Research on Q-Switched Nd : YAG laser engraving

IN this paper, the engraving process with Q-Switched Nd:YAG laser is investigated. High power density is the pre- requisition to vapor materials, and high repetition rate makes the engraving process highly efficient. An acousto- optic Q-Switch is applied in the cavity of CW 200 W Nd:YAG laser to achieve the high peak power density and the high pulse repetition rate. Different shape craters are formed in a patterned structure on the material surface when the laser beam irradiates on it by controlling power density, pulse repetition rate, pulse quantity and pulse interval. In addition, assisting oxygen gas is used for not only improving combustion to deepen the craters but also removing the plasma that generated on the top of craters. Off-focus length classified as negative and positive has a substantial effect on crater diameters. According to the message of rotating angle positions from material to be engraved and the information of graph pixels from computer, a special graph is imparted to the material by integrating the Q- Switched Nd:YAG laser with the computer graph manipulation and the numerically controlled worktable. The crater diameter depends on laser beam divergence and laser focal length. The crater diameter changes from 50 micrometers to 300 micrometers , and the maximum of crater depth reaches one millimeter.

Étude de la sensibilité baroréceptive en sommeil et à l’éveil dans l’insomnie primaire chronique

L’insomnie, une condition fréquemment retrouvée dans la population, se caractérise d’abord par une difficulté à initier ou à maintenir le sommeil et/ou par des éveils précoces le matin ou encore par un sommeil non-réparateur. Lorsqu’elle n’est pas accompagnée par des troubles psychiatriques ou médicaux ou un autre trouble de sommeil et qu’elle perdure plus de 6 mois on parle alors d’insomnie primaire chronique. Selon certains, cette condition serait associée à un état d’hyperéveil caractérisé par une augmentation de l’activité autonome sympathique durant le sommeil et l’éveil. Le baroréflexe est un important mécanisme de contrôle à court terme des fluctuations de la tension artérielle (TA) et de la fréquence cardiaque agissant sur le cœur et les vaisseaux sanguins par l’entremise du système nerveux autonome. On appelle sensibilité baroréceptive (SBR) la capacité du baroréflexe de réagir et de contrôler les fluctuations de TA en modulant le rythme cardiaque. De manière générale, la SBR serait augmentée durant la nuit par rapport à la journée. Aussi, il semblerait que le baroréflexe soit impliqué dans le phénomène de baisse physiologique de la TA pendant la nuit. Or, des données de notre laboratoire ont démontré une augmentation de la TA systolique au cours de la nuit ainsi qu’une atténuation de la baisse nocturne de TA systolique chez des sujets avec insomnie primaire chronique comparé à des témoins bons dormeurs. De plus, il a été démontré que le baroréflexe était altéré de façon précoce dans plusieurs troubles cardiovasculaires et dans l’hypertension artérielle. Or, il semblerait que l’insomnie soit accompagnée d’un risque accru de développement de l’hypertension artérielle. Ces études semblent aller dans le sens d’une altération des mécanismes de régulation de la TA dans l’insomnie. Par ailleurs, une réduction de la SBR serait aussi impliquée dans des états associés à une augmentation de l’activité autonome sympathique. Ainsi, nous nous sommes demandé si le baroréflexe pouvait constituer un des mécanismes de contrôle de la TA qui serait altéré dans l’insomnie et pourrait être impliqué dans l’augmentation de l’activité sympathique qui semble accompagner l’insomnie. Jusqu’à présent, le baroréflexe reste inexploré dans l’insomnie. L’objectif principal de ce mémoire était d’évaluer de façon non-invasive la SBR à l’éveil et en sommeil chez 11 sujets atteints d’insomnie primaire chronique comparé à 11 témoins bons dormeurs. L’évaluation du baroréflexe a été effectuée de façon spontanée par la méthode de l’analyse en séquence et par le calcul du coefficient alpha obtenu par l’analyse spectrale croisée de l’intervalle RR et de la TA systolique. De façon concomitante, les paramètres de la variabilité de l’intervalle RR en sommeil et à l’éveil ont aussi été comparés chez ces mêmes sujets. Aucune différence significative n’a été notée au niveau des index de la SBR entre le groupe d’insomniaques et celui des bons dormeurs, à l’éveil ou en sommeil. Cependant, on observe des valeurs légèrement plus faibles de la SBR chez les insomniaques ayant mal dormi (efficacité de sommeil (ES) < 85%) comparés aux insomniaques ayant bien dormi (ES≥ 85%) à la nuit expérimentale durant l’éveil et en sommeil. Par ailleurs, aucune différence n’a été notée entre le groupe d’insomniaques et celui des bons dormeurs au niveau des paramètres de la variabilité RR considérés (intervalle RR, PNN50, LF et HF en valeurs normalisées). En effet, les insomniaques tout comme les bons dormeurs semblent présenter une variation normale de l’activité autonome en sommeil, telle que représentée par les paramètres de la variabilité RR. Ces résultats préliminaires semblent suggérer que les mécanismes du baroréflexe sont préservés chez les sujets atteints d’insomnie primaire chronique tels que diagnostiqués de manière subjective. Cependant, il est possible qu’une altération des mécanismes du baroréflexe ne se révèle chez les insomniaques que lorsque les critères objectifs d’une mauvaise nuit de sommeil sont présents.

