Future hotspots of terrestrial mammal loss.

Current levels of endangerment and historical trends of species and habitats are the main criteria used to direct conservation efforts globally. Estimates of future declines, which might indicate different priorities than past declines, have been limited by the lack of appropriate data and models. Given that much of conservation is about anticipating and responding to future threats, our inability to look forward at a global scale has been a major constraint on effective action. Here, we assess the geography and extent of projected future changes in suitable habitat for terrestrial mammals within their present ranges. We used a global earth-system model, IMAGE, coupled with fine-scale habitat suitability models and parametrized according to four global scenarios of human development. We identified the most affected countries by 2050 for each scenario, assuming that no additional conservation actions other than those described in the scenarios take place. We found that, with some exceptions, most of the countries with the largest predicted losses of suitable habitat for mammals are in Africa and the Americas. African and North American countries were also predicted to host the most species with large proportional global declines. Most of the countries we identified as future hotspots of terrestrial mammal loss have little or no overlap with the present global conservation priorities, thus confirming the need for forward-looking analyses in conservation priority setting. The expected growth in human populations and consumption in hotspots of future mammal loss mean that local conservation actions such as protected areas might not be sufficient to mitigate losses. Other policies, directed towards the root causes of biodiversity loss, are required, both in Africa and other parts of the world.

Social Care and Obesity: A discussion paper

The number of obese people in England has been rising steadily for the best part of 20 years. Today one in four adults are obese, according to the Health Survey for England, compared to 15 per cent in 1993. Obesity is associated with a range of health problems including type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease and cancer. The resulting NHS costs attributable to overweight and obesity are projected to reach £9.7 billion by 2050 [1], with wider costs to society estimated to reach £49.9 billion per year. These factors combine to make the prevention of obesity a major public health challenge. This discussion paper considers the impact that obesity has on social care and the challenges facing social care now and in the future.

Arctic warming will promote Atlantic-Pacific fish interchange

Throughout much of the Quaternary Period, inhospitable environmental conditions above the Arctic Circle have been a formidable barrier separating most marine organisms in the North Atlantic from those in the North Pacific(1,2). Rapid warming has begun to lift this barrier(3), potentially facilitating the interchange of marine biota between the two seas(4). Here, we forecast the potential northward progression of 515 fish species following climate change, and report the rate of potential species interchange between the Atlantic and the Pacific via the Northwest Passage and the Northeast Passage. For this, we projected niche-based models under climate change scenarios and simulated the spread of species through the passages when climatic conditions became suitable. Results reveal a complex range of responses during this century, and accelerated interchange after 2050. By 2100 up to 41 species could enter the Pacific and 44 species could enter the Atlantic, via one or both passages. Consistent with historical and recent biodiversity interchanges(5,6), this exchange of fish species may trigger changes for biodiversity and food webs in the North Atlantic and North Pacific, with ecological and economic consequences to ecosystems that at present contribute 39% to global marine fish landings.

Fistulizing Crohn's disease: Diagnosis and management.

Fistulizing Crohn's disease represents an evolving, yet unresolved, issue for multidisciplinary management. Perianal fistulas are the most frequent findings in fistulizing Crohn's disease. While enterocutaneous fistulas are rare, they are associated with considerable morbidity and mortality. Detailed evaluation of the fistula tract by advanced imaging techniques is required to determine the most suitable management options. The fundamentals of perianal fistula management are to evaluate the complexity of the fistula tract, and exclude proctitis and associated abscess. The main goals of the treatment are abscess drainage, which is mandatory, before initiating immunosuppressive medical therapy, resolution of fistula discharge, preservation of continence and, in the long term, avoidance of proctectomy with permanent stoma. The management of enterocutaneous fistulas comprises of sepsis control, skin care, nutritional optimization and, if needed, delayed surgery.

Automated quantitative histology reveals vascular morphodynamics during Arabidopsis hypocotyl secondary growth.

