A comparison of Diamond Forrester and coronary calcium scores as gatekeepers for investigations of stable chest pain

To determine if calcium scores (CS) could act as a more effective gatekeeper than Diamond Forrester (DF) in the assessment of patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD). A sub-study of the Cardiac CT for the Assessment of Chest Pain and Plaque (CAPP) study, a randomised control trial evaluating the cost-effectiveness of cardiac CT in symptomatic patients with stable chest pain. Stable pain was defined as troponin negative pain without symptoms of unstable angina. 250 patients undergoing cardiac CT had both DF scores and CS calculated, with the accuracy of both evaluated against CT coronary angiogram. Criteria given in UK national guidelines were compared. Of the 250 patients, 4 withdrew. 140 (57 %) patients were male. The mean DF was 47.8 and mean CS 172.5. Of the 144 patients with non-anginal pain 19.4 % had significant disease (>50 % stenosis). In general the DF over estimated the presence of CAD whereas the CS reclassified patients to lower risk groups, with 91 in the high risk DF category compared to 26 in the CS. Both receiver operating curve and McNemar Bowker test analysis suggested the DF was less accurate in the prediction of CAD compared to CS [Formula: see text] Projected downstream investigations were also calculated, with the cost per number of significant stenoses identified cheaper with the CS criteria. Patients with suspected stable CAD are more accurately risk stratified by CS compared to the traditional DF. CS was more successful in the prediction of significant stenosis and appears to be more effective at targeting clinical resources to those patients that are in need of them.

Economic Evaluation of Ticagrelor for Secondary Prevention Following Acute Coronary Syndromes

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: To estimate the cost-effectiveness and cost-utility of ticagrelor in the treatment of patients with acute coronary syndromes (unstable angina or myocardial infarction with or without ST-segment elevation), including patients treated medically and those undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention or coronary artery bypass grafting. METHODS: A short-term decision tree and a long-term Markov model were used to simulate the evolution of patients' life-cycles. Clinical effectiveness data were collected from the PLATO trial and resource use data were obtained from the Hospital de Santa Marta database, disease-related group legislation and the literature. RESULTS: Ticagrelor provides increases of 0.1276 life years and 0.1106 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) per patient. From a societal perspective these clinical gains entail an increase in expenditure of €610. Thus the incremental cost per life year saved is €4780 and the incremental cost per QALY is €5517. CONCLUSIONS: The simulation results show that ticagrelor reduces events compared to clopidogrel. The costs of ticagrelor are partially offset by lower costs arising from events prevented. The use of ticagrelor in clinical practice is therefore cost-effective compared to generic clopidogrel.

Outcome of patients with acute coronary syndrome in hospitals of different sizes. A report from the AMIS Plus Registry.

To assess the impact of admission to different hospital types on early and 1-year outcomes in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Between 1997 and 2009, 31 010 ACS patients from 76 Swiss hospitals were enrolled in the AMIS Plus registry. Large tertiary institutions with continuous (24 hour/7 day) cardiac catheterisation facilities were classified as type A hospitals, and all others as type B. For 1-year outcomes, a subgroup of patients admitted after 2005 were studied. Eleven type A hospitals admitted 15987 (52%) patients and 65 type B hospitals 15023 (48%) patients. Patients admitted into B hospitals were older, more frequently female, diabetic, hypertensive, had more severe comorbidities and more frequent non-ST segment elevation (NSTE)-ACS/unstable angina (UA). STE-ACS patients admitted into B hospitals received more thrombolysis, but less percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Crude in-hospital mortality and major adverse cardiac events (MACE) were higher in patients from B hospitals. Crude 1-year mortality of 3747 ACS patients followed up was higher in patients admitted into B hospitals, but no differences were found for MACE. After adjustment for age, risk factors, type of ACS and comorbidities, hospital type was not an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality, in-hospital MACE, 1-year MACE or mortality. Admission indicated a crude outcome in favour of hospitalisation during duty-hours while 1-year outcome could not document a significant effect. ACS patients admitted to smaller regional Swiss hospitals were older, had more severe comorbidities, more NSTE-ACS and received less intensive treatment compared with the patients initially admitted to large tertiary institutions. However, hospital type was not an independent predictor of early and mid-term outcomes in these patients. Furthermore, our data suggest that Swiss hospitals have been functioning as an efficient network for the past 12 years.