La onda de pletismografía y su correlación con la reposición de líquidos intraoperatorios en pacientes sometidos a anestesia general

Introducción: Se ha conocido la necesidad de la monitoria del estado hemodinámico de los pacientes quirúrgicos de forma dinámica, que permita realizar una valoración rápida, menos invasiva y confiable para un diagnóstico acertado y evaluar la respuesta a las conductas tomadas. El delta de pletismografía es una herramienta confiable, no invasiva y dinámica que logra cumplir con las características antes mencionadas y que además puede llegar a tener un papel preponderante en la terapia hídrica dirigida. Metodología: Estudio de correlación, se realizaron evaluaciones sistemáticas de la onda de pletismografía y las variables del paciente desde la inducción anestésica hasta el inicio del procedimiento quirúrgico, se determinó la correlación entre la variabilidad de la onda de pletismografía, el delta de pletismografía y el requerimiento de líquidos intraoperatorios. Se incluyeron pacientes adultos en el rango de 18 a 80 años, que cumplían los criterios de inclusión, programados para cirugía bajo anestesia general en la Fundación Cardioinfantil Instituto de Cardiología, hasta lograr la muestra calculada de 31 pacientes. Siguiendo los principios éticos de la declaración de Helsinki y la normatividad colombiana, este estudio no consideró la realización de ningún tipo de intervención en los pacientes lo que lo cataloga de bajo riesgo. Resultados: El 80.6% presentó variabilidad aumentada, con correlación entre la variabilidad de la onda del pulso, el delta POP y la cantidad de líquidos intraoperatorios (0.245 IC 95%). Disminución del delta POP en T3, sugiriendo respuesta a líquidos, correlación entre uso de vasopresores, analgesia y náuseas y vómito postoperatorio. Conclusión: Existe correlación entre la variabilidad de la onda de pletismografía, el delta de pletismografía y la reposición de líquidos endovenosos en los pacientes ventilados mecánicamente durante anestesia general. Además se encuentra asociación entre uso de vasopresores, analgesia y náuseas y vómito postoperatorio.

