Verificação da memória longa persistente no mercado de bitcoins : uma análise do expoente de Hurst ao longo do tempo

Um dos principais fatores de estudo do mercado de capitais é a discussão a respeito da teoria de eficiência de mercado, que no caso diverge em relação ao comportamento do preço da maioria dos ativos. Este trabalho tem o intuito de analisar o comportamento do principal índice de preços do mercado de bitcoins (BPI) durante o período de julho de 2010 a setembro de 2014. Inicialmente será testada a hipótese do passeio aleatório para o BPI. Em seguida serão verificadas as correlações de longa data nas séries financeiras temporais utilizando como instrumento de análise o expoente de Hurst (H), que inicialmente foi usado para calcular correlações em fenômenos naturais e posteriormente sua abrangência alcançou a área financeira. O estudo avalia o expoente H através de métodos distintos destacando-se a análise R/S e a DFA. Para o cálculo do expoente ao longo do tempo, utiliza-se uma janela móvel de 90 dias deslocando-se de 10 em 10 dias. Já para o cálculo em diferentes escalas verifica-se, para cada dia, o valor do expoente H nos últimos 360, 180 e 90 dias respectivamente. Os resultados evidenciaram que o índice BPI apresenta memória longa persistente em praticamente todo o período analisado. Além disso, a análise em diferentes escalas indica a possibilidade de previsão de eventos turbulentos no índice neste mesmo período. Finalmente foi possível comprovar a hipótese de mercados fractais para a série histórica de retornos do BPI.

Ligações aéreas com a Madeira: constrangimentos e perspetivas de crescimento: o efeito do binómio tempo/distância e o mercado low cost

O transporte, neste caso o transporte aéreo para a Madeira, assume particular importância na atividade turística, para mais sendo esta uma região insular e ultraperiférica da Europa, em que a realidade socioeconómica tem como pedra basilar o Turismo que, por si só, representa 25% do PIB. Frequentemente são apontados como “culpados” pelas cíclicas crises no sector, a promoção (ou a falta dela) e as opções tomadas, a concorrência de destinos mais baratos, o peso das taxas aeroportuárias, os fenómenos climáticos, os incentivos às companhias aéreas e aos operadores, o estímulo à operação low cost, as unidades hoteleiras e as camas disponíveis, a distância (tempo de voo) deste destino em relação ao norte da Europa e ao outro lado do Atlântico, a existência ou não de ligações aéreas diretas, um sem número de “razões” em que, provavelmente, todas elas, em maior ou menor percentagem, darão o seu contributo. As infraestruturas aeroportuárias, outrora também “culpadas” por não permitirem operações de longo curso, estão hoje habilitadas para receber voos intercontinentais. A Madeira, não deixou de ser a “Pérola do Atlântico”, com um clima ameno e profilático, com as levadas e a floresta Laurissilva, com o Vinho Madeira; com a Festa do Fim do Ano, o Carnaval e a Festa da Flor, com as Paisagens únicas, o Mar e a Montanha, o Golf, o Rali da Madeira, atrativos que deveriam ser suficientes para ultrapassar os fatores “negativos” citados. Sê-lo-ão? Sem a presunção de encontrar soluções milagrosas para algo que vem sendo estudado por profissionais e consultores, pretende-se possibilitar um olhar sob uma outra perspetiva, deixando pistas para uma abordagem diversa, em que se investigam os efeitos dos voos não diretos, o peso das operações low cost e se desenha um benchmarking com o destino concorrencial das Canárias.

Incidência e fatores de risco da retinopatia diabética em pacientes do Hospital Universitário Onofre Lopes, Natal-RN