Among various advantages, their small size makes model organisms preferred subjects of investigation. Yet, even in model systems detailed analysis of numerous developmental processes at cellular level is severely hampered by their scale. For instance, secondary growth of Arabidopsis hypocotyls creates a radial pattern of highly specialized tissues that comprises several thousand cells starting from a few dozen. This dynamic process is difficult to follow because of its scale and because it can only be investigated invasively, precluding comprehensive understanding of the cell proliferation, differentiation, and patterning events involved. To overcome such limitation, we established an automated quantitative histology approach. We acquired hypocotyl cross-sections from tiled high-resolution images and extracted their information content using custom high-throughput image processing and segmentation. Coupled with automated cell type recognition through machine learning, we could establish a cellular resolution atlas that reveals vascular morphodynamics during secondary growth, for example equidistant phloem pole formation. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.01567.001.

El paciente Nonagenario con Fractura de fémur

Introducción: Los nonagenarios son un grupo aún reducido, pero en expansión, se estima que en el año 2050 la población anciana en España alcance el 35,7% de la población, aumentando así su importancia relativa y planteando un importante desafío de salud pública Ellos tienen varias particularidades que hay que considerar para planificar futuras estrategias de atención especialmente en el acto quirúrgico dentro del que se calcula que el 3% requerirá en este periodo de vida una intervención quirúrgica por fractura de fémur. Objetivo: Realizamos un estudio retrospectivo de una serie de casos en el que se comparan características de pacientes nonagenarios que requieren intervención quirúrgica por fractura de fémur con un grupo de pacientes octogenarios sometidos a la misma intervención Métodos: Estudio retrospectivo de 100 pacientes programados para cirugía por fractura de fémur en HSCSP, distribuidos en dos grupos de edad grupo 1 mayores o igual a 90 años y grupo 2 ancianos menores o igual de 89 años en el que se recogen datos preoperatorios, intraoperatorios y postoperatorios Resultados: Se incluyeron 100 pacientes divididos en dos grupos, grupo 1 n:50 pacientes mayores de 90 años con un 72% de mujeres, y un promedio de edad de 93.3 años, el grupo 2 n:50 pacientes con edad entre 80 y 89 años con un promedio de 81.1 años de los cuales 78% fueron mujeres y 22% hombres, las patologías más frecuentes en los dos grupos en el momento del preoperatorio fueron HTA 71%, Dislipemia 27% y demencia en un 24%, el 54% de los pacientes nonagenarios fueron clasificados como ASA III, mientras que el grupo 2 el mayor porcentaje (38%) fue ASA IV, El grupo 1 fue intervenido quirúrgicamente en promedio a los 3.12 días del ingreso, el grupo 2 a los 6.9 días, en total promedio de estancia hospitalaria fueron 11.3 días en los pacientes nonagenarios y 15.8 en los pacientes menores de 89 años. Respecto a la mortalidad a 1 mes no hay diferencias entre los dos grupos. Conclusiones Los pacientes mayores de 90 años clasificados como ASA II-III, serán siempre considerados como candidatos a procedimientos quirúrgicos dado que no presentan mayor comorbilidad que pacientes menores y la edad como único factor no es un factor excluyente para la intervención quirúrgica.

The Strategic value of European renewable energy promotion policy

Encara falta per fer possible una transformació estratègica d'Europa del sistema d'energia, però el que és de la mateixa importància com a objectius a llarg termini de la FER i Reduccions de GEH són vinculants i forts objectius d'eficiència energètica, no només per 2020, però també per al 2030, 2040 i 2050, com aquesta força ajudaria a fixar l'augment de les energies renovables en el total d'energia consum i per reduir el total Emissions de GEH d'Europa en general, i les del sector de l'energia en particular, encara sent un dels majors emissors de gasos d'efecte hivernacle de tots els sectors. La refosa Directiva, prevista per 2011/12 ha de ser un bones finestres d'oportunitat per finalment establir objectius vinculants d'eficiència energètica, l'únic pilar que encara falta en la força energia interdependents i estratègia sobre el clima de la UE, basat en la reducció de gasos d'efecte hivernacle i i l'eficiència energètica.