Analysis of testosterone pulsatility in women with ovulatory menstrual cycles

Objetivo: Avaliar o padrão pulsátil da secreção da testosterona em mulheres normais. Métodos: Oito mulheres saudáveis com ciclos ovulatórios foram selecionadas. Amostras sanguíneas foram coletadas a cada dez minutos durante seis horas, começando entre 7 e 8 h da manhã, após dez horas de jejum, nas três fases do ciclo menstrual: folicular média (Dia 7), folicular tardia (Dia 12) e lútea (Dia 21). Foram mensurados: testosterona, LH e, no basal, também SHBG. Resultados: A frequência dos pulsos de testosterona, média da amplitude do pulso, porcentagem do incremento da amplitude, duração e intervalos dos pulsos foram similares nas três fases (p > 0,05). A pulsatilidade do LH foi estatisticamente diferente entre as três fases (p < 0,001), caracterizando padrão característico do ciclo ovulatório normal. Conclusões: Esses dados aumentam o conhecimento sobre o padrão de secreção da testosterona no ciclo menstrual humano e representam uma contribuição para a investigação clínica, tanto no hiperandrogenismo como na síndrome de insuficiência androgênica __________________________________________________ ABSTRACT Objective: To evaluate the pattern of the pulsatile secretion of testosterone in normal menstrual cycle. Methods: Eight healthy women with ovulatory menstrual cycles were enrolled. Blood samples were collected at ten-minute intervals for six hours, starting between 7 and 8 am, after a ten-hour fasting, in three phases: mid-follicular (Day 7), late follicular (Day 12) and mid-luteal phase (Day 21). Samples were assayed for testosterone, LH and the baseline also for SHBG. Results: Testosterone pulse frequency, mean amplitude pulse, percentage of increment in pulse amplitude, mean duration of pulses and pulse interval were similar in the three phases. LH pulsatility was statistically different among the three phases (p < 0.001) representing normal ovulatory cycles. Conclusions: These data increase the knowledge about the testosterone secretion profile in the human menstrual cycle and can be used as a contribution to clinical investigation in both hyperandrogenism and androgen insufficiency syndrome

Desenvolvimento de métodos de processamento e inteligência computacional no ECG ambulatorial

A monitorização ambulatorial do eletrocardiograma (ECG) permite seguir as atividades cotidianas do paciente durante períodos de 24 horas (ou ainda maiores) possibilitando o estudo de casos que pudessem ter episódios arrítmicos fatais. Entretanto, o maior desafio tecnológico que este tipo de monitorização enfrenta é a perda de informação pela presença de ruídos e artefatos quando o paciente se move. A análise do intervalo QT de despolarização e repolarização ventricular do eletrocardiograma superficial é uma técnica não invasiva com um grande valor para a diagnose e prognósticos de cardiopatias e neuropatias, assim como para a predição da morte cardíaca súbita. A análise do desvio padrão do intervalo QT proporciona informação sobre a dispersão (temporal ou espacial) da repolarização ventricular, entretanto a influencia do ruído provoca erros na detecção do final da onda T que são apreciáveis devido ao fato dos valores pequenos do desvio padrão do QT tanto para sujeitos patológicos e quanto para os sãos. O objetivo geral desta tese é melhorar os métodos de processamento do sinal de ECG ambulatorial usando inteligência computacional, especificamente os métodos relacionados com a detecção do final da onda T, e os de reconhecimento morfológico de batimentos que invalidam a análise da variabilidade do intervalo QT. É proposto e validado (em termos de exatidão e precisão) um novo método e algoritmo para estimar o final da onda T baseado no calculo de áreas de trapézios, empregando sinais da base de dados QT da Physionet. O desempenho do método proposto foi testado e comparado com um dos métodos mais usados para detectar o final da onda T: o método baseado no limiar na primeira derivada. O método de inteligência computacional sugerido combina a extração de características usando o método de análise de componentes principais não lineares e a rede neural de tipo perceptron multicamada. O método de áreas de trapézios teve um bom desempenho em condições ruidosas e não depende de nenhum limiar empírico, sendo adequado para situações com níveis de elevados de ruído de banda larga. O método de reconhecimento morfológico de batimentos foi avaliado com sinais ambulatoriais com e sem artefatos pertencentes a bases de dados de prestigio internacional, e mostrou um bom desempenho.

