Picking the Right Budget Constraint for Scotland

This position paper considers the devolution of further fiscal powers to the Scottish Parliament in the context of the objectives and remit of the Smith Commission. The argument builds on our discussion of fiscal decentralization made in our previous published work on this topic. We ask what sort of budget constraint the Scottish Parliament should operate with. A soft budget constraint (SBC) allows the Scottish Parliament to spend without having to consider all of the tax and, therefore, political consequences, of that spending, which is effectively the position at the moment. The incentives to promote economic growth through fiscal policy – on both the tax and spending sides are weak to non-existent. This is what the Scotland Act, 1998, and the continuing use of the Barnett block grant, gave Scotland. Now other budget constraints are being discussed – those of the Calman Commission (2009) and the Scotland Act (2012), as well as the ones offered in 2014 by the various political parties – Scottish Conservatives, Scottish Greens, Scottish Labour, the Scottish Liberal Democrats and the Scottish Government. There is also the budget constraint designed by the Holtham Commission (2010) for Wales that could just as well be used in Scotland. We examine to what extent these offer the hard budget constraint (HBC) that would bring tax policy firmly into the realm of Scottish politics, asking the Scottish electorate and Parliament to consider the costs to them of increasing spending in terms of higher taxes; or the benefits to them of using public spending to grow the tax base and own-sourced taxes? The hardest budget constraint of all is offered by independence but, as is now known, a clear majority of those who voted in the referendum did not vote for this form of budget constraint. Rather they voted for a significant further devolution of fiscal powers while remaining within a political and monetary union with the rest of the UK, with the risk pooling and revenue sharing that this implies. It is not surprising therefore that none of the budget constraints on offer, apart from the SNP’s, come close to the HBC of independence. However, the almost 25% fall in the price of oil since the referendum, a resource stream so central to the SNP’s economic policy making, underscores why there is a need for a trade off between a HBC and risk pooling and revenue sharing. Ranked according to the desirable characteristic of offering something approaching a HBC the least desirable are those of the Calman Commission, the Scotland Act, 2012, and Scottish Labour. In all of these the ‘elasticity’ of the block grant in the face of failure to grow the Scottish tax base is either not defined or is very elastic – meaning that the risk of failure is shuffled off to taxpayers outside of Scotland. The degree of HBC in the Scottish Conservative, Scottish Greens and Scottish Liberal Democrats proposals are much more desirable from an economic growth point of view, the latter even embracing the HBC proposed by the Holtham Commission that combines serious tax policy with welfare support in the long-run. We judge that the budget constraint in the SNP’s proposals is too hard as it does not allow for continuation of the ‘welfare union’ in the UK. We also consider that in the case of a generalized UK economic slow requiring a fiscal stimulus that the Scottish Parliament be allowed increased borrowing to be repaid in the next economic upturn.

Peut-on faire confiance à l'administration ? Une analyse du concept de confiance, appliqué au secteur public

D'une manière générale, la confiance est un « lubrifiant » (Arrow, 1974) facilitant les relations sociales (eg Luhmann, 1968, Giddens, 1984, Zucker, 1986). D'un point de vue économique, un environnement institutionnel bénéficiant d'une confiance élevée serait corrélé avec la performance de l'économie nationale (eg Dyer and Chu, 2003). La confiance, en tant que capital social, permettrait et engendrerait des comportements altruistes et coopératifs impactant et soutenant la prospérité économique d'une communauté (Fukuyama, 1995). Dans un cadre organisationnel, la confiance engendre une communication plus ouverte et facilite l'échange d'information (eg Smith and Barclay, 1997, Currall and Judge, 1995), facilite la gestion des conflits (eg Blomqvist, 2002), l'apprentissage commun (eg Bijlsma-Frankema, 2004) ou diminue les coûts d'intégration (eg Bidault and Jarillo, 1995), par exemple.

