Soliton-type and other travelling wave solutions for an improved class of nonlinear sixth-order Boussinesq equations

An improved class of nonlinear bidirectional Boussinesq equations of sixth order using a wave surface elevation formulation is derived. Exact travelling wave solutions for the proposed class of nonlinear evolution equations are deduced. A new exact travelling wave solution is found which is the uniform limit of a geometric series. The ratio of this series is proportional to a classical soliton-type solution of the form of the square of a hyperbolic secant function. This happens for some values of the wave propagation velocity. However, there are other values of this velocity which display this new type of soliton, but the classical soliton structure vanishes in some regions of the domain. Exact solutions of the form of the square of the classical soliton are also deduced. In some cases, we find that the ratio between the amplitude of this wave and the amplitude of the classical soliton is equal to 35/36. It is shown that different families of travelling wave solutions are associated with different values of the parameters introduced in the improved equations.

Simulation of wave action on a moored container carrier inside Sines’ Harbour

The integrated numerical tool SWAMS (Simulation of Wave Action on Moored Ships) is used to simulate the behavior of a moored container carrier inside Sines’ Harbour. Wave, wind, currents, floating ship and moorings interaction is discussed. Several case scenarios are compared differing in the layout of the harbour and wind and wave conditions. The several harbour layouts correspond to proposed alternatives for the future expansion of Sines’ terminal XXI that include the extension of the East breakwater and of the quay. Additionally, the influence of wind on the behavior of the ship moored and the introduction of pre tensioning the mooring lines was analyzed. Hydrodynamic forces acting on the ship are determined using a modified version of the WAMIT model. This modified model utilizes the Haskind relations and the non-linear wave field inside the harbour obtained with finite element numerical model, BOUSS-WMH (Boussinesq Wave Model for Harbors) to get the wave forces on the ship. The time series of the moored ship motions and forces on moorings are obtained using BAS solver. © 2015 Taylor & Francis Group, London.

Detection and identification of dengue virus isolates from Brazil by a simplified reverse transcription - polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) method

We show here a simplified RT-PCR for identification of dengue virus types 1 and 2. Five dengue virus strains, isolated from Brazilian patients, and yellow fever vaccine 17DD as a negative control, were used in this study. C6/36 cells were infected and supernatants were collected after 7 days. The RT-PCR, done in a single reaction vessel, was carried out following a 1/10 dilution of virus in distilled water or in a detergent mixture containing Nonidet P40. The 50 µl assay reaction mixture included 50 pmol of specific primers amplifying a 482 base pair sequence for dengue type 1 and 210 base pair sequence for dengue type 2. In other assays, we used dengue virus consensus primers having maximum sequence similarity to the four serotypes, amplifying a 511 base pair sequence. The reaction mixture also contained 0.1 mM of the four deoxynucleoside triphosphates, 7.5 U of reverse transcriptase, 1U of thermostable Taq DNA polymerase. The mixture was incubated for 5 minutes at 37ºC for reverse transcription followed by 30 cycles of two-step PCR amplification (92ºC for 60 seconds, 53ºC for 60 seconds) with slow temperature increment. The PCR products were subjected to 1.7% agarose gel electrophoresis and visualized by UV light after staining with ethidium bromide solution. Low virus titer around 10 3, 6 TCID50/ml was detected by RT-PCR for dengue type 1. Specific DNA amplification was observed with all the Brazilian dengue strains by using dengue virus consensus primers. As compared to other RT-PCRs, this assay is less laborious, done in a shorter time, and has reduced risk of contamination

Diagnosis of hepatitis C virus in Brazilian blood donors using a reverse transcriptase nested polymerase chain reaction: comparison with enzyme immunoassay and recombinant protein immunoblot assay