Estudar a incidência e fatores de risco (tempo de doença e presença de hipertensão arterial sistêmica) para retinopatia diabética em 1002 pacientes encaminhados pelo Programa de Diabetes do Hospital Universitário Onofre Lopes no período de 1992 – 1995. Métodos: Estudo retrospectivo de pacientes com diagnóstico de diabetes mellitus encaminhados ao Setor de Retina do Departamento de Oftalmologia pelo Programa de Diabetes do Hospital Universitário e submetido, sob a supervisão do autor, a exame oftalmológico, incluindo medida da acuidade visual corrigida (tabela de Snellen), biomicroscopia do segmento anterior e posterior, tonometria de aplanação e oftalmoscopia binocular indireta sob midríase(tropicamida 1% + fenilefrina 10%). Foi realizada análise dos prontuários referente ao tempo de doenças e diagnostico clínico de hipertensão arterial sistêmica. Resultados: Dos 1002 diabéticos examinados (em 24 deles a fundoscopia foi inviável), 978 foram separados em 4 grupos: sem retinopatia diabética (SRD), 675 casos (69,01%); com retinopatia diabética não proliferativa (RDNP), 207 casos (21,16%); com retinopatia diabética proliferativa (RDP), 70 casos (7,15%); e pacientes já fotocoagulados (JFC), 26 casos (2,65%). Do total, 291 eram do sexo masculino (29%) e 711 do sexo feminino (71%). Os 4 grupos foram ainda avaliados quanto ao sexo, a faixa etária, a acuidade visual, tempo de doença, presença de catarata e hipertensão arterial sistêmica e comparados entre si. Com relação ao tipo de diabetes, 95 eram do tipo I (9,4%), 870 pacientes eram do tipo II (86,8%), e em 37 casos(3,7%) o tipo de diabetes não foi determinado. Conclusões: Comprovou-se que os pacientes com maior tempo de doença tinham maior probabilidade de desenvolver retinopatia diabética, e que a hipertensão arterial sistêmica não constituiu fator de risco em relação à diminuição da acuidade visual nos pacientes hipertensos

Análise da contribuição de fatores genéticos e ambientais na manutenção da hanseniase nos estados do Rio Grande do Norte e Pará

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior

Influência de fatores biopsicossociais sobre a mortalidade de idosos no município de Santa Cruz/RN: um estudo prospectivo

The aging process if characterizes for a complex events network, from multidimensional nature, that encloses biological, social, psychic and functional aspects. The alteration of one or more aspects can speed up the aging process, anticipating limitations and until the death in the aged. For an adjusted confrontation of this question is necessary an interdisciplinary vision, in which the some areas of the knowledge can interact and with this to intervenes of the best possible form. Then, information derived from studies of aspects related to incidence, morbidity-mortality and transition patterns, involved in the health-illness process can more accurately identify risk groups thereby establishing links between social factors, illness, incapacity and death. Thus, this study aimed to identify, by a multidimensional vision, the risk factors of mortality in a coorth of elderly in a city in the interior of the state of Rio Grande do Norte (RN), Brazil. A prospective study carried out in Santa Cruz RN, where 310 elderly were randomly selected to form a baseline. The follow-up was 53 months. The predictive variables were divided into sociodemographic, physical health, neuropsychiatric and functional capacity. The statistical analysis carried out by bivariate analysis, survival analysis, followed by binary logistic regression and Cox regression, in the multivariate analysis, considering significant levels p < 0.05 and confidence interval (CI) of 95%. A total of 60 (19.3%) elderly died during the follow-up, where cardiovascular disease was the main cause. The survival was approximately 24.8 months. The study of general survival showed, at 12, 24, 36, and 48 months of observation, a survival rate of 97%, 54%, 31%, and 5% respectively, with a statistical difference in survival only observed for the variables of cognitive function and Basic Activities of Daily Living. In the logistic regression analysis, the risk factors identified were cognitive deficits (OR = 8.74), poor perception of health (OR = 3.89) and dependence for Basic Activities of Daily Living (OR = 3.96). In the Cox analysis, as well as dependence for Basic Activities of Daily Living (HR = 3.17), cognitive deficit (HR = 4.30) and stroke (CVA) (HR = 3.49) continued as independent risk factors for death. The risk factors found in the study can be interpreted as the primary predictors for death among elderly members of the community. Therefore, improvements in health conditions, with actions towards sustaining an autonomous life with special attention for elderly with cognitive impairment, could mean additional healthy quality of life, resulting in the reduction of premature mortality in this population

