The role of Pep4p, the vacuolar yeast protease ortholog of human cathepsin D, in mitochondria-dependent apoptosis

Doctoral Thesis (PhD Programm on Molecular and Environmental Biology)

Estimação da função de sobrevivência em dados de eventos recorrentes com censura pela direita

Dissertação de mestrado em Estatística

Rules of origin : from analysis to reform

General Introduction This thesis can be divided into two main parts :the first one, corresponding to the first three chapters, studies Rules of Origin (RoOs) in Preferential Trade Agreements (PTAs); the second part -the fourth chapter- is concerned with Anti-Dumping (AD) measures. Despite wide-ranging preferential access granted to developing countries by industrial ones under North-South Trade Agreements -whether reciprocal, like the Europe Agreements (EAs) or NAFTA, or not, such as the GSP, AGOA, or EBA-, it has been claimed that the benefits from improved market access keep falling short of the full potential benefits. RoOs are largely regarded as a primary cause of the under-utilization of improved market access of PTAs. RoOs are the rules that determine the eligibility of goods to preferential treatment. Their economic justification is to prevent trade deflection, i.e. to prevent non-preferred exporters from using the tariff preferences. However, they are complex, cost raising and cumbersome, and can be manipulated by organised special interest groups. As a result, RoOs can restrain trade beyond what it is needed to prevent trade deflection and hence restrict market access in a statistically significant and quantitatively large proportion. Part l In order to further our understanding of the effects of RoOs in PTAs, the first chapter, written with Pr. Olivier Cadot, Celine Carrère and Pr. Jaime de Melo, describes and evaluates the RoOs governing EU and US PTAs. It draws on utilization-rate data for Mexican exports to the US in 2001 and on similar data for ACP exports to the EU in 2002. The paper makes two contributions. First, we construct an R-index of restrictiveness of RoOs along the lines first proposed by Estevadeordal (2000) for NAFTA, modifying it and extending it for the EU's single-list (SL). This synthetic R-index is then used to compare Roos under NAFTA and PANEURO. The two main findings of the chapter are as follows. First, it shows, in the case of PANEURO, that the R-index is useful to summarize how countries are differently affected by the same set of RoOs because of their different export baskets to the EU. Second, it is shown that the Rindex is a relatively reliable statistic in the sense that, subject to caveats, after controlling for the extent of tariff preference at the tariff-line level, it accounts for differences in utilization rates at the tariff line level. Finally, together with utilization rates, the index can be used to estimate total compliance costs of RoOs. The second chapter proposes a reform of preferential Roos with the aim of making them more transparent and less discriminatory. Such a reform would make preferential blocs more "cross-compatible" and would therefore facilitate cumulation. It would also contribute to move regionalism toward more openness and hence to make it more compatible with the multilateral trading system. It focuses on NAFTA, one of the most restrictive FTAs (see Estevadeordal and Suominen 2006), and proposes a way forward that is close in spirit to what the EU Commission is considering for the PANEURO system. In a nutshell, the idea is to replace the current array of RoOs by a single instrument- Maximum Foreign Content (MFC). An MFC is a conceptually clear and transparent instrument, like a tariff. Therefore changing all instruments into an MFC would bring improved transparency pretty much like the "tariffication" of NTBs. The methodology for this exercise is as follows: In step 1, I estimate the relationship between utilization rates, tariff preferences and RoOs. In step 2, I retrieve the estimates and invert the relationship to get a simulated MFC that gives, line by line, the same utilization rate as the old array of Roos. In step 3, I calculate the trade-weighted average of the simulated MFC across all lines to get an overall equivalent of the current system and explore the possibility of setting this unique instrument at a uniform rate across lines. This would