Screening blood donations for anti-HCV antibodies and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) serum levels generally prevents the transmission of hepatitis C virus (HCV) by transfusion. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the efficiency of the enzyme immunoassay (EIA) screening policy in identifying potentially infectious blood donors capable to transmit hepatitis C through blood transfusion. We have used a reverse transcriptase (RT)-nested polymerase chain reaction (PCR) to investigate the presence of HCV-RNA in blood donors. The prevalence of HCV-RNA positive individuals was compared with the recombinant immunoblot assay (RIBA-2) results in order to assess the usefulness of both tests as confirmatory assays. Both tests results were also compared with the EIA-2 OD/C ratio (optical densities of the samples divided by the cut off value). ALT results were expressed as the ALT quotient (qALT), calculated dividing the ALT value of the samples by the maximum normal value (53UI/l) for the method. Donors (n=178) were divided into five groups according to their EIA anti-HCV status and qALT: group A (EIA > or = 3, ALT<1), group B (EIA > or = 3, ALT>1), group C (1<=EIA<3, ALT<1), group D (1<=EIA<3, ALT>1) and group E (EIA<=0.7). HCV sequences were detected by RT-nested PCR, using primers for the most conserved region of viral genome. RIBA-2 was applied to the same samples. In group A (n=6), all samples were positive by RT-nested PCR and RIBA-2. Among 124 samples in group B, 120 (96.8%) were RIBA-2 positive and 4 (3.2%) were RIBA-2 indeterminate but were seropositive for antigen c22.3. In group B, 109 (87.9%) of the RIBA-2 positive samples were also RT-nested PCR positive, as well as were all RIBA-2 indeterminate samples. In group C, all samples (n=9) were RT-nested PCR negative: 4 (44.4%) were also RIBA-2 negative, 4 (44.4%) were RIBA-2 positive and 1 (11.1%) was RIBA-2 indeterminate. HCV-RNA was detected by RT-nested PCR in 3 (37.5%) out of 8 samples in group D. Only one of them was also RIBA-2 positive, all the others were RIBA-2 indeterminate. All of the group E samples (controls) were RT- nested PCR and RIBA-2 negative. Our study suggests a strong relation between anti-HCV EIA-2 ratio > or = 3 and detectable HCV-RNA by RT-nested PCR. We have also noted that blood donors with RIBA-2 indeterminate presented a high degree of detectable HCV-RNA using RT-nested PCR (75%), especially when the c22.3 band was detected.

