957 resultados para Logic of the plausible
Resumo:
Cobalt nanotubes (CoNTs) with very high longitudinal coercivity were prepared by electrodeposition of cobalt acetate for the first time by using anodized alumina (AAO) template. They were then characterized with X-ray diffraction (XRD), a field emission scanning electron microscope (FESEM), and a transmission electron microscope (TEM). Formation of a highly ordered hexagonal cobalt phase is observed. Room temperature SQUID (superconducting quantum interference device) magnetometer measurements indicate that the easy axis of magnetization is parallel to the nanotube axis. These CoNTs exhibit very high longitudinal coercivity of ∼820 Oe. A very high intertubular interaction resulting from magnetostatic dipolar interaction between nanotubes is observed. Thick-walled nanotubes were also fabricated by using cobalt acetate tetrahydrate precursors. A plausible mechanism for the formation of CoNTs based on mobility assisted growth is proposed. The role of the hydration layer and the mobility of metal ions are elucidated in the case of the growth mechanism of one-dimensional geometry
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Die vorliegende Arbeit stellt eine umfassende taxonomische Revision der Gattung Fosterella L.B. Sm. (Bromeliaceae) dar, die alle 31 derzeit akzeptierten Arten umfasst und einen Bestimmungsschlüssel für diese beinhaltet. Die Revision beruht auf der morphologisch-anatomischen Auswertung von Herbarmaterial (über 800 Exsikkate), Lebendpflanzen (ca. 150 Akzessionen) und eigenen vergleichenden Untersuchungen im Freiland. Die Gattung Fosterella ist seit nunmehr etlichen Jahren Forschungsgegenstand einer interdisziplinären Studie, die sowohl molekulrae, als auch anatomische, morphologische und biogeographische Untersuchungen einbezieht. Unser Interesse an der Gattung Fosterella gründet sich auf ihrer enormen ökologischen und biogeographischen Vielfalt, sie gilt als hervorragendes Modellsystem für Artbildungsmechanismen in den Anden. In den letzten Jahren wurde von verschiedenen molekularen Methoden Gebrauch gemacht, um die verwandtschaftlichen Beziehungen innerhalb der Gattung zu untersuchen, so dass mittlerweile gut aufgelöste Stammbäume vorliegen. Diese molekularen Studien, überwiegend durchgeführt von Dr. Martina Rex, wurden ergänzt durch intensive Sammelaktivitäten und eingehende taxonomische Untersuchungen im Rahmen der vorliegenden Revision. Auf diese Weise konnten die morphologische Plastizität der einzelnen Arten erfasst und schließlich ein wohlfundiertes Artkonzept vorgelegt werden. Zunächst wird ein kurzer Überblick über die Familie der Bromeliaceen als auch die Gattung Fosterella gegeben, in dem jeweils Informationen zur Verbreitung, Morphologie, Physiologie, Ökologie und Phylogenie geliefert werden. Im Anschluss an einen historischen Überblick des taxonomischen Werdegangs wird die Abgrenzung der Gattung Fosterella zu den nächstverwandten Gattungen Deuterocohnia, Dyckia und Encholirium erläutert. Die morphologischen Merkmale zur Differenzierung der Arten innerhalb der Gattung werden im Hinblick auf ihre Zuverlässigkeit und ihr Gewicht diskutiert. Der Artschlüssel basiert auf Merkmalen, die leicht auszumachen und gut zu unterscheiden sind. Bei der ausführlichen Beschreibung der Arten wird auch auf ihre jeweilige Verbreitung, Ökologie, taxonomische Abgrenzung, systematische Verwandtschaft sowie die Etymologie des Namens eingegangen. Beigefügt sind jeweils Zeichnungen, ein Foto vom Holo-/Lectotypus, Fotos von Lebendpflanzen sowie eine Verbreitungskarte. Im Rahmen der taxonomischen Arbeit wurden fünf Arten zu Synonymen reduziert: Fosterella chiquitana Ibisch, R. Vásquez & E. Gross