have two advantages. First, like a uniform tariff, a uniform MFC would make it difficult for lobbies to manipulate the instrument at the margin. This argument is standard in the political-economy literature and has been used time and again in support of reductions in the variance of tariffs (together with standard welfare considerations). Second, uniformity across lines is the only way to eliminate the indirect source of discrimination alluded to earlier. Only if two countries face uniform RoOs and tariff preference will they face uniform incentives irrespective of their initial export structure. The result of this exercise is striking: the average simulated MFC is 25% of good value, a very low (i.e. restrictive) level, confirming Estevadeordal and Suominen's critical assessment of NAFTA's RoOs. Adopting a uniform MFC would imply a relaxation from the benchmark level for sectors like chemicals or textiles & apparel, and a stiffening for wood products, papers and base metals. Overall, however, the changes are not drastic, suggesting perhaps only moderate resistance to change from special interests. The third chapter of the thesis considers whether Europe Agreements of the EU, with the current sets of RoOs, could be the potential model for future EU-centered PTAs. First, I have studied and coded at the six-digit level of the Harmonised System (HS) .both the old RoOs -used before 1997- and the "Single list" Roos -used since 1997. Second, using a Constant Elasticity Transformation function where CEEC exporters smoothly mix sales between the EU and the rest of the world by comparing producer prices on each market, I have estimated the trade effects of the EU RoOs. The estimates suggest that much of the market access conferred by the EAs -outside sensitive sectors- was undone by the cost-raising effects of RoOs. The chapter also contains an analysis of the evolution of the CEECs' trade with the EU from post-communism to accession. Part II The last chapter of the thesis is concerned with anti-dumping, another trade-policy instrument having the effect of reducing market access. In 1995, the Uruguay Round introduced in the Anti-Dumping Agreement (ADA) a mandatory "sunset-review" clause (Article 11.3 ADA) under which anti-dumping measures should be reviewed no later than five years from their imposition and terminated unless there was a serious risk of resumption of injurious dumping. The last chapter, written with Pr. Olivier Cadot and Pr. Jaime de Melo, uses a new database on Anti-Dumping (AD) measures worldwide to assess whether the sunset-review agreement had any effect. The question we address is whether the WTO Agreement succeeded in imposing the discipline of a five-year cycle on AD measures and, ultimately, in curbing their length. Two methods are used; count data analysis and survival analysis. First, using Poisson and Negative Binomial regressions, the count of AD measures' revocations is regressed on (inter alia) the count of "initiations" lagged five years. The analysis yields a coefficient on measures' initiations lagged five years that is larger and more precisely estimated after the agreement than before, suggesting some effect. However the coefficient estimate is nowhere near the value that would give a one-for-one relationship between initiations and revocations after five years. We also find that (i) if the agreement affected EU AD practices, the effect went the wrong way, the five-year cycle being quantitatively weaker after the agreement than before; (ii) the agreement had no visible effect on the United States except for aone-time peak in 2000, suggesting a mopping-up of old cases. Second, the survival analysis of AD measures around the world suggests a shortening of their expected lifetime after the agreement, and this shortening effect (a downward shift in the survival function postagreement) was larger and more significant for measures targeted at WTO members than for those targeted at non-members (for which WTO disciplines do not bind), suggesting that compliance was de jure. A difference-in-differences Cox regression confirms this diagnosis: controlling for the countries imposing the measures, for the investigated countries and for the products' sector, we find a larger increase in the hazard rate of AD measures covered by the Agreement than for other measures.