Estudi de comportaments socials amb eixams de robots reconfigurables

Els eixams de robots distribuïts representen tot un món de possibilitats al camp de la microrobòtica, però existeixen pocs estudis que n'analitzin els comportaments socials i les interaccions entre robots autònoms distribuïts. Aquests comportaments han de permetre assolir de la manera més efectiva possible un bon resultat. Prenent com a base l'objectiu esmentat, aquest treball detalla diferents polítiques de cerca i de reconfiguració dels robots i estudia els seus comportaments per tal de determinar quins d'ells són més útils per solucionar un problema concret amb les plagues d'erugues i corcs als camps de cigroneres.

L'oficina judicial a Catalunya: mitjà real d'una justícia eficaç pel ciutadà del segle XXI

En aquest estudi es pretenia assolir la pràctica d'un sistema que només s'ha plantejat teòricament, doncs l'experiència acumulada, ja abans de la reforma orgànica de 2003, parteix de la figura dels serveis comuns, amb un criteri d'eficiència, racionalitat i economia per invertir en l'Administració de justícia catalana. Assumir i donar resposta jurídica concreta a tots els reptes tècnics pot fer-se des d'una perspectiva dogmàtica, tot i que el temps transcorregut també permet advertir exigències pràctiques a l'àmbit de la dogmàtica processal, el context socio-cultural i, naturalment, les necessitats laborals. En aquest sentit, els objectius s'introdueixen cap a la garantia d'un apropament material, conceptual i quotidià de l'Administració de justícia al ciutadà, establert com a eix inextricable del sistema, tenint present la de vegades despesa incomprensible en una realitat històricament menystinguda i deficitària, malgrat l'esforç pressupostari fet els darrers anys que, malgrat tot, no ha evitat discordances greus per manca de racionalitat i eficiència en el consum diari dels operadors implicats. Es pretén aconseguir, per mitjà del nou sistema d'oficina judicial estructurat, un avenç efectiu i econòmic a l'estat de la Justícia al país, especialment envers la dilació dels tràmits, a més de reclamar reformes legals, de caire processal especialment, que no es prestin a mers paràmetres d'ajust formal, sinó que incideix substantivament en millores per altre part reclamades fa temps per la doctrina científica. S'han aconseguit les fites definides des del punt de vista teòric, així com s'ha afrontat tots el problemes conceptuals i hipòtesis pràctiques més significatives, establint pautes de resposta sota la prèvia determinació de les qüestions debatudes i els conflictes habituals que correspon enfrontar. D'aquesta manera, s'ha estudiat la normativa en presència i la jurisprudència que hi dona actualitat pràctica, sense oblidar la doctrina d'autors. S'ha repassat el funcionament existent a l'oficina judicial i les previsions de la mateixa en un futur immediat, remarcant les noves tecnologies en ús i projectades, de igual manera que les bondats i crítiques de tots els operador jurídics actuants.

À propos de quelques fonctions des expertises judiciaires au pénal

En France, l'expert psychiatre ou psychologue est présenté dans le Code pénal comme un « technicien », disposant de compétences singulières, qui réalise un travail que le juge ne pourrait réaliser lui-même. À partir d'une recherche théorique et empirique, cet article s'intéresse aux relations juge-expert et interroge les fonctions recouvertes par les expertises psychiatriques et psychologiques en phase présentencielle au pénal, au-delà de la mission énoncée dans les textes et dans l'ordonnance de commission d'expertise. Nous sommes partis de l'hypothèse que les fonctions des expertises psychiatriques et psychologiques dépassent le cadre d'un écrit technique et d'une déposition technique en Cour d'assises tel qu'énoncé dans les textes et missions, pour recouvrir des fonctions variées et non explicitées dans le processus judicaire. Concerning certain functions of legal expertise in criminal justice. In France, the expert psychiatrist or psychologist is presented in the Penal Code as a "technician" with singular skills, who performs the work that the judge cannot do himself. Based on theoretical and empirical research, this article focuses on relationship between judge and expert. It also questions the psychiatric and psychological evidence based on psychiatric and psychological evaluations in the penal preparation stage and in the writing and technical evidence presented by the evaluation commission. This is based on the hypothesis that psychiatric and psychological evaluations go beyond the established framework of a technical report or a technical statement made in the criminal court. These texts and assignments refer to various functions, which are not made explicit during the judicial process. A propósito de algunas funciones de los peritajes judiciales en un pleito. En Francia, el experto psiquiatra o psicólogo está presentado en el código penal como un "técnico", que dispone de competencias profesionales particulares, lleva a cabo un trabajo que el juez no sabría realizar por sí mismo. Partiendo de una investigación teórica y empírica, este artículo está centrado en las relaciones juez-experto e interroga sobre las funciones cubiertas por los peritajes psiquiátricos y psicológicos en la fase pre-sentencia en lo penal, más allá de la misión enunciada en los textos y en la ordenanza de la comisión de peritaje. Nuestro punto de partida ha sido la hipótesis que las funciones de los peritajes psiquiátricos y psicológicos van más allá del marco de un escrito técnico y de una deposición técnica en el Tribunal de lo penal tal como queda enunciado en los textos y misiones, para abarcar funciones variadas sin explicitar en el proceso judicial.

