se utilizem delas. O modelo proposto é implementado por uma rede neural artificial feed-forward cujos elementos da camada de saída se auto-organizam para gerar um grafo sensóriomotor objetivado. Alguns mecanismos computacionais já existentes na área de inteligência computacional foram modificados para se enquadrarem aos paradigmas de semântica nula e do desenvolvimento mental autônomo, tomados como base para lidar com o problema da fundamentação simbólica. O grafo sensório-motor auto-organizável que implementa um modelo de esquema inspirado na teoria de Piaget proposto neste trabalho, conjuntamente com os princípios computacionais utilizados para sua concepção caminha na direção da busca pelo desenvolvimento cognitivo artificial autônomo da noção de objeto.