Modelling and estimating models of physician labour supply and productivity

Ma thèse s’intéresse aux politiques de santé conçues pour encourager l’offre de services de santé. L’accessibilité aux services de santé est un problème majeur qui mine le système de santé de la plupart des pays industrialisés. Au Québec, le temps médian d’attente entre une recommandation du médecin généraliste et un rendez-vous avec un médecin spécialiste était de 7,3 semaines en 2012, contre 2,9 semaines en 1993, et ceci malgré l’augmentation du nombre de médecins sur cette même période. Pour les décideurs politiques observant l’augmentation du temps d’attente pour des soins de santé, il est important de comprendre la structure de l’offre de travail des médecins et comment celle-ci affecte l’offre des services de santé. Dans ce contexte, je considère deux principales politiques. En premier lieu, j’estime comment les médecins réagissent aux incitatifs monétaires et j’utilise les paramètres estimés pour examiner comment les politiques de compensation peuvent être utilisées pour déterminer l’offre de services de santé de court terme. En second lieu, j’examine comment la productivité des médecins est affectée par leur expérience, à travers le mécanisme du "learning-by-doing", et j’utilise les paramètres estimés pour trouver le nombre de médecins inexpérimentés que l’on doit recruter pour remplacer un médecin expérimenté qui va à la retraite afin de garder l’offre des services de santé constant. Ma thèse développe et applique des méthodes économique et statistique afin de mesurer la réaction des médecins face aux incitatifs monétaires et estimer leur profil de productivité (en mesurant la variation de la productivité des médecins tout le long de leur carrière) en utilisant à la fois des données de panel sur les médecins québécois, provenant d’enquêtes et de l’administration. Les données contiennent des informations sur l’offre de travail de chaque médecin, les différents types de services offerts ainsi que leurs prix. Ces données couvrent une période pendant laquelle le gouvernement du Québec a changé les prix relatifs des services de santé. J’ai utilisé une approche basée sur la modélisation pour développer et estimer un modèle structurel d’offre de travail en permettant au médecin d’être multitâche. Dans mon modèle les médecins choisissent le nombre d’heures travaillées ainsi que l’allocation de ces heures à travers les différents services offerts, de plus les prix des services leurs sont imposés par le gouvernement. Le modèle génère une équation de revenu qui dépend des heures travaillées et d’un indice de prix représentant le rendement marginal des heures travaillées lorsque celles-ci sont allouées de façon optimale à travers les différents services. L’indice de prix dépend des prix des services offerts et des paramètres de la technologie de production des services qui déterminent comment les médecins réagissent aux changements des prix relatifs. J’ai appliqué le modèle aux données de panel sur la rémunération des médecins au Québec fusionnées à celles sur l’utilisation du temps de ces mêmes médecins. J’utilise le modèle pour examiner deux dimensions de l’offre des services de santé. En premierlieu, j’analyse l’utilisation des incitatifs monétaires pour amener les médecins à modifier leur production des différents services. Bien que les études antérieures ont souvent cherché à comparer le comportement des médecins à travers les différents systèmes de compensation,il y a relativement peu d’informations sur comment les médecins réagissent aux changementsdes prix des services de santé. Des débats actuels dans les milieux de politiques de santé au Canada se sont intéressés à l’importance des effets de revenu dans la détermination de la réponse des médecins face à l’augmentation des prix des services de santé. Mon travail contribue à alimenter ce débat en identifiant et en estimant les effets de substitution et de revenu résultant des changements des prix relatifs des services de santé. En second lieu, j’analyse comment l’expérience affecte la productivité des médecins. Cela a une importante implication sur le recrutement des médecins afin de satisfaire la demande croissante due à une population vieillissante, en particulier lorsque les médecins les plus expérimentés (les plus productifs) vont à la retraite. Dans le premier essai, j’ai estimé la fonction de revenu conditionnellement aux heures travaillées, en utilisant la méthode des variables instrumentales afin de contrôler pour une éventuelle endogeneité des heures travaillées. Comme instruments j’ai utilisé les variables indicatrices des âges des médecins, le taux marginal de taxation, le rendement sur le marché boursier, le carré et le cube de ce rendement. Je montre que cela donne la borne inférieure de l’élasticité-prix direct, permettant ainsi de tester si les médecins réagissent aux incitatifs monétaires. Les résultats montrent que les bornes inférieures des élasticités-prix de l’offre de services sont significativement positives, suggérant que les médecins répondent aux incitatifs. Un changement des prix relatifs conduit les médecins à allouer plus d’heures de travail au service dont le prix a augmenté. Dans le deuxième essai, j’estime le modèle en entier, de façon inconditionnelle aux heures travaillées, en analysant les variations des heures travaillées par les médecins, le volume des services offerts et le revenu des médecins. Pour ce faire, j’ai utilisé l’estimateur de la méthode des moments simulés. Les résultats montrent que les élasticités-prix direct de substitution sont élevées et significativement positives, représentant une tendance des médecins à accroitre le volume du service dont le prix a connu la plus forte augmentation. Les élasticitésprix croisées de substitution sont également élevées mais négatives. Par ailleurs, il existe un effet de revenu associé à l’augmentation des tarifs. J’ai utilisé les paramètres estimés du modèle structurel pour simuler une hausse générale de prix des services de 32%. Les résultats montrent que les médecins devraient réduire le nombre total d’heures travaillées (élasticité moyenne de -0,02) ainsi que les heures cliniques travaillées (élasticité moyenne de -0.07). Ils devraient aussi réduire le volume de services offerts (élasticité moyenne de -0.05). Troisièmement, j’ai exploité le lien naturel existant entre le revenu d’un médecin payé à l’acte et sa productivité afin d’établir le profil de productivité des médecins. Pour ce faire, j’ai modifié la spécification du modèle pour prendre en compte la relation entre la productivité d’un médecin et son expérience. J’estime l’équation de revenu en utilisant des données de panel asymétrique et en corrigeant le caractère non-aléatoire des observations manquantes à l’aide d’un modèle de sélection. Les résultats suggèrent que le profil de productivité est une fonction croissante et concave de l’expérience. Par ailleurs, ce profil est robuste à l’utilisation de l’expérience effective (la quantité de service produit) comme variable de contrôle et aussi à la suppression d’hypothèse paramétrique. De plus, si l’expérience du médecin augmente d’une année, il augmente la production de services de 1003 dollar CAN. J’ai utilisé les paramètres estimés du modèle pour calculer le ratio de remplacement : le nombre de médecins inexpérimentés qu’il faut pour remplacer un médecin expérimenté. Ce ratio de remplacement est de 1,2.