Chest pain in daily practice: occurrence, causes and management

QUESTIONS UNDER STUDY: We assessed the occurrence and aetiology of chest pain in primary care practice. These features differ between primary and emergency care settings, where most previous studies have been performed. METHODS: 59 GPs in western Switzerland recorded all consecutive cases presenting with chest pain. Clinical characteristics, laboratory tests and other investigations as well as the diagnoses remaining after 12 months of follow-up were systematically registered. RESULTS: Among 24,620 patients examined during a total duration of 300 weeks of observation, 672 (2.7%) presented with chest pain (52% female, mean age 55 +/- 19(SD)). Most cases, 442 (1.8%), presented new symptoms and in 356 (1.4%) it was the reason for consulting. Over 40 ailments were diagnosed: musculoskeletal chest pain (including chest wall syndrome) (49%), cardiovascular (16%), psychogenic (11%), respiratory (10%), digestive (8%), miscellaneous (2%) and without diagnosis (3%). The three most prevalent diseases were: chest wall syndrome (43%), coronary artery disease (12%) and anxiety (7%). Unstable angina (6), myocardial infarction (4) and pulmonary embolism (2) were uncommon (1.8%). Potentially serious conditions including cardiac, respiratory and neoplasic diseases accounted for 20% of cases. A large number of laboratory tests (42%), referral to a specialist (16%) or hospitalisation (5%) were performed. Twentyfive patients died during follow-up, of which twelve were for a reason directly associated with thoracic pain [cancer (7) and cardiac causes (5)]. CONCLUSIONS: Thoracic pain was present in 2.7% of primary care consultations. Chest wall syndrome pain was the main aetiology. Cardio - vascular emergencies were uncommon. However chest pain deserves full consideration because of the occurrence of potentially serious conditions.

Significant decrease in in-hospital mortality and major adverse cardiac events in Swiss STEMI patients between 2000 and December 2007.

To evaluate the in-hospital outcome of STEMI (ST elevation myocardial infarction) patients admitted to Swiss hospitals between 2000 and December 2007, and to identify the predictors of in-hospital mortality and major cardiac events. Data from the Swiss national registry AMIS Plus (Acute Myocardial Infarction and Unstable Angina in Switzerland) were used. All patients admitted between January 2000 and December 2007 with STEMI or a new LBBB (left bundle branch block) were included in the registry. We studied 12 026 STEMI patients admitted to 68 hospitals. The mean age was 64 +/- 13 years and 73% of the patients were male. Incidence of in-hospital death was 7.6% in 2000 and 6% in 2007. Reinfarction fell from 3.7% in 2000 to 0.9% in 2007. Thrombolysis decreased from 40.2% in 2000 to 2% in 2007. Clinical predictors of mortality were: age >65 years, Killips class III or IV, diabetes, Q wave myocardial infarction (at presentation). Patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) had lower mortality and reinfarction rates (3.9% versus 11.2% and 1.1% versus 3.1% respectively, p <0.001) over time, although their numbers increased from 43% in 2000 to 85% in 2007. Patients admitted to hospitals with PCI facilities had lower mortality than patients hospitalised in hospitals without it, but the demographic characteristics differ widely between the two groups. Both in-hospital mortality and reinfarction decreased significantly over the time, parallel to an increased number of PCI. PCI was also the strongest predictor of survival. In-hospital mortality and reinfarction rate have decreased significantly in Swiss STEMI patients in the last seven years, parallel to a significant increase in the number of percutaneous coronary interventions in addition to medical therapy. Outcome is not related to the site of admission but to PCI access.

