Household Preferences for Financing Hurricane Risk Mitigation: A Survey Based Empirical Analysis

After a series of major storms over the last 20 years, the state of financing for U.S. natural disaster insurance has undergone substantial disruptions causing many federal and state backed programs against residential property damage to become severally underfunded. In order to regain actuarial soundness, policy makers have proposed a shift to a system that reflects risk-based pricing for property insurance. We examine survey responses from 1394 single-family homeowners in the state of Florida for support of several natural disaster mitigation policy reforms. Utilizing a partial proportional odds model we test for effects of location, risk perception, socio-economic and housing characteristics on support for policy reforms. Our findings suggest residents across the state, not just risk-prone homeowners, support the current subsidized model. We also examine several other policy questions from the survey to verify our initial results. Finally, the implications of our findings are discussed to provide inputs to policymakers.

Experimental results for Ecklonia radiata growth and in situ incubation experiments and in situ measurements of pH within E. radiata beds in south eastern Tasmania

Ocean acidification (OA) is the reduction in seawater pH due to the absorption of human-released CO2 by the world's oceans. The average surface oceanic pH is predicted to decline by 0.4 units by 2100. However, kelp metabolically modifies seawater pH via photosynthesis and respiration in some temperate coastal systems, resulting in daily pH fluctuations of up to ±0.45 units. It is unknown how these fluctuations in pH influence the growth and physiology of the kelp, or how this might change with OA. In laboratory experiments that mimicked the most extreme pH fluctuations measured within beds of the canopy-forming kelp Ecklonia radiata in Tasmania, the growth and photosynthetic rates of juvenile E. radiata were greater under fluctuating pH (8.4 in the day, 7.8 at night) than in static pH treatments (8.4, 8.1, 7.8). However, pH fluctuations had no effect on growth rates and a negative effect on photosynthesis when the mean pH of each treatment was reduced by 0.3 units. Currently, pH fluctuations have a positive effect on E. radiata but this effect could be reversed in the future under OA, which is likely to impact the future ecological dynamics and productivity of habitats dominated by E. radiata.

(Table 2) Radiocarbon dates from lakes on Fildes Peninsula, King George Island

Precise relative sea level (RSL) data are important for inferring regional ice sheet histories, as well as helping to validate numerical models of ice sheet evolution and glacial isostatic adjustment. Here we develop a new RSL curve for Fildes Peninsula, South Shetland Islands (SSIs), a sub-Antarctic archipelago peripheral to the northern Antarctic Peninsula ice sheet, by integrating sedimentary evidence from isolation basins with geomorphological evidence from raised beaches. This combined approach yields not only a Holocene RSL curve, but also the spatial pattern of how RSL change varied across the archipelago. The curve shows a mid-Holocene RSL highstand on Fildes Peninsula at 15.5 m above mean sea level between 8000 and 7000 cal a BP. Subsequently RSL gradually fell as a consequence of isostatic uplift in response to regional deglaciation. We propose that isostatic uplift occurred at a non-steady rate, with a temporary pause in ice retreat ca. 7200 cal a BP, leading to a short-lived RSL rise of ~1 m and forming a second peak to the mid-Holocene highstand. Two independent approaches were taken to constrain the long-term tectonic uplift rate of the SSIs at 0.22-0.48 m/ka, placing the tectonic contribution to the reconstructed RSL highstand between 1.4 and 2.9 m. Finally, we make comparisons to predictions from three global sea level models.

(Table T1) Trace-element abundances for igneous basement at ODP Site 206-1256

In this report, I present trace element data for basement samples at Ocean Drilling Program (ODP) Site 1256. The samples analyzed represent a subset of the group ("pool") samples from ODP Leg 206, and these trace element data are part of a more comprehensive data suite for the same samples, with analyses of stable and radiogenic isotopes (e.g., Sr, Li, and O) in progress or recently completed that will be presented elsewhere. The trace element analyses were performed in the GeoAnalytical Lab at Washington State University. The following elements were analyzed: La, Ce, Pr, Nd, Sm, Eu, Gd, Tb, Dy, Ho, Er, Tm, Yb, Lu, Ba, Th, Nb, Y, Hf, Ta, U, Pb, Rb, Cs, Sr, Sc, and Zr. Trace element data indicate that the igneous basement at Site 1256 is geochemically normal mid-ocean-ridge basalt. A massive ponded flow sampled in both Holes 1256C and 1256D is distinguished by higher abundances of rare earth elements (REE) and most of the other trace elements analyzed. One interval of highly altered basalt has significantly higher concentrations of Cs, Rb, and Ba and lower concentrations of Sr, Pb, Zr, Hf, Sc, and most REE than the samples of background alteration or halos. No correlation is obvious between trace element abundance and macroscopic type of alteration within the background alteration or halos.