A simulation of the surface EMG for analysis of muscle activity during whole body vibratory stimulation

Many studies have accounted for whole body vibration effects in the fields of exercise physiology, sport and rehabilitation medicine. Generally, surface EMG is utilized to assess muscular activity during the treatment; however, large motion artifacts appear superimposed to the raw signal, making sEMG recording not suitable before any artifact filtering. Sharp notch filters, centered at vibration frequency and at its superior harmonics, have been used in previous studies, to remove the artifacts. [6, 10] However, to get rid of those artifacts some true EMG signal is lost. The purpose of this study was to reproduce the effect of motor-unit synchronization on a simulated surface EMG during vibratory stimulation. In addition, authors mean to evaluate the EMG power percentage in those bands in which are also typically located motion artifact components. Model characteristics were defined to take into account two main aspect: the muscle MUs discharge behavior and the triggering effects that appear during local vibratory stimulation. [7] Inter-pulse-interval, was characterized by a polimodal distribution related to the MU discharge frequency (IPI 55-80ms, σ=12ms) and to the correlation with the vibration period within the range of ±2 ms due to vibration stimulus. [1, 7] The signals were simulated using different stimulation frequencies from 30 to 70 Hz. The percentage of the total simulated EMG power within narrow bands centered at the stimulation frequency and its superior harmonics (± 1 Hz) resulted on average about 8% (± 2.85) of the total EMG power. However, the artifact in those bands may contain more than 40% of the total power of the total signal. [6] Our preliminary results suggest that the analysis of the muscular activity of muscle based on raw sEMG recordings and RMS evaluation, if not processed during vibratory stimulation may lead to a serious overestimation of muscular response.

Analysis of testosterone pulsatility in women with ovulatory menstrual cycles

Objetivo: Avaliar o padrão pulsátil da secreção da testosterona em mulheres normais. Métodos: Oito mulheres saudáveis com ciclos ovulatórios foram selecionadas. Amostras sanguíneas foram coletadas a cada dez minutos durante seis horas, começando entre 7 e 8 h da manhã, após dez horas de jejum, nas três fases do ciclo menstrual: folicular média (Dia 7), folicular tardia (Dia 12) e lútea (Dia 21). Foram mensurados: testosterona, LH e, no basal, também SHBG. Resultados: A frequência dos pulsos de testosterona, média da amplitude do pulso, porcentagem do incremento da amplitude, duração e intervalos dos pulsos foram similares nas três fases (p > 0,05). A pulsatilidade do LH foi estatisticamente diferente entre as três fases (p < 0,001), caracterizando padrão característico do ciclo ovulatório normal. Conclusões: Esses dados aumentam o conhecimento sobre o padrão de secreção da testosterona no ciclo menstrual humano e representam uma contribuição para a investigação clínica, tanto no hiperandrogenismo como na síndrome de insuficiência androgênica __________________________________________________ ABSTRACT Objective: To evaluate the pattern of the pulsatile secretion of testosterone in normal menstrual cycle. Methods: Eight healthy women with ovulatory menstrual cycles were enrolled. Blood samples were collected at ten-minute intervals for six hours, starting between 7 and 8 am, after a ten-hour fasting, in three phases: mid-follicular (Day 7), late follicular (Day 12) and mid-luteal phase (Day 21). Samples were assayed for testosterone, LH and the baseline also for SHBG. Results: Testosterone pulse frequency, mean amplitude pulse, percentage of increment in pulse amplitude, mean duration of pulses and pulse interval were similar in the three phases. LH pulsatility was statistically different among the three phases (p < 0.001) representing normal ovulatory cycles. Conclusions: These data increase the knowledge about the testosterone secretion profile in the human menstrual cycle and can be used as a contribution to clinical investigation in both hyperandrogenism and androgen insufficiency syndrome