Rôle de la protéine tyrosine phosphatase DEP-1 dans la régulation du programme angiogénique induit par le VEGF

Depuis la découverte de la première protéine possédant une activité tyrosine kinase (protein tyrosine kinase [PTK]) dans les années 1980, l’importance des PTKs et de la phosphorylation sur résidu tyrosine dans la régulation des événements de signalisation intracellulaire est bien établie. Quant aux protéines qui possèdent une activité tyrosine phosphatase (protein tyrosine phosphatase [PTP]), dont l’existence n’a été dévoilée qu’une dixaine d’années plus tard, elles ont longtemps été perçues comme des enzymes dont le rôle ne se résumait qu'à contrecarrer passivement les activités des PTKs. Il est maintenant clair que les activités des PTPs sont spécifiques, hautement régulées, et qu’elles doivent être coordonnées avec celles des PTKs pour une régulation adéquate des événements de signalisation intracellulaire. En dépit de cette évidence, la contribution des PTPs à la régulation des différents processus physiologiques fondamentaux demeure encore peu caractérisée. C’est le cas, notamment, de l’angiogenèse, le processus par lequel de nouveaux vaisseaux sanguins sont formés à partir de ceux préexistants. Le VEGF (Vascular endothelial growth factor), un des facteurs angiogéniques les plus importants, est connu pour induire majoritairement ses effets biologiques via l’activation du récepteur à activité tyrosine kinase VEGFR2 (Vascular endothelial growth factor receptor 2). Puisque l’angiogenèse est impliquée dans le développement d’une multitude de pathologies, dont la progression tumorale, une meilleure caractérisation des PTPs qui assurent la qualité de la réponse angiogénique en agissant de pair avec le VEGFR2 s’avère cruciale et ce, afin de raffiner les outils thérapeutiques actuels. L’expression de la PTP DEP-1 corrèle avec la déphosphorylation du récepteur VEGFR2 localisé au niveau des jonctions cellules-cellules et contribue à l’inhibition de la prolifération des cellules endothéliales en réponse au VEGF lorsque les cellules sont à confluence. Par contre, la contribution spécifique de DEP-1 à la régulation des voies de signalisation et des réponses biologiques induites par le VEGF demeurait toujours inconnue. Les travaux de recherche présentés dans cette thèse démontrent tout d’abord que DEP-1 régule négativement l’activité tyrosine kinase de VEGFR2 en déphosphorylant spécifiquement les résidus tyrosine Y1054/Y1059 de sa boucle d’activation. Cette déphosphorylation mène par conséquent à une diminution générale de la phosphorylation du récepteur et à une atténuation de la plupart des voies de signalisation induites par le VEGF, incluant la voie mitogénique PLCγ-ERK1/2. Par ailleurs, malgré ce rôle négatif global, nos travaux révèlent étonnement, et pour la première fois, que DEP-1 contribue d’une manière positive à la promotion de la survie des cellules endothéliales via l’activation de la voie Src-Gab1-Akt en aval du récepteur VEGFR2. Ce pouvoir pro-survie de DEP-1 dans les cellules endothéliales réside avant tout dans sa capactié à déphosphoryler la tyrosine inhibitrice de Src (Y529). Au cours de notre étude, nous avons pu identifier deux résidus tyrosine au niveau de l’extrémité carboxy-terminale de DEP-1, Y1311 et Y1320, dont la phosphorylation est dépendante de Src. Nos travaux révèlent par ailleurs que ces deux résidus tyrosine phosphorylés lient le domaine SH2 de Src et que la Y1320 est principalement requise pour l’activation de Src et d’Akt en réponse au VEGF dans les cellules endothéliales. Ces résultats constituent donc une avancée majeure dans la compréhension des mécanismes moléculaires par lesquels DEP-1 peut réguler le programme angiogénique dépendant du VEGF. De plus, cette découverte d’un rôle positif pour DEP-1 dans la survie des cellules endothéliales pourrait mener à l’élaboration de nouvelles approches thérapeutiques visant à inhiber cette fonction spécifique de DEP-1 pour bloquer l'angiogenèse pathologique.

