Les societats de l'Edat del Bronze a Europa: estructures econòmiques i organització política

Projecte de recerca elaborat a partir d’una estada a la Universitat de Freiburg, Alemanya, entre setembre i desembre 2007 L'objectiu de l'estada ha estat aprofondir la recerca de l'impacte que va tenir el desenvolupament de la metal•lúrgia sobre l'especialització del treball, l'estructura territorial de les comunitats i la consolidació d'importants dissimetries socials i econòmiques, les quals van resultar en l'aparició de les primeres organitzacions polítiques de tipus estatal a determinades zones d'Europa. En particular, ens interessava investigar les dissimetries entre producció i consum, el nivell d'especialització social del treball i l'existència o no d'excedents econòmics. Així mateix, es va prestar atenció als nivells de convergència i divergència interregional definits a partir d'una lectura socioeconòmica de determinats patrons d'enterrament i de les relacions d'intercanvi i de comunicació. Tot considerant la informació disponible actualment per a Europa central i oriental, és innegable el paper central que va tenir la metal•lúrgia en els canvis socials i econòmics que es van produir entre mitjans del IV i el II mil•lenni abans de la nostra era.

La utilización de los recursos actualmente existentes en Internet para la enseñanza de Ingeniería de Materiales

El presente trabajo describe la planificación y posterior puesta en marcha de distintos mecanismos para la realización de prácticas de simulación con ordenador a modo de asignatura virtual. Los contenidos pertenecen a distintas áreas de conocimiento del plan de estudios relativo a la Ingeniería de Materiales. Primeramente se hace un análisis de las causas que motivaron la realización del mismo, así como de las posibilidades y necesidad de utilización de los Laboratorios Virtuales en la enseñanza contemporánea. Posteriormente se presenta el sistema desarrollado, sus características y posibilidades de utilización. El objetivo del trabajo es doble: por un lado, crear una base de datos interactiva de consulta con la finalidad de que el alumno pueda asentar conceptos clave necesarios para cursar la titulación con éxito; por otro, crear un servidor de prácticas de simulación por computador haciendo uso de la World Wide Web y que permita a los alumnos acceder a las prácticas de forma remota, con las múltiples ventajas, tanto educativas como económicas, que ello supondría.

Leading indicator properties of US high-yield credit spreads

In this paper we examine the out-of-sample forecast performance of high-yield credit spreads regarding real-time and revised data on employment and industrial production in the US. We evaluate models using both a point forecast and a probability forecast exercise. Our main findings suggest the use of few factors obtained by pooling information from a number of sector-specific high-yield credit spreads. This can be justified by observing that, especially for employment, there is a gain from using a principal components model fitted to high-yield credit spreads compared to the prediction produced by benchmarks, such as an AR, and ARDL models that use either the term spread or the aggregate high-yield spread as exogenous regressor. Moreover, forecasts based on real-time data are generally comparable to forecasts based on revised data. JEL Classification: C22; C53; E32 Keywords: Credit spreads; Principal components; Forecasting; Real-time data.

Clúster creatius en entorns urbans: 22@Bcn i Shoreditch East London

La localització de les empreses de nova economia en zones urbanes, a pesar que el factor distància no sigui important, no deixa de ser considerable pels seus avantatges que els suposa estar situades conjuntament en relació amb les infraestructures, consum, beneficis socioculturals, i facilitat en les transaccions cara a cara. És inevitable que el primer quart del segle vint-i-un estigui lligat a l’economia creativa de forma similar amb que el començament del segle vint estava íntimament lligat a l’economia industrial i la invenció del sistema de producció en massa. La ciutat també va jugar un dels papers més importants per al desenvolupament de “la nova economia industrial” a les albors del segle vint, com ho és la ciutat del coneixement que acull “la nova economia creativa” al segle vint-i-un. És evident que els resultats morfològics, socials, econòmics i urbans són ben diferents en ambdós fenòmens, però l’impacte a les ciutats és molt gran. L’objectiu d’aquest estudi és analitzar els mecanismes d’aglomeració (clustering) d’activitats competitives basades en creació de coneixement i de serveis avançats que estan al darrera de desenvolupaments punters a ciutats com Barcelona, el projecte 22@bcn, i East London, el projecte Shoreditch. L’esforç que han posat les autoritats locals en crear l’entorn apropiat per atreure i crear empreses innovadores, com a motor de desenvolupament d’algunes ciutats modernes europees ha resultat en el sorgiment de nuclis o centres urbans molt dinàmics que suposadament estan preparats i acullen punts de creació de coneixement (“Urban Knowledge Hubs”), amb una demanda i llocs de treball altament qualificats. Aquest és el cas dels projectes de Barcelona (22@bcn) i East London (Shoreditch).

