A unified approach for representing rows and columns in contingency tables

By using suitable parameters, we present a uni¯ed aproach for describing four methods for representing categorical data in a contingency table. These methods include: correspondence analysis (CA), the alternative approach using Hellinger distance (HD), the log-ratio (LR) alternative, which is appropriate for compositional data, and the so-called non-symmetrical correspondence analysis (NSCA). We then make an appropriate comparison among these four methods and some illustrative examples are given. Some approaches based on cumulative frequencies are also linked and studied using matrices. Key words: Correspondence analysis, Hellinger distance, Non-symmetrical correspondence analysis, log-ratio analysis, Taguchi inertia

Estudio de seguimiento de las audiometrías de los años 2009, 2010 y 2011 de los pilotos de las fuerzas militares

La audición es el segundo mecanismo sensorial más importante después de la visión para obtener información durante la operación de una aeronave. Les permite a los pilotos percibir, procesar identificar los sonidos del ambiente que los rodea. Así necesita oír bien tanto en vuelo como en tierra, especialmente entre 500 y 3000 Hz para la recepción del lenguaje hablado y de las señales auditivas. Objetivo: Determinar los cambios progresivos en el tiempo y las frecuencias auditivas que se afectan en las audiometrías de los pilotos militares de las fuerzas militares en los años 2009, 2010 y 2011. Material y Métodos: Se trata de un estudio longitudinal de cohorte en el cual se identificará el comportamiento de las audiometrías de la población de pilotos de las fuerzas militares de Colombia en los años 2009, 2010 y 2011. Se hará una revisión retrospectiva de dichas audiometrías. Para dicho fin se tomó la población de pilotos de fuerzas militares que fueron distribuidos en grupos de pilotos de aeronave de ala fija que corresponden a 47 pilotos y ala rotatoria que son 155. Conclusiones: Se encontró que la frecuencia mas alterada en la población total fue la de 6000 Hz, que en lo pilotos de ala fija las frecuencias más afectadas fueron las de 4000 Hz y la de 6000Hz, la frecuencia más afectada en los pilotos de ala rotatoria fueron las de 4000 Hz, 6000 Hz y 8000 Hz, con lo que se concluye que la exposición en los pilotos afecta las frecuencias altas en las audiometrías. Se observó una relación con el número de horas de vuelo y las alteraciones audiométricas encontrándose una alteración en los pilotos entre 1000 y 4000 horas de vuelo en las frecuencias de 4000 Hz, 6000 Hz y 8000 Hz y una alteración de las todas las frecuencias en aquellos pilotos con más de 5000 horas de vuelo en el año 2009, presentando posterior recuperación en los años posteriores sin poder determinar en este estudio las causas de dicha recuperación. Los pilotos de ala rotatoria presentaron un incremento sostenido en todas las frecuencias en comparación con los pilotos de ala fija.

A simple test of momentum in foreign exchange markets

This study proposes a new method for testing for the presence of momentum in nominal exchange rates, using a probabilistic approach. We illustrate our methodology estimating a binary response model using information on local currency / US dollar exchange rates of eight emerging economies. After controlling for important variables a§ecting the behavior of exchange rates in the short-run, we show evidence of exchange rate inertia; in other words, we Önd that exchange rate momentum is a common feature in this group of emerging economies, and thus foreign exchange traders participating in these markets are able to make excess returns by following technical analysis strategies. We Önd that the presence of momentum is asymmetric, being stronger in moments of currency depreciation than of appreciation. This behavior may be associated with central bank intervention

Risk, ambiguity, and diversification

Attitudes toward risk influence the decision to diversify among uncertain options. Yet, because in most situations the options are ambiguous, attitudes toward ambiguity may also play an important role. I conduct a laboratory experiment to investigate the effect of ambiguity on the decision to diversify. I find that diversification is more prevalent and more persistent under ambiguity than under risk. Moreover, excess diversification under ambiguity is driven by participants who stick with a status quo gamble when diversification among gambles is not feasible. This behavioral pattern cannot be accommodated by major theories of choice under ambiguity.