The role of complex chromosome translocations in leukemia

Resumo A tumorigénese é um processo de transformação celular que se desenrola tipicamente em várias etapas. Os diferentes níveis de evolução tumoral resultam da acumulação sucessiva de mutações genéticas numa célula normal que lhe conferem uma vantagem selectiva no respectivo meio tecidular. As mutações podem manifestar-se sob a forma de alterações nucleotídicas pontuais ao nível da sequência de DNA, levando a uma desregulação da função proteíca ou à formação de proteínas não-funcionais, ou através de alterações cromossómicas numéricas ou estruturais. Na leucemia, por exemplo, os genes híbridos que resultam de translocações cromossómicas desempenham um importante papel no processo tumorigénico. Estes genes são transcritos sob a forma de um RNA mensageiro de fusão, o qual é traduzido numa proteína híbrida com função oncogénica. Frequentemente, os subtipos de doença leucémica estão associados com translocações cromossómicas que envolvem 2 pontos de quebra recorrentes e específicos. É disto exemplo a leucemia mielóide crónica, em que uma translocação recíproca entre os cromossomas 9 e 22 conduz à formação de um gene de fusão BCR-ABL1. Em diferentes subtipos de doença, existe também uma pequena proporção de casos que apresenta translocações cromossómicas complexas, que envolvem um ou mais pontos de quebra adicionais em outras localizações genómicas além das que estão implicadas na formação dos genes de fusão. Por vezes, os pontos de quebra estão também associados a delecções extensas de material genético que se pensa terem uma função importante na tumorigénese. No entanto, o papel destas regiões genómicas no desenvolvimento tumoral não tem sido um motivo recorrente de estudo. Neste contexto, o objectivo desta dissertação foi o de determinar o potencial papel tumorigénico de alterações génicas adicionais ocorridas nos pontos de quebra de translocações cromossómicas complexas. Para a prossecução do objectivo proposto, foram estudados 5 rearranjos cromossómicos distintos associados com diferentes tipos de doença hematológica maligna, nomeadamente a leucemia linfoblástica aguda de células B (2 casos), leucemia mielóide aguda, neoplasma mieloproliferativo e síndrome mielodisplásico/neoplasma ieloproliferativo, não classificável. O mapeamento dos pontos de quebra foi efectuado utilizando a hibridação fluorescente in situ e diferentes metodologias de biologia molecular, tendo como base a informação inicial da análise citogenética. Em casos seleccionados, o papel dos novos genes candidatos foi avaliado in vitro utilizando modelos de linhas celulares, nomeadamente no que respeita às funções de controlo da proliferação celular e de regulação transcricional. De entre os 5 casos estudados, quatro deles evidenciaram translocações complexas envolvendo 3 cromossomas, nomeadamente t(12;21;5)(p13;q22;q13), t(12;6;15)(p13;p24~25;q22), t(9;11;19)(p22;q23;p13) e t(X;20;16)(p11;q13;q23). No caso remanescente, foi observada uma translocação dicêntrica dic(9;12)(p11;p11) acompanhada de delecções extensas em ambos os pontos de quebra. Nos casos com t(12;21;5) e t(9;11;19) as translocações estavam associadas com a presença de genes de fusão recorrentes, nomeadamente TV6(12p13)-RUNX1(21q22) e TLL(11q23)-MLLT3(9p22), indicando que se tratavam de rearranjos complexos das translocações t(12;21) e t(9;11) associadas com a leucemia linfoblástica aguda de células B e a leucemia mielóide aguda, respectivamente. O papel dos pontos de quebra adicionais foi estudado em detalhe no caso com t(9;11;19). Através da metodologia de long distance inverse-polymerase chain reaction, foram identificados os pontos de quebra na sequência de DNA dos 3 cromossomas envolvidos na translocação. Além dos pontos de quebra nos genes MLL e MLLT3, foi observado que o local de quebra no cromossoma 19 interrompeu a sequência de um novo gene, designado CCDC94,conduzindo à sua haplo-insuficiência nas células com t(9;11;19). Através de ensaios de reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction verificámos que o gene CCDC94 é expresso ubiquitariamente em tecidos humanos normais. A análise informática da sequência prevista da proteína CCDC94 indicou uma elevada identidade de aminoácidos com a proteína cwf16, envolvida na regulação do ciclo celular da levedura Schizosaccharomyces pombe. Através da clonagem do DNA complementar de CCDC94 em vectores de expressão, e após a transfecção destes em culturas de linhas celulares in vitro, observámos que este gene codifica uma proteína de localização exclusivamente nuclear. A expressão ectópica da proteína CCDC94 diminuiu a progressão do ciclo celular e a proliferação das células em