Branching Processes with Immigration and Integer-valued Time Series

In this paper, we indicate how integer-valued autoregressive time series Ginar(d) of ordre d, d ≥ 1, are simple functionals of multitype branching processes with immigration. This allows the derivation of a simple criteria for the existence of a stationary distribution of the time series, thus proving and extending some results by Al-Osh and Alzaid [1], Du and Li [9] and Gauthier and Latour [11]. One can then transfer results on estimation in subcritical multitype branching processes to stationary Ginar(d) and get consistency and asymptotic normality for the corresponding estimators. The technique covers autoregressive moving average time series as well.

Discrete Generalization of Gronwall-Bellman Inequality with Maxima and Application

Снежана Христова, Кремена Стефанова, Лиляна Ванкова - В работата са решени няколко нови видове линейни дискретни неравенства, които съдържат максимума на неизвестната функция в отминал интервал от време. Някои от тези неравенства са приложени за изучаване непрекъснатата зависимост от смущения при дискретни уравнения с максимуми.