Análisis del gasto de los turistas que acceden a España por avión

El sector turístico se ha convertido en una de las principales actividades económicas tanto a nivel regional, nacional como mundial. Por otro lado, el transporte aéreo ha contribuido en gran manera a este desarrollo, incluyendo potencias mundiales como España, donde tres de cada cuatro turistas acceden por este medio. Una de las razones que ha favorecido esta situación son las aerolíneas de bajo coste. En este trabajo se analizará y comparará el gasto y su distribución de los turistas que acceden a España con estas aerolíneas y con las tradicionales. Dicho conocimiento será de gran utilidad para el desarrollo de estrategias de promoción y marketing en el destino turístico, así como en la mejora de la caracterización del mismo.

Measuring intergenerational earnings mobility in Spain: a selection-bias-free approach

This paper analyses intergenerational earnings mobility in Spain correcting for different selection biases. We address the co-residence selection problem by combining information from two samples and using the two-sample two-stage least square estimator. We find a small decrease in elasticity when we move to younger cohorts. Furthermore, we find a higher correlation in the case of daughters than in the case of sons; however, when we consider the employment selection in the case of daughters, by adopting a Heckman-type correction method, the diference between sons and daughters disappears. By decomposing the sources of earnings elasticity across generations, we find that the correlation between child's and father's occupation is the most important component. Finally, quantile regressions estimates show that the influence of the father's earnings is greater when we move to the lower tail of the offspring's earnings distribution, especially in the case of daughters' earnings.

Are the high-growth recovery periods over?

We present evidence about the loss of the so-called "plucking effect", that is, a high-growth phase of the cycle typically observed at the end of recessions. This result matches the popular belief, presented informally by different authors, that the current recession will have permanent effects, or that the current recession will have an L shape versus the old-time recessions that have always had a V shape. Furthermore, we show that the loss of the "plucking effect" can explain part of the Great Moderation. We postulate that these two phenomena may be due to changes in inventory management brought about by improvements in information and communications technologies.

La deducción de los 400 euros en el IRPF

Estudi sobre la deducció dels 400 euros a l’IRPF enfocat als seus antecedents, descripció de l’estructura, contingut de la mateixa i anàlisi de la seva adequació constitucional. A través del mateix es podrà tenir una visió més clara i profunda de la deducció dels 400 euros a l’IRPF, objecte de tan discutida configuració jurídica com confrontació política. Descrita la seva gènesi i estructura es farà un anàlisi dels seus fonaments econòmics, tècnics i constitucionals per a arrivar a la conclusió de que tan sols s’explica l’aprovació en clau política. La deducció dels 400 euros es pot entendre com a una mesura d’impuls econòmic per a la millora de l’eficiència de la economia en el seu conjunt, encara que provarem la seva constitucionalitat o possible inconstitucionalitat per a veure si realment això és veritat.