cultura. Inversamente, a supressão do transcrito do gene CCDC94 através de interferência de RNA conduziu a um aumento significativo da proliferação celular, confirmando que CCDC94 regula negativamente a proliferação e a progressão do ciclo celular. Estes resultados mostram que os pontos de quebra adicionais, presentes em translocações cromossómicas complexas em leucemia, podem resultar na haplo-insuficiência de genes controladores dos mecanismos proliferativos, cooperando desta forma com a acção das proteínas de fusão para proporcionar ao clone leucémico uma proliferação celular descontrolada. Nos restantes 3 casos estudados não foram identificados genes de fusão. Ao invés, todos aqueles apresentaram delecções de extensão variável associadas com os pontos de quebra cromossómicos. No caso com t(12;6;15), identificámos uma delecção de 1.2 megabases de DNA na banda 12p13 que resultou na eliminação de 9 genes incluindo ETV6 e CDKN1B. O gene ETV6 codifica um factor de transcrição que é essencial para a formação das diferentes linhagens hematopoiéticas na medula óssea, enquanto CDKN1B é traduzido numa proteína responsável por bloquear a entrada das células na fase G1 do ciclo celular e,consequentemente, por travar a proliferação celular. Neste contexto, os resultados obtidos indicam que a perda simultânea de ETV6 e de CDKN1B, através de uma translocação cromossómica complexa, constituiu uma acção cooperativa na leucemogénese. A mesma noção pode aplicar-se ao caso com dic(9;12), no qual pelo menos 2 genes que codificam para factores de transcrição importantes na linhagem hematopoiética, PAX5 no cromossoma 9 e ETV6 no cromossoma 12, estavam deleccionados como resultado do rearranjo cromossómico. Dado que o factor de transcrição PAX5 regula negativamente a expressão do gene FLT3, que desempenha uma função pró-proliferativa, é expectável que a haplo-insuficiência de PAX5 no caso com dic(9;12) terá tido como consequência uma elevação dos níveis de expressão de FLT3, contribuindo deste modo para uma proliferação celular aumentada. A t(X;20;16) foi identificada num doente com trombocitémia essencial (TE), uma doença que está intimamente relacionada com alterações de vias intracelulares reguladas por citocinas. Neste caso, através da utilização de um array genómico, identificámos a presença de pequenas delecções associadas com os pontos de quebra nos cromossomas 16 e 20. No cromossoma 16 apenas um gene, MAF, estava deleccionado, enquanto no cromossoma 20 a delecção tinha abrangido 3 genes. Dos genes deleccionados, dois deles, NFATC2 (20q13) e MAF (16q23), codificam proteínas que operam como reguladores transcricionais de citocinas hematopoiéticas. Dado que NFATC2 se localiza numa região que constitui um alvo frequente de delecções em neoplasmas ieloproliferativos, incluindo a trombocitémia essencial,efectuámos um estudo detalhado do papel deste gene na proliferação megacariocítica e na regulação da expressão de uma citocina hematopoiética (GM-CSF), implicada na maturação das diferentes linhagens mielóides. Utilizando um modelo de linha celular de trombocitémia essencial, verificámos que a supressão do transcrito do gene NFATC2 in vitro, por interferência de RNA, estava associada com um aumento da proliferação celular. Em concordância, o bloqueio da activação da proteína NFATC2 através de um inibidor específico da sua interacção com a calcineurina, conduziu a um aumento da proliferação celular in vitro. Utilizando a PCR quantitativa em tempo real, detectou-se um aumento da produção do RNA de GM-CSF em ambos os ensaios celulares, indicando que o factor de transcrição NFATC2 pode regular negativamente a expressão de GM-CSF em células de trombocitémia essencial. No geral, estes resultados mostram que a redução dos níveis fisiológicos do transcrito NFATC2, ou a redução da respectiva actividade proteica, estão relacionados com a proliferação de megacariocitos através do aumento da produção de GM-CSF. De acordo com estes resultados, verificámos que as células dos doentes com TE apresentam níveis mais baixos do transcrito NFATC2 do que a população normal. Dado que o factor de transcrição MAF desempenha igualmente um papel como regular transcricional de citocinas, é plausível que a haplo-insuficiência dos genes NFATC2 e MAF, resultante do rearranjo cromossómico complexo t(X;20;16), teve um efeito cooperativo importante na patogénese da trombocitémia essencial através da alteração do padrão normal de expressão das citocinas hematopoiéticas. Em síntese, efectuámos nesta dissertação um estudo citogenético de 4 translocações cromossómicas complexas incluindo t(12;21;5), t(12;6;15), t(9;11;19) e t(X;20;16), e de uma translocação dicêntrica dic(9;12), associadas