Efectos cardiovasculares del hipotiroidismo clínico y subclínico en pacientes con síndrome coronario agudo

La disfunción tiroidea tiene un impacto ya demostrado en el sistema cardiovascular. No se ha establecido si existe alguna asociación entre el hipotiroidismo y la presencia de complicaciones cardiovasculares como falla cardiaca, angina postinfarto, arritmias y muerte, en el contexto de un síndrome coronario agudo. Objetivo: Determinar la asociación entre la disfunción tiroidea (hipotiroidismo clínico y subclínico) y la presencia de complicaciones cardiovasculares (falla cardiaca, arritmias, angina postinfarto y muerte) en pacientes con síndrome coronario agudo que ingresaron a la Unidad de Cuidado Coronario de la Fundación Cardioinfantil (UCC – FCI). Materiales y métodos: Estudio analítico de cohorte, donde se evaluó la cohorte expuesta (129 pacientes) y no expuesta (258 pacientes) que ingresaron a la UCC de la FCI, con diagnóstico de síndrome coronario agudo (Angina inestable, IAM SEST o IAM CEST) entre el periodo de enero de 2009 y marzo de 2010. Se evaluaron las asociaciones mediante el riesgo relativo e intervalo de confianza y la prueba de chi cuadrado. En el análisis multivariado se utilizó el modelo de regresión logística incondicional. Resultados: Se estudiaron en total 387 pacientes, 258 eutiroideos y 129 pacientes con disfunción tiroidea (hipotiroismo clínico e hipotiroidismo subclínico). La distribución según el sexo en la cohorte de expuestos y no expuestos fue de 67% vs 66.3% y de mujeres 31% vs 33.7%. El desenlace más frecuente en el grupo de pacientes expuestos fue falla cardiaca (13%). Se evidenció que los pacientes con hipotiroidismo clínico o subclínico tienen el doble de riesgo de presentar falla cardiaca (RR=2.2 IC 95%:1.1-4.3) y 3 veces más riesgo de presentar fibrilación auricular (RR=4 IC 95%:1.22–13.0). No hubo diferencias estadísticamente significativas en los demás desenlaces. El análisis multivariado mostró que el hipotiroidismo es un factor de riesgo suficiente para producir falla cardiaca y fibrilación auricular. Conclusiones: El hipotiroidismo clínico y subclínico aumentan el riesgo de desarrollar falla cardiaca y fibrilación auricular en pacientes con síndrome coronario agudo.

Efectos cardiovasculares del hipotiroidismo clínico y subclínico en pacientes con síndrome coronario agudo

Objetivo: determinar la asociación entre la disfunción tiroidea (hipotiroidismo clínico y subclínico) y la presencia de complicaciones cardiovasculares (falla cardiaca, arritmias, angina postinfarto y muerte) en pacientes con síndrome coronario agudo que ingresaron a la Unidad de Cuidado Coronario de un hospital de cuarto nivel en la ciudad de Bogotá, Colombia. Materiales y métodos: estudio analítico de cohorte prospectiva, donde se evaluó la cohorte expuesta (129 pacientes) y no expuesta (258 pacientes) que ingresaron a la UCC del hospital de cuarto nivel, con diagnóstico de síndrome coronario agudo: Angina inestable, IAM SEST (Infarto agudo del miocardio sin elevación del ST) o IAM CEST (Infarto agudo del miocardio con elevación del ST) entre el periodo de enero de 2009 y marzo de 2010. Se evaluaron las asociaciones mediante el riesgo relativo e intervalo de confianza y la prueba de chi cuadrado. En el análisis multivariado se utilizó el modelo de regresión logística incondicional. Resultados: Se estudiaron en total 387 pacientes, 258 eutiroideos y 129 pacientes con disfunción tiroidea (hipotiroidismo clínico e hipotiroidismo subclínico). La distribución según el sexo en la cohorte de expuestos y no expuestos fue de 67% vs 66.3% y de mujeres 31% vs 33.7%. El desenlace más frecuente en el grupo de pacientes expuestos fue falla cardiaca (13%). Se evidenció que los pacientes con hipotiroidismo clínico o subclínico tienen el doble de riesgo de presentar falla cardiaca (RR=2.2 IC 95%:1.1-4.3) y 3 veces más riesgo de presentar fibrilación auricular (RR=4 IC 95%:1.22–13.0). No hubo diferencias estadísticamente significativas en los demás desenlaces. El análisis multivariado mostró que el hipotiroidismo es un factor de riesgo suficiente para producir falla cardiaca y fibrilación auricular. Conclusiones: El hipotiroidismo clínico y subclínico aumentan el riesgo de desarrollar falla cardiaca y fibrilación auricular en pacientes con síndrome coronario agudo.