Variació del nivell del mar a la Península Ibèrica durant l'últim segle

Segons l'IPCC en valor mitjà mundial del nivell del mar augmenta a raó de 3.1 ± 0.7 mm·a-1. Aquest estudi ha calculat que a la Península Ibèrica, en nivell mitjà del mar ha augmentat a raó de 3.01 ± 0.45 mm·a-1, per tant, a un ritme similar del valor mundial. No obstant, es mostra un comportament diferent entre el conjunt Atlàntic - Cantàbric i el Mediterrani, que podria ser explicat pel efecte baromètric invertit i l'expansió tèrmica. En l'últim període estudiat, 1997-2009, les tendències mostren un augment dels ritmes de pujada en totes les zones amb resultats estadísticament significatius. En un futur, es preveu que en el conjunt de la Península Ibèrica el nivell mitjà del mar augmenti per a l'any 2050, 104 ± 30 mm i per a l'any 2100, 174 ± 60 mm. Aquest fet podria tenir un impacte important sobre les costes ibèriques, i per tant, catalanes.

Disruption of GIP/GIPR axis in human adipose tissue is linked to obesity and insulin resistance.

CONTEXT Glucose-dependent insulinotropic peptide (GIP) has a central role in glucose homeostasis through its amplification of insulin secretion; however, its physiological role in adipose tissue is unclear. OBJECTIVE Our objective was to define the function of GIP in human adipose tissue in relation to obesity and insulin resistance. DESIGN GIP receptor (GIPR) expression was analyzed in human sc adipose tissue (SAT) and visceral adipose (VAT) from lean and obese subjects in 3 independent cohorts. GIPR expression was associated with anthropometric and biochemical variables. GIP responsiveness on insulin sensitivity was analyzed in human adipocyte cell lines in normoxic and hypoxic environments as well as in adipose-derived stem cells obtained from lean and obese patients. RESULTS GIPR expression was downregulated in SAT from obese patients and correlated negatively with body mass index, waist circumference, systolic blood pressure, and glucose and triglyceride levels. Furthermore, homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance, glucose, and G protein-coupled receptor kinase 2 (GRK2) emerged as variables strongly associated with GIPR expression in SAT. Glucose uptake studies and insulin signaling in human adipocytes revealed GIP as an insulin-sensitizer incretin. Immunoprecipitation experiments suggested that GIP promotes the interaction of GRK2 with GIPR and decreases the association of GRK2 to insulin receptor substrate 1. These effects of GIP observed under normoxia were lost in human fat cells cultured in hypoxia. In support of this, GIP increased insulin sensitivity in human adipose-derived stem cells from lean patients. GIP also induced GIPR expression, which was concomitant with a downregulation of the incretin-degrading enzyme dipeptidyl peptidase 4. None of the physiological effects of GIP were detected in human fat cells obtained from an obese environment with reduced levels of GIPR. CONCLUSIONS GIP/GIPR signaling is disrupted in insulin-resistant states, such as obesity, and normalizing this function might represent a potential therapy in the treatment of obesity-associated metabolic disorders.

ITD News, March/April, 2002

Newsletter produced by the Iowa Information Technology Department

Do welfare benefits affect womens' choices of adult care giving?

The efficacy of social care, publicly and universally provided, has been contested from two different points of view. First, advocates of targeting social policy criticized the Matthew’s effect of universal provision and; second, theories arguing in favour of heterogeneous rationalities between men and women and, even different preferences among women, predict that universal provision of services is limiting women’s choices more than home allowances. The author tests both hypotheses and concludes that, at least in the case of adult care, women’s choices are significantly affected by women’s social positions and by the availability of public services. Furthermore, targeting through means-test eligibility criteria has no significant effect on inequality but, confirming the redistributive paradox, reduces women’s options.

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