Fatores preditivos da dor em pacientes submetidos à cirurgia cardíaca

A identificação de fatores que interferem na dor pós-operatória é útil para minimizar o sofrimento desnecessário e favorecer a uma intervenção analgésica adequada, evitando generalizações nas condutas terapêuticas. O propósito dessa investigação foi identificar os fatores preditivos da dor em pacientes submetidos à cirurgia cardíaca e a relação existente entre dor, analgesia e personalidade. Trata-se de um estudo prospectivo e analítico, aprovado pelo comitê de ética da UFRN (175/06), o qual proporcionou uma abordagem multidisciplinar ao envolver áreas distintas como: fisioterapia, psicologia, médica e enfermagem (interdisciplinaridade) na elucidação do objeto de estudo relacionado a fatores preditivos da dor. Para caracterização geral dos pacientes foi utilizada uma ficha de avaliação fisioterapêutica; a dor pós-operatória foi avaliada pela escala numérica de dor e questionário para dor McGill e o Inventário Millon de Estilos de Personalidade (MIPS) foi utilizado para identificar e avaliar as manifestações das características comportamentais e de personalidade. Foram acompanhados, do 1º ao 5º dia de pós-operatório (DPO), 160 pacientes submetidos à cirurgia cardíaca, 57,5% do sexo masculino, com idade média de 56,8±14,4 anos, sendo incluídos no estudo aqueles que se queixaram de dor no pós-operatório em pelo menos um dos dias de avaliação e assinaram termo de concentimento livre e esclarecido (TCLE). Os dados foram submetidos ao teste Qui-quadrado, regressão logística multivariada, teste de correlação de Spearman, teste t e ANOVA. Ao serem submetidos à análise de regressão foram encontrados seis fatores preditivos da dor: tempo cirúrgico > 3 horas, dreno mediastinal e lateral, tosse, vômitos, tempo de dreno > 24 horas e sexo feminino. Estes fatores apresentaram uma correlação positiva e significava com a intensidade dolorosa referida pelos pacientes na escala numérica de dor e os pacientes que apresentaram mais fatores preditivos da dor referiram mais dor. 23 Já em relação ao McGill não se obteve diferença significativa entre os pacientes com mais e menos fatores preditivos. Observou-se que foram administrados diferentes tipos de analgésicos, isolados ou associados, sendo estes: paracetamol, paracetamol associado à codeína, dipirona, tramadol, toradol e tilatil. A percepção dolorosa apresentou magnitudes variando de leve a moderada do 1º ao 5º DPO e ao ser relacionada com as características de personalidade, nos pacientes com menos dor, observou-se os fatores: preservação, individualismo, introversão e os com mais dor foram: proteção, extroversão, retraimento, discrepância, afetividade, acomodação, comunicabilidade e firmeza. Evidenciou-se que o comportamento doloroso pós-cirurgia cardíaca é multifatorial e que a determinação da existência de fatores preditivos da dor permite ao profissional da área de saúde fazer o uso adequado dos analgésicos, haja vista que o alívio da dor é responsabilidade de todos os profissionais da saúde. Os aspectos psicológicos enquanto características de personalidade podem influenciar padrões de comportamento como os observados.

Associação entre fatores nutricionais e a resposta frente à infecção por Leishmania chagasi

Leishmania chagasi infection presents a wide spectrum of clinical outcomes, ranging from asymptomatic self resolving infection to disease, visceral leishmaniasis (VL). The exact mechanisms that lead the evolution of infection to disease are not understood. It is believed that malnutrition is a risk factor associated with VL development, although there are few human studies in the area. We aimed to assess the nutritional factors associated with the response to L. chagasi infection in Rio Grande do Norte. The study was conducted from December 2006 to January 2008. 149 children were assessed: 20 active VL cases, 33 children with VL history, 40 DTH+ asymptomatic children and 56 DTH-. Nutritional status was assessed using z scores for Weight/Age, Weight/Height, Height/Age, Body Mass Index (BMI), and mid-upper arm circumference/height (MUAC/height). Vitamin A status was determined by serum retinol concentrations and the modified-relative-dose-esponse test (MRDR). Breastfeeding time and birth weight were also evaluated. VL children presented compromised nutritional status when compared to the other groups using BMI and MUAC/age, with means -1,53 ± 1,10 and -1,48 ± 1,28 z scores, respectively (ANOVA, p < 0,05). VL children also showed lower vitamin A levels: 43% presented serum retinol < 20 µg/dL and 15% MRDR > 0,060. Birth weight was inverserly associated with the risk to belong the VL group (β = -0,00; OR = 0,84; 95% CI 0,73 - 0,99; p = 0,047), whereas more breastfeeding time was directly associated with the risk to belong to the DTH+ group (β = 0,02; OD = 1,16; 95% CI 1,01 - 1,33; p = 0,036). The nutritional variables evaluated were associated with the response to the L. chagasi infection, with malnutrition and compromised vitamin A status as markers of children who present with VL. Higher birth weight was associated with protection to disease, and higher breastfeeding time was associated with increased likelihood of an asymptomatic infection. The results show that modifiable nutritional aspects in the study population are associated with the response to the L. chagasi infection