Asociacion entre la grasa epicardica con la extension y severidad de la enfermedad coronaria

Objetivo: Establecer si existe asociación independiente entre los valores de grasa epicárdica con la extensión y la severidad de la enfermedad coronaria. Materiales y métodos: Se analizaron 69 pacientes con enfermedad coronaria estudiada con angiografía, a quienes se realizó medición de grasa epicárdica con ecocardiograma transtorácico en modo 2D. Los resultados se correlacionaron con dos Score de severidad para enfermedad coronaria (Gensini – Syntax) y con los factores de riesgo cardiovascular tradicionales. Se realizó un análisis estadístico bivariado y análisis de regresión logística para establecer su asociación. Resultados: No existió correlación entre los valores de grasa epicárdica y la severidad de la enfermedad. Se documentó una leve correlación con los valores de perímetro abdominal. En los pacientes con angina inestable los valores de grasa epicárdica fueron mayores en comparación con los pacientes que se presentaron con infarto agudo de miocardio. Conclusiones: La grasa epicárdica no tiene asociación independiente con la severidad de la enfermedad coronaria ni con los factores de riesgo cardiovascular. Indicando que en la práctica clínica no debe utilizarse como marcador de riesgo cardiometabólico. Palabras Clave: Ecocardiografía, Grasa Epicárdica, Enfermedad Coronaria, Factores de Riesgo Cardiovascular

Concordancia en interpretación electrocardiográfica en síndromes coronarios agudos entre especialistas del servicio de urgencias y cardiólogos

Introducción: El ECG es una herramienta básica en el estudio del dolor torácico, no hay evidencia que demuestre si la interpretación electrocardiográfica de los especialistas de medicina interna y emergencias es similar a la de cardiólogos en casos de SCA. El propósito de este estudio es determinar si existe concordancia en interpretación de los hallazgos electrocardiográficos más frecuentes en la fase aguda de los síndromes coronarios. Metodología: Estudio retrospectivo de concordancia diagnóstica electrocardiográfica, realizado en un hospital universitario de cuarto nivel. Se escogieron los hallazgos electrocardiográficos más frecuentes en síndromes coronarios agudos para ser evaluados por 3 diferentes especialidades y se hizo el análisis de concordancia mediante el cálculo estadístico kappa. Resultados: Se analizaron 200 electrocardiogramas aleatorizados, de pacientes con SCA entre noviembre de 2012 a abril de 2013. La edad promedio fue 65,14 años, la mayoría hombres (62,5%), la hipertensión arterial y enfermedad coronaria fueron las comorbilidades más frecuentes. Se encontró un grado de concordancia moderada (k = 0.61 – 0.80, p <0.001) entre cardiólogos vs emergenciólogos y cardiólogos vs internistas, excepto en lesión subendocárdica (k = 0.11 y 0.24 respectivamente), hubo un grado de concordancia débil (k = 0.41 – 0.60, p <0.001) entre emergenciólogos e internistas. El hallazgo en el que hubo grado de concordancia muy bueno (k > 0.81) fue bloqueo de rama izquierda. Conclusión: Existe grado de concordancia moderada en la lectura electrocardiográfica en la mayoría de variables en relación con síndrome coronario agudo entre los especialistas de medicina interna y emergencias al compararlo con cardiólogos.

