A transmissão de conceitos matemáticos para Portugal: integrais e funções elípticas

Esta tese considera a transmissão de conceitos matemáticos para Portugal no século XIX, particularmente no campo dos Integrais Elípticos e das Funções Elípticas, tal como foi realizado no trabalho de António Zeferino Cândido. Depois de uma introdução histórica geral ao assunto no capítulo 1, o capítulo 2 estuda a vida de António Zeferino Cândido da Piedade. Ele foi, talvez, o primeiro matemático português a publicar uma tese sobre este assunto. A parte principal, isto é, o capítulo 3, é dedicada à análise do seu trabalho “Integraes e Funcções Ellipticas”. Mostra detalhes da sua abordagem baseada, não só, no livro dos autores Franceses Briot e Bouquet, mas também do autor alemão Schloemilch, o que reflecte as mudanças que ocorreram naquela época na liderança matemática na Europa.

The reception of British literature under dictatorships in Hungary and Portugal

Esta tese tem como objectivo comparar aspectos da recepção da literatura britânica durante o Estado Novo em Portugal, e na Hungria durante a era comunista. Na primeira parte da dissertação fica contextualizada e analisada a alteração da posição da literatura britânica nos dois países, enquanto na segunda parte se comparam facetas da recepção da mesma, contrastando as traduções literárias publicadas em Portugal e na Hungria entre 1949 e 1974, altura em que ambos os países foram dirigidos simultaneamente por regimes autocratas. Este estudo faz-se, em parte, através da comparação de manuais escolares e seletas, a fim de examinar os diferentes métodos usados pelos dois regimes ditatoriais politicamente opostos na tentativa de moldarem os seus leitores. É dada especial atenção à literatura proibida e aos motivos para as atitudes restritivas diferenciadas em relação a certos escritores na era de Salazar e na Hungria durante o período de Bloco de Leste. A tese conclui que a abordagem divergente em relação às obras literárias britânicas, bem como à literatura em geral, é principalmente enraizada na ideologia de governação diametralmente oposta dos dois regimes ditatoriais. A crença idealista no poder educativo da literatura em estabelecer o socialismo na Hungria está em nítido contraste com a política de cultura obscurantista do Estado Novo. Mesmo quando o apoio à literatura britânica não era uma das principais prioridades da esfera cultural húngara, parece evidente que a literatura canónica britânica teve uma recepção mais favorável na Hungria comunista do que no Estado Novo.

Calibration and validation of hydrodynamic, salt and heat transport models for Ria de Aveiro lagoon (Portugal)

Ria deAveiro is a very complex shallow water coastal lagoon located on the northwest of Portugal. Important issues would be left unanswered without a good understanding of hydrodynamic and transport processes occurring in the lagoon. Calibration and validation of hydrodynamic, salt and heat transport models for Ria de Aveiro lagoon are presented. The calibration of the hydrodynamic model was performed adjusting the bottom friction coefficient, through the comparison between measured and predicted time series of sea surface elevation for 22 stations. Harmonic analysis was performed in order to evaluate the model's accuracy. To validate the hydrodynamic model measured and predicted SSE values were compared for 11 stations, as well as main flow direction velocities for 10 stations. The salt and heat transport models were calibrated comparing measured and predicted time series of salinity and water temperature for 7 stations, and the RMS of the difference between the series was determined. These models were validated comparing the model results with an independent field data set. The hydrodynamic and the salt and heat transport models for Ria de Aveiro were successfully calibrated and validated. They reproduce accurately the barotropic flows and can therefore adequately represent the salt and heat transport and the heat transfer processes occurring in Ria deAveiro.

Lagrangian transport of particles in Ria de Aveiro lagoon, Portugal

A two-dimensional vertically integrated hydrodynamic model coupled to a particle tracking model is applied to study the dispersion processes and residence time in Ria de Aveiro lagoon (Portugal). The only dispersion process that is considered in this study is the advection, according to the main characteristics of the local hydrodynamic. The particle tracking model computes the particles position at each time step, using a fourth-order Runge-Kutta integration method. The dispersion of passive particles released along the lagoon and in critical areas are studied in this work. The residence time is also determined for the entire lagoon. The results show that the mixture between particles coming from different channels of the lagoon is negligible in a time scale higher than 2 tidal cycles. The residence time for the lagoon central area is about 2 days, revealing a strong marine influence in this area. At the upper reaches of the channels were found values higher than 2 weeks.