Trajectòries de vida dels estrangers encarcerats

Aquest informe complementa l’estudi Estrangers a les presons catalanes i fa un aprofundiment qualitatiu d’aquell estudi. Recull les particularitats de cadascun dels casos seleccionats i profunditza en l’experiència migratòria de l’estranger, la seva situació familiar i social aquí i al seu país, la seva trajectòria delictiva, la seva experiència penitenciària i les expectatives cara el futur un cop surti de la presó. Totes aquestes aportacions es descriuen però també s’interpreten i es valoren per tal que ajudin a establir nous matisos a tenir en compte per valorar les necessitats d’intervenció amb la població estrangera als centres penitenciaris i les seves perspectives específiques d’inserció social. La principal conclusió d’aquesta part de l’estudi és la identificació dels dos elements clau que permeten definir unes perspectives de futur pessimistes, incertes o optimistes respecte les possibilitats dels estrangers encarcerats un cop surtin de presó. Aquests dos elements clau per pronosticar-ho són: 1) la distància que hi ha entre les expectatives de futur i les possibilitats reals d’assolir-les, i 2) la pròpia voluntat de la persona.

The changing preference of T and B cells for partners as T-dependent antibody responses develop.

Recirculating virgin CD4+ T cells spend their life migrating between the T zones of secondary lymphoid tissues where they screen the surface of interdigitating dendritic cells. T-cell priming starts when processed peptides or superantigen associated with class II MHC molecules are recognised. Those primed T cells that remain within the lymphoid tissue move to the outer T zone, where they interact with B cells that have taken up and processed antigen. Cognate interaction between these cells initiates immunoglobulin (Ig) class switch-recombination and proliferation of both B and T cells; much of this growth occurs outside the T zones B cells migrate to follicles, where they form germinal centres, and to extrafollicular sites of B-cell growth, where they differentiate into mainly short-lived plasma cells. T cells do not move to the extrafollicular foci, but to the follicles; there they proliferate and are subsequently involved in the selection of B cells that have mutated their Ig variable-region genes. During primary antibody responses T-cell proliferation in follicles produces many times the peak number of T cells found in that site: a substantial proportion of the CD4+ memory T-cell pool may originate from growth in follicles.

The Lourdes Hospital Inquiry: An Inquiry into peripartum hysterectomy at Our Lady of Lourdes Hospital, Drogheda

Report Of Judge Maureen Harding Clark S.C., This non-statutory private Inquiry was established by a decision of the Government on the 6th of April 2004. Read the Report

Hominització versus humanització : Cal un nou paradigma?

Treball de recerca amb uns objectius definits per a una possible anàlisi crítica dels estudis sobre hominització que, de manera emblemàtica, representa la figura d'Eudald Carbonell. Es considera més idoni per a jutjar el valor de la seva aportació pel fet de no centrar-se en el camp de la prehistòria, sinó el de la sociologia, la filosofia de la tecnologia i la filosofia de la història.