An Interdisciplinary Approach to the Management of Vocal Cord Dysfunction in an Elite Female Swimmer: a Case Study

Acute pulmonary disorders are commonplace within the athletic population, with exercise induced bronchoconstriction (EIB), and vocal cord dysfunction (VCD) common diagnoses. VCD is a condition that causes the adduction of the vocal folds during inhalation, causing obstruction at the larynx and thereby a severely impaired sporting performance. VCD can be brought on by laryngeal irritants, emotional and psychological stress and asthma. The gold standard of treatment for VCD centres on an interdisciplinary approach from specialists that often include a respiratory consultant, speech and language therapist (SLT) and a psychologist. The present case study details the interdisciplinary approach to the treatment of an elite female swimmer with VCD with an intervention programme that lasted nine weeks, instigated by a local general practitioner (G.P.) who chose to engage a Sport Psychology Consultant (SPC) due to the sport-specific nature of the psychological stress experienced by the individual. The steps involved in the design of the sport psychology interventions are outlined and the relationship of those interventions to the work of the other specialists is discussed. The 9 week intervention programme was aimed at reducing perfectionist tendencies and competitive state anxiety using a combination of cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT), goal-setting and imagery. Overall, the treatment programme was deemed a success as perfectionism and competitive state anxiety levels reduced over time along with the frequency of VCD occurrence. This case study demonstrates the breadth of roles that can be undertaken by a SPC and raises awareness of a complex respiratory disorder that is not yet fully understood.

Adhésion au traitement de la maladie rénale chronique chez les québécois âgés de 18 ans ou plus

