Sequential decisions in allocation problems

[eng] In the context of cooperative TU-games, and given an order of players, we consider the problem of distributing the worth of the grand coalition as a sequentia decision problem. In each step of process, upper and lower bounds for the payoff of the players are required related to successive reduced games. Sequentially compatible payoffs are defined as those allocation vectors that meet these recursive bounds. The core of the game is reinterpreted as a set of sequentally compatible payoffs when the Davis-Maschler reduced game is considered (Th.1). Independently of the reduction, the core turns out to be the intersections of the family of the sets of sequentially compatible payoffs corresponding to the different possible orderings (Th.2), so it is in some sense order-independent. Finally, we analyze advantagenous properties for the first player

Panorama de la Compagnie générale transatlantique peint par Th Poilpot. Dioaramas ... Exposition universelle 1889, quai d'Orsay... : [affiche] / [non signée]

Référence bibliographique : Broido 502

Nicotine vaccines for smoking cessation.

BACKGROUND: By reducing the amount of nicotine that reaches the brain when a person smokes a cigarette, nicotine vaccines may help people to stop smoking or to prevent recent quitters from relapsing. OBJECTIVES: The aims of this review are to assess the efficacy of nicotine vaccines for smoking cessation and for relapse prevention, and to assess the frequency and type of adverse events associated with the use of nicotine vaccines. SEARCH METHODS: We searched the Cochrane Tobacco Addiction Review Group specialised register for trials, using the term 'vaccine' in the title or abstract, or in a keyword (date of most recent search April 2012). To identify any other material including reviews and papers potentially relevant to the background or discussion sections, we also searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and PsycINFO, combining terms for nicotine vaccines with terms for smoking and tobacco use, without design limits or limits for human subjects. We searched the Annual Meeting abstracts of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco up to 2012, using the search string 'vaccin'. We searched Google Scholar for 'nicotine vaccine'. We also searched company websites and Google for information related to specific vaccines. We searched clinicaltrials.gov in March 2012 for 'nicotine vaccine' and for the trade names of known vaccine candidates. SELECTION CRITERIA: We included randomized controlled trials of nicotine vaccines, at Phase II and Phase III trial stage and beyond, in adult smokers or recent ex-smokers. We included studies of nicotine vaccines used as part of smoking cessation or relapse prevention interventions. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: We extracted data on the type of participants, the dose and duration of treatment, the outcome measures, the randomization procedure, concealment of allocation, blinding of participants and personnel, reporting of outcomes, and completeness of follow-up.Our primary outcome measure was a minimum of six months abstinence from smoking. We used the most rigorous definition of abstinence, and preferred cessation rates at 12 months and biochemically validated rates where available. We have used the risk ratio (RR) to summarize individual trial outcomes. We have not pooled the current group of included studies as they cover different vaccines and variable regimens. MAIN RESULTS: There are no nicotine vaccines currently licensed for public use, but there are a number in development. We found four trials which met our inclusion criteria, three comparing NicVAX to placebo and one comparing NIC002 (formerly NicQbeta) to placebo. All were smoking cessation trials conducted by pharmaceutical companies as part of the drug development process, and all trials were judged to be at high or unclear risk of bias in at least one domain. Overall, 2642 smokers participated in the included studies in this review. None of the four included studies detected a statistically significant difference in long-term cessation between participants receiving vaccine and those receiving placebo. The RR for 12 month cessation in active and placebo groups was 1.35 (95% Confidence Interval (CI) 0.82 to 2.22) in the trial of NIC002 and 1.74 (95% CI 0.73 to 4.18) in one NicVAX trial. Two Phase III NicVAX trials, for which full results were not available, reported similar quit rates of approximately 11% in both groups. In the two studies with full results available, post hoc analyses detected higher cessation rates in participants with higher levels of nicotine antibodies, but these findings are not readily generalisable. The two studies with full results showed nicotine vaccines to be well tolerated, with the majority of adverse events classified as mild or moderate. In the study of NIC002, participants receiving the vaccine were more likely to report mild to moderate adverse events, most commonly flu-like symptoms, whereas in the study of NicVAX there was no significant difference between the two arms. Information on adverse events was not available for the large Phase III trials of NicVAX.Vaccine candidates are likely to undergo significant changes before becoming available to the general public, and those included in this review may not be the first to reach market; this limits the external validity of the results reported in this review in terms of both effectiveness and tolerability. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: There is currently no evidence that nicotine vaccines enhance long-term smoking cessation. Rates of serious adverse events recorded in the two trials with full data available were low, and the majority of adverse events reported were at mild to moderate levels. The evidence available suggests nicotine vaccines do not induce compensatory smoking or affect withdrawal symptoms. No nicotine vaccines are currently licensed for use in any country but a number are under development.Further trials of nicotine vaccines are needed, comparing vaccines with placebo for smoking cessation. Further trials are also needed to explore the potential of nicotine vaccines to prevent relapse. Results from past, current and future research should be reported in full. Adverse events and serious adverse events should continue to be carefully monitored and thoroughly reported.