Numerical Modelling of Hydrodynamic Changes Induced by a Jetty Extension: the Case of Ria de Aveiro (Portugal)

Tidally induced currents in estuarine flows are usually modulated by the tidal regime and respond differently to changes imposed to its natural propagation due to geomorphologic alterations. Some of these changes are due to the implementation of heavy engineering works, most of the times imposed by navigation needs associated with harbours growth. The main purpose of this study is to evaluate the hydrodynamic response of Ria de Aveiro to an alteration on the present geometry of its inlet, which was artificially delimited in 1808 through the construction of two jetties. In order to provide access to deeper draft vessels to the Aveiro harbour, its Administration intends to create better conditions for navigation through the extension by 200 m of the north jetty. A bidimensional hydrodynamic model SIMSYS2D was used in this study to simulate two distinct situations: the actual Ria de Aveiro configuration (2009), which is used as reference, and other including the future inlet configuration with the jetty extension. Several simulations were performed, using both bathymetries and considering extreme tidal conditions as forcing on the model oceanic open boundary. The tidal prism at the lagoon mouth and at the main lagoon channels was determined. Values of sea surface elevation and horizontal current velocity were comparatively analyzed as well as harmonic analysis results. The results for the projected inlet increase comparatively to those for the present configuration, although the differences found are not significant for most of the cases analyzed. More studies should be performed in order to clarify the long term impact of these works on the lagoon hydrodynamics.

Cocriação de valor na distribuição turística: a força que vai modelar o negócio das agências de viagens independentes em Portugal

O contexto Darwiniano em que vivem as Agências de Viagens Independentes (AVI) em Portugal, impõe uma estratégia de colaboração em rede entre os diversos players do setor, numa inovadora e interativa filosofia de coopetição interorganizacional. Atualmente as contendas negociais não são mais entre empresas individuais, mas entre alianças de múltiplas empresas e os fornecedores com quem interagem. Os constrangimentos, os conflitos e os obstáculos contextuais e transacionais que as AVI enfrentam, são considerados como um dos principais motivos que as impelem a integrar redes de coopetição Interorganizacionais. Foi dado maior enfoque ao setor das AVI, em Portugal, por possuírem um peso significativo no mercado (69% em 2011), e ao tipo de aliança – Grupo de Gestão de agências de viagens (por representar 44% dessas AVI). Pretende-se nesta tese efetuar um estudo de caso da “Aliança RAVT”, e construir um mosaico de ideias que possam explicar a realidade de criação de valor entre os parceiros dentro da rede. Será apresentado um modelo de negócio designado por “e-Marketplace P2P com Cocriação de valor” para Grupos de Gestão, elencando as premissas que obrigam à reconfiguração das regras de negócio e das relações dentro da constelação de atores, visando mobilizá-los no incremento de novas maneiras de cocriar valor.

