Hypomagnesemia in critically ill cancer patients: a prospective study of predictive factors

Hypomagnesemia is the most common electrolyte disturbance seen upon admission to the intensive care unit (ICU). Reliable predictors of its occurrence are not described. The objective of this prospective study was to determine factors predictive of hypomagnesemia upon admission to the ICU. In a single tertiary cancer center, 226 patients with different diagnoses upon entering were studied. Hypomagnesemia was defined by serum levels <1.5 mg/dl. Demographic data, type of cancer, cause of admission, previous history of arrhythmia, cardiovascular disease, renal failure, drug administration (particularly diuretics, antiarrhythmics, chemotherapy and platinum compounds), previous nutrition intake and presence of hypovolemia were recorded for each patient. Blood was collected for determination of serum magnesium, potassium, sodium, calcium, phosphorus, blood urea nitrogen and creatinine levels. Upon admission, 103 (45.6%) patients had hypomagnesemia and 123 (54.4%) had normomagnesemia. A normal dietary habit prior to ICU admission was associated with normal Mg levels (P = 0.007) and higher average levels of serum Mg (P = 0.002). Postoperative patients (N = 182) had lower levels of serum Mg (0.60 ± 0.14 mmol/l compared with 0.66 ± 0.17 mmol/l, P = 0.006). A stepwise multiple linear regression disclosed that only normal dietary habits (OR = 0.45; CI = 0.26-0.79) and the fact of being a postoperative patient (OR = 2.42; CI = 1.17-4.98) were significantly correlated with serum Mg levels (overall model probability = 0.001). These findings should be used to identify patients at risk for such disturbance, even in other critically ill populations.

Factors associated with penicillin-nonsusceptible pneumococcal infections in Brazil

Resistance of Streptococcus pneumoniae is a worldwide, growing problem. Studies of factors associated with resistance to penicillin have not been conducted in Brazil. The objective of the present study was to evaluate factors associated with infection by S. pneumoniae not susceptible to penicillin. A prevalence study was conducted including all patients with a positive culture for S. pneumoniae in a hospital from July 1991 to December 1992 and the year 1994. Of 165 patients identified, 139 were considered to have clinically relevant infections and 88% of them had invasive infections. All infections were community acquired and consisted of pneumonia (44%) and of central nervous system (19%), pelvic or abdominal (12%), upper airway or ocular (12%), primary bloodstream (9%) and skin and soft tissue (5%) infections. Mortality was 25%. Susceptibility to penicillin was present in 77.6% of the isolates; 21.8% were relatively resistant, and one isolate was resistant (minimal inhibitory concentration = 4 µg/ml). Multivariate analysis showed that age below 4 years (odds ratio (OR): 3.53, 95% confidence interval (95%CI): 1.39-8.96) and renal failure (OR: 5.50, 95%CI: 1.07-28.36) were associated with lack of susceptibility to penicillin. Bacteremia occurred significantly less frequently in penicillin-nonsusceptible infections (OR: 0.34, 95%CI: 0.14-0.84), possibly suggesting that lack of penicillin susceptibility is associated with lower virulence in S. pneumoniae.

Late-life depression, heart failure and frontal white matter hyperintensity: a structural magnetic resonance imaging study

The relevance of the relationship between cardiac disease and depressive symptoms is well established. White matter hyperintensity, a bright signal area in the brain on T2-weighted magnetic resonance imaging scans, has been separately associated with cardiovascular risk factors, cardiac disease and late-life depression. However, no study has directly investigated the association between heart failure, major depressive symptoms and the presence of hyperintensities. Using a visual assessment scale, we have investigated the frequency and severity of white matter hyperintensities identified by magnetic resonance imaging in eight patients with late-life depression and heart failure, ten patients with heart failure without depression, and fourteen healthy elderly volunteers. Since the frontal lobe has been the proposed site for the preferential location of white matter hyperintensities in patients with late-life depression, we focused our investigation specifically on this brain region. Although there were no significant group differences in white matter hyperintensities in the frontal region, a significant direct correlation emerged between the severity of frontal periventricular white matter hyperintensity and scores on the Hamilton scale for depression in the group with heart failure and depression (P = 0.016, controlled for the confounding influence of age). There were no significant findings in any other areas of the brain. This pattern of results adds support to a relationship between cardiovascular risk factors and depressive symptoms, and provides preliminary evidence that the presence of white matter hyperintensities specifically in frontal regions may contribute to the severity of depressive symptoms in cardiac disease.