com diferentes neoplasmas hematológicos. Em casos seleccionados efectuámos também um estudo molecular detalhado das regiões dos pontos de quebra. Esta análise permitiu-nos identificar 2 genes, CCDC94 no cromossoma 19 e NFATC2 no cromossoma 20, cuja haplo-insuficiência pode promover o aumento da proliferação celular das células leucémicas. A partir destes estudos podem ser retiradas 2 noções principais: (i) Os pontos de quebra adicionais, que ocorrem em translocações complexas associadas com a formação de genes de fusão, podem ter como consequência a desregulação de genes controladores da proliferação celular (e.g., CCDC94); (ii) As translocações complexas caracterizadas pela ausência de genes de fusão recorrentes poderão estar preferencialmente associadas com a presença de delecções, envolvendo um ou mais genes, nos pontos de quebra; nestas situações, serão necessários pelo menos 2 genes com funções celulares semelhantes (e.g., NFATC2 e MAF) ou complementares (e.g., ETV6 e CDKN1B) para, quando deleccionados, promoverem de forma cooperativa a leucemogénese. Nestes termos, o modelo de alterações genéticas sequenciais que caracteriza o desenvolvimento do cancro pode ser substituído por um modelo em que vários genes-alvo são simultaneamente desregulados pela formação de uma translocação cromossómica complexa, evitando deste modo a necessidade de ocorrência de alterações genéticas subsequentes.----------------------ABSTRACT: Tumourigenesis is a multistep process which results from the accumulation of successive genetic mutations in a normal cell. In leukemia for instance, recurrent translocations play a part in this process by generating fusion genes which lead to the production of hybrid proteins with an oncogenic role. However, a minor subset of chromosomal translocations referred to as complex or variant involves extra breakpoints at variable genome locations in addition to those implicated in the formation of fusion genes. We aimed to describe in this work the role, if any, of genes located at extra breakpoint locations or which are affected by breakpoint-adjacent deletions through the study of 5 leukemia patients.Two of the patients presented with TV6(12p13)-RUNX1(21q22) and MLL(11q23)- MLLT3(9p22) fusion genes as a result of a t(12;21;5) and a t(9;11;19), respectively. Detailed molecular characterization of the extra breakpoint at chromosome 19 in the latter case revealed that a novel ubiquitously expressed gene, CCDC94, with a potential role in cell cycle regulation, was disrupted by the breakpoint. We demonstrated using in vitro cellular assays that this gene codifies for a nuclear protein which negatively regulates cell cycle progression. These data shows that extra breakpoint locations of complex translocations may result in haplo-insufficiency of critical proliferation genes, thereby cooperating with the generation of hybrid proteins to provide unrestrained cell proliferation. In the other 3 patients there were reakpoint-associated deletions which precluded the formation of putative fusion genes. In a case with a t(12;6;15) we characterized a deletion at 12p13 which eliminated ETV6 and 8 other genes including CDKN1B. These findings indicate that concomitant loss of ETV6 and CDKN1B, which encodes a cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitor responsible for blocking entry of cells into the G1 phase of the cell cycle, acted cooperatively to promote leukemogenic proliferation. The same notion applied to a case with a dic(9;12) in which 2 genes encoding hematopoietic transcription factors - ETV6 and PAX5 (9p13)- were deleted as a result of breakpoint-adjacent deletions. Similarly, we found that 2 transcription factor genes involved in the regulation of cytokine expression, NFATC2 (20q13) and MAF (16q23), were involved in deletions contiguous to the breakpoints in a patient with a t(X;20;16). In vitro suppression of NFATC2 mRNA or inhibiton of NFATC2 protein activity enhanced cell proliferation as a result of an increase in the production of a myeloid-lineage stimulating hematopoietic cytokine, GM-CSF. These results suggest that haplo-insufficiency of NFATC2 and MAF genes had a cooperative effect in inducing cell proliferation as a result of a disregulation of cytokine production. Two main conclusions may be drawn from our studies: (i) In complex translocations associated with the production of fusion genes, additional breakpoints may cooperate in tumourigenesis by targeting genes that control cell proliferation; (ii) In complex translocations associated with small breakpoint-adjacent deletions, at least 2 genes with similar or complementary functions need to be deregulated to promote tumourigenesis.

