3 resultados para accounting-based valuation models

em ArchiMeD - Elektronische Publikationen der Universität Mainz - Alemanha


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This thesis studies molecular dynamics simulations on two levels of resolution: the detailed level of atomistic simulations, where the motion of explicit atoms in a many-particle system is considered, and the coarse-grained level, where the motion of superatoms composed of up to 10 atoms is modeled. While atomistic models are capable of describing material specific effects on small scales, the time and length scales they can cover are limited due to their computational costs. Polymer systems are typically characterized by effects on a broad range of length and time scales. Therefore it is often impossible to atomistically simulate processes, which determine macroscopic properties in polymer systems. Coarse-grained (CG) simulations extend the range of accessible time and length scales by three to four orders of magnitude. However, no standardized coarse-graining procedure has been established yet. Following the ideas of structure-based coarse-graining, a coarse-grained model for polystyrene is presented. Structure-based methods parameterize CG models to reproduce static properties of atomistic melts such as radial distribution functions between superatoms or other probability distributions for coarse-grained degrees of freedom. Two enhancements of the coarse-graining methodology are suggested. Correlations between local degrees of freedom are implicitly taken into account by additional potentials acting between neighboring superatoms in the polymer chain. This improves the reproduction of local chain conformations and allows the study of different tacticities of polystyrene. It also gives better control of the chain stiffness, which agrees perfectly with the atomistic model, and leads to a reproduction of experimental results for overall chain dimensions, such as the characteristic ratio, for all different tacticities. The second new aspect is the computationally cheap development of nonbonded CG potentials based on the sampling of pairs of oligomers in vacuum. Static properties of polymer melts are obtained as predictions of the CG model in contrast to other structure-based CG models, which are iteratively refined to reproduce reference melt structures. The dynamics of simulations at the two levels of resolution are compared. The time scales of dynamical processes in atomistic and coarse-grained simulations can be connected by a time scaling factor, which depends on several specific system properties as molecular weight, density, temperature, and other components in mixtures. In this thesis the influence of molecular weight in systems of oligomers and the situation in two-component mixtures is studied. For a system of small additives in a melt of long polymer chains the temperature dependence of the additive diffusion is predicted and compared to experiments.

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This thesis presents a process-based modelling approach to quantify carbon uptake by lichens and bryophytes at the global scale. Based on the modelled carbon uptake, potential global rates of nitrogen fixation, phosphorus uptake and chemical weathering by the organisms are estimated. In this way, the significance of lichens and bryophytes for global biogeochemical cycles can be assessed. The model uses gridded climate data and key properties of the habitat (e.g. disturbance intervals) to predict processes which control net carbon uptake, namely photosynthesis, respiration, water uptake and evaporation. It relies on equations used in many dynamical vegetation models, which are combined with concepts specific to lichens and bryophytes, such as poikilohydry or the effect of water content on CO2 diffusivity. To incorporate the great functional variation of lichens and bryophytes at the global scale, the model parameters are characterised by broad ranges of possible values instead of a single, globally uniform value. The predicted terrestrial net uptake of 0.34 to 3.3 Gt / yr of carbon and global patterns of productivity are in accordance with empirically-derived estimates. Based on the simulated estimates of net carbon uptake, further impacts of lichens and bryophytes on biogeochemical cycles are quantified at the global scale. Thereby the focus is on three processes, namely nitrogen fixation, phosphorus uptake and chemical weathering. The presented estimates have the form of potential rates, which means that the amount of nitrogen and phosphorus is quantified which is needed by the organisms to build up biomass, also accounting for resorption and leaching of nutrients. Subsequently, the potential phosphorus uptake on bare ground is used to estimate chemical weathering by the organisms, assuming that they release weathering agents to obtain phosphorus. The predicted requirement for nitrogen ranges from 3.5 to 34 Tg / yr and for phosphorus it ranges from 0.46 to 4.6 Tg / yr. Estimates of chemical weathering are between 0.058 and 1.1 km³ / yr of rock. These values seem to have a realistic order of magnitude and they support the notion that lichens and bryophytes have the potential to play an important role for global biogeochemical cycles.

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This thesis assesses the question, whether accounting for non-tradable goods sectors in a calibrated Auerbach-Kotlikoff multi-regional overlapping-generations-model significantly affects this model’s results when simulating the economic impact of demographic change. Non-tradable goods constitute a major part of up to 80 percent of GDP of modern economies. At the same time, multi-regional overlapping-generations-models presented by literature on demographic change so far ignored their existence and counterfactually assumed perfect tradability between model regions. Moreover, this thesis introduces the assumption of an increasing preference share for non-tradable goods of old generations. This fact-based as-sumption is also not part of models in relevant literature. rnThese obvious simplifications of common models vis-à-vis reality notwithstanding, this thesis concludes that differences in results between a model featuring non-tradable goods and a common model with perfect tradability are very small. In other words, the common simplifi-cation of ignoring non-tradable goods is unlikely to lead to significant distortions in model results. rnIn order to ensure that differences in results between the ‘new’ model, featuring both non-tradable and tradable goods, and the common model solely reflect deviations due to the more realistic structure of the ‘new’ model, both models are calibrated to match exactly the same benchmark data and thus do not show deviations in their respective baseline steady states.rnA variation analysis performed in this thesis suggests that differences between the common model and a model with non-tradable goods can theoretically be large, but only if the bench-mark tradable goods sector is assumed to be unrealistically small.rnFinally, this thesis analyzes potential real exchange rate effects of demographic change, which could occur due to regional price differences of non-tradable goods. However, results show that shifts in real exchange rate based on these price differences are negligible.rn