An examination of factors influencing ERP key-user satisfaction: A qualitative case study

Several companies are trying to improve their operation efficiency by implementing an enterprise resource planning (ERP) system that makes it possible to control the resources of the company in real time. However, the success of the implementation project is not a foregone conclusion; a significant part of these projects end in a failure, one way or another. Therefore it is important to investigate ERP system implementation more closely in order to increase understanding about factors influencing ERP system success and to improve the probability of a successful ERP implementation project. Consequently, this study was initiated because a manufacturing case company wanted to review the success of their ERP implementation project. To be exact, the case company hoped to gain both information about the success of the project and insight for future implementation improvement. This study investigated ERP success specifically by examining factors that influence ERP key-user satisfaction. User satisfaction is one of the most commonly applied indicators of information system success. The research data was mainly collected by conducting theme interviews. The subjects of the interviews were six key-users of the newly implemented ERP system. The interviewees were closely involved in the implementation project. Furthermore, they act as representative users that utilize the new system in everyday business processes. The collected data was analyzed by thematizing. Both data collection and analysis were guided by a theoretical frame of reference. This frame was based on previous research on the subject. The results of the study aligned with the theoretical framework to large extent. The four principal factors influencing key-user satisfaction were change management, contractor service, key-user’s system knowledge and characteristics of the ERP product itself. One of the most significant contributions of the research is that it confirmed the existence of a connection between change management and ERP key-user satisfaction. Furthermore, it discovered two new sub-factors influencing contractor service related key-user satisfaction. In addition, the research findings indicated that in order to improve the current level of key-user satisfaction, the case company should pay special attention to system functionality improvement and enhancement of the key-users’ knowledge. During similar implementation projects in the future, it would be important to assure the success of change management and contractor service related processes.

Urinary NO3 excretion and renal failure in indinavir-treated patients

Treatment with indinavir (IDV), a protease inhibitor, is frequently associated with renal abnormalities. We determined the incidence of renal failure (creatinine clearance <80 mL min-1 1.73 (m²)-1) in HIV patients treated with highly active antiretroviral therapy, including IDV, and investigated the possible mechanisms and risk factors of IDV nephrotoxicity. Thirty-six patients receiving IDV were followed for 3 years. All were assessed for age, body weight, duration of infection, duration of IDV treatment, sulfur-derivative use, total cholesterol, triglycerides, magnesium, sodium, potassium, creatinine, and urinalysis. We also determined renal function in terms of creatinine clearance, urine osmolality and fractional excretion of sodium, potassium, and water. Urinary nitrate (NO3) excretion was measured in 18 IDV-treated patients and compared with that of 8 patients treated with efavirenz, a drug without renal side effects. Sterile leukocyturia occurred in 80.5% of the IDV-treated patients. Creatinine clearance <80 mL min-1 1.73 (m²)-1 was observed in 22 patients (61%) and was associated with low body weight and the use of sulfur-derivatives. These patients also had lower osmolality, lower urine volume and a higher fractional excretion of water compared to the normal renal function group. Urinary NO3 excretion was significantly lower in IDV-treated patients (809 ± 181 µM NO3-/mg creatinine) than in efavirenz-treated patients (2247 ± 648 µM NO3-/mg creatinine, P < 0.01). The lower NO3 excretion suggests that IDV decreases nitric oxide production.

Risk factors associated with the death of patients hospitalized for juvenile systemic lupus erythematosus

We assessed the risk factors associated with death in patients hospitalized for juvenile systemic lupus erythematosus (JSLE) and evaluated the autopsy reports. A total of 57,159 hospitalizations occurred in our institution from 1994 to 2003, 169 of them involving 71 patients with JSLE. The most recent hospitalization of these patients was evaluated. Patients were divided into two groups based on mortality during hospitalization: those who survived (N = 53) and those who died (N = 18). The main causes of hospitalization were JSLE activity associated with infection in 52% and isolated JSLE activity in 44%. Univariate analysis showed that a greater risk of death was due to severe sepsis (OR = 17.8, CI = 4.5-70.9), systemic lupus erythematosus disease activity index (SLEDAI) ³8 (OR = 7.6, CI = 1.1-53.8), general infections (OR = 6.1, CI = 1.5-25), fungal infections (OR = 5.4, CI = 3.2-9), acute renal failure (OR = 5.1, CI = 2.5-10.4), acute thrombocytopenia (OR = 3.9, CI = 1.9-8.4), and bacterial infections (OR = 2.3, CI = 1.2-7.5). Stratified analysis showed that severe sepsis and SLEDAI ³8 were not confounder variables. In the multivariate analysis, logistic regression showed that the only independent variable in death prediction was severe sepsis (OR = 98, CI = 16.3-586.2). Discordance between clinical diagnosis and autopsy was observed in 6/10 cases. Mortality of hospitalized JSLE patients was associated with severe sepsis. Autopsy was important to determine events not detected or doubtful in dead patients and should always be requested.

