Modelling, simulation and optimization of maintenance considerations on condition based maintenance

Globalization has increased the pressure on organizations and companies to operate in the most efficient and economic way. This tendency promotes that companies concentrate more and more on their core businesses, outsource less profitable departments and services to reduce costs. By contrast to earlier times, companies are highly specialized and have a low real net output ratio. For being able to provide the consumers with the right products, those companies have to collaborate with other suppliers and form large supply chains. An effect of large supply chains is the deficiency of high stocks and stockholding costs. This fact has lead to the rapid spread of Just-in-Time logistic concepts aimed minimizing stock by simultaneous high availability of products. Those concurring goals, minimizing stock by simultaneous high product availability, claim for high availability of the production systems in the way that an incoming order can immediately processed. Besides of design aspects and the quality of the production system, maintenance has a strong impact on production system availability. In the last decades, there has been many attempts to create maintenance models for availability optimization. Most of them concentrated on the availability aspect only without incorporating further aspects as logistics and profitability of the overall system. However, production system operator’s main intention is to optimize the profitability of the production system and not the availability of the production system. Thus, classic models, limited to represent and optimize maintenance strategies under the light of availability, fail. A novel approach, incorporating all financial impacting processes of and around a production system, is needed. The proposed model is subdivided into three parts, maintenance module, production module and connection module. This subdivision provides easy maintainability and simple extendability. Within those modules, all aspect of production process are modeled. Main part of the work lies in the extended maintenance and failure module that offers a representation of different maintenance strategies but also incorporates the effect of over-maintaining and failed maintenance (maintenance induced failures). Order release and seizing of the production system are modeled in the production part. Due to computational power limitation, it was not possible to run the simulation and the optimization with the fully developed production model. Thus, the production model was reduced to a black-box without higher degree of details.

Superfici di suddivisione: teoria, algoritmi ed applicazioni

Le superfici di suddivisione sono un ottimo ed importante strumento utilizzato principalmente nell’ambito dell’animazione 3D poichè consentono di definire superfici di forma arbitraria. Questa tecnologia estende il concetto di B-spline e permette di avere un’estrema libertà dei vincoli topologici. Per definire superfici di forma arbitraria esistono anche le Non-Uniform Rational B-Splines (NURBS) ma non lasciano abbastanza libertà per la costruzione di forme libere. Infatti, a differenza delle superfici di suddivisione, hanno bisogno di unire vari pezzi della superficie (trimming). La tecnologia NURBS quindi viene utilizzata prevalentemente negli ambienti CAD mentre nell’ambito della Computer Graphics si è diffuso ormai da più di 30 anni, l’utilizzo delle superfici di suddivisione. Lo scopo di questa tesi è quello di riassumere, quindi, i concetti riguardo questa tecnologia, di analizzare alcuni degli schemi di suddivisione più utilizzati e parlare brevemente di come questi schemi ed algoritmi vengono utilizzati nella realt`a per l’animazione 3D.

Tecniche innovative di modellazione diretta nell'early stage design

Partendo da un’analisi dei problemi che si incontrano nella fase di conceptual design, si presentano le diverse tecniche di modellazione tridimensionale, con particolare attenzione al metodo subdivision e agli algoritmi che lo governano (Chaikin, Doo – Sabin). Vengono poi proposti alcuni esempi applicativi della modellazione free form e skeleton, con una successiva comparazione, sugli stessi modelli, delle sequenze e operazioni necessarie con le tradizionali tecniche di modellazione parametrica. Si riporta un esempio dell’utilizzo del software IronCAD, il primo software a unire la modellazione parametrica e diretta. Si descrivono le limitazioni della modellazione parametrica e di quella history free nella fase concettuale di un progetto, per arrivare a definire le caratteristiche della hybrid modeling, nuovo approccio alla modellazione. Si presenta brevemente il prototipo, in fase di sviluppo, che tenta di applicare concretamente i concetti dell’hybrid modeling e che vuole essere la base di partenza per una nuova generazione di softwares CAD. Infine si presenta la possibilità di ottenere simulazioni real time su modelli che subiscono modifiche topologiche. La simulazione real time è permessa dalla ridefinizione in forma parametrica del problema lineare elastico che viene successivamente risolto mediante l’applicazione congiunta delle R – Functions e del metodo PGD. Seguono esempi di simulazione real time.

From the traditional verification approach to the spatial methods: a study of applicability of the SAL metric in the framework of the WMO project MesoVICT

Increasing in resolution of numerical weather prediction models has allowed more and more realistic forecasts of atmospheric parameters. Due to the growing variability into predicted fields the traditional verification methods are not always able to describe the model ability because they are based on a grid-point-by-grid-point matching between observation and prediction. Recently, new spatial verification methods have been developed with the aim of show the benefit associated to the high resolution forecast. Nested in among of the MesoVICT international project, the initially aim of this work is to compare the newly tecniques remarking advantages and disadvantages. First of all, the MesoVICT basic examples, represented by synthetic precipitation fields, have been examined. Giving an error evaluation in terms of structure, amplitude and localization of the precipitation fields, the SAL method has been studied more thoroughly respect to the others approaches with its implementation in the core cases of the project. The verification procedure has concerned precipitation fields over central Europe: comparisons between the forecasts performed by the 00z COSMO-2 model and the VERA (Vienna Enhanced Resolution Analysis) have been done. The study of these cases has shown some weaknesses of the methodology examined; in particular has been highlighted the presence of a correlation between the optimal domain size and the extention of the precipitation systems. In order to increase ability of SAL, a subdivision of the original domain in three subdomains has been done and the method has been applied again. Some limits have been found in cases in which at least one of the two domains does not show precipitation. The overall results for the subdomains have been summarized on scatter plots. With the aim to identify systematic errors of the model the variability of the three parameters has been studied for each subdomain.