(Table T1) Geochemistry of calcium carbonate veins from ODP Holes 206-1256C and 206-1256D

Drilling a complete deep crustal section has been a primary yet elusive goal since the inception of scientific ocean drilling. In situ ocean crustal sections would contribute enormously to our understanding of the formation and subsequent evolution of the ocean crust, in particular the interplay between magmatic, hydrothermal, and tectonic processes. Ocean Drilling Program (ODP) Leg 206 was the first of a multileg project to drill an in situ crustal section that penetrated the gabbroic rocks of the Cocos plate (6°44.2'N, 91°56.1'W), which formed ~15 m.y. ago on the East Pacific Rise during a period of superfast spreading (>200 mm/yr) (Wilson, Teagle, Acton, et al., 2003, doi:10.2973/odp.proc.ir.206.2003). During Leg 206, the upper 500 m of basement was cored in Holes 1256C and 1256D with moderate to high recovery rates. The igneous rocks recovered are predominantly thin (10 cm to 3 m) basalt flows separated by chilled margins. There are also several massive flows (>3 m thick), although their abundance decreases with depth in Hole 1256D, as well as minor pillow basalts, hyaloclastites, and rare dikes. The lavas have been slightly (<10%) altered by low-temperature hydrothermal fluids, which resulted in pervasive dark gray background alteration and precipitation of saponite, pyrite, silica, celadonite, and calcium carbonate veins. Here we present a geochemical analysis of the CaCO3 recovered from cores. The compositions of ridge flank fluids within superfast spreading crust will be determined from these data, following the approach of Hart et al. (1994, doi:10.1029/93JB02035), Yatabe et al. (2000, doi:10.2973/odp.proc.sr.168.003.2000), and Coggon et al. (2004, doi:10.1016/S0012-821X(03)00697-6).

De la moral del sacrificio a la conciencia de la precariedad. Un análisis cualitativo de los discursos sobre la evolución de la crisis en España

La larga crisis económica que padece España está teniendo importantes consecuencias sociales. La más comentada por académicos, mass media y parte del arco político es la fractura social que se está abriendo en el país, ante el aumento de las desigualdades económicas que generan el enorme desempleo y las duras políticas de ajuste del gasto público. Sin embargo, más allá de cuestiones económicas la crisis está haciendo mella de forma muy profunda en el imaginario social del país en relación a las razones y consecuencias de la crisis, tanto a corto como a largo plazo. El objetivo de este artículo es el realizar una valoración de esas percepciones sociales de la ciudadanía en relación con la crisis, centrándonos en un aspecto como es el de la relación de la población española con el consumo de bienes y servicios públicos, en un escenario de hegemonía de la austeridad como única receta anti-crisis. Para ello, realizaremos un análisis de los discursos recogidos en una investigación cualitativa realizada en el año 2014 mediante grupos de discusión. Los resultados muestran un pesimismo enorme de la población en relación al futuro del Estado del Bienestar y de la propia clase media española, junto a una frustración que puede anunciar futuros ciclos de movilización social.

Fronteras en construcción: Diferenciación social y desterritorialización en el Sur ibérico (siglos IX-VI a.C.)

Durante las tres últimas décadas, numerosos/as arqueólogos/as han discutido extensamente sobre el ritual funerario original de las poblaciones del sur ibérico entre los siglos ix y vi a.c., esto es, cremación o inhumación. Este debate está además conectado con la existencia o no de complejidad social antes de la llegada fenicia, con la aparición de una élite “orientalizada” y con la adopción de nuevos objetos y prácticas por las poblaciones locales. En este artículo hago uso del concepto deleuziano de “desterritorialización” y lo asocio con el de “frontera” desarrollado por anzaldúa para interpretar la sociedad del sur ibérico. Para ello, analizo la evidencia funeraria indígena y cuestiono la división estricta entre cremación e inhumación en la región; así como examino la profundidad y significado de los cambios funerarios en las comunidades locales.

