Nets: Network estimation for time series

This work proposes novel network analysis techniques for multivariate time series.We define the network of a multivariate time series as a graph where verticesdenote the components of the process and edges denote non zero long run partialcorrelations. We then introduce a two step LASSO procedure, called NETS, toestimate high dimensional sparse Long Run Partial Correlation networks. This approachis based on a VAR approximation of the process and allows to decomposethe long run linkages into the contribution of the dynamic and contemporaneousdependence relations of the system. The large sample properties of the estimatorare analysed and we establish conditions for consistent selection and estimation ofthe non zero long run partial correlations. The methodology is illustrated with anapplication to a panel of U.S. bluechips.

Using graphical probability analysis (Bayes Nets) to evaluate a conditional DNA inclusion

This paper discusses the analysis of cases in which the inclusion or exclusion of a particular suspect, as a possible contributor to a DNA mixture, depends on the value of a variable (the number of contributors) that cannot be determined with certainty. It offers alternative ways to deal with such cases, including sensitivity analysis and object-oriented Bayesian networks, that separate uncertainty about the inclusion of the suspect from uncertainty about other variables. The paper presents a case study in which the value of DNA evidence varies radically depending on the number of contributors to a DNA mixture: if there are two contributors, the suspect is excluded; if there are three or more, the suspect is included; but the number of contributors cannot be determined with certainty. It shows how an object-oriented Bayesian network can accommodate and integrate varying perspectives on the unknown variable and how it can reduce the potential for bias by directing attention to relevant considerations and distinguishing different sources of uncertainty. It also discusses the challenge of presenting such evidence to lay audiences.

Reliure de : Epistolae apostolicae Pauli, Jacobi, Petri, Joannis, & Judae. Item Apocalypsis Joannis theologi . Athanasii judicium de adulte-rinis libris Sacrae Scripturae, Des. Erasmo interprete. Epistola Des. Erasmi, de philosophia evangelica

[Bible. N.T. (latin). 1523. Érasme]

M. Tullii Ciceronis opera, omnium quae hactenus excusa sunt castigatissima, nunc primum in lucem edita (a Petro Victorio). Petri Victorii explicationes suarum in Ciceronem castigationum. - Index omnium qui hactenus excusi sunt

Comprend : Explicationes suarum in Ciceronem castigationum

[Illustrations de Tractatus de imagine munidi Petri de Aliaco et varia ejusdem auctoris et Joannis Gerson opuscula.] / [Non identifié] ; Cardinal Pierre d'Ailly, aut. du texte

Comprend : [pl. en reg. p.1 : astronomie. Schéma des neufs sphères célèstes avec au centre la Terre. XVè siècle.] [cote : microfilm m 9464/R 15482] ; [pl. p.3 : astronomie. Schéma de la terre et des Tropiques du Cancer et du Capricorne, les cercles de l'arctique et de l'antarctique. XVè siècle.] [cote : microfilm m 9464/R 15482] ; [pl. p.4 : astronomie. Schéma de la Terre avec axes du Méridien, de l'Equinoxe et des Solstices. XVè siècle.] [cote : microfilm m 9464/R 15482] ; [pl. p.5 : astronomie. Schéma de la Terre avec les continents et les eaux au centre de quatre sphères "atmosphériques". XVè siècle.] [cote : microfilm m 9464/R 15482] ; [pl. p.6 : astronomie. Schéma de la Terre divisée en cinq zones. XVè siècle.] [cote : microfilm m 9464/R 15482] ; [pl. p.7 : astronomie. Schéma de la Terre avec les zones climatiques du globe. XVè siècle.] [cote : microfilm m 9464/R 15482] ; [pl. p.8 : astronomie. Schéma de la Terre avec la répartition des pays et continents. XVè siècle.] [cote : microfilm m 9464/R 15482] ; [pl. p.9 : astronomie. Schéma des vents du globe terrestre. XVè siècle.] [cote : microfilm m 9464/R 15482] ; [pl. après folio bb3 : astronomie. Répartition du Zodiaque par rapport au globe terrestre. XVè siècle.] [cote : microfilm m 9464/R 15482]

1.° Registrum patrimonii beati Petri in Tuscia, compositum anno 1291. a Raynaldo, Episcopo Senensi. — 2.° Descriptio provinciae patrimonii et civitatis Sabinae

Colbertinus

Magistri Petri de Vineis epistolae : initium desideratur.

Tellerianus

Magistri Petri de Vineis epistolae.

Colbertinus

Aplicação dos conceitos de modelagem e de redes de Petri na análise do processo produtivo da indústria sucroalcooleira

A modelagem, como meio de análise de processos do agronegócio, bem como de cadeias produtivas, atende à demanda por métodos apropriados. O presente trabalho objetivou avaliar a aderência dos conceitos de modelagem e de rede de Petri aplicados ao complexo agroindustrial da cana-de-açúcar. Utilizou-se uma empresa real para a aquisição das informações. Os modelos das cadeias de atividades foram validados com o uso da rede de Petri, por meio de um método de análise em que são simulados todos os caminhos possíveis e os estados que o sistema modelado pode atingir. O estudo resultou em 14 conjuntos de etapas de produção, englobando todas as operações unitárias das cadeias produtivas do açúcar e do álcool, desde o plantio da cana até o armazenamento do açúcar e do álcool.

fragmenta varia simul compacta hoc ordine : — 1.° Anonymi libellus de nativitatibus. — 2.° Excerptum è libro Petri de Alliaco, Cameracensis Episcopi, de imagine mundi. — 3.° Fragmentum registri cujusdam Procuratoris nomine Guaillardi. — 4.° Fragmentum Ciceronis de optimo genere Oratorum. — 5.° Fragmentum libri cui titulus : manipulus florum, è variis sanctorum Patrum locis collectus à Magistro Thoma de Hybernia, quondam Socio de Sorbona. — 6.° Catalogus operum quorum authores feruntur Dionysius, Augustinus, Ambrosius, Hieronymus, Gregorius, Bernardus, Hilarius, Isidorus, Chrysostomus, Rabanus, Prosper, Damascenus, Anselmus, Richardus et Hugo de Sancto Victore, Alanus, Cicero, Boëtius et Seneca : finis desideratur. — Hujusce codicis pars duodecimo, pars decimo quarto saeculo videtur exarata.

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