Estrutura a termo de taxas de juros : determinantes macroeconômicos : aplicação do modelo de Svensson para o Brasil

Este trabalho visa sistematizar um modelo para previsão e explicação dos movimentos de curto prazo da estrutura a termo de taxas de juros pré-fixada em reais do Brasil, baseado na relação dos movimentos em questão com os níveis e alterações que se processam nas variáveis macroeconômicas relevantes. A metodologia usada foi dividir o procedimento em duas etapas: Na primeira etapa, o modelo de Svensson (1994) é usado para ajustar a Estrutura a Termo de Taxas de Juros de cada data específica para obter os parâmetros daquela data. Isso é conseguido através da maximização da estatística R2 na regressão de mínimos quadrados, como sugerido no artigo original de Nelson e Siegel (1987). Então, as medianas dos dois parâmetros de decaimento utilizados são calculadas e mantidas arbitrariamente constantes para facilitar os cálculos da segunda etapa. Na segunda etapa, uma vez que os estimadores que melhor se ajustam às curvas de juros foram obtidos, outra regressão de MQO é realizada considerando os betas de Svensson dependentes de variáveis macroeconômicas de estado.

The importance of firms' strategic resources and capabilities in crisis situations

The general idea of this research is to analyze overall firm performance before and after the global financial crisis of 2008. The main question is: What kind of strategies did companies adopt that led to positive business performance after the crisis? Are there any particular competitive advantages that bring better performance in the case of an economic downturn? This research focuses on competitive advantage gained by resource-based view attributes of a product (quality, durability and prestige) and dynamic capabilities (strategic flexibility in product development and technological innovation ability). The economic crisis setting provides a proper background to analyze the competitive advantage strategies in a dynamic, low-probability environment to determine which are most worth adopting in the business world. I employ an OLS regression analysis in order to measure the business performance of 136 Brazilian firms across four years – 2002, 2005, 2008 and 2012. The findings indicate that even though all of the strategic resources and capabilities positively influence firm performance in expansionary periods, only the superior product characteristics are pertinent in surviving an economic downturn.

Especificação de um modelo para explicação e projeção de retornos do IBRX-100

Neste trabalho, propomos uma especificação de modelo econométrico na forma reduzida, estimado por mínimos quadrados ordinários (MQO) e baseado em variáveis macroeconômicas, com o objetivo de explicar os retornos trimestrais do índice de ações IBRX-100, entre 2001 e 2015. Testamos ainda a eficiência preditiva do modelo e concluímos que o erro de previsão estimado em janela móvel, com re-estimação de MQO a cada rodada, e utilização de VAR auxiliar para projeção dos regressores, é significativamente inferior ao erro de previsão associado à hipótese de Random Walk para o horizonte de previsão de um trimestre a frente.

Estudo empírico do comportamento dos depósitos das instituições financeiras brasileiras durante a crise de 2008

A motivação do trabalho surgiu dos efeitos causados pela crise imobiliária nos Estados Unidos em 2008, sendo a quebra do banco de investimento “Lehman Brothers” o estopim para uma série de eventos. No Brasil, os efeitos foram diversos, o presente trabalho se aprofundou nos efeitos sobre as captações, analisando se houve uma corrida bancária dos pequenos e médios bancos para os grandes. Este estudo foi feito por meio da análise de quebra estrutural baseada nos testes OLS Cusum introduzido por Ploberger e Kramer (1992) e Teste F por Chow (1960), bem como por meio da análise de dados em painel, utilizando as metodologias de análise de cluster e o modelo de efeitos fixos. De um modo geral, os nossos resultados demonstram que efetivamente ocorreu uma transferência massiva de recursos dos pequenos e médios bancos para os grandes.

Determinantes da remuneração do spread de certificados de recebíveis imobiliários no mercado brasileiro

Este estudo tem por objetivo identificar as principais variáveis que afetam o spread de Certificados de Recebíveis Imobiliários (CRI) no mercado nacional no momento da emissão do título. Dentre as principais variáveis estudadas estão o volume de emissão, prazo dos títulos, existência de rating, tipo de emissão, dentre outros. Para o trabalho foi utilizada uma base de dados de acompanhamento do mercado realizado pela ANBIMA e contou com 535 emissões, realizadas entre 2005 e 2015, de CRI indexados ao IGP, IPCA, DI e TR, além de títulos pré-fixados. Foram elaboradas cinco regressões pelo método dos Mínimos Quadrados Ordinários (MQO) stepwise sendo que as amostras foram separadas de acordo com o tipo de indexador (IGP, IPCA, DI e TR) e uma que englobou todas as emissões. Os resultados se mostraram distintos para cada regressão realizada e as variáveis explicativas do spread que se mostraram significativas na maioria das regressões foram o volume de emissão e a variável representativa da percepção internacional do cenário brasileiro. A evolução apresentada por este estudo com relação aos trabalhos disponíveis na literatura é de expandir as análises realizadas com outros títulos mobiliários, como Debentures e Fundos de Investimento em Direito Creditórios, para os CRIs.