Analysis of testosterone pulsatility in women with ovulatory menstrual cycles

Objetivo: Avaliar o padrão pulsátil da secreção da testosterona em mulheres normais. Métodos: Oito mulheres saudáveis com ciclos ovulatórios foram selecionadas. Amostras sanguíneas foram coletadas a cada dez minutos durante seis horas, começando entre 7 e 8 h da manhã, após dez horas de jejum, nas três fases do ciclo menstrual: folicular média (Dia 7), folicular tardia (Dia 12) e lútea (Dia 21). Foram mensurados: testosterona, LH e, no basal, também SHBG. Resultados: A frequência dos pulsos de testosterona, média da amplitude do pulso, porcentagem do incremento da amplitude, duração e intervalos dos pulsos foram similares nas três fases (p > 0,05). A pulsatilidade do LH foi estatisticamente diferente entre as três fases (p < 0,001), caracterizando padrão característico do ciclo ovulatório normal. Conclusões: Esses dados aumentam o conhecimento sobre o padrão de secreção da testosterona no ciclo menstrual humano e representam uma contribuição para a investigação clínica, tanto no hiperandrogenismo como na síndrome de insuficiência androgênica __________________________________________________ ABSTRACT Objective: To evaluate the pattern of the pulsatile secretion of testosterone in normal menstrual cycle. Methods: Eight healthy women with ovulatory menstrual cycles were enrolled. Blood samples were collected at ten-minute intervals for six hours, starting between 7 and 8 am, after a ten-hour fasting, in three phases: mid-follicular (Day 7), late follicular (Day 12) and mid-luteal phase (Day 21). Samples were assayed for testosterone, LH and the baseline also for SHBG. Results: Testosterone pulse frequency, mean amplitude pulse, percentage of increment in pulse amplitude, mean duration of pulses and pulse interval were similar in the three phases. LH pulsatility was statistically different among the three phases (p < 0.001) representing normal ovulatory cycles. Conclusions: These data increase the knowledge about the testosterone secretion profile in the human menstrual cycle and can be used as a contribution to clinical investigation in both hyperandrogenism and androgen insufficiency syndrome

Stimulation induced variability of pulse plethysmography does not discriminate responsiveness to intubation

BACKGROUND: Hypnotic depth but not haemodynamic response to painful stimulation can be measured with various EEG-based anaesthesia monitors. We evaluated the variation of pulse plethysmography amplitude induced by an electrical tetanic stimulus (PPG variation) as a potential measure for analgesia and predictor of haemodynamic responsiveness during general anaesthesia. METHODS: Ninety-five patients, ASA I or II, were randomly assigned to five groups [Group 1: bispectral index (BIS) (range) 40-50, effect site remifentanil concentration 1 ng ml(-1);Group 2: BIS 40-50, remifentanil 2 ng ml(-1); Group 3: BIS 40-50, remifentanil 4 ng ml(-1); Group 4: BIS 25-35, remifentanil 2 ng ml(-1); Group 5: BIS 55-65, remifentanil 2 ng ml(-1)]. A 60 mA tetanic stimulus was applied for 5 s on the ulnar nerve. From the digitized pulse oximeter wave recorded on a laptop computer, linear and non-linear parameters of PPG variation during the 60 s period after stimulation were computed. The haemodynamic response to subsequent orotracheal intubation was recorded. The PPG variation was compared between groups and between responders and non-responders to intubation (anova). Variables independently predicting the response were determined by logistic regression. RESULTS: The probability of a response to tracheal intubation was 0.77, 0.47, 0.05, 0.18 and 0.52 in Groups 1-5, respectively (P<0.03). The PPG variability was significantly higher in responders than in non-responders but it did not improve the prediction of the response to tracheal intubation based on BIS level and effect site remifentanil concentration. CONCLUSION: Tetanic stimulation induced PPG variation does not reflect the analgesic state in a wide clinical range of surgical anaesthesia.