Introduction La progression de la maladie rénale chronique (MRC) augmente le risque des maladies cardiovasculaires. L’hypertension, le diabète et la dyslipidémie sont à la fois des facteurs de risque et des comorbidités de la MRC. Chez les individus souffrant de MRC, la persistance et l’observance du traitement de ces facteurs de risque, i.e. le traitement antihypertenseur (TAH), le traitement hypolipémiant (THL) et le traitement antidiabétique (TAD) contribuent à réduire le risque de mortalité et de morbidité cardiovasculaires. Néanmoins, la persistance et l’observance de ces traitements restent encore peu étudiées chez les individus ayant la MRC. Objectifs: Spécifiquement pour chacun des trois traitements (TAH, THL et TAD), une étude de cohorte a été menée dans le but : 1) d’estimer la persistance à prendre le traitement un an après le début du traitement; 2) d’estimer l’observance du traitement au cours de l’année suivant le début du traitement chez les persistants; 3) d’identifier les facteurs associés à la persistance; et 4) d’identifier les facteurs associés à l’observance. Méthodologie: Nous avons utilisé les banques de données administratives de la Régie de l’assurance maladie du Québec (RAMQ) pour mener trois études de cohorte chez les personnes âgées de 18 ans ou plus. Une étude a été conduite chez les individus qui ont commencé un TAH, l’autre conduite chez les patients ayant commencé un THL et la dernière menée chez les nouveaux utilisateurs de TAD. Les individus qui poursuivaient encore leur traitement un an après son début ont été considérés persistants. Parmi les persistants, les patients qui ont eu une proportion de jours couverts (PJC) ≥ 80 % ont été considérés observants. Les facteurs associés à la persistance et ceux associés à l’observance ont été identifiés à l’aide d’une régression de Poisson modifiée. Résultats: Parmi les 7 119 patients ayant débuté un TAH, 78,8 % ont été persistants et 87,7 % des persistants ont été observants. Les individus qui étaient plus susceptibles d’être persistants se trouvaient dans le groupe des utilisateurs de monothérapie d’inhibiteurs de l’enzyme de conversion de l’angiotensine (IECA) (Rapport de prévalences (RP) : 1,20; intervalle de confiance (IC) à 95 % : 1,13-1,27), d’antagonistes du récepteur de l’angiotensine II (ARA) (1,22; 1,14-1,31), de bloquants des canaux calciques (BCC) (1,20; 1,14-1,26), de bêta-bloquants (BB) (1,16; 1,10-1,23) et de multithérapie (1,31; 1,25-1,38) (référence : monothérapie de diurétiques (DIU)). Les individus qui étaient plus susceptibles d’être observants étaient les utilisateurs de monothérapie d’IECA (1,08; 1,03-1,04), de BB (1,10; 1,05-1,15), de BCC (1,10; 1,05-1,15) et de multithérapie. Des 14 607 individus ayant débuté un THL, 80,7 % ont persisté à le prendre; de ces derniers, 88,7 % étaient observants du THL. Les patients qui étaient plus susceptibles d’être persistants étaient ceux ayant un statut socio-économique (SSE) faible (1,03; 1,01-1,06) (référence : SSE élevé) et ceux dont le traitement initial avait été prescrit par un néphrologue (1,06; 1,04-1,09) (référence : omnipraticien). Les individus qui étaient plus susceptibles d’être observants étaient ceux âgés ≥ 66 ans (référence : 18-65) (1,04; 1,01-1,07), ceux ayant un SSE faible (1,08; 1,06-1,10) et ceux qui avaient pris plus de 12 médicaments différents (référence : <7) (1,03; 1.00-1,05). Sur un total de 6 671 individus ayant débuté un TAD, 76,9 % ont persisté à prendre le traitement. Parmi les persistants, 87,9 % étaient observants. Les individus ayant un SSE faible (1,04; 1,01-1,07) (référence : SSE élevé) ou une multithérapie (1,12; 1,08-1,16) (référence : monothérapie de metformine) étaient plus susceptibles d’être persistants, tout comme ceux ayant une comorbidité dont l’hypertension artérielle (1,04; 1,01-1,07), la dyslipidémie (1,06; 1,03-1,10), l’accident vasculaire cérébral (AVC) (1,05; 1,01-1,11) ou la maladie coronarienne (1,03; 1,01-1,06). Les individus plus susceptibles d’être observants étaient ceux ayant un SSE moyen (1,03; 1,01-1,07) ou une multithérapie (1,06; 1,03-1,09). Conclusion: Peu importe le traitement initié par les individus souffrant de MRC, environ 30% des patients ne seraient pas persistants un an après le début du traitement ou observants dans l’année suivant l’initiation. Certains facteurs sont associés de façon consistante à la persistance, par exemple l’AVC, la maladie coronarienne et le nombre de visites médicales, alors que l’âge et le SSE sont associés à l’observance peu importe que le traitement initial soit un TAH, un THL ou un TAD.

Patients' satisfaction and quality of life in coronary artery disease

OBJECTIVES: To assess satisfaction of survivors of coronary artery diseases (CAD) with healthcare services and to determine whether specific components of standard health-related quality of life (HRQL) assessment tools might identify areas of satisfaction and dissatisfaction. METHOD: A specific tool developed to provide a comprehensive assessment of healthcare needs was administered concomitantly with generic and specific HRQL instruments, on 242 patients with CAD, admitted to an acute coronary unit during a single year. RESULTS: 92.5% of patients confirmed their trust in and satisfaction with the care given by their General Practitioner; even so, one third experienced difficulty getting an appointment and a quarter wanted more time for each consultation or prompt referral to a specialist when needed. Around a third expressed dissatisfaction with advice from the practice nurse or hospital consultant. Overall 54% were highly satisfied with services, 33% moderately satisfied and 13% dissatisfied.Cronbach's alpha was 0.87; the corrected total-item correlation ranged between 0.55-0.75, with trivial 'floor' score and low 'ceiling' effect. Several domains in all three HRQL tools correlated with items relating to satisfaction. The Seattle Angina Questionnaire Treatment Score correlated significantly with all satisfaction items and with the global satisfaction score. CONCLUSION: Cardiac patients' demanded better services and advice from, and more time with, health professionals and easier surgery access. The satisfaction tool showed acceptable psychometric properties. In this patient group, disease-specific HRQL tools seem more appropriate than generic tools for surveys of patient satisfaction

Rastreio de Infeções Sexualmente Transmissíveis não víricas nos adolescentes: qual o estado da arte