Fundos de investimento em direitos creditórios: determinantes da taxa de captação dos FIDCs

O mercado de securitização através de Fundos de Investimento em Direitos Creditórios (FIDCs) no Brasil ainda não é tão desenvolvido quando comparado aos mercados internacionais. O desenvolvimento desse mercado facultaria a bancos e empresas acesso a fontes de financiamento além da sua geração de caixa ou da emissão de novas ações. Bancos e empresas devem manter a busca por formas alternativas de financiamento, obtendo, assim, diversificação de suas fontes de recursos. O objetivo desse trabalho é avaliar como as características dos FIDCs afetam a taxa de captação de suas cotas sênior. Para isso foram avaliadas 151 séries de cotas, emitidas entre 2002 e 2014. Na análise foram usadas análises multivariadas através da regressão linear múltipla, usando o método de Mínimos Quadrados Ordinários (MQO), para avaliar o efeito das variáveis sobre o spread das cotas. Os resultados apontaram que o volume de emissão afeta a forma como outras variáveis afetam o spread. Os fundos com tamanho de oferta maior têm seu spread influenciado por características de seus cedentes e por características de sua estruturação, enquanto que fundos menores são apreçados por negociações entre emissor e investidores.

HPLC-DAD methodology for the quantification of organic acids, furans and polyphenols by direct injection of wine samples

This article proposes a simple and sensitive HPLC method with photo-diode array detection for the analysis of organic acids, monomeric polyphenols and furanic compounds in wine samples by direct injection. The chromatographic separation of 8 organic acids, 2 furans and 22 phenolic compounds was carried out with a buffered solution (pH 2.70) and acetonitrile as mobile phases and a difunctionally bonded C18 stationary phase, Atlantis dC18 (250 4.6 mm, 5mm) column. The elution was performed in 12 min for the organic acids and in 60 min for the phenolic compounds, including phenolic acids, stilbenes and flavonoids. Target compounds were detected at 210 nm (organic acids, flavan-3-ols and benzoic acids), 254 nm (ellagic acid), 280 nm (furans and cinnamic acid), 315 nm (hydroxycinnamic acids and trans-resveratrol) and 360 nm (flavonoids). The RSD for the repeatability test (n55) of peak area and retention times were below 3.1 and 0.3%, respectively, for phenolics and below 1.0 and 0.2% for organic acids. The RSDs expressing the reproducibility of the method were higher than for the repeatability results but all below 9.0%. Method accuracy was evaluated by the recovery results, with averaged values between 80 and 104% for polyphenols and 97–105% for organic acids. The calibration curves, obtained by triplicate injection of standard solutions, showed good linearity with regression coefficients higher than 0.9982 for polyphenols and 0.9997 for organic acids. The LOD was in the range of 0.07–0.49 mg/L for polyphenols (cinnamic and gallic acids, respectively) and 0.001–0.046 g/L for organic acids (oxalic and lactic acids, respectively). The method was successfully used to measure and assess the polyphenolic fingerprint and organic acids profile of red, white, rose ´ and fortified wines.

Hemeroteca digital temática: socialização da informação em cinema

MEDEIROS, Rildeci; MELO, Erica S. F.; NASCIMENTO, M. S. Hemeroteca digital temática: socialização da informação em cinema.In:SEMINÁRIO NACIONAL DE BIBLIOTECAS UNIVERSITÁRIAS,15.,2008,São Paulo. Anais eletrônicos... São Paulo:CRUESP,2008. Disponível em: http://www.sbu.unicamp.br/snbu2008/anais/site/pdfs/3018.pdf

O argumento de inclusão enquanto política de acesso à universidade pública

There are a great number of evidences showing that education is extremely important in many economic and social dimensions. In Brazil, education is a right guaranteed by the Federal Constitution; however, in the Brazilian legislation the right to the three stages of basic education: Kindergarten, Elementary and High School is better promoted and supported than the right to education at College level. According to educational census data (INEP, 2009), 78% of all enrolments in College education are in private schools, while the reverse is found in High School: 84% of all matriculations are in public schools, which shows a contradiction in the admission into the universities. The Brazilian scenario presents that public universities receive mostly students who performed better and were prepared in elementary and high school education in private schools, while private universities attend students who received their basic education in public schools, which are characterized as low quality. These facts have led researchers to raise the possible determinants of student performance on standardized tests, such as the Brazilian Vestibular exam, to guide the development of policies aimed at equal access to College education. Seeking inspiration in North American models of affirmative action policies, some Brazilian public universities have suggested rate policies to enable and facilitate the entry of "minorities" (blacks, pardos1, natives, people of low income and public school students) to free College education. At the Federal University of the state Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN), the first incentives for candidates from public schools emerged in 2006, being improved and widespread during the last 7 years. This study aimed to analyse and discuss the Argument of Inclution (AI) - the affirmative action policy that provides additional scoring for students from public schools. From an extensive database, the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) technique was used as well as a Quantile Regression considering as control the variables of personal, socioeconomic and educational characteristics of the candidates from the Brazilian Vestibular exam 2010 of the Federal University of the state Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN). The results demonstrate the importance of this incentive system, besides the magnitude of other variables

