Forward - Green Virtual Enterprises and Their Breeding Environments: Sustainable Manufacturing, Logistics and Consumption

Part 9: Innovation Networks

Modelos autorregressivos com valores inteiros não negativos : aplicação em séries económicas de Cabo Verde

No estudo de séries temporais, os processos estocásticos usuais assumem que as distribuições marginais são contínuas e, em geral, não são adequados para modelar séries de contagem, pois as suas características não lineares colocam alguns problemas estatísticos, principalmente na estimação dos parâmetros. Assim, investigou-se metodologias apropriadas de análise e modelação de séries com distribuições marginais discretas. Neste contexto, Al-Osh and Alzaid (1987) e McKenzie (1988) introduziram na literatura a classe dos modelos autorregressivos com valores inteiros não negativos, os processos INAR. Estes modelos têm sido frequentemente tratados em artigos científicos ao longo das últimas décadas, pois a sua importância nas aplicações em diversas áreas do conhecimento tem despertado um grande interesse no seu estudo. Neste trabalho, após uma breve revisão sobre séries temporais e os métodos clássicos para a sua análise, apresentamos os modelos autorregressivos de valores inteiros não negativos de primeira ordem INAR (1) e a sua extensão para uma ordem p, as suas propriedades e alguns métodos de estimação dos parâmetros nomeadamente, o método de Yule-Walker, o método de Mínimos Quadrados Condicionais (MQC), o método de Máxima Verosimilhança Condicional (MVC) e o método de Quase Máxima Verosimilhança (QMV). Apresentamos também um critério automático de seleção de ordem para modelos INAR, baseado no Critério de Informação de Akaike Corrigido, AICC, um dos critérios usados para determinar a ordem em modelos autorregressivos, AR. Finalmente, apresenta-se uma aplicação da metodologia dos modelos INAR em dados reais de contagem relativos aos setores dos transportes marítimos e atividades de seguros de Cabo Verde.

Pasaje Artístico La Mariposa

76 p.

BIAS-CORRECTED MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION OF THE PARAMETERS OF THE WEIGHTED LINDLEY DISTRIBUTION

This report discusses the calculation of analytic second-order bias techniques for the maximum likelihood estimates (for short, MLEs) of the unknown parameters of the distribution in quality and reliability analysis. It is well-known that the MLEs are widely used to estimate the unknown parameters of the probability distributions due to their various desirable properties; for example, the MLEs are asymptotically unbiased, consistent, and asymptotically normal. However, many of these properties depend on an extremely large sample sizes. Those properties, such as unbiasedness, may not be valid for small or even moderate sample sizes, which are more practical in real data applications. Therefore, some bias-corrected techniques for the MLEs are desired in practice, especially when the sample size is small. Two commonly used popular techniques to reduce the bias of the MLEs, are ‘preventive’ and ‘corrective’ approaches. They both can reduce the bias of the MLEs to order O(n−2), whereas the ‘preventive’ approach does not have an explicit closed form expression. Consequently, we mainly focus on the ‘corrective’ approach in this report. To illustrate the importance of the bias-correction in practice, we apply the bias-corrected method to two popular lifetime distributions: the inverse Lindley distribution and the weighted Lindley distribution. Numerical studies based on the two distributions show that the considered bias-corrected technique is highly recommended over other commonly used estimators without bias-correction. Therefore, special attention should be paid when we estimate the unknown parameters of the probability distributions under the scenario in which the sample size is small or moderate.

SC revenue ruling #16-3

Restaurants in South Carolina have begun utilizing electronic tablet table top ordering and bill payment devices. The purpose and intended use of these devices is to streamline the ordering and bill payment processes by allowing restaurant patrons the ability to order food and beverages through a mobile menu and to pay for meals on demand. This advisory opinion reflects the Department’s official position regarding electronic “table top ordering devices” used by restaurants.

MEDICAL SERVICES PROVIDER MANUAL for 2010

This brochure describes the 2010 Medical services provider manual, how to order one and how much it costs. The 2010 edition is a complete revision to the fee schedule with new maximum allowable payments based on 2010 CPT® coding. The manual covers services for physicians of all specialties, chiropractors, psychologists, physician assistants, nurse practitioners, clinical social workers and physical therapists. This edition provides more detailed procedure descriptions as well as further clarification of payment policies. It also serves as an excellent reference for price comparisons with other payers.