Estructura i dinàmica del sistema bentònic en llacunes costaneres dels aiguamolls de l'Empordà

S'ha estudiat l'estructura i dinàmica del sistema bentònic de llacunes costaneres de la maresma dels aiguamolls de l'Empordà (NE de la península Ibèrica) i els factors que les determinen. Amb aquesta finalitat es van prendre mostres d'organismes del bentos (mensualment), nutrients i pigments de l'aigua (setmanalment) i el sediment (mensualment), així com paràmetres físics de l'aigua (setmanalment), durant dos cicles d'inundació (1997-1998 i 1998-1999). En aquesta maresma els factors determinants per als organismes bentònics i el contingut en nutrients del sediment són principalment físics: el grau de permanència de l'aigua, el confinament i la granulometria. De manera que els factors tròfics tenen menys pes que els físics tal com es posa de manifest amb les associacions de nematodes. El règim hídric de les llacunes integra des del grau de permanència de l'aigua fins a la salinitat i el confinament, per la qual cosa a partir de la caracterització dels diferents tipus de règim hídric es poden discriminar les tres tipologies d'ambients amb comunitats bentòniques diferenciades en l'estructura, la composició i la dinàmica temporal. Així, les tres comunitats diferenciades són: (1) la d'aigües permanents caracteritzada per una riquesa i diversitat elevades i constants en el temps, i per un nombre més elevat de tàxons sense adaptacions per passar situacions adverses; (2) la d'aigües semipermanents i temporànies d'inundació pulsativa, caracteritzada per una menor riquesa i diversitat, i per la dominància d'organismes amb estructures de resistència per passar la fase seca i aguantar condicions desfavorables, i (3) la d'aigües temporànies d'inundació continuada, caracteritzada per una major variabilitat de la riquesa i diversitat al llarg del cicle i per una singularitat taxonòmica més elevada, ja que s'observen cladòcers i una major representació taxonòmica dels insectes. Durant la realització d'aquest estudi els dos cicles d'inundació van suposar entrades d'aigua en el sistema diferents, per això es va diferenciar un cicle humit (1997-1998) i un de sec (1998-1999). En relació amb la major importància de les entrades d'aigua en el sistema, es va observar un contingut en nutrients de l'aigua significativament superior durant el cicle humit. Pel que fa al sediment, la seva major inèrcia explicaria la manca de diferències significatives en el contingut en nutrients del sediment del cicle humit i del sec. Ara bé, sí que s'observa diferència en la composició d'organismes. Així, la variabilitat interanual en l'estructura de la comunitat bentònica de la maresma es pot atribuir a una situació d'estrès provocada pel cicle sec. Aquesta situació va comportar un augment de la diversitat per disminució de la dominància a totes les llacunes estudiades, determinada, en gran manera, per la disminució de l'abundància original de poblacions dominants i característiques d'ambients permanents, Corophium orientale, o temporànies, Gammarus aequicauda. No existeix un patró estacional en les comunitats estudiades, sinó que els principals canvis en el plàncton i el bentos són deguts a pertorbacions hídriques. Aquestes pertorbacions provoquen que s'estableixi una situació en què dominen uns tàxons característics en el plàncton (Synchaeta i Eutintinnus) i, en canvi, que en el bentos es perdi l'estructura pròpia de les comunitats característiques dels diferents ambients (comunitats dominades per Corophium orinetale en aigües permanents i per Chironomus salinarius en temporànies). La severitat és diferent en funció del grau de permanència de l'aigua, i és més alta en ambients permanents i més baixa en els temporanis. La major severitat en ambients permanents ve determinada per la menor adaptació del bentos d'aigües permanents a les fluctuacions ambientals i a l'efecte de la predació sobre el plàncton. A més, tant en el bentos com en el plàncton es donen fenòmens d'histèresi, segons els quals l'efecte de la pertorbació no solament depèn de la causa pertorbadora sinó també de l'estat en què es troba la comunitat en el moment de la pertorbació.

Formação em contexto, revitalizadora de aprendizagens pessoais, profissionais e organizacionais

Muito se tem teorizado sobre a formação contínua dos professores e a sua implicação no desenvolvimento pessoal e profissional dos docentes, tendo sempre presente as necessárias melhorias no sistema educativo. Entre a dimensão teórica que nos reconforta pela quantidade de saberes acumulados ao longo dos anos e a dimensão prática que se esvanece frequentemente na inércia e rotinas diárias dos professores fica a ausência de uma formação contínua adequada às verdadeiras necessidades dos seus profissionais. Falta proporcionar o encontro mais sistemático entre teoria e prática em contexto, ou vice-versa, numa simbiose perfeita de sentidos para que a formação se torne essencial e determinante na prática diária do professor. A reflexão e o profundo questionamento sobre esta temática colocaram-nos diante de uma questão extremamente pertinente: que formação contínua em contexto proporcionar aos docentes, promotora de aprendizagens (pessoais, profissionais, organizacionais) e da melhoria dos resultados escolares num Agrupamento de Escolas? As respostas estão implícitas na formulação do tema do presente trabalho: (i) a formação em contexto permite revitalizar aprendizagens pessoais, profissionais e organizacionais; (ii) (re)pensar e (re)dinamizar as dinâmicas de trabalho entre professores, bem como criar novas dinâmicas organizacionais, procurando desenvolver saberes e competências individuais que devidamente aproveitados farão da escola um espaço de trabalho agradável, onde a partilha, o trabalho colaborativo e reflexivo melhorarão naturalmente as práticas do quotidiano escolar. Efetuou-se um levantamento das ações realizadas pelos docentes do agrupamento e verificou-se que maioritariamente se faziam fora do âmbito disciplinar, constrangimento apontado pela falta de formações específicas nas áreas disciplinares. Esta e outras questões foram validadas a partir das entrevistas semiestruturadas realizadas a docentes do agrupamento que confirmaram existir no contexto escolar oportunidades de aprendizagem desaproveitadas. Partindo das fundamentações necessárias, quer a partir dos dados, quer a partir de um quadro concetual teórico, quer ainda da opinião muito favorável das professoras entrevistadas, propomos um projeto de formação pró-ativo concebido para um agrupamento de escolas que contribua para a melhoria das práticas letivas.