Automatic algorithm for monitoring systolic pressure variation and difference in pulse pressure

BACKGROUND: Difference in pulse pressure (dPP) reliably predicts fluid responsiveness in patients. We have developed a respiratory variation (RV) monitoring device (RV monitor), which continuously records both airway pressure and arterial blood pressure (ABP). We compared the RV monitor measurements with manual dPP measurements. METHODS: ABP and airway pressure (PAW) from 24 patients were recorded. Data were fed to the RV monitor to calculate dPP and systolic pressure variation in two different ways: (a) considering both ABP and PAW (RV algorithm) and (b) ABP only (RV(slim) algorithm). Additionally, ABP and PAW were recorded intraoperatively in 10-min intervals for later calculation of dPP by manual assessment. Interobserver variability was determined. Manual dPP assessments were used for comparison with automated measurements. To estimate the importance of the PAW signal, RV(slim) measurements were compared with RV measurements. RESULTS: For the 24 patients, 174 measurements (6-10 per patient) were recorded. Six observers assessed dPP manually in the first 8 patients (10-min interval, 53 measurements); no interobserver variability occurred using a computer-assisted method. Bland-Altman analysis showed acceptable bias and limits of agreement of the 2 automated methods compared with the manual method (RV: -0.33% +/- 8.72% and RV(slim): -1.74% +/- 7.97%). The difference between RV measurements and RV(slim) measurements is small (bias -1.05%, limits of agreement 5.67%). CONCLUSIONS: Measurements of the automated device are comparable with measurements obtained by human observers, who use a computer-assisted method. The importance of the PAW signal is questionable.

Variability in time delay between two models of pulse oximeters for deriving the photoplethysmographic signals

Pulse oximetry is commonly used as an arterial blood oxygen saturation (SaO(2)) measure. However, its other serial output, the photoplethysmography (PPG) signal, is not as well studied. Raw PPG signals can be used to estimate cardiovascular measures like pulse transit time (PTT) and possibly heart rate (HR). These timing-related measurements are heavily dependent on the minimal variability in phase delay of the PPG signals. Masimo SET (R) Rad-9 (TM) and Novametrix Oxypleth oximeters were investigated for their PPG phase characteristics on nine healthy adults. To facilitate comparison, PPG signals were acquired from fingers on the same hand in a random fashion. Results showed that mean PTT variations acquired from the Masimo oximeter (37.89 ms) were much greater than the Novametrix (5.66 ms). Documented evidence suggests that I ms variation in PTT is equivalent to I mmHg change in blood pressure. Moreover, the PTT trend derived from the Masimo oximeter can be mistaken as obstructive sleep apnoeas based on the known criteria. HR comparison was evaluated against estimates attained from an electrocardiogram (ECG). Novametrix differed from ECG by 0.71 +/- 0.58% (p < 0.05) while Masimo differed by 4.51 +/- 3.66% (p > 0.05). Modem oximeters can be attractive for their improved SaO(2) measurement. However, using raw PPG signals obtained directly from these oximeters for timing-related measurements warrants further investigations.

Variability in heart rate estimates from different pulse oximeters

Since its introduction, pulse oximetry has become a conventional clinical measure. Besides being arterial blood oxygen saturation (SpO2) measure, pulse oximeters can be used for other cardiovascular measurements, like heart rate (HR) estimations, derived from its photo plethysmographic (PPG) signals. The temporal coherence of the PPG signals and thereby HR estimates are heavily dependent on its minimal phase variability. A Masimo SET Rad-9TM, Novametrix Oxypleth and a custom designed PPG system were investigated for their relative phase variation. R-R intervals from electro-cardiogram (ECG) were recorded concurrently as reference. PPG signals obtained from the 3 systems were evaluated by comparing their respective beat-to-beat (B-B) intervals with the corresponding R-R estimates during a static test. For their relative B-B comparison to the ECG, Novametrix system differed 0.680.52% (p

The dual effect of normobaric hypoxia on heart rate variability and substrate partitioning following interval cycling