The value of military oath in civil wars in Rome: The example of conflict 49-45 BC

During the civil war between Caesar and Pompey, the military oath which binds the soldier to his army is often openly violated. Yet despite this offense, commanders of armed struggle require recursively the oath to their men. Admittedly, this ritual act seems ineffective given the many desertions and mutinies identified, but military leaders use its symbolic and sacred meaning to legitimize one hand their “anti-republican” actions, on the other armies fighting in a context deemed impius.

Applying standards to systematize learning analytics in serious games

Learning Analytics is an emerging field focused on analyzing learners’ interactions with educational content. One of the key open issues in learning analytics is the standardization of the data collected. This is a particularly challenging issue in serious games, which generate a diverse range of data. This paper reviews the current state of learning analytics, data standards and serious games, studying how serious games are tracking the interactions from their players and the metrics that can be distilled from them. Based on this review, we propose an interaction model that establishes a basis for applying Learning Analytics into serious games. This paper then analyzes the current standards and specifications used in the field. Finally, it presents an implementation of the model with one of the most promising specifications: Experience API (xAPI). The Experience API relies on Communities of Practice developing profiles that cover different use cases in specific domains. This paper presents the Serious Games xAPI Profile: a profile developed to align with the most common use cases in the serious games domain. The profile is applied to a case study (a demo game), which explores the technical practicalities of standardizing data acquisition in serious games. In summary, the paper presents a new interaction model to track serious games and their implementation with the xAPI specification.

The Dynamics of Quadropoly: League Position in English Football between 1888 and 2010

The paper explores competitive balance in top tier English league football from its inception in 1888. It examines the extent to which finishing in the top four positions in successive seasons is the preserve of a small number of clubs. Using a range of statistical measures, the analysis shows that the current high levels of competitive imbalance are not new phenomena. The overall pattern approximates a ‘U curve’: current patterns parallel those in the 1890s. In the early years of English league football, differences in resources between clubs soon became apparent. Clubs from the larger conurbations generated consistently larger revenues than their counterparts in the smaller industrial towns. This was primarily the result of the larger crowds that they could attract to their home games. This enabled them to entice the best players to their clubs away from their smaller rivals. The introduction of the maximum wage in 1901 and the transfer system helped to stem these increasing inequalities between clubs. This coincided with a massive wave of new stadia construction which enabled all the clubs to compete on an increasingly level playing field. These conjunctural changes to English football before 1915 produced the era of relatively competitive football during the inter-war years. This continued until the abolition of the maximum wage in 1961. Since that time, competitive balance has reversed and become increasingly restricted. English top-tier football has re-entered an era of extreme competitive imbalance.

Repräsentationen im Biologieunterricht - eine qualitative Studie zur Perspektive von Lernenden

Externe Repräsentationen, wie beispielsweise Texte, Bilder und deren Kombinationen, sind zum einen im Alltag und in der Biologie als Wissenschaft, zum anderen ebenfalls im Unterrichtsfach Biologie allgegenwärtig. Die Darbietungsmöglichkeiten für externe Repräsentationen sind dabei äußerst vielfältig, wobei gerade in der heutigen Zeit Informationsquellen aller Art meist nur wenige Klicks entfernt, oder auf andere Weisen nahezu unmittelbar verfügbar sind. Für Lernende im Unterrichtsfach Biologie stellt das Erschließen und Austauschen biologisch relevanter Informationen eine wichtige Aufgabe und Herausforderung dar. Naturwissenschaftlicher Kommunikation wird sowohl im Hessischen Kerncurriculum als auch in den Bildungsstandards für das Fach Biologie eine zentrale Bedeutung beigemessen. Im Zuge dieser qualitativen, empirischen Studie zu externen Repräsentationen soll einerseits herausgefunden werden, welche Charakteristika bzw. Eigenschaften externer Repräsentationen im BU aus der Perspektive der Lernenden als typisch empfunden werden. Andererseits dient diese Arbeit dazu, den Strategieeinsatz der Lernenden in Bezug auf das Erschließen externer Repräsentationen im BU zu erforschen. Anhand von leitfadengestützten Interviews mit Schülerinnen und Schülern der Sekundarstufe II wurde zu diesem Forschungsanliegen Datenmaterial erhoben, das nach anschließender Transkription mit der Methode der qualitativen Inhaltsanalyse ausgewertet wird. Im Rahmen der durchgeführten Interviews wurden Beispielrepräsentationen aus Schulbüchern zum Themenfeld der klassischen Genetik eingesetzt, die im Vorfeld theoriegeleitet ausgewählt worden sind.