Linear viscoelasticity from molecular dynamics simulation of entangled polymers

The linear viscoelastic (LVE) spectrum is one of the primary fingerprints of polymer solutions and melts, carrying information about most relaxation processes in the system. Many single chain theories and models start with predicting the LVE spectrum to validate their assumptions. However, until now, no reliable linear stress relaxation data were available from simulations of multichain systems. In this work, we propose a new efficient way to calculate a wide variety of correlation functions and mean-square displacements during simulations without significant additional CPU cost. Using this method, we calculate stress−stress autocorrelation functions for a simple bead−spring model of polymer melt for a wide range of chain lengths, densities, temperatures, and chain stiffnesses. The obtained stress−stress autocorrelation functions were compared with the single chain slip−spring model in order to obtain entanglement related parameters, such as the plateau modulus or the molecular weight between entanglements. Then, the dependence of the plateau modulus on the packing length is discussed. We have also identified three different contributions to the stress relaxation:  bond length relaxation, colloidal and polymeric. Their dependence on the density and the temperature is demonstrated for short unentangled systems without inertia.

Benchmarking 2D hydraulic models for urban flooding

This paper describes benchmark testing of six two-dimensional (2D) hydraulic models (DIVAST, DIVASTTVD, TUFLOW, JFLOW, TRENT and LISFLOOD-FP) in terms of their ability to simulate surface flows in a densely urbanised area. The models are applied to a 1·0 km × 0·4 km urban catchment within the city of Glasgow, Scotland, UK, and are used to simulate a flood event that occurred at this site on 30 July 2002. An identical numerical grid describing the underlying topography is constructed for each model, using a combination of airborne laser altimetry (LiDAR) fused with digital map data, and used to run a benchmark simulation. Two numerical experiments were then conducted to test the response of each model to topographic error and uncertainty over friction parameterisation. While all the models tested produce plausible results, subtle differences between particular groups of codes give considerable insight into both the practice and science of urban hydraulic modelling. In particular, the results show that the terrain data available from modern LiDAR systems are sufficiently accurate and resolved for simulating urban flows, but such data need to be fused with digital map data of building topology and land use to gain maximum benefit from the information contained therein. When such terrain data are available, uncertainty in friction parameters becomes a more dominant factor than topographic error for typical problems. The simulations also show that flows in urban environments are characterised by numerous transitions to supercritical flow and numerical shocks. However, the effects of these are localised and they do not appear to affect overall wave propagation. In contrast, inertia terms are shown to be important in this particular case, but the specific characteristics of the test site may mean that this does not hold more generally.

Moving towards a more mechanistic approach in the determination of soil heat flux from remote measurements - II. Diurnal shape of soil heat flux

For vegetated surfaces, calculation of soil heat flux, G, with the Exact or Analytical method requires a harmonic analysis of below-canopy soil surface temperature, to obtain the shape of the diurnal course of G. When determining G with remote sensing methods, only composite (vegetation plus soil) radiometric brightness temperature is available. This paper presents a simple equation that relates the sum of the harmonic terms derived for the composite radiometric surface temperature to that of belowcanopy soil surface temperature. The thermal inertia, Gamma(,) for which a simple equation has been presented in a companion paper, paper I, is used to set the magnitude of G. To assess the success of the method proposed in this paper for the estimation of the diurnal shape of G, a comparison was made between 'remote' and in situ calculated values from described field sites. This indicated that the proposed method was suitable for the estimation of the shape of G for a variety of vegetation types and densities. The approach outlined in paper I, to obtain Gamma, was then combined with the estimated harmonic terms to predict estimates of G, which were compared to values predicted by empirical remote methods found in the literature. This indicated that the method proposed in the combination of papers I and II gave reliable estimates of G, which, in comparison to the other methods, resulted in more realistic predictions for vegetated surfaces. This set of equations can also be used for bare and sparsely vegetated soils, making it a universally applicable method. (C) 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