Analysis of HIV- type 1 protease and reverse transcriptase in Brazilian children failing highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART)

The aim of this study was to evaluate the genotypic resistance profiles of HIV-1 in children failing highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). Forty-one children (median age = 67 months) receiving HAART were submitted to genotypic testing when virological failure was detected. cDNA was extracted from PBMCs and amplified by nested PCR for the reverse transcriptase and protease regions of the pol gene. Drug resistance genotypes were determined from DNA sequencing. According to the genotypic analysis, 12/36 (33.3%) and 6/36 (16.6%) children showed resistance and possible resistance, respectively, to ZDV; 5/36 (14%) and 4/36 (11.1%), respectively, showed resistance and possible resistance to ddI; 4/36 (11.1%) showed resistance to 3TC and D4T; and 3/36 (8.3%) showed resistance to Abacavir. A high percentage (54%) of children exhibited mutations conferring resistance to NNRTI class drugs. Respective rates of resistance and possible resistance to PIs were: RTV (12.2%, 7.3%); APV (2.4%, 12.1%); SQV(0%, 12.1%); IDV (14.6%, 4.9%), NFV (22%, 4.9%), LPV/RTV (2.4%, 12.1%). Overall, 37/41 (90%) children exhibited virus with mutations related to drug resistance, while 9% exhibited resistance to all three antiretroviral drug classes.

Genetic Control of Mosquitoes: population suppression strategies

Over the last two decades, morbidity and mortality from malaria and dengue fever among other pathogens are an increasing Public Health problem. The increase in the geographic distribution of vectors is accompanied by the emergence of viruses and diseases in new areas. There are insufficient specific therapeutic drugs available and there are no reliable vaccines for malaria or dengue, although some progress has been achieved, there is still a long way between its development and actual field use. Most mosquito control measures have failed to achieve their goals, mostly because of the mosquito's great reproductive capacity and genomic flexibility. Chemical control is increasingly restricted due to potential human toxicity, mortality in no target organisms, insecticide resistance, and other environmental impacts. Other strategies for mosquito control are desperately needed. The Sterile Insect Technique (SIT) is a species-specific and environmentally benign method for insect population suppression, it is based on mass rearing, radiation mediated sterilization, and release of a large number of male insects. Releasing of Insects carrying a dominant lethal gene (RIDL) offers a solution to many of the drawbacks of traditional SIT that have limited its application in mosquitoes while maintaining its environmentally friendly and species-specific utility. The self-limiting nature of sterile mosquitoes tends to make the issues related to field use of these somewhat less challenging than for self-spreading systems characteristic of population replacement strategies. They also are closer to field use, so might be appropriate to consider first. The prospect of genetic control methods against mosquito vectored human diseases is rapidly becoming a reality, many decisions will need to be made on a national, regional and international level regarding the biosafety, social, cultural and ethical aspects of the use and deployment of these vector control methods.

Internship report: A guide to structured products – Reverse convertible on S&P500

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Finance from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

Time to Left Ventricular Reverse Remodeling after Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy: Better Late than Never

INTRODUCTION: Left ventricular reverse remodeling (LVRR), defined as reduction of end-diastolic and end-systolic dimensions and improvement of ejection fraction, is associated with the prognostic implications of cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT). The time course of LVRR remains poorly characterized. Nevertheless, it has been suggested that it occurs ≤6 months after CRT. OBJECTIVE: To characterize the long-term echocardiographic and clinical evolution of patients with LVRR occurring >6 months after CRT and to identify predictors of a delayed LVRR response. METHODS: A total of 127 consecutive patients after successful CRT implantation were divided into three groups according to LVRR response: Group A, 19 patients (15%) with LVRR after >6 months (late LVRR); Group B, 58 patients (46%) with LVRR before 6 months (early LVRR); and Group C, 50 patients (39%) without LVRR during follow-up (no LVRR). RESULTS: The late LVRR group was older, more often had ischemic etiology and fewer patients were in NYHA class ≤II. Overall, group A presented LVRR between group B and C. This was also the case with the percentage of clinical response (68.4% vs. 94.8% vs. 38.3%, respectively, p<0.001), and hospital readmissions due to decompensated heart failure (31.6% vs. 12.1% vs. 57.1%, respectively, p<0.001). Ischemic etiology (OR 0.044; p=0.013) and NYHA functional class