As infeções sexualmente transmissíveis (IST) constituem um problema persistente de saúde pública, sendo os adolescentes e adultos jovens os que apresentam as taxas de prevalência mais elevadas para algumas IST. As IST não víricas nos países desenvolvidos incluem a Chlamydia Trachomatis, a Neisseria gonorrhoeae, o Treponema pallidume a Trichomonas vaginalis. A deteção precoce das IST não víricas tem impacto positivo a nível individual e na saúde pública: permite instituição atem- pada de tratamento adequado, a redução de transmissão entre parceiros, bem como reduzir as complicações a longo prazo, nomeadamente doença inflamatória pélvica, dor pélvica crónica, gravidez ectópica e infertilidade. Várias sociedades médicas internacionais publicaram recomendações para o rastreio de algumas IST não víricas em de- terminados grupos. Em Portugal, a Direção Geral de Saúde (DGS) atualizou em 2014 a norma sobre a notificação obrigatória de doenças transmissíveis, que inclui a gonorreia, a sífilis e a infeção por Chlamydia Trachomatis. Não obstante, os estudos sobre a epidemiologia de IST são parcos em Portugal e apenas recentemente foi contemplado o rastreio oportunístico de infeção genital por Chlamydia Trachomatis no Plano Nacional de Saúde 2011-2016. O médico de família através da sua abordagem holística centrada na pessoa, no seu contexto familiar e social (focando antecedentes pessoais / comportamentos de risco) tem necessariamente um papel determinante na prevenção primária e no rastreio das IST.