Sur un modèle d'érythropoïèse comportant un taux de mortalité dynamique

Ce mémoire concerne la modélisation mathématique de l’érythropoïèse, à savoir le processus de production des érythrocytes (ou globules rouges) et sa régulation par l’érythropoïétine, une hormone de contrôle. Nous proposons une extension d’un modèle d’érythropoïèse tenant compte du vieillissement des cellules matures. D’abord, nous considérons un modèle structuré en maturité avec condition limite mouvante, dont la dynamique est capturée par des équations d’advection. Biologiquement, la condition limite mouvante signifie que la durée de vie maximale varie afin qu’il y ait toujours un flux constant de cellules éliminées. Par la suite, des hypothèses sur la biologie sont introduites pour simplifier ce modèle et le ramener à un système de trois équations différentielles à retard pour la population totale, la concentration d’hormones ainsi que la durée de vie maximale. Un système alternatif composé de deux équations avec deux retards constants est obtenu en supposant que la durée de vie maximale soit fixe. Enfin, un nouveau modèle est introduit, lequel comporte un taux de mortalité augmentant exponentiellement en fonction du niveau de maturité des érythrocytes. Une analyse de stabilité linéaire permet de détecter des bifurcations de Hopf simple et double émergeant des variations du gain dans la boucle de feedback et de paramètres associés à la fonction de survie. Des simulations numériques suggèrent aussi une perte de stabilité causée par des interactions entre deux modes linéaires et l’existence d’un tore de dimension deux dans l’espace de phase autour de la solution stationnaire.

Reliability properties under a stopping time shift

Considering a series representation of a coherent system using a shift transform of the components lifetime T-i, at its critical level Y-i, we study two problems. First, under such a shift transform, we analyse the preservation properties of the non-parametric distribution classes and secondly the association preserving property of the components lifetime under such transformations. (c) 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Modelo de risco com dependência entre os valores das indenizações e seus intervalos entre ocorrências

We present a dependent risk model to describe the surplus of an insurance portfolio, based on the article "A ruin model with dependence between claim sizes and claim intervals"(Albrecher and Boxma [1]). An exact expression for the Laplace transform of the survival function of the surplus is derived. The results obtained are illustrated by several numerical examples and the case when we ignore the dependence structure present in the model is investigated. For the phase type claim sizes, we study by the survival probability, considering this is a class of distributions computationally tractable and more general

Desigualdade da sobrevivência de trabalhadores de Botucatu, São Paulo, Brasil

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

The log-exponentiated generalized gamma regression model for censored data

For the first time, we introduce a generalized form of the exponentiated generalized gamma distribution [Cordeiro et al. The exponentiated generalized gamma distribution with application to lifetime data, J. Statist. Comput. Simul. 81 (2011), pp. 827-842.] that is the baseline for the log-exponentiated generalized gamma regression model. The new distribution can accommodate increasing, decreasing, bathtub- and unimodal-shaped hazard functions. A second advantage is that it includes classical distributions reported in the lifetime literature as special cases. We obtain explicit expressions for the moments of the baseline distribution of the new regression model. The proposed model can be applied to censored data since it includes as sub-models several widely known regression models. It therefore can be used more effectively in the analysis of survival data. We obtain maximum likelihood estimates for the model parameters by considering censored data. We show that our extended regression model is very useful by means of two applications to real data.

The negative binomial-beta Weibull regression model to predict the cure of prostate cancer

In this article, for the first time, we propose the negative binomial-beta Weibull (BW) regression model for studying the recurrence of prostate cancer and to predict the cure fraction for patients with clinically localized prostate cancer treated by open radical prostatectomy. The cure model considers that a fraction of the survivors are cured of the disease. The survival function for the population of patients can be modeled by a cure parametric model using the BW distribution. We derive an explicit expansion for the moments of the recurrence time distribution for the uncured individuals. The proposed distribution can be used to model survival data when the hazard rate function is increasing, decreasing, unimodal and bathtub shaped. Another advantage is that the proposed model includes as special sub-models some of the well-known cure rate models discussed in the literature. We derive the appropriate matrices for assessing local influence on the parameter estimates under different perturbation schemes. We analyze a real data set for localized prostate cancer patients after open radical prostatectomy.

Efficient and Ad Hoc Estimation in the Bivariate Censoring Model

A large number of proposals for estimating the bivariate survival function under random censoring has been made. In this paper we discuss nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation and the bivariate Kaplan-Meier estimator of Dabrowska. We show how these estimators are computed, present their intuitive background and compare their practical performance under different levels of dependence and censoring, based on extensive simulation results, which leads to a practical advise.