O desenvolvimento dos sistemas de valor do sector segurador em Portugal

A investigação em apreço tem como horizonte de ocorrência o espaço inter-organizacional onde as empresas se relacionam entre si, com os seus fornecedores, canais e Clientes. É pretendido estudar o actual estado das parcerias inter-organizacionais do sector segurador nacional e definir uma estratégia de desenvolvimento integrado dos sistemas de valor. Com base num modelo de análise ancorado na (1) racionalidade económica inscrita na TCE (teoria dos custos de transacção) e (2) na óptica das Capacidades Dinâmicas, é proposto o Modelo GPS (Gestão Integrada de Parcerias) compaginável com uma visão holística e dinâmica. A metodologia de verificação empírica compreendeu (1) recolha de dados através de questionário, dirigido a Companhias e Parceiros e (2) entrevistas semi-estruturadas. A análise descritiva dos dados permitiu validar o modelo GPS e caracterizar um sistema de valor heterogéneo, complexo e diversificado relativamente à natureza e intensidade de relacionamentos. O sistema de relacionamentos foi enquadrado numa escala de maturidade onde foram posicionadas as várias práticas de gestão de parcerias. Actualmente nos seguros estamos perante um sistema mais economic-intensive, transaccional, do que knowledge-intensive. No teste de hipóteses, efectuado com a ferramenta SPSS, assinalam-se as correlações que se esperavam encontrar, bem como as (principais) ausências. De facto, a ausência de vestígios de correlação entre governance social/confiança e colaboração nos seguros não era esperada e constitui uma chamada de atenção para uma dimensão sub-explorada, conducente a um quadro tensional. No final, com base na realidade captada, foram traçadas recomendações de desenvolvimento dos sistemas de valor visando alcançar níveis colaborativos mais eficazes, assentes na força dos laços fortes. Todavia, esta nova narrativa de gestão não é neutral face aos modelos vigentes, implicando algum grau de ruptura. A continuação de especialização em actividades core, desconstruindo de forma (mais) pronunciada a cadeia de valor, secundada por maior níveis de colaboração e socialização entre pares, são elementos constitutivos da realidade futura. Vendo para além da linha do horizonte, os gestores seguradores não podem ficar indiferentes à projecção de uma matriz de fundo de relacionamentos mais colaborativos enquanto terreno fértil de inovação e renovação de fontes de vantagem competitiva.

Assessing the combined effect of land management and wildfire on runoff and soil erosion in north central Portugal

Strong and sometimes extreme responses in runoff and soil erosion following wildfires have been reported worldwide. However, in the case of North-Central Portugal, little research had been carried out regarding the hydrologic and erosive impacts of several land management activities in recently burnt areas (such as ground preparation, post-fire logging or post-fire mitigation treatments). This study aims to assess post-fire runoff and soil erosion response on Eucalypt and Maritime pine plantations during the first, second and third years following wildfires. The effect of several pre-fire ground preparation operations (ploughed down-slope, contour ploughed and inclined terraces), post-fire logging activities (on both the eucalypt and pine plantations), as well as the application of hydromulch (a post-fire emergency treatment) on overland flow and soil erosion were compared to burnt but undisturbed and untreated areas. The intensive monitoring of runoff, soil erosion and selected soil properties served to determine the main factors involved in post-fire runoff and soil erosion and their spatial and temporal variation. Soil water repellency deserved special attention, due to its supposed important role for overland flow generation. Repeated rainfall simulation experiments (RSE’s), micro-scale runoff plots and bounded sediment fences were carried out and/or installed immediately after the wildfire on seven burnt slopes. Micro-scale runoff plots results under natural rainfall conditions were also compared to the RSE’s results, which was useful for assessing the representativeness of the data obtained with artificial rainfall. The results showed comparable runoff coefficient (20-60%) but lower sediment losses (125-1000 g m-2) than prior studies in Portugal, but especially outside Portugal. Lower sediment losses were related with the historic intensive land use in the area. In evaluating these losses, however, the shallowness and stoniness of the soils, as well as the high organic matter fraction of the eroded sediments (50%) must not be overlooked. Sediment limited erosion was measured in all the ploughed sites, probably due to the time since ploughing (several years). The disturbance of the soil surface cover due to post-fire logging and wood extraction substantially increased sediment losses at both the pine and eucalypt sites. Hydromulch effectiveness in reducing the runoff (70%) and sediment losses (83%) was attributed to the protective high coverage provided by hydromulch. The hydromulch significantly affected the soil cover and other soil properties and these changes also reduced the soil erosion risk. The rainfall amount was the main factor explaining the variance in runoff. However, a shift from rainfall amount to rainfall intensity was detected when either the surface cover or the infiltration capacity (hydrophilic conditions) increased. Sediment losses were controlled by rainfall intensity and surface cover. The role of soil water repellency on runoff generation was not consistent; the overall repellency levels alone were not enough to assess its hydrological impact. Soil water repellency explained runoff generation in the specific-sites model better than in the overall model. Additionally, soil moisture content was a better predictor for soil water repellency than antecedent rainfall. The natural rainfall results confirmed that RSE’s were able to capture the specific sediment losses and its organic matter content as well as the differences between the ploughed and unploughed sites. Repeated RSE’s also captured the seasonal variations in runoff and sediment losses attributed to soil water repellency. These results have implications for post-fire soil erosion modelling and soil conservation practices in the region, or areas with the same land use, climate and soil characteristics. The measured sediment loss, as well as the increasing frequency of ploughing in recently burnt and unburnt eucalypt stands, suggests ploughing is not an effective as a soil conservation measure. Logging activities with less impact are recommended in order to maintain the forest litter protecting the soil surface. Due to its high effectiveness in reducing runoff and soil erosion, hydromulch is recommended for highly sensitive and vulnerable areas.