und F. latifolia Ibisch, R. Vásquez & E. Gross wurden in die Synonymie von F. penduliflora (C.H. Wright) L.B. Sm. eingezogen; F. fuentesii Ibisch, R. Vásquez & E. Gross als Synonym zu F. albicans (Griseb.) L.B. Sm. gestellt; F. elata H. Luther in die Synonymie von F. rusbyi (Mez) L.B. Sm. verwiesen und F. nowickii Ibisch, R. Vásquez & E. Gross als Synonym zu F. weddelliana (Brongn. ex Baker) L.B. Sm. gestellt. Fosterella schidosperma (Baker) L.B. Sm. var. vestita L.B. Sm. & Read wird zum Synonym von Fosterella weberbaueri (Mez) L.B. Sm. reduziert. Sechs Arten wurden neu beschrieben: Fosterella batistana Ibisch, Leme & J. Peters; F. christophii Ibisch, R. Vásquez & J. Peters; F. elviragrossiae Ibisch, R. Vásquez & J. Peters; F. kroemeri Ibisch, R. Vásquez & J. Peters; F. nicoliana J. Peters & Ibisch und F. robertreadii Ibisch & J. Peters. Das Taxon F. gracilis (Rusby) L.B. Sm. wurde neu etabliert. Um die Evolution von einzelnen morphologischen Merkmalen zu rekonstruieren, wurden die Zustände von zehn ausgewählten Merkmalen kodiert und auf einen molekularen Stammbaum kartiert. Die folgenden Merkmalszustände wurden als ursprünglich innerhalb der Gattung ermittelt: Stammlosigkeit, ganzrandige Blattspreiten, flache Rosetten mit dem Boden aufliegenden Blättern, locker beschuppte Blattunterseiten, schildförmige Haare mit gezähntem Rand, ganzrandige Pedunkel-Brakteen, rispenförmiger Blütenstand, kahle/verkahlende Blütenstandsachsen, weiße Petalen und einfach-aufrechte Narben. Rückschlüsse bezüglich der Evolution und Ausbreitung der Gattung Fosterella werden diskutiert: Die überwiegend kleinen Verbreitungsgebiete der Arten hängen offensichtlich mit ihren fragmentierten, inselartigen Habitaten (z.B. innerandine Trockentäler) zusammen. Die Tatsache, dass die Yungas-Bergregenwälder des Departamento La Paz, Bolivia, die Region mit der größten Artenvielfalt darstellen, lässt sich mit der extrem variablen Topographie und der außerordentlich hohen Vielfalt an Habitaten dieser Region erklären. Aus folgenden Gründen erscheint es sehr wahrscheinlich, dass die Gattung Fosterella ihren Ursprung im Tiefland hat: Die Mehrheit der Arten weist einen eher mesophytischen Habitus auf und ist in mehr oder weniger humiden Habitaten zu finden. Die Gattung ist durch mehrere Arten in sehr alten Habitaten des präkambrischen Schilds im Tiefland von Zentral-Südamerika vertreten. Weiterhin betreiben, soweit bekannt, alle Fosterella Arten C3 Photosynthese, während in den Gattungen der Schwestergruppe, Deuterocohnia, Dyckia and Encholirium, CAM der verbreitete Photosyntheseweg ist. In jedem Fall ist die Besiedelung der Anden und/oder Tieflandhabitate mehrfach unabhängig voneinander geschehen, vielleicht sogar in beiden Richtungen.
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In this work we analyze the reforms carried out by the Mexican state in the nineties of the 20th century, in the items concerning the policies of housing and urban land, based on an exhaustive review of the main actions, programs and changes in the legal and institutional frame that applies for each of these fields. The nineties represent a "breaking point" in the way the State considers the satisfaction of the right to the housing and attends the offer of urbanized land for a tidy and sustainable urban development. In this period of time, the approach of direct intervention in developing and financing housing and creation of land reserves has changed into another one, ruled by the logic of the market. The balance to the first decade of the 21st century is ambiguous, as neither the housing policy has solved the housing shortage for low-income population, nor the land policy has eliminated the illegal urban growth.