Use of nicotine substitute prescribed at hourly plus ad libitum intake or ad libitum for heavy smokers willing to quit : a randomized controlled trial

Rapport de synthèse : l .Objectif Evaluer l'effet qu'ont les consignes d'utilisation régulière d'un spray nasal à la nicotine sur leur véritable utilisation durant les 3 premières semaines d'un sevrage tabagique. Un objectif secondaire est d'évaluer l'effet des consignes d'utilisation régulière du spray durant les premières semaines de sevrage tabagique sur le taux de succès à 6 mois par rapport à un groupe pouvant utiliser le spray « ad libitum ». 2. Méthode II s'agit d'une étude ouverte, randomisée contrôlée, incluant 50 patients présentant une dépendance nicotinique forte, se trouvant en phase de préparation selon le modèle transthéorique du changement de Prochaska et Di Clemente, recrutés au sein de la consultation «stop tabac » de la Policlinique Médicale Universitaire de Lausanne. Dans le groupe «contrôle », les patients ont été instruits à utiliser le spray « ad libitum », soit dès qu'apparaissaient des envies irrésistibles de fumer, tandis que le groupe «intervention » a reçu pour consigne d'utiliser le spray au moins 1 fois par heure dès le lever, voire plus en cas d'envie de fumer. L'utilisation du spray nasal a été enregistrée par un dispositif électronique fixé sur le spray (MDILogTM) durant les 3 premières semaines d'utilisation. Durant le suivi, l'abstinence tabagique a été vérifiée par une mesure du taux de CO expiré par un appareil spécifique (Bedfont Smokerlyzer). L'abstinence tabagique a été considérée comme un succès si le taux de CO était s 10 ppm (particules par million). 3. Résultats Un patient a été perdu durant le suivi. Au moment de la randomisation, le groupe «intervention » comprenait plus de femmes, des patients ayant un nombre plus grand de précédentes tentatives d'arrêt du tabagisme, plus de co-morbidités psychiatriques, mais moins de co-morbidités somatiques que le groupe «contrôle ». Dans les 2 groupes, les participants ont utilisé le spray nasal plus de 8 fois par jour (minimum demandé dans le groupe intervention). L'utilisation moyenne du spray était de 13,6 doses/jour pour le groupe «intervention » et de 1 l,l doses/jour pour le groupe contrôle. Ajusté aux différences entre les 2 groupes, la différence entre les doses plus importantes utilisées dans le groupe «intervention »par rapport à celles du groupe « ad libitum »reste non significative durant la première (0.8 ; CI 95% -5.1 ; 6,7), la deuxième (4.0 ; CI 95% -1.9 ; 9.9) et la troisième semaine (3.0 ; CI 95% -2.5 ; 8.5). De même, le fait d'instruire le patient à utiliser chaque heure le spray nasal durant les premières semaines n'a pas eu d'impact sur le taux de succès à 6 mois (RR = 0.69 ; CI 95% 0.34 ; 1.39). 4. Conclusions Cette étude négative montre que les différences d'utilisation du spray nasal nicotinique sont plus dépendantes des caractéristiques individuelles du patient que des recommandations d'utilisation du thérapeute. Les patients présentant un syndrome de dépendance à la nicotine forte utilisent spontanément de manière importante le spray nasal nicotinique, indépendamment des recommandations données. Pour les patients présentant un syndrome de dépendance à la nicotine forte, les recommandations par le thérapeute d'utiliser le spray nasal dès l'apparition d'envies de fumer semblent être la manière de faire la plus adéquate.

Reproductive allocation and size constraints in the cladoceran Simocephalus vetulus (Müller)

Like many organisms, the cladoceran Simocephalus vetulus (Müller) continues to grow when reproducing, whereas the optimal strategy is to stop growing at maturity, and to invest all available production into reproduction thereafter. It has been proposed that a size constraint is responsible for the observed strategy (Perrin, Ruedi & Saiah, 1987), by preventing organisms from investing more than a given amount of energy into reproduction. This hypothesis is developed here and the two folowing prediction are derived: (1) the onset of reproduction should be independent of age and (2) the reproductive investement should be size-specific, thus independent of the productin rate. Both predictions are tested by rearing a clone of S.vetulus in a gradient of productivity. The results support the first prediction, but not the second one, so that the size-constraint hypothesis is disproved.

Less Risk, More Effort : Demand Risk Allocation in Incomplete Contracts

This article investigates the allocation of demand risk within an incomplete contract framework. We consider an incomplete contractual relationship between a public authority and a private provider (i.e. a public-private partnership), in which the latter invests in non-verifiable cost-reducing efforts and the former invests in non-verifiable adaptation efforts to respond to changing consumer demand over time. We show that the party that bears the demand risk has fewer hold-up opportunities and that this leads the other contracting party to make more effort. Thus, in our model, bearing less risk can lead to more effort, which we describe as a new example of âeuro~counter-incentivesâeuro?. We further show that when the benefits of adaptation are important, it is socially preferable to design a contract in which the demand risk remains with the private provider, whereas when the benefits of cost-reducing efforts are important, it is socially preferable to place the demand risk on the public authority. We then apply these results to explain two well-known case studies.