Differential expression of cytokines, chemokines and chemokine receptors in patients with coronary artery disease

Monocytes/macrophages and lymphocytes have a key role in the pathogenesis of atherosclerosis through the production of inflammatory and anti-inflammatory cytokines. We evaluated mRNA expression and protein production of CCL2, CXCL8, CXCL9, CXCL10, IFN-gamma and IL-10 in vitro as well as the expression of the CCR2 and CXCR3 receptors in peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) of patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) and healthy controls in the presence or absence of oxidized LDL (oxLDL). Patients with CAD showed higher constitutive expression of CCL2, CXCL8, CXCL9, CXCL10 and IFN-gamma mRNA and, after stimulation with oxLDL, higher expression of CCL2 and CXCL8 mRNA than the control group. We also detected higher levels of CCL2 and CXCL8 in supernatants of oxLDL-stimulated PBMCs from CAD patients than in corresponding supernatants from controls. Patients with CAD had a higher percentage of constitutive CCR2(+) and CXCR3(+) cells after stimulation with oxLDL. Among CAD patients, the main differences between the stable (SA) and unstable angina (UA) groups were lower IL-10 mRNA production in the latter group. Altogether, our data suggest that PBMCs from CAD patients are able to produce higher concentrations of chemokines and cytokines involved in the regulation of monocyte and lymphocyte migration and retention in atherosclerotic lesions. (C) 2008 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.

Early Increase in Autoantibodies Against Human Oxidized Low-Density Lipoprotein in Hypertensive Patients After Blood Pressure Control

BACKGROUND Oxidized lipoproteins and antioxidized low-density lipoprotein (anti-oxLDL) antibodies (Abs) have been detected in plasma in response to blood pressure (BP) elevation, suggesting the participation of the adaptive immune system. Therefore, treatment of hypertension may act on the immune response by decreasing oxidation stimuli. However, this issue has not been addressed. Thus, we have here analyzed anti-oxLDL Abs in untreated (naive) hypertensive patients shortly after initiation of anti hypertensive therapeutic regimens. METHODS Titers of anti-oxLDL Abs were measured in subjects with recently diagnosed hypertension on stage 1 (n = 94), in primary prevention of coronary disease, with no other risk factors, and naive of anti hypertensive medication at entry. Subjects were randomly assigned to receive perindopril, hydrochlorothiazide (HCTZ), or indapamide (INDA) for 12 weeks, with additional perindopril if necessary to achieve BP control. Abs against copper-oxidized LDL were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. RESULTS Twelve-week antihypertensive treatment reduced both office-based and 24-h ambulatory BP measurements (P < 0.0005). The decrease in BP was accompanied by reduction in thiobarbituric acid-reactive substances (TBARS) (P < 0.05), increase in anti-oxLDL Ab titers (P < 0.005), and improvement in flow-mediated dilation (FMD) (P < 0.0005), independently of treatment. Although BP was reduced, we observed favorable changes in anti-oxLDL titers and FMD. CONCLUSIONS We observed that anti-oxLDL Ab titers increase after antihypertensive therapy in primary prevention when achieving BP targets. Our results are in agreement with the concept that propensity to oxidation is increased by essential hypertension and anti-oxLDL Abs may be protective and potential biomarkers for the follow-up of hypertension treatment.