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In the midst of health care reform, Colombia has succeeded in increasing health insurance coverage and the quality of health care. In spite of this, efficiency continues to be a matter of concern, and small-area variations in health care are one of the plausible causes of such inefficiencies. In order to understand this issue, we use individual data of all births from a Contributory-Regimen insurer in Colombia. We perform two different specifications of a multilevel logistic regression model. Our results reveal that hospitals account for 20% of variation on the probability of performing cesarean sections. Geographic area only explains 1/3 of the variance attributable to the hospital. Furthermore, some variables from both demand and supply sides are found to be also relevant on the probability of undergoing cesarean sections. This paper contributes to previous research by using a hierarchical model and by defining hospitals as cluster. Moreover, we also include clinical and supply induced demand variables.
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This paper offers general guidelines for the development of effective visual languages. That is, languages for constructing diagrams that can be easily and readily interpreted and manipulated by the human reader. We use these guidelines first to examine classical AND/OR trees as a representation of logical proofs, and second to design and evaluate a visual language for representing proofs in LofA: a Logic of Dependability Arguments, for which we provide a brief motivation and overview.
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A Bayesian Model Averaging approach to the estimation of lag structures is introduced, and applied to assess the impact of R&D on agricultural productivity in the US from 1889 to 1990. Lag and structural break coefficients are estimated using a reversible jump algorithm that traverses the model space. In addition to producing estimates and standard deviations for the coe¢ cients, the probability that a given lag (or break) enters the model is estimated. The approach is extended to select models populated with Gamma distributed lags of di¤erent frequencies. Results are consistent with the hypothesis that R&D positively drives productivity. Gamma lags are found to retain their usefulness in imposing a plausible structure on lag coe¢ cients, and their role is enhanced through the use of model averaging.
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Genetic algorithms (GAs) have been introduced into site layout planning as reported in a number of studies. In these studies, the objective functions were defined so as to employ the GAs in searching for the optimal site layout. However, few studies have been carried out to investigate the actual closeness of relationships between site facilities; it is these relationships that ultimately govern the site layout. This study has determined that the underlying factors of site layout planning for medium-size projects include work flow, personnel flow, safety and environment, and personal preferences. By finding the weightings on these factors and the corresponding closeness indices between each facility, a closeness relationship has been deduced. Two contemporary mathematical approaches - fuzzy logic theory and an entropy measure - were adopted in finding these results in order to minimize the uncertainty and vagueness of the collected data and improve the quality of the information. GAs were then applied to searching for the optimal site layout in a medium-size government project using the GeneHunter software. The objective function involved minimizing the total travel distance. An optimal layout was obtained within a short time. This reveals that the application of GA to site layout planning is highly promising and efficient.
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The Court of Justice has, over the years, often been vilified for exceeding the limits of its jurisdiction by interpreting the provisions of Community legislation in a way not seem originally envisaged by its drafters. A recent example of this approach was a cluster of cases in the context of the free movement of workers and the freedom of establishment (Ritter-Coulais and its progeny), where the Court included within the scope of those provisions situations which, arguably, did not present a sufficient link with their (economic) aim. In particular, in that case law the Court accepted that the mere exercise of free movement for the purpose of taking up residence in the territory of another Member State whilst continuing to exercise an economic activity in the State of origin, suffices for bringing a Member State national within the scope of Articles 39 and 43 EC. It is argued that the most plausible explanation for this approach is that the Court now wishes to re-read the economic fundamental freedoms in such a way as to include within their scope all economically active Union citizens, irrespective of whether their situation presents a sufficient link with the exercise of an economic activity in a cross-border context. It is suggested that this approach is problematic for a number of reasons. It is, therefore, concluded that the Court should revert to its orthodox approach, according to which only situations that involve Union citizens who have moved between Member States for the purpose of taking up an economic activity should be included within the scope of the market freedoms.
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The potential for spatial dependence in models of voter turnout, although plausible from a theoretical perspective, has not been adequately addressed in the literature. Using recent advances in Bayesian computation, we formulate and estimate the previously unutilized spatial Durbin error model and apply this model to the question of whether spillovers and unobserved spatial dependence in voter turnout matters from an empirical perspective. Formal Bayesian model comparison techniques are employed to compare the normal linear model, the spatially lagged X model (SLX), the spatial Durbin model, and the spatial Durbin error model. The results overwhelmingly support the spatial Durbin error model as the appropriate empirical model.