A weaker Agulhas Current leads to more Agulhas leakage

Time series of transports in the Agulhas region have been constructed by simulating Lagrangian drifter trajectories in a 1/10 degree two-way nested ocean model. Using these 34 year long time series it is shown that smaller (larger) Agulhas Current transport leads to larger (smaller) Indian-Atlantic inter-ocean exchange. When transport is low, the Agulhas Current detaches farther downstream from the African continental slope. Moreover, the lower inertia suppresses generation of anti-cyclonic vorticity. These two effects cause the Agulhas retroflection to move westward and enhance Agulhas leakage. In the model a 1 Sv decrease in Agulhas Current transport at 32°S results in a 0.7 ± 0.2 Sv increase in Agulhas leakage.

Microwave spectrum of CHD2CN and CHD2NC, and the harmonic force field and rz structure of methyl cyanide and isocyanide

The microwave spectra of CHD2CN and CHD2NC have been measured from 18 to 40 GHz; about 20 type A and 30 type C transitions have been observed for each molecule. These have been fitted to a Hamiltonian using 3 rotational constants, and 5 quartic and 4 sextic distortion constants, in the IrS reduction of Watson [in “Vibrational spectra and structure” Vol. 6 (1977)]; the standard error of the fit is 26 kHz. For methyl cyanide the 5 quartic distortion constants have been used to further refine the recent harmonic force field of Duncan et al. [J. Mol. Spectrosc. 69, 123 (1978)], but the changes are small. Finally, for both molecules, the harmonic force field has been used to determine zero point average moments of inertia Iz from the ground state rotational constants for many isotopic species, and these have been used to determine an rz structure. The results are compared with rs structure calculations.

An anharmonic force field for SO3

An anharmonic force field for SO3 based on the valence force model has been investigated. The results of extending the model to include some further estimated cubic interaction potential constants have also been investigated. The phenomenological parameters calculated from both model force fields agree with those few values which have been experimentally determined. A calculation of the inertia defect has been made, and thus the value of C0 has been determined. The equilibrium structure has been determined to be: re = 1.4184 ± 0.0010 Å.

Nitrous acid: vibrational frequency shifts due to 15N substitution, and the harmonic force field

Vibration rotation spectra of HO15 NO and DO15 NO have been measured at a resolution of 0•04 cm-1 to determine the isotopic shifts in the vibrational band origins. These have been used together with recently determined data on the vibrational band origins, Coriolis constants, and centrifugal distorition constants, to determine the harmonic force field of both cis and trans nitrous acid in least squares refinement calculations. The results are discussed in relation to recent ab initio calculations, the inertia defects, and the torsional potential function.

Coriolis perturbations in the infrared spectrum of diborane

High‐resolution infrared spectra of B2H6 vapor are reported. The sample was prepared from the naturally occurring 11B☒10B isotopic mixture. The rotational structure of the infrared bands has been analysed for Coriolis perturbations due to rotation about the axis of least moment of inertia (the B⋅⋅⋅B axis). The following results have been obtained: (a) interaction between the Type A fundamental ν18 and the inactive fundamental ν5 has been observed, thus confirming the assignment of ν5 at 833 cm—1, giving ∣ ζ5,18Z ∣=0.55±0.05; (b) interaction observed between the Type A combination band (ν10+ν12) at 1283 cm—1 and the inactive combination (ν10+ν7) gives an estimate of the unobserved fundamental ν7 as 850±30 cm—1, and an estimate of ∣ ζ7,12Z ∣=0.6±0.1; (c) the absence of any observed perturbation of the Type C fundamental ν14 at 973 cm—1, suggests, by negative arguments, that either the unobserved fundamental ν9 does not lie in the frequency range 900 to 1100 cm—1, or ∣ ζ9,14Z ∣<0.2. The assignment of the unobserved fundamental vibrations of diborane is discussed in the light of this evidence.

The microwave spectrum of thietan-2,2,4,4-d4

The microwave spectrum for thietan-2,2,4,4-d4 is analysed in six of its lowest puckering states and up to J = 25. The close lying pairs of states of vp = 0/1, 2/3 and 4/5 are treated with a vibration-rotation hamiltonian which includes an off-diagonal coupling term in vp. Additional corrections to this coupling term in higher powers of the angular momentum operator are derived and their importance for improving the fit of calculated to observed data is tested. The variation of the centrifugal distortion constants with vp follows the model of Creswell and Mills (1974, J. molec. Spectrosc., 52, 392). A value is determined for the derivative with respect to the puckering coordinate of the ac-component of the inverse moment of inertia tensor.