Economic analysis in health care regulation : three essays

ABSTRACT - It is the purpose of the present thesis to emphasize, through a series of examples, the need and value of appropriate pre-analysis of the impact of health care regulation. Specifically, the thesis presents three papers on the theme of regulation in different aspects of health care provision and financing. The first two consist of economic analyses of the impact of health care regulation and the third comprises the creation of an instrument for supporting economic analysis of health care regulation, namely in the field of evaluation of health care programs. The first paper develops a model of health plan competition and pricing in order to understand the dynamics of health plan entry and exit in the presence of switching costs and alternative health premium payment systems. We build an explicit model of death spirals, in which profitmaximizing competing health plans find it optimal to adopt a pattern of increasing relative prices culminating in health plan exit. We find the steady-state numerical solution for the price sequence and the plan’s optimal length of life through simulation and do some comparative statics. This allows us to show that using risk adjusted premiums and imposing price floors are effective at reducing death spirals and switching costs, while having employees pay a fixed share of the premium enhances death spirals and increases switching costs. Price regulation of pharmaceuticals is one of the cost control measures adopted by the Portuguese government, as in many European countries. When such regulation decreases the products’ real price over time, it may create an incentive for product turnover. Using panel data for the period of 1997 through 2003 on drug packages sold in Portuguese pharmacies, the second paper addresses the question of whether price control policies create an incentive for product withdrawal. Our work builds the product survival literature by accounting for unobservable product characteristics and heterogeneity among consumers when constructing quality, price control and competition indexes. These indexes are then used as covariates in a Cox proportional hazard model. We find that, indeed, price control measures increase the probability of exit, and that such effect is not verified in OTC market where no such price regulation measures exist. We also find quality to have a significant positive impact on product survival. In the third paper, we develop a microsimulation discrete events model (MSDEM) for costeffectiveness analysis of Human Immunodeficiency Virus treatment, simulating individual paths from antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation to death. Four driving forces determine the course of events: CD4+ cell count, viral load resistance and adherence. A novel feature of the model with respect to the previous MSDEMs is that distributions of time to event depend on individuals’ characteristics and past history. Time to event was modeled using parametric survival analysis. Events modeled include: viral suppression, regimen switch due virological failure, regimen switch due to other reasons, resistance development, hospitalization, AIDS events, and death. Disease progression is structured according to therapy lines and the model is parameterized with cohort Portuguese observational data. An application of the model is presented comparing the cost-effectiveness ART initiation with two nucleoside analogue reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTI) plus one non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor(NNRTI) to two NRTI plus boosted protease inhibitor (PI/r) in HIV- 1 infected individuals. We find 2NRTI+NNRTI to be a dominant strategy. Results predicted by the model reproduce those of the data used for parameterization and are in line with those published in the literature.

Selection of a co-operation agreement between EMOVE – Innovative Technologies and WavEC – Wave Energy Center

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Management from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

Reframing reverse logistics, reducing costs

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Management from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