No evidence of association of MUC-1 genetic polymorphism with embryo implantation failure

Pregnancy loss can be caused by several factors involved in human reproduction. Although up to 50% of cases remain unexplained, it has been postulated that the major cause of failed pregnancy is an error of embryo implantation. Transmembrane mucin-1 (MUC-1) is a glycoprotein expressed on the endometrial cell surface which acts as a barrier to implantation. The gene that codes for this molecule is composed of a polymorphic tandem repeat of 60 nucleotides. Our objective was to determine if MUC-1 genetic polymorphism is associated with implantation failure in patients with a history of recurrent abortion. The study was conducted on 10 women aged 25 to 35 years with no history of successful pregnancy and with a diagnosis of infertility. The control group consisted of 32 patients aged 25 to 35 years who had delivered at least two full-term live children and who had no history of abortions or fetal losses. MUC-1 amplicons were obtained by PCR and observed on agarose and polyacrylamide gel after electrophoresis. Statistical analysis showed no significant difference in the number of MUC-1 variable number of tandem repeats between these groups (P > 0.05). Our results suggest that there is no effect of the polymorphic MUC-1 sequence on the implantation failure. However, the data do not exclude MUC-1 relevance during embryo implantation. The process is related to several associated factors such as the mechanisms of gene expression in the uterus, specific MUC-1 post-translational modifications and appropriate interactions with other molecules during embryo implantation.

Steroid-resistant idiopathic nephrotic syndrome in children: long-term follow-up and risk factors for end-stage renal disease

INTRODUTION: Steroid resistant idiopathic nephrotic syndrome (SRINS) in children is one of the leading causes of progression to chronic kidney disease stage V (CKD V)/end stage renal disease (ESRD). OBJECTIVE: The aim of this retrospective study is to evaluate the efficacy of immunosuppressive drugs (IS) and to identify risk factors for progression to ESRD in this population. METHODS: Clinical and biochemical variables at presentation, early or late steroid resistance, histological pattern and response to cyclosporine A (CsA) and cyclophosfamide (CP) were reviewed in 136 children with SRINS. The analyzed outcome was the progression to ESRD. Univariate as well as multivariate Cox-regression analysis were performed. RESULTS: Median age at onset was 5.54 years (0.67-17.22) and median follow up time was 6.1 years (0.25-30.83). Early steroid-resistance was observed in 114 patients and late resistance in 22. Resistance to CP and CsA was 62.9% and 35% respectively. At last follow-up 57 patients reached ESRD. The renal survival rate was 71.5%, 58.4%, 55.3%, 35.6% and 28.5% at 5, 10, 15, 20 and 25 years respectively. Univariate analysis demonstrated that older age at onset, early steroid-resistance, hematuria, hypertension, focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS), and resistance to IS were risk factors for ESRD. The Cox proportional-hazards regression identified CsAresistance and FSGS as the only predictors for ESRD. CONCLUSION: Our findings showed that CsA-resistance and FSGS were risk factors for ESRD.

Acquisition Failure: The case of a multinational enterprise from an emerging market failing in Indonesia.