Programa Nacional de Vigilância da Gripe: relatório da época 2015/2016

O vírus da gripe é uma das maiores causas de morbilidade e mortalidade em todo o mundo, afetando um elevado número de indivíduos em cada ano. Em Portugal a vigilância epidemiológica da gripe é assegurada pelo Programa Nacional de Vigilância da Gripe (PNVG), através da integração da informação das componentes clínica e virológica, gerando informação detalhada relativamente à atividade gripal. A componente clínica é suportada pela Rede Médicos-Sentinela e tem um papel especialmente relevante por possibilitar o cálculo de taxas de incidência permitindo descrever a intensidade e evolução da epidemia de gripe. A componente virológica tem por base o diagnóstico laboratorial do vírus da gripe e tem como objetivos a deteção e caraterização dos vírus da gripe em circulação. Para o estudo mais completo da etiologia da síndrome gripal foi efectuado o diagnóstico diferencial de outros vírus respiratórios: vírus sincicial respiratório tipo A (RSV A) e B (RSV B), o rhinovírus humano (hRV), o vírus parainfluenza humano tipo 1 (PIV1), 2 (PIV2) e 3 (PIV3), o coronavírus humano (hCoV), o adenovírus (AdV) e o metapneumovirus humano (hMPV). Desde 2009 a vigilância da gripe conta também com a Rede Portuguesa de Laboratórios para o Diagnóstico da Gripe que atualmente é constituída por 15 hospitais onde se realiza o diagnóstico laboratorial da gripe. A informação obtida nesta Rede Laboratorial adiciona ao PNVG dados relativos a casos de doença respiratória mais severa com necessidade de internamento. Em 2011/2012, foi lançado um estudo piloto para vigiar os casos graves de gripe admitidos em Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos (UCI) que deu origem à atual Rede de vigilância da gripe em UCI constituída em 2015/2016 por 31 UCI (324 camas). Esta componente tem como objetivo a monitorização de novos casos de gripe confirmados laboratorialmente e admitidos em UCI, permitindo a avaliação da gravidade da doença associada à infeção pelo vírus da gripe. O Sistema da Vigilância Diária da Mortalidade constitui uma componente do PNVG que permite monitorizar a mortalidade semanal por “todas as causas” durante a época de gripe. É um sistema de vigilância epidemiológica que pretende detetar e estimar de forma rápida os impactos de eventos ambientais ou epidémicos relacionados com excessos de mortalidade. A notificação de casos de Síndrome Gripal (SG) e a colheita de amostras biológicas foi realizada em diferentes redes participantes do PNVG: Rede de Médicos-Sentinela, Rede de Serviços de Urgência/Obstetrícia, médicos do Projeto EuroEVA, Rede Portuguesa de Laboratórios para o Diagnóstico da Gripe e Rede vigilância da gripe em UCI. Na época de vigilância da gripe de 2015/2016 foram notificados 1.273 casos de SG, 87% dos quais acompanhados de um exsudado da nasofaringe para diagnóstico laboratorial. No inverno de 2015/2016 observou-se uma atividade gripal de baixa intensidade. O período epidémico ocorreu entre a semana 53/2015 e a semana 8/2016 e o valor mais elevado da taxa de incidência semanal de SG (72,0/100000) foi observado na semana 53/2015. De acordo com os casos notificados à Rede Médicos-Sentinela, o grupo etário dos 15 aos 64 anos foi o que apresentou uma incidência cumulativa mais elevada. O vírus da gripe foi detetado em 41,0% dos exsudados da nasofaringe recebidos tendo sido detetados outros vírus respiratórios em 24% destes. O vírus da gripe A(H1)pdm09 foi o predominantemente detetado em 90,4% dos casos de gripe. Foram também detetados outros vírus da gripe, o vírus B - linhagem Victoria (8%), o vírus A(H3) (1,3%) e o vírus B- linhagem Yamagata (0,5%). A análise antigénica dos vírus da gripe A(H1)pdm09 mostrou a sua semelhança com a estirpe vacinal 2015/2016 (A/California/7/2009), a maioria dos vírus pertencem ao novo grupo genético 6B.1, que foi o predominantemente detetado em circulação na Europa. Os vírus do tipo B apesar de detetados em número bastante mais reduzido comparativamente com o subtipo A(H1)pdm09, foram na sua maioria da linhagem Victoria que antigenicamente se distinguem da estirpe vacinal de 2015/2016 (B/Phuket/3073/2013). Esta situação foi igualmente verificada nos restantes países da Europa, Estados Unidos da América e Canadá. Os vírus do subtipo A(H3) assemelham-se antigenicamente à estirpe selecionada para a vacina de 2016/2017 (A/Hong Kong/4801/2014). Geneticamente a maioria dos vírus caraterizados pertencem ao grupo 3C.2a, e são semelhantes à estirpe vacinal para a época de 2016/2017. A avaliação da resistência aos antivirais inibidores da neuraminidase, não revelou a circulação de estirpes com diminuição da suscetibilidade aos inibidores da neuraminidase (oseltamivir e zanamivir). A situação verificada em Portugal é semelhante à observada a nível europeu. A percentagem mais elevada de casos de gripe foi verificada nos indivíduos com idade inferior a 45 anos. A febre, as cefaleias, o mal-estar geral, as mialgias, a tosse e os calafrios mostraram apresentar uma forte associação à confirmação laboratorial de um caso de gripe. Foi nos doentes com imunodeficiência congénita ou adquirida que a proporção de casos de gripe foi mais elevada, seguidos dos doentes com diabetes e obesidade. A percentagem total de casos de gripe em mulheres grávidas foi semelhante à observada nas mulheres em idade fértil não grávidas. No entanto, o vírus da gripe do tipo A(H1)pdm09 foi detetado em maior proporção nas mulheres grávidas quando comparado as mulheres não grávidas. A vacina como a principal forma de prevenção da gripe é especialmente recomendada em indivíduos com idade igual ou superior a 65 anos, doentes crónicos e imunodeprimidos, grávidas e profissionais de saúde. A vacinação antigripal foi referida em 13% dos casos notificados. A deteção do vírus da gripe ocorreu em 25% dos casos vacinados e sujeitos a diagnóstico laboratorial estando essencialmente associados ao vírus da gripe A(H1)pdm09, o predominante na época de 2015/2016. Esta situação foi mais frequentemente verificada em indivíduos com idade compreendida entre os 15 e 45 anos. A confirmação de gripe em indivíduos vacinados poderá estar relacionada com uma moderada efetividade da vacina antigripal na população em geral. A informação relativa à terapêutica antiviral foi indicada em 67% casos de SG notificados, proporção superior ao verificado em anos anteriores. Os antivirais foram prescritos a um número reduzido de doentes (9,0%) dos quais 45.0% referiam pelo menos a presença de uma doença crónica ou gravidez. O antiviral mais prescrito foi o oseltamivir. A pesquisa de outros vírus respiratórios nos casos de SG negativos para o vírus da gripe, veio revelar a circulação e o envolvimento de outros agentes virais respiratórios em casos de SG. Os vírus respiratórios foram detetados durante todo o período de vigilância da gripe, entre a semana 40/2015 e a semana 20/2016. O hRV, o hCoV e o RSV foram os agentes mais frequentemente detetados, para além do vírus da gripe, estando o RSV essencialmente associado a crianças com idade inferior a 4 anos de idade e o hRV e o hCoV aos adultos e população mais idosa (≥ 65 anos). A Rede Portuguesa de Laboratórios para o Diagnóstico da Gripe, efetuou o diagnóstico da gripe em 7443 casos de infeção respiratória sendo o vírus da gripe detetado em 1458 destes casos. Em 71% dos casos de gripe foi detetado o vírus da gripe A(H1)pdm09. Os vírus da gripe do tipo A(H3) foram detetados esporadicamente e em número muito reduzido (2%), e em 11% o vírus da gripe A (não subtipado). O vírus da gripe do tipo B foi detetado em 16% dos casos. A frequência de cada tipo e subtipo do vírus da gripe identificados na Rede Hospitalar assemelha-se ao observado nos cuidados de saúde primários (Rede Médicos-Sentinela e Serviços de Urgência). Foi nos indivíduos adultos, entre os 45-64 anos, que o vírus A(H1)pdm09 representou uma maior proporção dos casos de gripe incluindo igualmente a maior proporção de doentes que necessitaram de internamento hospitalar em unidades de cuidados intensivos. O vírus da gripe do tipo B esteve associado a casos de gripe confirmados nas crianças entre os 5 e 14 anos. Outros vírus respiratórios foram igualmente detetados sendo o RSV e os picornavírus (hRV, hEV e picornavírus) os mais frequentes e em co circulação com o vírus da gripe. Durante a época de vigilância da gripe, 2015/2016, não se observaram excessos de mortalidade semanais. Nas UCI verificou-se uma franca dominância do vírus da gripe A(H1)pdm09 (90%) e a circulação simultânea do vírus da gripe B (3%). A taxa de admissão em UCI oscilou entre 5,8% e 4,7% entre as semanas 53 e 12 tendo o valor máximo sido registado na semana 8 de 2016 (8,1%). Cerca de metade dos doentes tinha entre 45 e 64 anos. Os mais idosos (65+ anos) foram apenas 20% dos casos, o que não será de estranhar, considerando que o vírus da gripe A(H1)pdm09 circulou como vírus dominante. Aproximadamente 70% dos doentes tinham doença crónica subjacente, tendo a obesidade sido a mais frequente (37%). Comparativamente com a pandemia, em que circulou também o A(H1)pdm09, a obesidade, em 2015/2016, foi cerca de 4 vezes mais frequente (9,8%). Apenas 8% dos doentes tinha feito a vacina contra a gripe sazonal, apesar de mais de 70% ter doença crónica subjacente e de haver recomendações da DGS nesse sentido. A taxa de letalidade foi estimada em 29,3%, mais elevada do que na época anterior (23,7%). Cerca de 80% dos óbitos ocorreram em indivíduos com doença crónica subjacente que poderá ter agravado o quadro e contribuído para o óbito. Salienta-se a ausência de dados históricos publicados sobre letalidade em UCI, para comparação. Note-se que esta estimativa se refere a óbitos ocorridos apenas durante a hospitalização na UCI e que poderão ter ocorrido mais óbitos após a alta da UCI para outros serviços/enfermarias. Este sistema de vigilância da gripe sazonal em UCI poderá ser aperfeiçoado nas próximas épocas reduzindo a subnotificação e melhorando o preenchimento dos campos necessários ao estudo da doença. A época de vigilância da gripe 2015/2016 foi em muitas caraterísticas comparável ao descrito na maioria dos países europeus. A situação em Portugal destacou-se pela baixa intensidade da atividade gripal, pelo predomínio do vírus da gripe do subtipo A(H1)pdm09 acompanhada pela deteção de vírus do tipo B (linhagem Victoria) essencialmente no final da época gripal. A mortalidade por todas as causas durante a epidemia da gripe manteve-se dentro do esperado, não tendo sido observados excessos de mortalidade. Os vírus da gripe do subtipo predominante na época 2015/2016, A(H1)pdm09, revelaram-se antigénicamente semelhantes à estirpe vacinal. Os vírus da gripe do tipo B detetados distinguem-se da estirpe vacinal de 2015/2016. Este facto conduziu à atualização da composição da vacina antigripal para a época 2016/2017. A monitorização contínua da epidemia da gripe a nível nacional e mundial permite a cada inverno avaliar o impacto da gripe na saúde da população, monitorizar a evolução dos vírus da gripe e atuar de forma a prevenir e implementar medidas eficazes de tratamento da doença, especialmente quando esta se apresenta acompanhada de complicações graves.