Cardiovascular Disease Parameters in Periodontitis

Background: Recently, there has been an increasing in the impact of oral health on atherosclerosis and subsequent cardiovascular disease. The aim of this study is to investigate the association between chronic periodontitis and cardiovascular risk markers. Methods: Forty patients with periodontitis and 40 healthy gender-, body mass index-, and age-matched individuals were compared by measuring total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, low-density lipoprotein, triglycerides, levels of cytokines, antibodies against oxidized low-density lipoprotein, thiobarbituric acid reactive substances, total and differential white blood cell counts, and the non-linear index of refraction. Results: The levels of triglycerides and high-density lipoprotein in periodontitis patients were significantly higher and lower, respectively (P=0.002 and P=0.0126), compared to controls. Total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein, and lipid peroxide levels were the same in both groups (P = 0.2943, P = 0.1284, and P = 0.067, respectively). Interleukin (IL)-6 and -8, antibodies against oxidized low-density lipoprotein, and leukocyte and neutrophil counts were significantly higher in periodontitis patients (P<0.05). The value of the non-linear index of refraction of low-density lipoprotein solutions was higher in the controls (P = 0.015) compared to individuals with periodontitis. Conclusion: Our results confirmed and further strengthened the suggested association between coronary artery disease and periodontitis. J Periodontol 2009;80:378-388.

Integrating cost-effectiveness evidence into clincal practice guidelines in Australia for acute myocardial infarction

 A teaching hospital is working with the Victorian State Government and universities, integrating cost-effectiveness evidence into clinical practice guidelines (CPGs), protocols and pathways for respiratory and cardiology interventions. Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) findings are reported. Results will stimulate cost-effective practice and inform medical associations, federal and state governments and international organisations developing CPGs. Published CPGs by the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Foundation for AMI in 1999 are reviewed by a large interdis- ciplinary hospital-based committee given cost-effectiveness evidence. Levels of evi- dence criteria rating on methodological rigor for effectiveness and costs are applied. National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) grades of recommendation criteria for combinations of relative effectiveness versus relative costs and cut-off points are used. Extrapolating results between countries was addressed by applying the OECD's health purchasing power parity series. Recommendations for revisions to United States guidelines and for local application are formulated. United States Guide- lines require updating: Regarding angioplasty, percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) is cost-effective for men aged 60 years relative to recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (tPA),with additional cost per life year saved of 274 ecu. PTCA with discharge after 3 days is cost-effective in low-risk AMI. Regarding GP llb/Illa drugs, Abciximab during intervention incurred equal mean hospital costs for placebabciximab bolus, and abciximab bolus+ infusion with incremental 6-month cost for the latter treatment costing US$ 293 per patient. Agent recouped almost all initial therapy costs with significant benefits. Incre- mental cost of abciximab per event prevent- ed is US$ 3,258.Tirofiban was compared to placebo after high-risk angioplasty for AMI or unstable angina.Tirofiban decreased the rate of hospital deaths, myocardial infarc- tion, revascularisation at 2 days by 36% relative to placebo (8% vs. 12%) without increased cost. Clinical benefits were similar at 30 days.Tirofiban+heparin+aspirin was compared to heparin+aspirin.Tirofiban arm resulted in net savings of 33,418 ecu per 100 patients for the first 7 days of treatment. Regarding thrombolytics,tPA is more cost- effective than streptokinase. Incremental costs for each life saved when streptokinase is substituted by recombinant tissue plasmi- nogen are 31%,45%, 97% higher in Germa- ny, Italy and the United States than in the United Kingdom. Regarding anticoagulants, enoxaparin is a promising alternative to unfractionated heparin for hospitalised patients with non-Q-wave myocardiai infarc- tion or unstable angina, saving C$ 1,485 per patient over 12 months with 10% reduction in 1 year risk of death, myocardial infarction or recurrent angina. Regarding anti- arrhymics, the cost-effectiveness of no amiodarone, amiodarone for patients with depressed heart rate variability (DHRV),and amiodarone for patients with DHRV plus positive programmed ventricular stimula- tion (PPVS) for high-risk post-AMI was investigated. Amiodarone for DHRV+PPVS patients was dominated by a blend of the two alternatives. Compared to no amioda- rone, the incremental cost-effectiveness of amiodarone for DHRV patients was US$ 39,422 per quality adjusted life year gained. Amiodarone for DHRV is the most appropriate. Other CPG updates concern serum markers, for example, cardiac troponin I assay (c-Tnl), cost advantages of ad hoc angioplasty and secondary prevention through antioxidants and pravastatin. Australian costs are reported later in the paper.