La presencia del Soft Law en el derecho administrativo colombiano : los documentos Conpes como manifestación del Soft Law en Colombia

El derecho internacional, como el derecho administrativo de cada Estado, se encuentra vinculado a la finalidad universal del derecho. No obstante, la influencia de la comunidad internacional en los asuntos jurídicos de los Estados está generando, con el auge de la globalización, mecanismos o instrumentos que de forma no impositiva pero sí persuasiva, vienen delimitando las competencias estatales. Estos instrumentos ejercen la función de ordenar los ámbitos de validez de dichas competencias jurídicas y administrativas internas, a través de formas declaratorias de carácter internacional, mediante normas jurídicas blandas denominadas soft law. El amplio y variado uso del soft law en temas como los derechos humanos y el medio ambiente plantea una dificultad para la teoría tradicional de fuentes, inspirada en la voluntad de los Estados, los cuales se constituyen a partir de su soberanía estatal (hard law). Esto sugiere una dicotomía jurídica, en donde el soft law se contrasta con las reglas legales que definen obligaciones específicas de hard law, es decir, “son normas o principios más abiertos o generales en su contenido y significado, comprendiéndose como suaves. En tal caso, el Soft Law plantea una apertura a la internacionalización y democratización del derecho administrativo. La creciente adopción de instrumentos de soft law de influencia internacional o global permite la participación de actores no estatales, tales como las organizaciones no gubernamentales (ONG), y de carácter civil en la construcción de políticas e instrumentos que en ocasiones adquieren más legitimidad que las leyes creadas para atender tales asuntos.

A complexity-based diagnostic on the democratic unity roundtable mud: problems and alternatives (2008-2016)

Este trabajo exploratorio estudia al movimiento político Mesa de la Unidad Democrática (MUD), creada con el fin de oponerse la Gobierno socialista existente en venezuela. La crítica que este documento realiza, parte desde el punto de vista de la Ciencia de la Complejidad. Algunos conceptos clave de sistemas complejos han sido utilizados para explicar el funcionamiento y organización de la MUD, esto con el objetivo de generar un diagnóstico integral de los problemas que enfrenta, y evidenciar las nuevas percepciones sobre comportamientos perjudiciales que el partido tiene actualmente. Con el enfoque de la complejidad se pretende ayudar a comprender mejor el contexto que enmarca al partido y, para, finalmente aportar una serie de soluciones a los problemas de cohesión que presen

Studio, sviluppo e codifica di un modello dinamico per la gestione del mix produttivo di piattaforme di prodotto

Con le crescenti esigenze di personalizzazione, la capacità di prevedere con precisione la domanda di un numero sempre maggiore di prodotti è diventata una delle caratteristiche fondamentali che l’azienda manufatturiera moderna deve possedere. L’esigenza dunque di fornire una gamma di prodotti sempre più vasta, contenendo i costi associati alla realizzazione e alla giacenza dei prodotti finiti e contemporaneamente riducendo al minimo i tempi di risposta alla domanda, non viene pienamente soddisfatta da nessuna delle due politiche produttive che rappresentano i due approcci più classici, ossia le due strategie Make-To-Stock (MTS) e Make-To-Order (MTO). Per rispondere a questa esigenza di personalizzazione è stata proposta un’ulteriore politica produttiva nota come Delayed Product Differentiation (DPD) basata sul concetto delle piattaforme di prodotto, ossia delle strutture comuni a più prodotti diversi che, tramite l’aggiunta dei componenti, permettono di ottenere la gamma di prodotti finali richiesti. Il seguente lavoro di tesi si pone lo scopo di studiare, tramite un algoritmo ideato e sviluppato con l’ausilio del linguaggio di programmazione di Matlab, il caso di un sistema che già adotta l’approccio DPD per riuscire a trovare una soluzione al problema di estendere il catalogo iniziale degli articoli presenti, avendo una lista di prodotti nuovi da analizzare e dovendo scegliere quali aggiungere e quali invece eliminare, stabilendo come modificare le piattaforme per l’aggiunta di essi.

Analytic Network Process (ANP) a supporto della scelta della strategia produttiva: sviluppo e test di un approccio decisionale

Di fronte alla concorrenza globale, la sopravvivenza di un'azienda manifatturiera dipende sempre più da come essa può progettare, gestire e strutturare al meglio il proprio sistema di produzione per far fronte alla diversità dei prodotti, per migliorare l'affidabilità di consegna e anche per ridurre i costi. In questo contesto, le aziende manifatturiere utilizzano spesso sistemi di produzione diversi, in base a ciò che richiede il mercato. Molto in generale, i sistemi produttivi possono essere classificati in due categorie principali: make-to-stock (MTS) e make-to-order (MTO), in base alla politica di risposta alla domanda del mercato. Nel nuovo contesto competitivo le aziende si sono trovate a dover produrre costantemente prodotti specifici e di alta qualità con costi unitari bassi e livelli di servizio elevati (ossia, tempi di consegna brevi). È chiaro, dunque, che una delle principali decisioni strategiche da prendere da parte delle aziende sia quella relativa alla ripartizione dei prodotti in MTS/MTO, ovvero quale prodotto o famiglia di prodotti può essere fabbricato per essere stoccato a magazzino (MTS), quale può essere prodotto su ordinazione (MTO) e quale dovrebbe essere fabbricato in base alla politica di produzione ibrida MTS/MTO. Gli ultimi anni hanno mostrato una serie di cambiamenti nella politica di produzione delle aziende, che si stanno gradualmente spostando sempre più verso la modalità̀ di produzione ibrida MTS/MTO. In particolare, questo elaborato si concentrerà sul delayed product differentiation (DPD), una particolare strategia produttiva ibrida, e ne verrà proposto un modello decisionale basato sul funzionamento dell’Analytic Network Process (ANP) implementato attraverso il software Superdecisions.