Prevalência e fatores associados à sintomatologia dolorosa e a qualidade de vida de odontólogos da cidade de Teresina-PI

Objective: Identify the factors associated to the painful symptomatology and the quality of life and in dentists in the city of Teresina-PI. Brazil. Methods It was accomplished a cross-sectional study with 175 dentists registered with the Regional Council of Dentistry-PI from March to May, 2007. For characterization of the dentists we used a multidimensional questionnaire containing sociodemographic (age, sex) and professional information (time of service, journey to work). The evaluation of the presence of pain was performed by the Protocol of Painful Symptoms of McGILL. The WHOQOL-Bref was used to assess quality of life through physical, psychological, social and environmental domains. Results / Conclusions The painful symptomatology was reported in 69,7% of individuals, being observed in 77.3% of women and 60.3% of men. Body regions where pain was prevalent was the regions of neck (69,2%) lower back (69,7%). The dentists had high levels of self-perception of quality of life satisfaction and health. 96,0% of the individuals reported quality of life as very good, and only 16.6% reported dissatisfied with health. The Physical and Environmental domains showed values higher than the psychological and social domains. The painful symptomatology of studied dentists is associated with female sex (RP=1.28; IC95% 1.04-1.58; p<0.01). A multivariate analysis by logistic regression was performed and only the painful symptoms (OR = 2.51, IC95% 1,21-5,21) remained associated with the quality of life of these professionals when adjusted for other variables studied

Úlcera de pressão em pacientes internados em um hospital universitário em Natal/RN: condições predisponentes e fatores de risco

The pressure ulcers (PU), also known as decubitus ulcers, are defined as injuries caused by the constant pressure exerted on a particular point of the body, causing impairment of blood supply with a decrease or interruption of tissue irrigation, causing occlusion of blood vessels and capillaries, ischemia and cell death. This is a descriptive study with longitudinal design, and panel type, with quantitative approach that aimed to examine the association between predisposing conditions (PC), intrinsic factors (IF) and extrinsic factors (EF) with the occurrence of PU, in hospitalized patients in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU), pain clinical, surgical clinical and neurology wards of a university hospital. The study population was composed of all patients who were restricted to bed during the period from December 2007 to February 2008. The study was approved by the Ethics Committee of HUOL / UFRN (No 135/07). The data-collection took place through a structured formulary of observation, data from medical records and physical examination of patients skins. The results were organized in SPSS 15.0 software, tabulated, categorized and analyzed by descriptive and inferential statistics. Of the 30 patients studied, 43.3% had been hospitalized in the pain clinical and surgical clinic wards, 20.0% in the ICU, 20.0% in the ICU / ward and 16.7% in neurology, being the length of hospitalization in those units of 7 to 18 days (63.3%) and from 19 to 30 days (36.7%), predominantly female and aged ≥ 60 years (60.0%). 19 PU were diagnosed in 43.3% of patients monitored, being 38.5% with one PU between 7 to 18 days and 46.2% with two or more between 19 to 30 days of hospitalization, showing significant relationship (ρ-value = 0029) between length of hospital stay and the number of PU. Was found an association of 35.7% of the PC (cardio-respiratory, hematological, metabolic and psychogenic), IF (age group, oedema, skin changes in humidity and change of body temperature) and EF (type of mattress and strength of body pressure) for all patients studied, statistically significant (ρ-value = 0001), between the average scores in patients with and without PU, with reason chance to 12.0 for the development of PU and there was moderate correlation ( r = 0618) in the presence of this association. Results show the influence of the multiplicity of factors and conditions on the occurrence of PU, which brings us to reflect on the assistance focused on prevention and reduction of these injuries which will encourage the reduction of hospitalization length, physical and psychological suffering, and the possibility of improving the clinical condition of the patient.