Applications of the MuSIASEM approach to study changes in the metabolic pattern of Catalonia

This document presents an integrated analysis of the performance of Catalonia based on an analysis of how the energy consumption (measured at the societal level for the Catalan Society) is used within both the productive sectors of the economy and the household, to generate added value, jobs, and to guarantee a given level of material standard of living to the population. The trends found in Catalonia are compared to the trends of other European Countries to contextualize the performance of Catalonia with respect to other societies that have followed different paths of economic development. The first part of the document consists of the Multi-Scale Integrated Analysis of Societal and Ecosystem Metabolism (MuSIASEM) approach that has been used to provide this integrated analysis of Catalan Society across different scales (starting from an analysis of the specific sectors of the Catalan economy as an Autonomous Community and scaling up to an intra-regional (European Union 14) comparison) and across different dimensions of analyses of energy consumption coupled with added value generation. Within the scope of this study, we observe the various trajectories of changes in the metabolic pattern for Catalonia and the EU14 countries in the Paid Work Sectors composed of namely, the Agricultural Sector, the Productive Sector and the Services and Government Sector also in comparison with the changes in the household sector. The flow intensities of the exosomatic energy and the added value generated for each specific sector are defined per hour of human activity, thus characterized as exosomatic energy (MJ/hour) (or Exosomatic Metabolic Rate) and added value (€/hour) (Economic Labour Productivity) across multiple levels. Within the second part of the document, the possible usage of the MuSIASEM approach to land use analyses (using a multi-level matrix of categories of land use) has been conducted.

The Electoral Determinants of Collective Remittances: The Mexican 3x1 Program for Migrants

The 3x1 Program for Migrants is a matching grant scheme that seeks to direct the money sent by migrant organizations abroad to the provision of public and social infrastructure, and to productive projects in migrants’ communities of origin. To do so, the municipal, state, and federal administrations match the amount sent by hometown associations by 3 to 1. This opens the door to the political manipulation of the program. We explore the impact of a particular facet of Mexican political life on the operation of the 3x1: its recent democratization and the increasing political competition at the municipal level. Relying on the literature on redistributive politics, we posit that an increasing number of effective parties in elections may have two different effects. On the one hand, the need to cater to more heterogeneous constituencies may increase the provision of public projects. On the other hand, since smaller coalitions are needed to win elections under tighter competition, fewer public and more private (clientelistic) projects could be awarded. Using a unique dataset on the 3x1 Program for Migrants for over 2,400 municipalities in the period 2002 through 2007, we find a lower provision of public goods in electorally competitive jurisdictions. Thus, we remain sceptical about the program success in promoting public goods in politically competitive locations with high migration levels.

Water scarcity, social power and the production of an elite suburb: the political ecology of water in Matadepera, Catalonia

This article investigates the history of land and water transformations in Matadepera, a wealthy suburb of metropolitan Barcelona. Analysis is informed by theories of political ecology and methods of environmental history; although very relevant, these have received relatively little attention within ecological economics. Empirical material includes communications from the City Archives of Matadepera (1919-1979), 17 interviews with locals born between 1913 and 1958, and an exhaustive review of grey historical literature. Existing water histories of Barcelona and its outskirts portray a battle against natural water scarcity, hard won by heroic engineers and politicians acting for the good of the community. Our research in Matadepera tells a very different story. We reveal the production of a highly uneven landscape and waterscape through fierce political and power struggles. The evolution of Matadepera from a small rural village to an elite suburb was anything but spontaneous or peaceful. It was a socio-environmental project well intended by landowning elites and heavily fought by others. The struggle for the control of water went hand in hand with the land and political struggles that culminated – and were violently resolved - in the Spanish Civil War. The displacement of the economic and environmental costs of water use from few to many continues to this day and is constitutive of Matadepera’s uneven and unsustainable landscape. By unravelling the relations of power that are inscribed in the urbanization of nature (Swyngedouw, 2004), we question the perceived wisdoms of contemporary water policy debates, particularly the notion of a natural scarcity that merits a technical or economic response. We argue that the water question is fundamentally a political question of environmental justice; it is about negotiating alternative visions of the future and deciding whose visions will be produced.