The escalation in the number of mergers and acquisition transactions involving emerging market firms is a relatively recent phenomenon; as a consequence academic research in such topic is rather limited. The purpose of this research study was to discuss the possible reasons that led the acquisition failure of an emerging multinational firm and an Indonesian player. Extensive theoretical research was performed and it had been achieved, based on this, the finding of a framework that facilitated to understand the way in which the concepts of cultural distances and relate liabilities of foreignness in the process of acquisitions of foreign companies in emerging markets. The theoretical background collects literature related to acquisitions, models of cultural studies between nations and liabilities of foreignness. It has been generated a variety of frameworks that aid to understand the way that the institutional distance and cultural factors together with the concept of liabilities of foreignness can affect the process of market entry of an emerging multinational company to the extent that the best way to stop losing money is to abandon the project. The empirical research consisted of selective semi-structured interviews and an extensive research in available public data on the chosen study case of this research. There were several factors that were identified as the cause of the failure in the market entry of a Mexican multinational firm in Indonesia. The weakness shown by the local government authorities was used by the local community leaders who rioted because of discomfort. These groups were the ones who made the government submit to the extent that the agreements reached at the beginning of the deal were either canceled or modified in a way that favored always the local community. The contributions of this study fall into the knowledge field of emerging multinational firms and market entry process.

Sexual behavior and factors affecting female reproduction in house and field crickets

The objective of this investigation was to clarify the adaptive significance of female sexual behaviours in the house cricket, Acheta domesticus, and the Texas field cricket, Gryllus integer. Experiments were focussed primarily on: nutritional factors affecting female reproductive success; the ontogeny of female sexual behaviours; female mating frequency and progeny production; and the pattern of sperm competition. Reproduction of singly mated female A. domesticus assigned to 3 nutritional regimes was compared . Females fed a vitamin and protein-enriched mouse chow, cannibalistic females, and starved females produced on the average, 513 , 200 and 68 offspring, respectively. Cannibals probably could not obtain the same amounts of essential nutrients as females fed mouse chow. Reabsorption of oocytes was likely the major factor contributing to the decreased reproduction of starved females. In addition, female !. domesticus fed mouse chow, but allowed constant access to males produced 11 times as many offspring than did females fed corn meal. Females fed corn meal probably could not absorb or synthesize enough dietary lipids, thus resulting in poor ovariole growth. Female !. domesticus first mate at an average adult age of 7 days, closely corresponding to when they first exhibit positive phonotaxis. Females mate repeatedly and often consume the externally attached spermatophore. In ~. domesticus, females allowed constant access to males produced significantly more offspring than did single maters. Similarly, doubly mated G. integer females produced more offspring than did single maters. This difference resulted largely from the failure of many single maters to reproduce. Remating by female crickets partly functions in offsetting the possibility of a failed initial mating. Nymph production increased significantly with the time the spermatophore was attached in singly mated ~. domesticus. Spermatophore consumption by the female was not affected by male guarding behaviour, and the interval between mating and eating of the spermatophore may often be shorter than the time required for maximum insemination. Some degree of sperm depletion in singly mated !. domesticus and G. integer may have occurred. The patterns of daily offspring production of singly and multiplymated females suggests that a factor provided by a male during mating stimulates female oviposition and/or egg production. Female crickets also might acquire nutrition from spermatophore consumption, a benefit that is augmented by female multiple mating. The electrophoretic examination of various allozymes in ~. integer did not permit determination of a pattern of sperm competition. However, the possibility of last male sperm predominance is related to male guarding behaviour.

Cerebral edema and acute liver failure : pathophysiological mechanisms and new therapeutic approaches