Fatores associados à efetividade da doação de órgãos e tecidos para transplantes

The transplantation of organs and tissues presents itself as an important therapeutic option, both from a medical standpoint, the social or economic. Thus, the identification of variables that can interfere in the effectiveness of organs and tissues donation for transplantation needs to be investigated adequately, because it stands before increasing index of chronic and degenerative diseases in the population, what makes the waiting list for transplantation grow disproportionately and patients come to death without the opportunity of realization the treatment due to a lack of donors. In this context, has defined as objective of this study evaluate the factors associated with the effectiveness of organs and tissues donation for transplantation. It is a evaluative research, quantitative, prospective, with longitudinal design, developed at Central of Catchment, Notification and organ donation for transplant, Organ Procurement Organization and in six accredited hospitals to collect and transplantation of organs and tissues, in Natal/RN, between august 2010 and february 2011, after the approval of the Research Ethics Committee, under No. 414/10 and CAAE 007.0.294.000-10. The probabilistic sample without replacement was composed of 65 potential donors. It was used as an instrument of data collection a structured script non-participant observation of checklist type. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics and presented in tables, charts, graphs and figures. For this, was used Microsoft Excel 2007 and statistical program SPSS version 20.0. To check the level of significance was chosen by applying the chi-square test (χ2) and Mann Whitney and caselas for less than five, it is considered the Fisher exact test. It was adopted as the significance level p-value <0.05. Among the surveyed it was observed that most of the individuals were male (50,8%), in the age group 45 years (53,8%), mean age of 42,3 years, minimum 5 and maximum 73 years (± 17,32 years). Single / widowers / divorced (56,9%), with up to completed elementary school (60,0%) in the exercise of professional activity (86,2%), catholic (83,1%) and residents in metropolitan region of Natal (52,3%). Was obtained donation effectiveness of 27,7%. There was no statistical significance between structure and effectiveness of the donation, but were observed inadequacies in physical resources (36,9%), materials (30,8%), organizational structure (29,2%) and human resources (18,5%). In the process, the maintenance phase (p= 0.004), diagnosis of brain death (p= 0.032), family interview (p≤ 0.001) and documentation (p= 0.001) presented statistical significance with effectiveness. Thus, it is accepts the alternative hypothesis of the study, in which is evidenced that the adequacy of the factors related to structure and process is associated to effectiveness of organs and tissues donation for transplantation. In this way, the effectiveness of organ and tissue donation ends in an essential way the rapidity and accuracy with which the donation process is conducted, requiring appropriate structure, with appropriate physical and material resources and skilled human resources to optimize the reduction of time and the suffering of those waiting for an organ or tissue transplant queued in Brazil

Fatores de satisfação de empregados: um estudo com docentes de instituição de educação tecnológica

This Master of Science Thesis deals with investigating the factors affecting employees satisfaction studying the case of teachers on a technological education institution. It is surveyed teachers in a sample of size 42 out of 316. It is used a form that deploys a model of satisfaction antecedents factors comprised of work system, professional development, teaching activity, physical environment, pay, and problems management. The sample was found representative (χ2 test) based on genre, tenure, degrees, and age. The model for satisfaction with the institution presented a adjusted r2 > 0,80 and the main factors affecting it was found to be work system, professional development, and teaching activity. For the satisfaction with the career, the model results with a r2 > 0,70 and as main factors professional development, teaching activitiy and pay. The variables contribuition for the students education and use of suggestions were ones of the main variables appearing in the models. The results suggest an improvement in the model regarding the previous models used by Silva (2003) and Cruz Filho (2007) regarding model explicability of teacher satisfaction

Fatores que influenciam a fidelidade dos clientes em postos de combustíveis da cidade de Natal/RN

The customer loyalty became strategy factor for the sustainability of business enterprises. And will be them competitive is important to describe the factors than the consumers consider for to choose the business than will buy the product or service. The dissertation objective is to know the factors that influence the consumer s satisfaction and loyalty in gas stations of Natal/RN, using the index national of customer satisfaction. The literature review was directed for strategy concepts, service quality, satisfaction and fidelity consumer and index national of customer satisfaction. The method used was descriptive-explicative, with application of a survey, from march 15 until april 15 of 2013, with 391 consumers of gas station. In relational analysis, we considered eight constructs: quality, price, complaints, satisfaction, image, loyalty, affection and commitment calculated. For customer satisfaction, the factors that influence have resulted in fuel quality, technical skills of vendors and duration of service. For customer loyalty, the factors that influence resulted in: image, feeling for distributor flag post, location and overall satisfaction with the gas station