Development of open models and tools for seismic risk assessment: application to Portugal

The exponential growth of the world population has led to an increase of settlements often located in areas prone to natural disasters, including earthquakes. Consequently, despite the important advances in the field of natural catastrophes modelling and risk mitigation actions, the overall human losses have continued to increase and unprecedented economic losses have been registered. In the research work presented herein, various areas of earthquake engineering and seismology are thoroughly investigated, and a case study application for mainland Portugal is performed. Seismic risk assessment is a critical link in the reduction of casualties and damages due to earthquakes. Recognition of this relation has led to a rapid rise in demand for accurate, reliable and flexible numerical tools and software. In the present work, an open-source platform for seismic hazard and risk assessment is developed. This software is capable of computing the distribution of losses or damage for an earthquake scenario (deterministic event-based) or earthquake losses due to all the possible seismic events that might occur within a region for a given interval of time (probabilistic event-based). This effort has been developed following an open and transparent philosophy and therefore, it is available to any individual or institution. The estimation of the seismic risk depends mainly on three components: seismic hazard, exposure and vulnerability. The latter component assumes special importance, as by intervening with appropriate retrofitting solutions, it may be possible to decrease directly the seismic risk. The employment of analytical methodologies is fundamental in the assessment of structural vulnerability, particularly in regions where post-earthquake building damage might not be available. Several common methodologies are investigated, and conclusions are yielded regarding the method that can provide an optimal balance between accuracy and computational effort. In addition, a simplified approach based on the displacement-based earthquake loss assessment (DBELA) is proposed, which allows for the rapid estimation of fragility curves, considering a wide spectrum of uncertainties. A novel vulnerability model for the reinforced concrete building stock in Portugal is proposed in this work, using statistical information collected from hundreds of real buildings. An analytical approach based on nonlinear time history analysis is adopted and the impact of a set of key parameters investigated, including the damage state criteria and the chosen intensity measure type. A comprehensive review of previous studies that contributed to the understanding of the seismic hazard and risk for Portugal is presented. An existing seismic source model was employed with recently proposed attenuation models to calculate probabilistic seismic hazard throughout the territory. The latter results are combined with information from the 2011 Building Census and the aforementioned vulnerability model to estimate economic loss maps for a return period of 475 years. These losses are disaggregated across the different building typologies and conclusions are yielded regarding the type of construction more vulnerable to seismic activity.

O livro editado em Portugal e o mercado brasileiro

O presente trabalho é um estudo exploratório sobre o livro impresso em Portugal e as possibilidades e limites da sua comercialização no Brasil.

Revenue diversification in higher education: the case of Portugal

Socio-economic changes, alterations in societal expectations and new public policies have put pressures on higher education public funding, bringing the issue of funding diversification to the forefront. Income diversification, namely, generation of funds from private, as well as from competitive public sources, has become increasingly important in European higher education due to a complex financial environment and perceived deficit of innovation transfer. Although there are numerous studies about changes in national funding systems and allocation mechanisms, few have focused on diversification of funding sources, especially in the European context, making Portugal no exception. Thus, this study aims at exploring income diversification at the institutional level and its influence on the internal organisational structures. For this purpose two Portuguese public universities were chosen as case studies. The empirical material was collected through semi-structured interviews with top management and middle management of each university and through documentary analysis. Data analysis demonstrated that both universities are in the process of institutionalizing and formalising practices of income diversification, notably by getting more professional in how they are dealing with external stakeholders, such as businesses, local community, and students. However, the study also revealed that there is no formal, organised strategy to deal with income diversification. In general, the universities are reacting to external demands rather than pro-actively exploring opportunities. In this respect, the analysis determined several factors that promote or inhibit income diversification activities. Quality and favourable organizational culture were named by the interviewees as the most relevant factors for successful income diversification. External factors such as legal arrangements and funding conditions were cited as major constraints. This research has also revealed that revenue diversification activities tend to develop along the continuum towards higher sophistication and systematisation of activities that are supported by a powerful infrastructure. Together with efforts at the institutional level, the role of government policies proves to be crucial in providing tools and incentives to higher education institutions and creating a harmonious higher education system.