Early allergen exposure and atopic eczema

Background The relationship between exposure to indoor aeroallergens in early life and subsequent eczema is unclear. We have previously failed to show any significant associations between early life exposure to house dust mite and cat fur allergens and either sensitization to these allergens or wheeze. We have also previously reported a lower prevalence of parent-reported, doctor-diagnosed eczema by age 2 years for children exposed to higher concentrations of house dust mite, but no other associations with other definitions of eczema or for exposure to cat allergen. Objectives To extend the exposure–response analysis of allergen exposure and eczema outcomes measured up to age 8 years, and to investigate the role of other genetic and environmental determinants. Methods A total of 593 children (92Æ4% of those eligible) born to all newly pregnant women attending one of three general practitioner surgeries in Ashford, Kent, were followed from birth to age 8 years. Concentrations of house dust mite and cat allergen were measured in dust samples collected from the home at 8 weeks after birth. The risk of subsequent eczema as defined by the U.K. diagnostic criteria was determined according to different levels (quintiles) of allergen exposure at birth. Results By age 8 years, 150 (25Æ3%) children had met the diagnostic criteria for eczema at least once. Visible flexural dermatitis was recorded at least once for 129 (28Æ0%). As in other studies, parental allergic history was positively associated with most eczema outcomes, as were higher maternal education and less crowded homes. No clear linear associations between early exposure to house dust mite or cat allergen were found, regardless of the definition of eczema used. The risk of eczema appeared to increase for the three lowest quintiles of house dust mite allergen exposure (odds ratio, OR 1Æ37 for third quintile compared with first), and then to fall for the two highest quintiles (OR 0Æ66 and 0Æ71) even after controlling for confounding factors. Conclusions The lack of any clear exposure–disease relationship between allergens in early life and subsequent eczema argues against allergen exposure being a major factor causing eczema. If the lower levels of eczema at higher levels of house dust mite are confirmed, then interventions aimed at reducing house dust mite in early infancy could paradoxically increase the risk of subsequent eczema.