Sistemas de gerenciamento de bibliotecas: riscos decorrentes do processo de migração de dados

This work aims to analyze risks related to information technology (IT) in procedures related to data migration. This is done considering ALEPH, Integrated Libray System (ILS) that migrated data to the Library Module present in the software called Sistema Integrado de Gestão de Atividades Acadêmicas (SIGAA) at the Zila Mamede Central Library at the Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN) in Natal/Brazil. The methodological procedure used was of a qualitative exploratory research with the realization of case study at the referred library in order to better understand this phenomenon. Data collection was able once there was use of a semi-structured interview that was applied with (11) subjects that are employed at the library as well as in the Technology Superintendence at UFRN. In order to examine data Content analysis as well as thematic review process was performed. After data migration the results of the interview were then linked to both analysis units and their system register with category correspondence. The main risks detected were: data destruction; data loss; data bank communication failure; user response delay; data inconsistency and duplicity. These elements point out implication and generate disorders that affect external and internal system users and lead to stress, work duplicity and hassles. Thus, some measures were taken related to risk management such as adequate planning, central management support, and pilot test simulations. For the advantages it has reduced of: risk, occurrence of problems and possible unforeseen costs, and allows achieving organizational objectives, among other. It is inferred therefore that the risks present in data bank conversion in libraries exist and some are predictable, however, it is seen that librarians do not know or ignore and are not very worried in the identification risks in data bank conversion, their acknowledge would minimize or even extinguish them. Another important aspect to consider is the existence of few empirical research that deal specifically with this subject and thus presenting the new of new approaches in order to promote better understanding of the matter in the corporate environment of the information units

Finanças públicas na nova ordem constitucional brasileira: uma análise comportamental dos municípios potiguares, nos anos antecedentes e posteriores à lei de responsabilidade fiscal LRF

The object of the present dissertation is to analyze the behavior of the public finances of the districts of the state of Rio Grande do Norte (RN), taking as reference a period fundamentally previous to the implementation of the Fiscal Responsibility Law LRF, comparatively to the first years, immediately after the advent of the mentioned institutional milestone. The central hypothesis of this study proposes that, from the institutions' viewpoint, the LRF sets securely consistent rules, in the orchestration of the behavior of the municipal revenues and expenses. These regulations, on the other hand, might be effective and reach the districts of the RN indiscriminately, apart from stabilizing tendencies and which are sustainable in the long run. In spite of this, the indicators calculated reveal that the districts researched show, during all the period under analysis, a diminished capacity of self-tax collection , and consequently, a high participation of the intergovernmental transfers in the composition of the current revenues. This behavior indicates that the goal of strengthening the municipal public finances, forecast in the LRF, tends to be only partially accomplished, due to the fiscal decentralism. The analysis and interpretation of the data are conducted from the literature of institutionalist orientation and in descriptive statistical tools applied to the municipal strata of the state of Rio Grande do Norte. Further on, it's used the econometrical method Pooled OLS, which demands the elimination of the municipal strata in order to allow the use of the model, in the attempt to strengthen and/or ratify the results of the research. Finally, the evidence reached in the dissertation show that the LRF brings better conditions to the potiguar municipal public finances, predominantly to the economically stronger districts; whereas the less dynamic municipal entities show rather divergent evidence, that is, their economies seem to be more oriented to a more pronounced state participation; therefore, it generates in the state of RN a certain antithesis in the results reached in the dissertation

Migração e seletividade na região nordeste: um estudo a partir dos dados do censo demográfico de 2010

The aim of this study is to analyze the effect of migration on the income differential between northeastern migrants and nonmigrants and there by verify that the immigrants make up a group or not positively selected. The assumption that will be tested is that the presence of these immigrants affects income inequality in the region receptor, which may explain part of the high-stopping inequality in the Brazilian Northeast. The study is based on the literature selectivity migration introduced by Roy (1951), Borjas (1987) and Chiswick (1999). Does the estimated wage equation Mincer (1974) through the method of OLS, using information from the microdata sample of the 2010 Census, the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE). The results which correspond to the comparison of socioeconomic profile, showed that immigrants are more qualified and, on average, better paid than non-migrants. With the estimation of the model, it was found that, keeping all other variables constant, the income that immigrants earn is 14.43% higher than that of non-migrants. Thus, there was existence of positive selectivity in migration directed to the Northeast

Chemotaxonomic significance of 5-deoxyproanthocyanidins in Stryphnodendron species

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Byrsonima intermedia A. Juss.: Gastric and duodenal anti-ulcer, antimicrobial and antidiarrheal effects in experimental rodent models

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Phenolic Composition of the Brazilian Seedless Table Grape Varieties BRS Clara and BRS Morena

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)