L’encéphalopathie hépatique (EH) se développe chez les patients atteints d’une maladie du foie et se caractérise par de nombreuses anomalies neuropsychiatriques. L’insuffisance hépatique aiguë (IHA) se caractérise par une perte progressive de l’état de conscience, par une augmentation rapide de l’œdème cérébral et une augmentation de la pression intracrânienne entraînant une herniation cérébrale et la mort. Plusieurs facteurs sont responsables du développement de l’EH mais depuis une centaine d’années, l’hyperammonémie qui peut atteindre des concentrations de l’ordre de plusieurs millimolaires chez les patients atteints d’IHA aux stades de coma est considérée comme un facteur crucial dans la pathogenèse de l’EH. La présente thèse comprend 4 articles suggérant l’implication de nouveaux mécanismes pathogéniques dans le développement de l’EH et de l’œdème cérébral associés à l’IHA et tente d’expliquer l’effet thérapeutique de l’hypothermie et de la minocycline dans la prévention de l’EH et de l’œdème cérébral: 1. L’IHA induite par dévascularisation hépatique chez le rat se caractérise par une augmentation de la production de cytokines pro-inflammatoires cérébrales (IL-6, IL-1, TNF-). Cette observation constitue la première évidence directe que des mécanismes neuro-inflammatoires jouent une rôle dans la pathogenèse de l’EH et de l’œdème cérébral associés à l’IHA (Chapitre 2.1, articles 1 et 2). 2. L’activation de la microglie telle que mesurée par l’expression de marqueurs spécifiques (OX42, OX-6) coïncide avec le développement de l’encéphalopathie (stade coma) et de l’œdème cérébral et s’accompagne d’une production accrue de cytokines pro-inflammatoires cérébrales (Chapitre 2.1, article 1 et 2). 3. Un stress oxydatif/nitrosatif causé par une augmentation de l’expression de l’oxyde nitrique synthétase et une augmentation de la synthèse d’oxyde nitrique cérébral participe à la pathogénèse des complications neurologiques de l’IHA (Chapitre 2.3, articles 3 et 4). 4. Des traitements anti-inflammatoires tels que l’hypothermie et la minocycline peuvent constituer de nouvelles approches thérapeutiques chez les patients atteints d’IHA (Chapitre 2.1, article 1; Chapitre 2.2, article 2). 5. Les effets bénéfiques de l’hypothermie et de la minocycline sur les complications neurologiques de l’IHA expérimentale s’expliquent, en partie, par une diminution du stress oxydatif/nitrosatif (Chapitre 2.3, article 3; Chapitre 2.4, article 4).

Keeping cool in acute liver failure: rationale for the use of mild hypothermia.

Encephalopathy, brain edema and intracranial hypertension are neurological complications responsible for substantial morbidity/mortality in patients with acute liver failure (ALF), where, aside from liver transplantation, there is currently a paucity of effective therapies. Mirroring its cerebro-protective effects in other clinical conditions, the induction of mild hypothermia may provide a potential therapeutic approach to the management of ALF. A solid mechanistic rationale for the use of mild hypothermia is provided by clinical and experimental studies showing its beneficial effects in relation to many of the key factors that determine the development of brain edema and intracranial hypertension in ALF, namely the delivery of ammonia to the brain, the disturbances of brain organic osmolytes and brain extracellular amino acids, cerebro-vascular haemodynamics, brain glucose metabolism, inflammation, subclinical seizure activity and alterations of gene expression. Initial uncontrolled clinical studies of mild hypothermia in patients with ALF suggest that it is an effective, feasible and safe approach. Randomized controlled clinical trials are now needed to adequately assess its efficacy, safety, clinical impact on global outcomes and to provide the guidelines for its use in ALF.

Limited capacity for ammonia removal by brain in chronic liver failure: potential role of nitric oxide.

Chronic liver failure leads to hyperammonemia and consequently increased brain ammonia concentrations, resulting in hepatic encephalopathy. When the liver fails to regulate ammonia concentrations, the brain, devoid of a urea cycle, relies solely on the amidation of glutamate to glutamine through glutamine synthetase, to efficiently clear ammonia. Surprisingly, under hyperammonemic conditions, the brain is not capable of increasing its capacity to remove ammonia, which even decreases in some regions of the brain. This non-induction of glutamine synthetase in astrocytes could result from possible limiting substrates or cofactors for the enzyme, or an indirect effect of ammonia on glutamine synthetase expression. In addition, there is evidence that nitration of the enzyme resulting from exposure to nitric oxide could also be implicated. The present review summarizes these possible factors involved in limiting the increase in capacity of glutamine synthetase in brain, in chronic liver failure.

Brain edema in acute liver failure and chronic liver disease: Similarities and differences.

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a complex neuropsychiatric syndrome that typically develops as a result of acute liver failure or chronic liver disease. Brain edema is a common feature associated with HE. In acute liver failure, brain edema contributes to an increase in intracranial pressure, which can fatally lead to brain stem herniation. In chronic liver disease, intracranial hypertension is rarely observed, even though brain edema may be present. This discrepancy in the development of intracranial hypertension in acute liver failure versus chronic liver disease suggests that brain edema plays a different role in relation to the onset of HE. Furthermore, the pathophysiological mechanisms involved in the development of brain edema in acute liver failure and chronic liver disease are dissimilar. This review explores the types of brain edema, the cells, and pathogenic factors involved in its development, while emphasizing the differences in acute liver failure versus chronic liver disease. The implications of brain edema developing as a neuropathological consequence of HE, or as a cause of HE, are also discussed.