Evaluation of Educational Environment for Medical Students of a Tertiary Pediatric Hospital in Tehran, Using DREEM Questionnaire

Background: Tertiary pediatric hospitals usually provide excellent clinical services, but such centers have a lot to do for educational perfection. Objectives: This study was performed to address under-graduate educational deficits and find feasible solutions. Patients and Methods: This cross-sectional study was done in a target population of 77 sixth year undergraduate medical students (response rate = 78%) who spent their 3-month pediatric rotation in the Children’s Medical Center, the Pediatrics Center of Excellence in Tehran, Iran. The Dundee ready educational environment measure (DREEM) instrument was used for assessing educational environment of this subspecialized pediatric hospital. Results: Among 60 students who answered the questionnaires, 24 were male (40%). Participants’ age ranged from 23 to 24 years. The mean total score was 95.8 (48%). Comparison of scores based on students’ knowledge showed no significant difference. Problematic areas were learning, academic self-perception, and social self-perception. Conclusions: Having an accurate schedule to train general practitioner, using new teaching methods, and providing a non-stressful atmosphere were suggested solutions.

Clinical diagnosis and management of suspicious pigmented skin lesions: A survey of GPs

BACKGROUND The ability of general practitioners to make important clinical decisions about the diagnosis and management of skin lesions is poorly understood.METHODS A questionnaire on the diagnosis and management of eight photographed skin lesions was sent to 150 GPs in southeast Queensland.RESULTS The questionnaire was completed by 114 GPs (response rate 77%). General practitioners’ provisional diagnoses and management of photographed skin lesions were mostly or always correct, and there was general high consistency between diagnosis and intended management. Pigmented seborrhoeic keratoses were the most difficult lesions for GPs to diagnose correctly. Whether a lesion was different to usual moles appears to have the strongest association with clinical diagnosis.DISCUSSION The high ability of GPs as measured in this artificial study is encouraging. The strong association between identifying moles that appear different to usual and correct clinical diagnoses suggest that unless GPs can increase the number of skin lesions they see as part of their typical workload, their clinical ability may not increase further. Article in Australian family physician 34(1) · January 2005

Caracterización clínica de pacientes pediátricos con tumores cerebrales primarios en un hospital de Bogotá entre 2007-2014

Introducción: En la población pediátrica los tumores cerebrales son la segunda causa de cáncer, la dificultad en su identificación produce tardanza en su diagnóstico y pocos estudios de caracterización han sido realizados en Colombia. Se realizó un estudio para identificar las características en el curso de la enfermedad. Materiales y Métodos: Estudio observacional, descriptivo, de corte transversal con pacientes pediátricos con tumores cerebrales primarios en la clínica infantil Colsubsidio entre 2007-2014. Se revisaron sistemáticamente las historias clínicas de niños con este diagnóstico en patología y posteriormente se desarrolló un análisis univariado de estos. Resultados: 56 niños fueron incluidos, encontrando que el número de consultas previas al diagnóstico fueron más de 4 con un promedio de tiempo entre la evolución de los síntomas y el diagnóstico de 161,1 días. Para la clasificación de la OMS los más frecuentes fueron los embrionarios y astrocíticos, entre estos el meduloblastoma es el más común por histología (14,29%), 50% de los pacientes presentaron remisión y 29,41% fallecieron. Discusión: Los tumores cerebrales primarios son una patología frecuente y con alta morbimortalidad. Este estudio mostró datos epidemiológicos y clínicos similares a la literatura respecto al sexo, edad, tipo de tumor y amplios rangos de tiempo en la evolución de síntomas lo que muestra la naturaleza variable de la enfermedad; se evidencia el diagnóstico tardío en pacientes reconsultantes por el mismo síntoma lo que es frecuente en estos pacientes al igual que en otros estudios nacionales.

Advice to consult a general medical practitioner in Western Australia : Could it be cancer?

Background: Many people will consult a medical practitioner about lower bowel symptoms, and the demand for access to general practitioners (GPs) is growing. We do not know if people recognise the symptoms of lower bowel cancer when advising others about the need to consult a doctor. A structured vignette survey was conducted in Western Australia. Method: Participants were recruited from the waiting rooms at five general practices. Respondents were invited to complete self-administered questionnaires containing nine vignettes chosen at random from a pool of 64 based on six clinical variables. Twenty-seven vignettes described high-risk bowel cancer scenarios. Respondents were asked if they would recommend a medical consultation for the case described and whether they believed the scenario was a cancer presentation. Logistic regression was used to estimate the independent effects of each variable on the respondent's judgement. Two-hundred and sixty-eight completed responses were collected over eight weeks. Results: The majority (61%) of respondents were female, aged 40 years and older. A history of rectal bleeding, six weeks of symptoms, and weight loss independently increased the odds of recommending a consultation with a medical practitioner by a factor of 7.64, 4.11 and 1.86, respectively. Most cases that were identified as cancer (75.2%) would not be classified as such on current research evidence. Factors that predict recognition of cancer presentations include rectal bleeding, weight loss and diarrhoea.