In-depth assessment delivers the verdict on the Government�۪s promise of a more equal society

An independent and detailed expert analysis of a decade of reforms (published 25 February) takes up the challenge made by Peter Mandelson in 1997 to “judge us after ten years of success in office. For one of the fruits of that success will be that Britain has become a more equal society.����”Commissioned by the Joseph Rowntree Foundation, the study, by a team led by LSE’s Centre for Analysis of Social Exclusion, shows sharp contrasts between different policy areas. Notable success stories include reductions in child and pensioner poverty, improved education outcomes for the poorest children and schools, and narrowing economic and other divides between deprived and other areas.But health inequalities continued to widen, gaps in incomes between the very top and very bottom grew, and poverty increased for working-age people without children.����In several policy areas there was a marked contrast between the first half of the New Labour period and the second half, when progress has slowed or even stalled.John Hills, one of the leaders of study, said, “Whether Britain has moved towards becoming a ‘more equal society’ depends on what you look at, and when. Where clear initiatives were taken, results followed. But as the growth of living standards slowed, even well before the recession, and public finances tightened, momentum seems to have been lost in several key areas.”Kitty Stewart added, “The government can take heart from achievements such as the reduction in child poverty up to 2004.����Recent data show that by then, child well-being in the UK had begun to move up the European league table from its dismal showing at the start of the decade that formed the basis of UNICEF’s damning 2007 report. But even with improved figures, Britain was still left with one of the highest rates of child poverty out of the 15 original EU members, and the latest figures show it had increased again by 2006/7.”����The study concludes that the decade from 1997 was favourable to an egalitarian agenda in several ways: the economy grew continuously; the government had large majorities and aspired to create more equality; and public attitudes surveys suggested pent-up demand for more public expenditure. But that environment now looks very uncertain, not just in the near future, but also in the longer term.����Fiscal pressures from an ageing society could further constrain resources available for redistribution, and public attitudes towards the benefit system have hardened while support for redistribution has declined.Hills added, “The 1980s and 1990s showed that hoping that rapid growth in living standards at the top would ‘trickle down’ to those at the bottom did not work.����The period since 1997 has shown that gains are possible through determined interventions, but they require intensive and continuous effort to be sustained.”JRF Chief Executive Julia Unwin added, “We know the potential impact the deepening recession will have on those already living in poverty. This book provides an important, timely and comprehensive assessment of where we are and what remains to be done.”

The development of professional guidelines for the eye examination of people with dementia

Recently published guidelines��in the UK��relating to sight tests among people with dementia go some of the way to addressing the specific needs of this group. However, there is still a long way to go in terms of improving the provision of eye care services and optimising the visual health of this group.A��study, published by the Thomas Pocklington Trust,��which examines this subject - The development of professional guidelines for the eye examination of people with dementia - was presented at the first ever national “Dementia and Sight Loss conference” in London (1st December) - a forum where 100 dementia and sight loss professionals met to discuss ways to tackle the challenge of concurrent dementia and sight loss. The study, by researchers at the University of Bradford Schools of Optometry and Health Studies, reviewed procedures for sight tests and eye examinations among those with dementia. It found that policy and practice were hampered by a serious lack of basic research into concurrent dementia and sight loss and prompted recommendations which could lead to improved procedures, tools and techniques.Recommendations prompted by the study outline seven steps towards improving policy and practice:Conduct a systematic study of the availability and uptake of sight tests among people with dementia. Set up a website for people with dementia and their carers with information on how dementia affects eye health, and the importance of eye examinations. Develop education and training for optometrists and care home staff. Compile a list of optometrists experienced in providing eye care for people with dementia. Develop a template for recording the results of eye examinations in people with dementia – something which can be endorsed by professional bodies and made available to care homes. Measure the effectiveness of eye care, such as sight tests and cataract removals, on the quality of life of people with dementia. Research clinical testing methods so that guidelines can be strengthened. Measuring contrast sensitivity, for example, in someone with dementia could be vital as an inability to judge contrasts can make daily tasks impossible.To access the discussion paper please follow this link: The development of professional guidelines for the eye examination of people with dementia ��

Measuring an effect size from dichotomized data : contrasted results whether using a correlation or an odds-ratio

It is well known that dichotomizing continuous data has the effect to decrease statistical power when the goal is to test for a statistical association between two variables. Modern researchers however are focusing not only on statistical significance but also on an estimation of the "effect size" (i.e., the strength of association between the variables) to judge whether a significant association is also clinically relevant. In this article, we are interested in the consequences of dichotomizing continuous data on the value of an effect size in some classical settings. It turns out that the conclusions will not be the same whether using a correlation or an odds ratio to summarize the strength of association between the variables: Whereas the value of a correlation is typically decreased by a factor pi/2 after each dichotomization, the value of an odds ratio is at the same time raised to the power 2. From a descriptive statistical point of view, it is thus not clear whether dichotomizing continuous data leads to a decrease or to an increase in the effect size, as illustrated using a data set to investigate the relationship between motor and intellectual functions in children and adolescents

Avaluació i intervenció psicoeducativa en les relacions materno/paterno-filials en famílies desestructurades

Anàlisi, avaluació i intervenció psicoeducativa en un programa assistencial i de suport a les relacions materno/paternofilials en famílies desestructurades. Els usuaris són els pares i les mares separats o divorciats (i els seus fills menors) amb conflictes entre ells i on ha estat el jutge qui ha establert el règim de visites. Es dóna suport i orientació als progenitors i als menors que acudeixen al centre per a fer l'intercanvi o l'estada del menor amb el progenitor no custodi, per a facilitar i millorar la relació entre les parts (menors, part custòdia i part no-custòdia).

Explaining Fiscal Balances with a Simultaneous Equation Model of Revenue and Expenditure : A Case Study of Swiss Cantons Using Panel Data

Empirical literature on the analysis of the efficiency of measures for reducing persistent government deficits has mainly focused on the direct explanation of deficit. By contrast, this paper aims at modeling government revenue and expenditure within a simultaneous framework and deriving the fiscal balance (surplus or deficit) equation as the difference between the two variables. This setting enables one to not only judge how relevant the explanatory variables are in explaining the fiscal balance but also understand their impact on revenue and/or expenditure. Our empirical results, obtained by using a panel data set on Swiss Cantons for the period 1980-2002, confirm the relevance of the approach followed here, by providing unambiguous evidence of a simultaneous relationship between revenue and expenditure. They also reveal strong dynamic components in revenue, expenditure, and fiscal balance. Among the significant determinants of public fiscal balance we not only find the usual business cycle elements, but also and more importantly institutional factors such as the number of administrative units, and the ease with which people can resort to political (direct democracy) instruments, such as public initiatives and referendum.

The right to appeal in cases of forensic autopsies. [Le droit de recours en matière d'autopsies médico-légales.]

The decision to carry out forensic autopsies is frequently made to determine the reasons of the death, especially in cases of non-natural death. In Switzerland, the judge strictly controls the authorisation to conduct forensic autopsies and the possibility to appeal against such a decision remains limited. This article aims to analyse the legal framework that enables appeals against a decision to conduct a forensic autopsy, taking into account the jurisprudence from the High Court of Switzerland (Tribunal Fédéral) and the European Court of Human Rights. La décision de pratiquer des autopsies médico-légales est très fréquente pour déterminer les causes de décès, notamment lorsque ceux-ci semblent avoir des causes non naturelles. En Suisse, l'autorisation de procéder à des autopsies médico-légales est strictement encadrée sur le plan légal et la faculté de s'opposer à une telle autorisation reste très limitée. L'article s'attache à analyser les conditions qui permettent de recourir contre une décision d'autopsie médico-légale, à la lumière notamment des décisions du Tribunal Fédéral et de la Cour européenne des droits de l'homme.