Locally Efficient Estimation with Bivariate Right Censored Data

Estimation for bivariate right censored data is a problem that has had much study over the past 15 years. In this paper we propose a new class of estimators for the bivariate survival function based on locally efficient estimation. We introduce the locally efficient estimator for bivariate right censored data, present an asymptotic theorem, present the results of simulation studies and perform a brief data analysis illustrating the use of the locally efficient estimator.

Generalizations of Current Status Data With Applications

In estimation of a survival function, current status data arises when the only information available on individuals is their survival status at a single monitoring time. Here we briefly review extensions of this form of data structure in two directions: (i) doubly censored current status data, where there is incomplete information on the origin of the failure time random variable, and (ii) current status information on more complicated stochastic processes. Simple examples of these data forms are presented for motivation.

Semiparametric Methods for Semi-competing Risks Problem with Censoring and Truncation

Studies of chronic life-threatening diseases often involve both mortality and morbidity. In observational studies, the data may also be subject to administrative left truncation and right censoring. Since mortality and morbidity may be correlated and mortality may censor morbidity, the Lynden-Bell estimator for left truncated and right censored data may be biased for estimating the marginal survival function of the non-terminal event. We propose a semiparametric estimator for this survival function based on a joint model for the two time-to-event variables, which utilizes the gamma frailty specification in the region of the observable data. Firstly, we develop a novel estimator for the gamma frailty parameter under left truncation. Using this estimator, we then derive a closed form estimator for the marginal distribution of the non-terminal event. The large sample properties of the estimators are established via asymptotic theory. The methodology performs well with moderate sample sizes, both in simulations and in an analysis of data from a diabetes registry.

Downstream targets of the Rhox5 homeobox gene

The X-linked mouse Rhox gene cluster contains over 30 homeobox genes that are candidates to regulate multiple steps in male and female gametogenesis. The founding member of the Rhox gene cluster, Rhox5, is an androgen-dependent gene expressed in Sertoli cells that promotes the survival and differentiation of the adjacent male germ cells. To decipher downstream signaling pathways of Rhox5, I used in vivo and in vitro microarray profiling to identify and characterize downstream targets of Rhox5 in the testis. This led to the identification of many Rhox5 -regulated genes, two of which I focused on in more detail. One of them, Unc5c, encodes a pro-apoptotic receptor with tumor suppressor activity that I found is negatively regulated by Rhox5 through a Rhox5-response element in the Unc5c 5' untranslated region (5' UTR). Examination of other mouse Rhox family members revealed that Rhox2 and Rhox3 also have the ability to downregulate Unc5c expression. The human RHOX protein RHOXF2 also had this ability, indicating that Unc5c repression is a conserved Rhox-dependent response. The repression of Unc5c expression by Rhox5 may, in part, mediate Rhox5's pro-survival function in the testis, as I found that Unc5c mutant mice have decreased germ cell apoptosis in the testis. This along with my other data leads me to propose a model in which Rhox5 is a negative regulator upstream of Unc5c in a Sertoli-cell pathway that promotes germ-cell survival. The other Rhox5-regulated gene that I studied in detail is insulin II (Ins2). Several lines of evidence, including electrophoretic mobility shift anaylsis, promoter mutagenesis, and chromatin immuoprecipitation analysis indicated that Ins2 is a direct target of Rhox5. Structure-function analysis identified homeodomain residues and the RHOX5 amino-terminal domain crucial for conferring Ins2 inducibility. Rhox5 regulates not only the Ins2 gene but also genes encoding other secreted proteins regulating metabolism (adiponectin and resistin), the rate-liming enzyme for monosaturated fatty acid biosynthesis (SCD-1), and transcription factors crucial for regulating metabolism (the nuclear hormone receptor PPARγ). I propose that the regulation of some or all of these molecules in Sertoli cells is responsible for the Rhox5-dependent survival of the adjacent germ cells. ^