Reverse Mortgage em Portugal: uma abordagem actuarial

Reverse Mortgage é um tipo de produto financeiro já comercializado em vários países (EUA, Reino Unido, Austrália, Espanha, etc.) mas que não teve ainda visibilidade em Portugal. Destina-se a pessoas com mais de 65 anos, com habitação própria e livres de encargos com a mesma, que pretendam obter um rendimento extra, dando a sua casa como garantia. Na contratação de uma Reverse Mortgage, os proprietários podem receber um montante inicial e/ou uma renda até ao final das suas vidas, mantendo o usufruto da habitação. No momento da morte, o valor da venda do imóvel é utilizado para pagar o empréstimo contraído. Assim, Reverse Mortgage permite reestabelecer ou reforçar a autonomia financeira de pessoas que, durante a sua vida activa, constituíram património mas que, por algum motivo, perderam poder económico ou se encontram actualmente com dificuldades financeiras e que não estão, no entanto, dispostas a desfazer-se da sua habitação para fazer face aos seus compromissos. Nesta dissertação pretende estudar-se a possibilidade de implementação em Portugal desta solução de hipoteca e analisar do ponto de vista actuarial as diferentes variáveis associadas a este produto, nomeadamente os montantes a receber pelo mutuário.

Experimental and modeling studies on reverse electrodialysis for sustainable power generation

A potentially renewable and sustainable source of energy is the chemical energy associated with solvation of salts. Mixing of two aqueous streams with different saline concentrations is spontaneous and releases energy. The global theoretically obtainable power from salinity gradient energy due to World’s rivers discharge into the oceans has been estimated to be within the range of 1.4-2.6 TW. Reverse electrodialysis (RED) is one of the emerging, membrane-based, technologies for harvesting the salinity gradient energy. A common RED stack is composed by alternately-arranged cation- and anion-exchange membranes, stacked between two electrodes. The compartments between the membranes are alternately fed with concentrated (e.g., sea water) and dilute (e.g., river water) saline solutions. Migration of the respective counter-ions through the membranes leads to ionic current between the electrodes, where an appropriate redox pair converts the chemical salinity gradient energy into electrical energy. Given the importance of the need for new sources of energy for power generation, the present study aims at better understanding and solving current challenges, associated with the RED stack design, fluid dynamics, ionic mass transfer and long-term RED stack performance with natural saline solutions as feedwaters. Chronopotentiometry was used to determinate diffusion boundary layer (DBL) thickness from diffusion relaxation data and the flow entrance effects on mass transfer were found to avail a power generation increase in RED stacks. Increasing the linear flow velocity also leads to a decrease of DBL thickness but on the cost of a higher pressure drop. Pressure drop inside RED stacks was successfully simulated by the developed mathematical model, in which contribution of several pressure drops, that until now have not been considered, was included. The effect of each pressure drop on the RED stack performance was identified and rationalized and guidelines for planning and/or optimization of RED stacks were derived. The design of new profiled membranes, with a chevron corrugation structure, was proposed using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling. The performance of the suggested corrugation geometry was compared with the already existing ones, as well as with the use of conductive and non-conductive spacers. According to the estimations, use of chevron structures grants the highest net power density values, at the best compromise between the mass transfer coefficient and the pressure drop values. Finally, long-term experiments with natural waters were performed, during which fouling was experienced. For the first time, 2D fluorescence spectroscopy was used to monitor RED stack performance, with a dedicated focus on following fouling on ion-exchange membrane surfaces. To extract relevant information from fluorescence spectra, parallel factor analysis (PARAFAC) was performed. Moreover, the information obtained was then used to predict net power density, stack electric resistance and pressure drop by multivariate statistical models based on projection to latent structures (PLS) modeling. The use in such models of 2D fluorescence data, containing hidden, but extractable by PARAFAC, information about fouling on membrane surfaces, considerably improved the models fitting to the experimental data.

A wave of change: Labor market and social security impacts of the EU refugee inflow

The recent massive inflow of refugees to the European Union (EU) raises a number of unanswered questions on the economic impact of this phenomenon. To examine these questions, we constructed an overlapping-generations model that describes the evolution of the skill premium and of the welfare benefit level in relevant European countries, in the aftermath of an inflow of asylum-seekers. In our simulation, relative wages of skilled workers increase between 8% and 11% in the period of the inflow; their subsequent time path is dependent on the initial skill premium. The entry of migrants creates a fiscal surplus of about 8%, which can finance higher welfare benefits in the subsequent periods. These effects are weaker in a scenario where refugees do not fully integrate into the labor market.