A utilização de smartphones numa experiência turística em Portugal : estudo sobre a participação nos media sociais através de aplicações para dispositivos móveis

O turismo é uma das maiores indústrias do mundo que gera receitas muito elevadas, sendo uma das principais áreas de atividade económica num número alargado de países e, por isso, torna-se essencial prestar um serviço eficiente e eficaz aproveitando, sempre que possível, as soluções e tendências tecnológicas disponíveis. A utilização dos media sociais através dos smartphones numa experiência turística vai acrescentar valor não só às viagens dos utilizadores como também ao turismo em si, pois há uma troca de experiências e opiniões entre todos os intervenientes. A presente investigação tem por objetivo geral identificar as atividades participativas realizadas por portugueses nos media sociais em smartphones nas diversas fases de uma experiência turística em Portugal, ou seja, no antes, no durante e no depois da mesma. Como hipóteses de investigação admite-se que as atividades realizadas em media sociais, o tipo de media publicado e partilhado da autoria do próprio utilizador e da autoria de terceiros e as aplicações utilizadas em smartphones diferem consoante a fase da experiência turística em que o utilizador se encontra. Assim, tornou-se essencial questionar sobre quais as atividades que são realizadas por portugueses a nível de partilha de informação através de smartphones numa experiência turística em Portugal. Apresenta-se uma análise e reflexão crítica sobre a importância da utilização dos media sociais em smartphones numa experiência turística. Primeiro procedendo-se a uma revisão do estado da arte sobre a problemática da investigação tendo como base os conceitos chave definidos anteriormente, para posteriormente fazer o estudo não só de aplicações portuguesas gratuitas para smartphones que utilizam o sistema operativo Android e que de alguma forma acrescentam valor a uma experiência turística de um utilizador, através de uma grelha de observação, mas, também, o estudo da utilização dos media sociais em smartphones numa experiência turística em Portugal, através de um inquérito por questionário. Um dos objetivos desta investigação é contribuir para o estudo e compreensão das dinâmicas de interação, a nível da partilha de informação, que os utilizadores mais recorrem nas diferentes fases de uma experiência turística e obter indicações, que se esperam úteis, sobre boas práticas e estratégias que podem ser adotadas por entidades turísticas com o objetivo de incluir os media sociais nas suas atividades de marketing e comunicação.