Recent studies have shown the importance of the beat-by-beat changes in heart rate influenced by the autonomic nervous system (ANS), or heart rate variability (HRV). The purpose of this study was to examine the lasting effects of hypoxic exercise on HRV, and its influences on substrate usage. Results from this study could lead an increased understanding on this topic. Eight active healthy males (age: 31±11 years; height: 180±7 cm; weight: 83±8 kg; VO₂max (maximal oxygen consumption): 4.4±0.6 L•min⁻¹) underwent normoxic and hypoxic (FᵢO₂= 0.15) conditions during high-intensity interval (HIIT) cycling (70%-high interval, 35%-rest interval). Cycling intensity was determined by a peak power output cycling test. Each experimental session consisted of a basal metabolic rate determination, up to 45-minutes of HIIT cycling, and three 30-minute post-exercise metabolic rate measurements (spanning 3 hours and 15 minutes after exercise). During exercise, RPE was higher (p<0.01) and LAC (lactate) increased (p=0.001) at each point of time in hypoxia, with no change in normoxia. After hypoxic exercise, the SNS/PNS ratio (overall ANS activity) was significantly higher (p<0.01) and significantly decreased through time in both conditions (p<0.01). In addition, a significant interaction between time and conditions (p<0.02) showed a decrease in LAC concentration through time post-hypoxic exercise. The findings showed that a single bout of hypoxic exercise alters ANS activity post-exercise along with shifting substrate partitioning from glycolytic to lipolytic energy production. The significant decrease in LAC concentration post-hypoxic exercise supports the notion that hypoxic HIIT induces a greater muscle glycogen depletion leading to increased fat oxidation to sustain glycogenesis and gluconeogenesis to maintain blood glucose level during recovery.

Weather variability, sunspots, and the blooms of cyanobacteria

The roles of weather variability and sunspots in the occurrence of cyanobacteria blooms, were investigated using cyanobacteria cell data collected from the Fred Haigh Dam, Queensland, Australia. Time series generalized linear model and classification and regression (CART) model were used in the analysis. Data on notified cell numbers of cyanobacteria and weather variables over the periods 2001 and 2005 were provided by the Australian Department of Natural Resources and Water, and Australian Bureau of Meteorology, respectively. The results indicate that monthly minimum temperature (relative risk [RR]: 1.13, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02-1.25) and rainfall (RR: 1.11; 95% CI: 1.03-1.20) had a positive association, but relative humidity (RR: 0.94; 95% CI: 0.91-0.98) and wind speed (RR:0.90; 95% CI: 0.82-0.98) were negatively associated with the cyanobacterial numbers, after adjustment for seasonality and auto-correlation. The CART model showed that the cyanobacteria numbers were best described by an interaction between minimum temperature, relative humidity, and sunspot numbers. When minimum temperature exceeded 18%C and relative humidity was under 66%, the number of cyanobacterial cells rose by 2.15-fold. We conclude that the weather variability and sunspot activity may affect cyanobacterial blooms in dams.

Weather variability and influenza A (H7N9) transmission in Shanghai, China: A Bayesian spatial analysis

Abstract Background A novel avian influenza A (H7N9) virus was first found in humans in Shanghai, and infected over 433 patients in China. To date, very little is known about the spatiotemporal variability or environmental drivers of the risk of H7N9 infection. This study explored the spatial and temporal variation of H7N9 infection and assessed the effects of temperature and rainfall on H7N9 incidence. Methods A Bayesian spatial conditional autoregressive (CAR) model was used to assess the spatiotemporal distribution of the risk of H7N9 infection in Shanghai, by district and fortnight for the period 19th February–14th April 2013. Data on daily laboratory-confirmed H7N9 cases, and weather variability including temperature (°C) and rainfall (mm) were obtained from the Chinese Information System for Diseases Control and Prevention and Chinese Meteorological Data Sharing Service System, respectively, and aggregated by fortnight. Results High spatial variations in the H7N9 risk were mainly observed in the east and centre of Shanghai municipality. H7N9 incidence rate was significantly associated with fortnightly mean temperature (Relative Risk (RR): 1.54; 95% credible interval (CI): 1.22–1.94) and fortnightly mean rainfall (RR: 2.86; 95% CI: 1.47–5.56). Conclusion There was a substantial variation in the spatiotemporal distribution of H7N9 infection across different districts in Shanghai. Optimal temperature and rainfall may be one of the driving forces for H7N9.