Referral letters in oral medicine: an approach for the general dental practitioner

The aim of this study was to analyze the contents of referral letters related to clinical history and reason for consultation. A total of 236 consecutive referral letters were evaluated. Analysis of the referral letters was based on key items concerning patient identification. chief complaint, previous consultation. laboratory investigation and use of drugs for the chief complaint. A database was organized (Epinfo 6.04) and the chi (2) test (a = 0.05) was applied to the results. of the 800 files examined. only 30%, (236) had a referral letter. of the 236 referral letters. 67% were from dentists, 22% from physicians and 11% from unidentified professionals. Patient age did not appear in 70%, of the letters and the chief complaint was mentioned only in 55%. The letters had no details such as description of the oral lesion (80%), anatomical site (34%), size (99%), symptoms (83%), or period of evolution (92%). Clinical diagnosis was not included in 84% of the letters. Less than 5% of the referral letters contained information about previous consultation and laboratory investigation. The chi (2) test showed significant differences for ail items of the referral letter. Referral letters did not satisfy minimal requirements about clinical history or reason for consultation. leading to failed communication among professionals. Based on this study, we suggest that standard letters are important to improve the quality of the letters, reducing the rate of omission of relevant items.

Testing advertising via new media : an exploratory study of advertising practitioner attitudes

New media, as a free and universal communication tool, has had an impact on the power of the general public to comment on a variety of issues. As the public can comment favourably or unfavourably on advertisements, such as on Youtube, the advertising industry must start using weblogs to research reaction to their advertising campaigns. This exploratory study examines the responses of some advertising industry practitioners, both advertisers and agencies, on the impact of new media, specifically weblogs, and the use of new media as a source of research on advertising campaigns.

Valuation methods for resident funded retirement villages in Australia : a practitioner's perspective

Designed for independent living, retirement villages provide either detached or semi-detached residential dwellings with car parking and small private yards. Retirement village developments usually include a mix of independent living units (ILUs) and serviced apartments (SAs) with community facilities providing a shared congregational area for village activities and socialising. Retirement Village assets differ from traditional residential assets due to their operation in accordance with statutory legislation. In Australia, each State and Territory has its own Retirement Village Act and Regulations. In essence, the village operator provides the land and buildings to the residents who pay an amount on entry for the right of occupation. On departure from the units an agreed proportion of either the original purchase price or the sale price is paid to the outgoing resident. The market value of the operator’s interest in the Retirement Village is therefore based upon the estimated future income from Deferred Management Fees and Capital Gain upon roll-over receivable by the operator in accordance with the respective residency agreements. Given the lumpiness of these payments, there is general acceptance that the most appropriate approach to valuation is through Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis. There is however inconsistency between valuers across Australia in how they undertake their DCF analysis, leading to differences in reported values and subsequent confusion among users of valuation services. To give guidance to valuers and enhance confidence from users of valuation services this paper investigates the five major elements of discounted cash flow methodology, namely cash flows, escalation factors, holding period, terminal value and discount rate. Whilst there is dissatisfaction with the financial structuring of the DMF in residency agreements, as long as there are future financial returns receivable by the Village owner/operator, then DCF will continue to be the most appropriate valuation methodology for resident funded retirement villages.

E-portfolios : developing nurse practitioner competence and capability

Objective: This paper aims to integrate nurse practitioner literature on competence and capability with post graduate and nursing literature on e‑portfolios in order to demonstrate the potential merits of e‑portfolios in nurse practitioner education for competence and capability development. Primary Argument In the Nurse Practitioner Standards Project, competence and capability were proposed as key criteria to assess candidates in nurse practitioner educational courses. Portfolios have traditionally been used to demonstrate competence in nursing and are integral to nursing education as well. An examination of the portfolio and electronic portfolio literature in postgraduate nursing education and professional practice indicates that these portfolios fall under two main structures, each with different purposes: 1) A spinal column structure, with evidence and reflective pieces aligned to competency standards or course objectives, for the purposes of meeting prescribed competencies, professional development planning and showcasing evidence for authorisation or potential employers; and 2) A cake mix structure, which consists of a reflective narrative tying evidence together, which enables a greater focus on personal learning journeys, reflection and the development of personal qualities. Finally, evidence from the general nursing literature suggests the complexity of e‑portfolios in assessment and evaluation can be overcome by using qualitative research methods. Conclusion: To meet the competence and capability needs of nurse practitioners, portfolios could be used, for competence and showcasing and for learning and capability. Further research would be useful to refine and explore the use of e‑portfolios to meet the needs of NP candidates and their educators, clinical mentors, authorisation personal and employers. The current evidence on nurse practitioner education, competence, capability and e‑portfolios points to the integration of the use of an e‑portfolio into current nurse practitioner curriculum models to meet the unique needs of nurse practitioner candidates.