Autosuficiència energètica en nuclis de muntanya: experiència a Araós

A aquest estudi s’ha analitzat si és viable l’autosuficiència energètica en base a un estudi pilot al nucli d’Araós a partir dels recursos renovables locals. S’ha realitzat un anàlisi del consum energètic del nucli d’Araós i s’ha comparat amb el potencial de producció energètica dels recursos renovables locals, incloent energia provinent de la biomassa forestal dels boscos de què disposa el municipi d’Alins i energia solar. Igualment s’han analitzat les emissions de CO2 derivades del consum energètic del poble. S’ha comprovat així que la mitjana de consum per habitant i any d’Araós supera en 1Tep a la mitjana de Catalunya. El 38% del consum d’Araós però, prové de biomassa forestal local, que compta amb unes emissions de CO2 associades pràcticament nul·les. Finalment s’ha detectat que és possible assolir l’autosuficiència energètica d’Araós, mitjançant diferents estratègies d’implantació d’energies renovables. S’han considerat dues estratègies que cobreixen de 3 a 5 vegades el consum energètic: estratègia individual amb instal·lació d’energia solar en teulada i, calefacció i ACS a partir de calderes de biomassa; estratègia col·lectiva mitjançant una central de biomassa forestal. Ambdues representen beneficis energètics, econòmics i fins un 92% de reducció d’emissions de CO2.

Natural Capital's perception by Kodagu communities: a comparative study (Karnataka, India)

When we ask ourselves about a concrete definition of “Natural Capital” we can find a large and wide range of conceptions, which are attached to it. These can turn out to be confusing and contradictory in some cases. In theory, through books and different studies we know natural resources are composed by all the natural actives originated by the nature itself. Besides, these conform a patrimony for society as them are translated into a path towards economy: The Natural Capital. May not the Natural Capital be an easy conception to put in terms of economy it turns out to be an important capacitor for economy growth in most countries. In any case, we can clearly distinguish two ways as Natural Capital can be seen. One may elaborate a definition about it by reading what others have previously written, those who usually are quite far from the direct use of natural resources. On the other hand it would also be interesting to conform a definition of it by asking people who are constantly in contact with natural resources and consequently contribute to form the Natural Capital.

Emissions distribution in post-Kyoto international negotiations: a policy

An abundant scientific literature about climate change economics points out that the future participation of developing countries in international environmental policies will depend on their amount of pay offs inside and outside specific agreements. These studies are aimed at analyzing coalitions stability typically through a game theoretical approach. Though these contributions represent a corner stone in the research field investigating future plausible international coalitions and the reasons behind the difficulties incurred over time to implement emissions stabilizing actions, they cannot disentangle satisfactorily the role that equality play in inducing poor regions to tackle global warming. If we focus on the Stern Review findings stressing that climate change will generate heavy damages and policy actions will be costly in a finite time horizon, we understand why there is a great incentive to free ride in order to exploit benefits from emissions reduction efforts of others. The reluctance of poor countries in joining international agreements is mainly supported by historical responsibility of rich regions in generating atmospheric carbon concentration, whereas rich countries claim that emissions stabilizing policies will be effective only when developing countries will join them.Scholars recently outline that a perceived fairness in the distribution of emissions would facilitate a wide spread participation in international agreements. In this paper we overview the literature about distributional aspects of emissions by focusing on those contributions investigating past trends of emissions distribution through empirical data and future trajectories through simulations obtained by integrated assessment models. We will explain methodologies used to elaborate data and the link between real data and those coming from simulations. Results from this strand of research will be interpreted in order to discuss future negotiations for post Kyoto agreements that will be the focus of the next. Conference of the Parties in Copenhagen at the end of 2009. A particular attention will be devoted to the role that technological change will play in affecting the distribution of emissions over time and to how spillovers and experience diffusion could influence equality issues and future outcomes of policy negotiations.

Firm dynamics support the importance of the embodied question

This paper contributes to the literature on both embodied technical progress and firm dynamics, by formulating an endogenous growth model where selection and imitation play a fundamental role in helping capital good producers to learn about the productivity of technologies embodied in new plants. By calibrating the model to some key aggregates particularly relevant for the embodied capital literature, among them the growth rate of the relative investment price, the model quantitatively replicates the main facts associated to firm dynamics, such as the entry rate and the tail index of the establishment size distribution. In line with the previous literature, it also predicts a contribution to productivity growth of embodied technical progress and selection of around 60%