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The estimation of the long-term wind resource at a prospective site based on a relatively short on-site measurement campaign is an indispensable task in the development of a commercial wind farm. The typical industry approach is based on the measure-correlate-predict �MCP� method where a relational model between the site wind velocity data and the data obtained from a suitable reference site is built from concurrent records. In a subsequent step, a long-term prediction for the prospective site is obtained from a combination of the relational model and the historic reference data. In the present paper, a systematic study is presented where three new MCP models, together with two published reference models �a simple linear regression and the variance ratio method�, have been evaluated based on concurrent synthetic wind speed time series for two sites, simulating the prospective and the reference site. The synthetic method has the advantage of generating time series with the desired statistical properties, including Weibull scale and shape factors, required to evaluate the five methods under all plausible conditions. In this work, first a systematic discussion of the statistical fundamentals behind MCP methods is provided and three new models, one based on a nonlinear regression and two �termed kernel methods� derived from the use of conditional probability density functions, are proposed. All models are evaluated by using five metrics under a wide range of values of the correlation coefficient, the Weibull scale, and the Weibull shape factor. Only one of all models, a kernel method based on bivariate Weibull probability functions, is capable of accurately predicting all performance metrics studied.
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Oxygen isotope records of stalagmites from China and Oman reveal a weak summer monsoon event, with a double-plunging structure, that started 8.21 ± 0.02 kyr B.P. An identical but antiphased pattern is also evident in two stalagmite records from eastern Brazil, indicating that the South American Summer Monsoon was intensified during the 8.2 kyr B.P. event. These records demonstrate that the event was of global extent and synchronous within dating errors of <50 years. In comparison with recent model simulations, it is plausible that the 8.2 kyr B.P. event can be tied in changes of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation triggered by a glacial lake draining event. This, in turn, affected North Atlantic climate and latitudinal position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, resulting in the observed low-latitude monsoonal precipitation patterns.
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I consider the possibility that respondents to the Survey of Professional Forecasters round their probability forecasts of the event that real output will decline in the future, as well as their reported output growth probability distributions. I make various plausible assumptions about respondents’ rounding practices, and show how these impinge upon the apparent mismatch between probability forecasts of a decline in output and the probabilities of this event implied by the annual output growth histograms. I find that rounding accounts for about a quarter of the inconsistent pairs of forecasts.
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This study investigates the logics or values that shape the social and environmental reporting (SER) and SER assurance (SERA) process. The influence of logics is observed through a study of the conceptualisation and operationalisation of the materiality concept by accounting and non-accounting assurors and their assurance statements. We gathered qualitative data from interviews with both accounting and non-accounting assurors. We analysed the interplay between old and new logics that are shaping materiality as a reporting concept in SER. SER is a rich field in which to study the dynamics of change because it is a voluntary, unregulated, qualitative reporting arena. It has a broad, stakeholder audience, where accounting and non-accounting organisations are in competition. There are three key findings. First, the introduction of a new, stakeholder logic has significantly changed the meaning and role of materiality. Second, a more versatile, performative, social understanding of materiality was portrayed by assurors, with a forward-looking rather than a historic focus. Third, competing logics have encouraged different beliefs about materiality, and practices, to develop. This influenced the way assurors theorised the concept and interpreted outcomes. A patchwork of localised understandings of materiality is developing. Policy implications both in SERA and also in financial audit are explored.
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Transreal arithmetic is total, in the sense that the fundamental operations of addition, subtraction, multiplication and division can be applied to any transreal numbers with the result being a transreal number [1]. In particular division by zero is allowed. It is proved, in [3], that transreal arithmetic is consistent and contains real arithmetic. The entire set of transreal numbers is a total semantics that models all of the semantic values, that is truth values, commonly used in logics, such as the classical, dialetheaic, fuzzy and gap values [2]. By virtue of the totality of transreal arithmetic, these logics can be implemented using total, arithmetical functions, specifically operators, whose domain and counterdomain is the entire set of transreal numbers