La investigació sobre l'èxit i el fracàs escolar des la la perspectiva dels factors de risc. Implicacions per a la recerca i la pràctica educatives

La situació problemàtica de la qual partim en aquesta tesi és la constatació de l'existència d'unes dinàmiques escolars negatives -expressades amb males notes reiterades- difícils de modificar, que determinats infants inicien i desenvolupen al llarg de la seva escolarització i que els condueix a una situació de fracàs escolar. Les males notes són el senyal que alerta pares i educadors de la presència de problemes escolars en els alumnes i constitueixen la causa explícita que motiva la cerca de solucions. Sovint es busquen solucions fora de l'escola, la qual cosa suggereix que, malgrat els esforços realitzats, l'escola i el sistema educatiu han tingut dificultats per a ajudar els infants a millorar globalment els seus resultats escolars. D'una banda, l'escola troba dificultats per a identificar el mes aviat possible quins infants seran mes susceptibles de desenvolupar unes dinàmiques escolars negatives que els puguin conduir a una situació de fracàs escolar. D'altra banda, també hi ha dificultats per trobar i aplicar estratègies preventives d'intervenció educativa a l'aula, que resultin adequades per a prevenir el desenvolupament de dinàmiques escolars negatives en alguns infants. Partint de la situació problemàtica descrita, la finalitat de la tesi es obtenir informació teòrica , empírica sobre algunes variables que puguin resultar rellevants per a articular, des de l'aula escolar, intervencions educatives destinades a prevenir el desenvolupament de les dinàmiques escolars negatives. Des de la perspectiva de la prevenció, la rellevància de les variables hauria d'establir-se en funció de la seva utilitat per a: A) Identificar des de l'aula escolar situacions de més perill -de més risc- de desenvolupar aquestes dinàmiques negatives i, consegüentment, arribar a la situació de fracàs escolar . Això implica, per tant, que les variables han de permetre la identificació abans que la situació de fracàs escolar es produeixi . B) Intervenir educativament des de l'escola; per tant, cal que siguin variables sobre les quals l'escola pugui incidir. La modificabilitat de les variables ha de permetre que es puguin emprendre accions educatives, des de la mateixa aula escolar. Variables que resultin suficientment importants de cara a disminuir el perill o evitar el desenvolupament de dinàmiques negatives. Es a dir, que la seva modificació contribueixi a evitar que els infants arribin a la situació de fracàs escolar. Per assolir aquesta finalitat es realitzen un segut de passes en funció de les quals s'ha estructurat la tesi en dues parts: Un marc teòric i un estudi de casos. EI Marc teòric té dos objectius: 1. Definir la situació problemàtica. En el capítol primer del marc teòric de la tesi, s'exposen les dimensions d'aquesta situació problemàtica. La revisió bibliogràfica entorn del tema del fracàs escolar ens ajuda a emmarcar la qüestió de les dinàmiques escolars en el fenomen complex del fracàs i l'èxit escolar, i del rendiment. Aquestes aportacions teòriques juntament amb les aportacions de la recerca educativa en relació a l'estabilitat del rendiment al llarg dels cursos són la base per a definir la situació problemàtica. 2. Delimitar, des d'un punt de vista teòric, algunes variables rellevants per a la prevenció del desenvolupament de dinàmiques escolars negatives, conduents a la situació de fracàs escolar. La primera passa per a dur a terme aquesta delimitació teòrica, que es presenta al segon capítol, ha estat revisar les aportacions de les investigacions sobre variables que incideixen en el rendiment escolar, les quals s'han analitzat en funció de la seva rellevància per a la prevenció. Aquesta revisió ha permès constatar un seguit de problemes de caire terminològic, metodològic i sobre la repercussió d'aquesta recerca en la practica educativa que afecten directament la utilitat de les aportacions d'aquestes investigacions de cara a identificar variables rellevants per a la prevenció. De l'anàlisi dels resultats d'aquestes recerques es desprèn que: a) Hi ha moltes variables associades al rendiment escolar, algunes difícilment modificables mitjançant la intervenció educativa escolar. b) EI fet que una variable estigui associada al rendiment no implica que sigui rellevant per a la prevenció c) S'obté poca informació sobre variables que contribueixin a disminuir la probabilitat de fracàs escolar. En base a aquests resultats es constata que cal buscar una perspectiva d'anàlisi de les variables mes adequades a l'enfocament preventiu, perspectiva