Fatores estressores no ambiente de trabalho docente: uma investigação em uma universidade privada

Currently, it stress it comes negative affecting the life of the people. In this direction, the present dissertação had as purpose to investigate the factors stressor in the environment of teaching work in a private university. For its concretion, bibliographical studies had been carried through, applied questionnaires, which were elaborated in elapsing of this dissertação, and comment of the environment of work of the professors. From the analysis of Spearman, of studies and comments 7 groups of variable had been analyzed, of which three of them if had shown excellent in the sprouting of stress it negative, namely: Environment of Work, characterization of the teaching activity and organization of the time/institucional aspects. From the displayed one, it is observed that the factors most excellent, that influence in the sprouting of stress it negative in the professors are: the imperfections of communication, the wage and the instability how much to horary the load definition attributed to these professionals

Gestão de satisfação e fidelidade do cliente: um estudo dos fatores que afetam a satisfação e fidelidade dos compradores de automóveis

This Master s thesis presents a discussion on customer satisfaction models investigating the relations of antecedent variables service quality, price index, complaint handling, image, affective and calculative commitment, with satisfaction and loyalty. The scope of the research is the influence of service dimensions in the car buyer s satisfaction and loyalty. A sample of 91 customers was surveyed among new cars buyers of one brand in Natal city, Brazil, and the data was analyzed using multiple regression analysis. The literature review covers subjects such as customer satisfaction, management system, customer satisfaction measurement index models. The main findings suggest that satisfaction with the car brand is mainly influenced by customization of the service, time for accomplishing servicing, and the way the dealer handle complains. Regarding the dealer itself the main variable related to satisfaction is also time for accomplishing servicing. Considering customer loyalty, the customer satisfaction with the dealer explain strongly the loyalty with the brand/manufacturer. Also, the satisfaction, affective commitment and complains handling were found related to loyalty, as the stronger variables explaining the loyalty variance. One main conclusion is that service provided by dealers is one key factor influencing the customer satisfaction and loyalty in auto industry

Exploração de fatores de risco para lesões no atletismo de alta performance

Os fatores de risco para instalação de lesões do esporte têm sido pesquisados no sentido de facilitar o entendimento sobre o assunto. Contudo, para altos níveis de performance, nos eventos de pista e campo do atletismo, são escassos os documentos que abordam o tema. Assim, a partir da possibilidade de reunir informações sobre a condição descrita, objetivou-se com o presente estudo a exploração de fatores de risco para lesões desportivas no atletismo, a partir de inquérito aplicado a atletas da elite mundial da modalidade. A população foi composta por 60 homens e 60 mulheres alocados em grupos conforme a especificidade de sua modalidade (velocidade, resistência, arremessos e saltos). Realizou-se entrevista utilizando-se de inquérito de morbidade referida, abordando questões sobre variáveis antropométricas e de treinamento, assim como lesões. Utilizou-se a técnica da análise de variância paramétrica para as variáveis antropométricas (idade, peso, estatura) e da técnica da análise de variância não paramétrica em relação às variáveis de treinamento (anos de treinamento e horas semanais). Para associação entre momento de lesão e especialidades, utilizou-se do teste de Goodman em nível de 5% de significância. Os resultados mostraram que houve elevada freqüência de lesões na modalidade em ambos os sexos. As taxas de lesão por atleta entrevistado foram de 0,92 (velocidade), 1,08 (resistência), 1,22 (saltos) e 1,20 (arremessos). Não houve diferença estatisticamente significante para as variáveis antropométricas e de treinamento em relação às provas, com exceção dos saltadores, que apresentaram diferenças para estatura e tempo de treinamento; nesse caso, os acometidos são mais altos ou praticam atletismo há menos tempo (P < 0,05). Concluiu-se que, para população estudada, o risco de lesão é acentuado, mas sem relação entre variáveis e presença de agravos, salvo para especialistas em provas de saltos, que apresentaram estatura e tempo de treinamento como fatores predisponentes à lesão.