The addition of depression to the Framingham Risk Equation model for predicting coronary heart disease risk in women

BACKGROUND: Depression is widely considered to be an independent and robust predictor of Coronary Heart Disease (CHD), however is seldom considered in the context of formal risk assessment. We assessed whether the addition of depression to the Framingham Risk Equation (FRE) improved accuracy for predicting 10-year CHD in a sample of women.

DESIGN: A prospective, longitudinal design comprising an age-stratified, population-based sample of Australian women collected between 1993 and 2011 (n=862).

METHODS: Clinical depressive disorder was assessed using the Structured Clinical Interview for Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (SCID-I/NP), using retrospective age-of-onset data. A composite measure of CHD included non-fatal myocardial infarction, unstable angina coronary intervention or cardiac death. Cox proportional-hazards regression models were conducted and overall accuracy assessed using area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

RESULTS: ROC curve analyses revealed that the addition of baseline depression status to the FRE model improved its overall accuracy (AUC:0.77, Specificity:0.70, Sensitivity:0.75) when compared to the original FRE model (AUC:0.75, Specificity:0.73, Sensitivity:0.67). However, when calibrated against the original model, the predicted number of events generated by the augmented version marginally over-estimated the true number observed.

CONCLUSIONS: The addition of a depression variable to the FRE equation improves the overall accuracy of the model for predicting 10-year CHD events in women, however may over-estimate the number of events that actually occur. This model now requires validation in larger samples as it could form a new CHD risk equation for women.

Isquemia silenciosa e arritmias ventriculares são preditores independentes de evenos no pós-infarto do miocárdio de baixo risco

pós-infarto agudo do miocárdio (IAM) têm mostrado baixo valor preditivo positivo quando estudados isoladamente. A possibilidade da Eletrocardiografia Dinâmica de 24 horas (ECGD) fornecer dados referentes a isquemia silenciosa (IS), arritmias ventriculares e modulação autonômica do coração pelo estudo da variabilidade da freqüência cardíaca (VFC), levou o autor a empregar este método em pacientes acometidos de IAM com o objetivo de avaliar se estas três variáveis estariam relacionadas a presença de eventos desfavoráveis em evolução a médio prazo. Material e Métodos – Foram selecionados 91 pacientes acometidos de um primeiro IAM não-complicado e realizados exames de ECGD de 24 h por dois dias consecutivos, antes da alta hospitalar. Os parâmetros pesquisados nos exames foram: isquemia silenciosa, identificação e quantificação de arritmias ventriculares e determinação dos índices de VFC pelos métodos do domínio do tempo e do mapa de retorno tridimensional. Foram considerados como desfechos: re-infarto, angina instável, taquicardia ventricular sustentada e morte. Resultados – No seguimento médio de 27,7 meses (DP=15,45), 23 (25%) dos pacientes apresentaram eventos, sendo nove fatais. Os eventos foram mais freqüentes entre os pacientes que apresentaram extra-sístoles ventriculares ≥10/hora (p=0,01) e também naqueles com IS (p=0,02). Em modelo de análise multifatorial, a presença de dislipidemia elevou o valor preditivo positivo dessas variáveis. Nenhum dos índices de VFC esteve significativamente relacionado ao surgimento de eventos. Conclusões – Em pacientes pós-IAM de baixo risco, a presença de arritmias ventriculares freqüentes ou de isquemia silenciosa está relacionada a um prognóstico desfavorável. O estudo da VFC não mostrou utilidade na estratificação de risco destes pacientes.