Biomimetic strategies to engineer mineralised human tissues

In the last few years, many reports have been describing promising biocompatible and biodegradable materials that can mimic in a certain extent the multidimensional hierarchical structure of bone, while are also capable of releasing bioactive agents or drugs in a controlled manner. Despite these great advances, new developments in the design and fabrication technologies are required to address the need to engineer suitable biomimetic materials in order tune cells functions, i.e. enhance cell-biomaterial interactions, and promote cell adhesion, proliferation, and differentiation ability. Scaffolds, hydrogels, fibres and composite materials are the most commonly used as biomimetics for bone tissue engineering. Dynamic systems such as bioreactors have also been attracting great deal of attention as it allows developing a wide range of novel in vitro strategies for the homogeneous coating of scaffolds and prosthesis with ceramics, and production of biomimetic constructs, prior its implantation in the body. Herein, it is overviewed the biomimetic strategies for bone tissue engineering, recent developments and future trends. Conventional and more recent processing methodologies are also described.

Engineer Leandro Badarán’s project to safeguard the fortresses of Alicante in 1794

After the construction of the San Carlos bastion in Alicante in the final decade of the seventeenth century, and the great trench which the English built around the district of San Francisco during their years of dominance in the War of Succession, the waters of the San Blas gully caused serious damage to these fortifications of the city and to the trade buildings of the port. In 1772, the diversion canal was built. It was designed to divert the riverbed of the gully and send the waters directly to the sea. The project had been initially designed by the Engineer General, Jorge Próspero de Verboom in 1721. This unique work of engineering had some defects, principally in the breakwater which prevented the waters from flowing down the former river course. On several occasions, the water returned to its original riverbed due to the weakness of the breakwater, the narrowness of the channel’s bed and its lack of regularisation, causing serious damage to the bastion, the Babel-facing façade, the traders’ warehouses and other buildings. This study describes the project that the military engineer Leandro Badarán carried out in 1794 in order to technically improve this canal and examines his report on the state of the fortifications. Similar works built in Spain are also explained. It also analyses the repeated disputes between the war department and the port throughout these years over finding a technical solution to the problem.

Emergent Antiferromagnetism Out Of The Hidden-order" State In Uru2si2: High Magnetic Field Nuclear Magnetic Resonance To 40 T."

Very high field (29)Si-NMR measurements using a fully (29)Si-enriched URu(2)Si(2) single crystal were carried out in order to microscopically investigate the hidden order (HO) state and adjacent magnetic phases in the high field limit. At the lowest measured temperature of 0.4 K, a clear anomaly reflecting a Fermi surface instability near 22 T inside the HO state is detected by the (29)Si shift, (29)K(c). Moreover, a strong enhancement of (29)K(c) develops near a critical field H(c) ≃ 35.6 T, and the ^{29}Si-NMR signal disappears suddenly at H(c), indicating the total suppression of the HO state. Nevertheless, a weak and shifted (29)Si-NMR signal reappears for fields higher than H(c) at 4.2 K, providing evidence for a magnetic structure within the magnetic phase caused by the Ising-type anisotropy of the uranium ordered moments.

A frequency approach to identifying asteroid families II. Families interacting with nonlinear secular resonances and low-order mean-motion resonances

Aims. In an earlier paper we introduced a new method for determining asteroid families where families were identified in the proper frequency domain (n, g, g + s) ( where n is the mean-motion, and g and s are the secular frequencies of the longitude of pericenter and nodes, respectively), rather than in the proper element domain (a, e, sin(i)) (semi-major axis, eccentricity, and inclination). Here we improve our techniques for reliably identifying members of families that interact with nonlinear secular resonances of argument other than g or g + s and for asteroids near or in mean-motion resonant configurations. Methods. We introduce several new distance metrics in the frequency space optimal for determining the diffusion in secular resonances of argument 2g - s, 3g - s, g - s, s, and 2s. We also regularize the dependence of the g frequency as a function of the n frequency (Vesta family) or of the eccentricity e (Hansa family). Results. Our new approaches allow us to recognize as family members objects that were lost with previous methods, while keeping the advantages of the Carruba & Michtchenko (2007, A& A, 475, 1145) approach. More important, an analysis in the frequency domain permits a deeper understanding of the dynamical evolution of asteroid families not always obtainable with an analysis in the proper element domain.

Route to chaos in a third-order phase-locked loop network

Phase-locked loops (PLLs) are widely used in applications related to control systems and telecommunication networks. Here we show that a single-chain master-slave network of third-order PLLs can exhibit stationary, periodic and chaotic behaviors, when the value of a single parameter is varied. Hopf, period-doubling and saddle-saddle bifurcations are found. Chaos appears in dissipative and non-dissipative conditions. Thus, chaotic behaviors with distinct dynamical features can be generated. A way of encoding binary messages using such a chaos-based communication system is suggested. (C) 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.