Avaliação do perfil de cuidado de enfermagem geriátrico em hospitais de Portugal

A transição demográfica e epidemiológica da população portuguesa tem e terá um enorme impacto na utilização dos recursos de saúde. Atualmente, as pessoas idosas representam um dos grupos etários com taxas de internamento hospitalar mais significativos. Contudo, os dados sobre a hospitalização destas pessoas têm demonstrado resultados de saúde negativos, nomeadamente, o declínio funcional e cognitivo e o risco elevado de eventos adversos. Os/as enfermeiros/as têm um papel crucial na mudança desta realidade. Deste modo, a associação entre o contexto no qual decorre o cuidado de enfermagem geriátrica e os resultados deste cuidado relativos a/os utentes, enfermeiros/as e organizações têm sido proficuamente documentados. Algumas estratégias para promover a qualidade do cuidado geriátrico e a segurança das pessoas idosas hospitalizadas consistem em avaliar e (re)criar o ambiente de trabalho geriátrico dos/as enfermeiros/as (AGTE) e capacitar e treinar estes/as profissionais no cuidado à pessoa idosa. Embora, internacionalmente, os dados demonstrem a associação entre as características de hospitais e/ou enfermeiros/as e o AGTE, não existem estudos em Portugal nesta área, bem como sobre o conhecimento e as atitudes destes profissionais no contexto hospitalar. Por conseguinte, este estudo teve como objetivos: 1) traduzir, adaptar culturalmente e validar as escalas que compõem o questionário Geriatric Institucional Assessment Proflie (GIAP) para a população portuguesa; 2) analisar o AGTE (fatores intrínsecos e extrínsecos) que apoiam ou dificultam a adoção das melhores práticas geriátricas em hospitais portugueses; 3) analisar as atitudes e conhecimento de enfermeiros/as acerca de quatro síndromes geriátricas (úlceras de pressão, distúrbio do sono, contenção física e incontinência), destacando as boas práticas e os problemas encontrados nos hospitais portugueses; 4) analisar a relação entre as variáveis demográficas, profissionais e as características dos hospitais e as escalas que compõem o GIAP – versão portuguesa; 5) conhecer as perceções de enfermeiros/as acerca do cuidado às pessoas idosas hospitalizadas e dos obstáculos enfrentados para desenvolver um cuidado de boa qualidade; e 6) analisar a relação entre a perceção de enfermeiros/as sobre o AGTE e o conhecimento e atitudes geriátricas destes profissionais em função da região e unidade de internamento. Este estudo foi desenvolvido com base num método quantitativo do tipo exploratório-descritivo, transversal, prospetivo e correlacional. A amostra foi constituída por 1.068 enfermeiros/as de cinco hospitais da região norte e centro do país. A recolha de dados foi desenvolvida através de autopreenchimento do GIAP – versão portuguesa. De entre os principais resultados destacam-se: 1) a obtenção de um instrumento válido e fiável para avaliar o AGTE e conhecimentos e atitudes geriátricas; 2) a perceção de enfermeiros/as sobre o cuidado às pessoas idosas como sendo predominantemente negativa; 3) a perceção de enfermeiros/as sobre o apoio insuficiente dos líderes hospitalares para promover um AGTE favorável; 4) o cuidado a pessoas idosas com comportamentos inadequados e o uso de recursos geriátricos como os principais fatores que influenciam a eficácia e a qualidade do cuidado geriátrico; 5) a lacuna de conhecimento e atitudes negativas de enfermeiros/as acerca das quatro síndromes geriátricas; 6) a conceptualização de um modelo sobre a associação das características de enfermeiros/as, dos hospitais do estudo e das perceções destes/as profissionais sobre o cuidado geriátrico com o AGTE e o conhecimento e atitudes geriátricos; 7) a falta de apoio familiar, a descontinuidade e a escassez de tempo para o cuidado como principais obstáculos no cuidado à pessoa idosa hospitalizada; e 8) o perfil de cuidado geriátrico nos hospitais da região norte e centro de Portugal como tendencialmente homogéneo. Os resultados deste estudo sustentam a necessidade de um maior investimento dos decisores políticos, administradores hospitalares e docentes de Enfermagem na capacitação dos/as enfermeiros/as para o cuidado geriátrico e na promoção de um AGTE mais favorável. Também oferece recomendações significativas nos domínios da decisão política, da gestão institucional e da prática profissional que devem ser alvo de uma discussão alargada entre os vários agentes com responsabilidade nestes domínios. Espera-se que este estudo possa contribuir para a promoção de um contexto favorável ao desenvolvimento de um cuidado de enfermagem geriátrica de boa qualidade às pessoas hospitalizadas.