que ha d'orientar-se a l'estudi del risc de fracàs escolar. La segona passa que es duu a terme per arribar a una delimitació teòrica de les variables rellevants es l'estudi del concepte de risc i d'altres conceptes relacionats: signe de risc, marcador de risc, factor de risc, factor protector, població en risc, infant en situació de risc, així com la revisió d'estudis i recerques que s'han plantejat en aquesta línia. Aquest treball ha permès: a) Clarificar aquests conceptes i aplicar-los en l'àmbit educatiu, en referència al problema del fracàs escolar, estructurant un marc teòric en funció del qual plantejar una anàlisi de les variables associades al rendiment escolar. b) Concretar un model per a l'anàlisi, des de l'aula escolar, de les variables que incideixen en el risc de fracàs escolar. Aquest model, que es situa en la perspectiva de l'aula escolar i que pren en consideració el paper actiu que els estudiants tenen respecte al seu aprenentatge, consta de tres components: unes variables, les seves relacions i la funció que exerceixen en relació al risc de fracàs escolar. La conclusió a la qual s'arriba es que, des d'un punt de vista teòric, una variable serà rellevant per a articular intervencions educatives preventives des de l'escola si constitueix o bé un factor de risc, o be un factor protector o compensador del risc. La delimitació empírica de variables rellevants per a la prevenció del fracàs escolar -que constitueix l'objectiu de la segona part de la tesi- es duu a terme mitjançant un estudi de casos que es deriva del plantejament teòric elaborat. L'objectiu d'aquest estudi es identificar variables que han pogut constituir factors protectors en joves que es troben en situació de risc per circumstàncies sociofamiliars. Se seleccionen tres noies i dos nois que, malgrat trobar-se en situació de risc, han assolit un cert nivell d'èxit escolar. Basant-nos en el model s'ha recollit informació sobre característiques actitudinals dels estudiants, del seu procés d'autoaprenentatge i de l'ambient d'aprenentatge. S'utilitza un disseny qualitatiu d'estudi de casos, utilitzant entrevistes amb profunditat per a recollir informació, la qual s'analitza mitjançant tècniques d'anàlisi de continguts. L'estudi de cada un dels cinc casos i la seva posterior comparació ha permès identificar algunes variables que poden haver constituït factors protectors del risc de fracàs escolar. Entre elles podem citar 1. La consciència de la pròpia situació complexa i desfavorable que han viscut o estan vivint. 2. Tenir un projecte vital a mig o llarg termini, en el qual els estudis són concebuts com a una via per assolir-lo. 3. Ser autoresponsables dels aprenentatges. 4. Haver identificat models a seguir en altres persones. Del treball realitzat tant des d'una perspectiva teòrica com empírica i les conclusions a les quals s'ha arribat se'n desprenen implicacions per a la practica educativa, per a la recerca i per a la formació professional dels educadors i educadores socials. Pel que fa a les implicacions per a la practica educativa, es proposa el model com a base per a la identificació de situacions de risc i per al disseny d'intervencions educatives amb l'objectiu de prevenir el fracàs escolar. En aquest sentit, i en funció dels resultats obtinguts a l'estudi de casos, es proposen unes línies d'intervenció preventiva en casos de risc similars als que han estat objecte d'estudi, línies que poden prendre en consideració tant els/les mestres com els educadors/es. Pel que fa a les implicacions per a la investigació educativa, es deriven quatre línies de recerca: investigació sobre factors de risc, investigació sobre factors protectors, investigació sobre el potencial preventiu d'intervencions educatives dissenyades en base a factors de risc i factors protectors, l'investigació sobre com potenciar des de diferents àmbits (escola i vida quotidiana) els fadors protectors. Quant a les implicacions per a la formació professional dels educadors/es socials, els resultats de l'estudi de casos com a possibles aspectes a treballar per part dels educadors/es impliquen un treball en el qual aquests professionals han d'haver rebut formació sobre: 1. La relació educativa com a recurs per a la intervenció educativa professional. 2. La necessitat d'un treball coordinat interdisciplinari com a estratègia de treball professional. 3. EI coneixement de programes coherents i estratègies d'intervenció sobre factors protectors. 4. L'elaboració de programes educatius, de manera que els educadors/es puguin adaptar les intervencions a les necessitats educatives dels subjectes. 5. La intervenció educativa en famílies.