Wind energy resource modelling in Portugal and its future large-scale alteration due to anthropogenic induced climate changes

The high dependence of Portugal from foreign energy sources (mainly fossil fuels), together with the international commitments assumed by Portugal and the national strategy in terms of energy policy, as well as resources sustainability and climate change issues, inevitably force Portugal to invest in its energetic self-sufficiency. The 20/20/20 Strategy defined by the European Union defines that in 2020 60% of the total electricity consumption must come from renewable energy sources. Wind energy is currently a major source of electricity generation in Portugal, producing about 23% of the national total electricity consumption in 2013. The National Energy Strategy 2020 (ENE2020), which aims to ensure the national compliance of the European Strategy 20/20/20, states that about half of this 60% target will be provided by wind energy. This work aims to implement and optimise a numerical weather prediction model in the simulation and modelling of the wind energy resource in Portugal, both in offshore and onshore areas. The numerical model optimisation consisted in the determination of which initial and boundary conditions and planetary boundary layer physical parameterizations options provide wind power flux (or energy density), wind speed and direction simulations closest to in situ measured wind data. Specifically for offshore areas, it is also intended to evaluate if the numerical model, once optimised, is able to produce power flux, wind speed and direction simulations more consistent with in situ measured data than wind measurements collected by satellites. This work also aims to study and analyse possible impacts that anthropogenic climate changes may have on the future wind energetic resource in Europe. The results show that the ECMWF reanalysis ERA-Interim are those that, among all the forcing databases currently available to drive numerical weather prediction models, allow wind power flux, wind speed and direction simulations more consistent with in situ wind measurements. It was also found that the Pleim-Xiu and ACM2 planetary boundary layer parameterizations are the ones that showed the best performance in terms of wind power flux, wind speed and direction simulations. This model optimisation allowed a significant reduction of the wind power flux, wind speed and direction simulations errors and, specifically for offshore areas, wind power flux, wind speed and direction simulations more consistent with in situ wind measurements than data obtained from satellites, which is a very valuable and interesting achievement. This work also revealed that future anthropogenic climate changes can negatively impact future European wind energy resource, due to tendencies towards a reduction in future wind speeds especially by the end of the current century and under stronger radiative forcing conditions.

Post-fire vegetation regeneration in Portugal : implications for management

This thesis aims at improving the knowledge on the post-fire vegetation regeneration. For that, forests and shrublands were studied, after forest fires and experimental fires. Maritime Pine (Pinus pinaster) recruitment after fire was studied. Fire severity was evidenced as a major effect on this process. High crown fire severity can combust the pines, destroying the seed bank and impeding post fire pine recruitment. However, crown combustion also influences the post-fire conditions on the soil surface, since high crown combustion (HCC) will decrease the postfire needle cast. After low crown combustion (LCC) (scorched rather than torched crowns), a considerable needle cover was observed, along with a higher density of pine seedlings. The overall trends of post-fire recruitment among LCC and HCC areas could be significantly attributed to cover by needles, as well by the estimation of fire severity using the diameters of the burned twigs (TSI). Fire increased the germination from the soil seed bank of a Pinus pinaster forest, and the effects were also related with fire severity. The densities of seedlings of the dominant taxa (genus Erica and Calluna vulgaris) were contrastingly affected in relation to the unburned situation, depending on fire severity, as estimated from the degree of fire-induced crown damage (LCC/HCC), as well as using a severity index based on the diameters of remaining twigs (TSI). Low severity patches had an increase in germination density relatively to the control, while high severity patches suffered a reduction. After an experimental fire in a heathland dominated by Pterospartum tridentatum, Erica australis and E. umbellata, no net differences in seedling emergence were observed, in relation to the pre-fire situation. However, rather than having no effect, the heterogeneity of temperatures caused by fire promoted caused divergent effects over the burned plot in terms of Erica australis germination – a progressive increased was observed in the plots were maximum temperature recorded ranged from 29 to 42.5ºC and decreased in plots with maximum temperature ranging from 51.5 to 74.5ºC. In this heathland, the seed density of two of the main species (E. australis and E. umbellata) was higher under their canopies, but the same was not true for P. tridentatum. The understory regeneration in pine and eucalypt stands, 5 to 6 years post fire, has been strongly associated with post-fire management practices. The effect of forest type was, comparatively, insignificant. Soil tilling, tree harvesting and shrub clearance, were linked to lower soil cover percentages. However, while all these management operations negatively affected the cover of resprouters, seeders were not affected by soil tilling. A strong influence of biogeographic region was identified, suggesting that more vulnerable regions may suffer higher effects of management, even under comparatively lower management pressure than more productive regions. This emphasizes the need to adequate post-fire management techniques to the target regions.