Agent-based simulation for renewable energy incentive design

In this thesis, we propose a novel approach to model the diffusion of residential PV systems. For this purpose, we use an agent-based model where agents are the families living in the area of interest. The case study is the Emilia-Romagna Regional Energy plan, which aims to increase the produc- tion of electricity from renewable energy. So, we study the microdata from the Survey on Household Income and Wealth (SHIW) provided by Bank of Italy in order to obtain the characteristics of families living in Emilia-Romagna. These data have allowed us to artificial generate families and reproduce the socio-economic aspects of the region. The families generated by means of a software are placed on the virtual world by associating them with the buildings. These buildings are acquired by analysing the vector data of regional buildings made available by the region. Each year, the model determines the level of diffusion by simulating the installed capacity. The adoption behaviour is influenced by social interactions, household’s economic situation, the environmental benefits arising from the adoption and the payback period of the investment.

Self-management di malattie croniche in sistemi di mobile Health: sviluppo di un modello agent-based per casi di diabete

L'obiettivo della tesi è proporre e motivare l'adozione di un modello computazionale Agent-Based nell'ambito del Self-Management di malattie croniche in un sistema di mobile Health. Viene quindi affrontata in maniera approfondita la tematica del mobile Health, settore in grande espansione che vede l'introduzione massiccia dei dispositivi mobili (smartphone, tablet, PDA) in ambito sanitario, e quella del Self-Managment di malattie croniche, un processo di cura caratterizzato dalla partecipazione autonoma del paziente stesso, fornendo una panoramica dei vari approcci computazionali sviluppati. Successivamente vengono presentate le peculiarità dei modelli computazionali risultati dalle ricerche in letteratura strumenti innovati nell'ambito. Nel caso di studio viene adottata la tecnica di modellazione Agent-Based per sviluppare un modello a supporto di malati cronici affetti da diabete mellito di tipo 1. Con la successiva implementazione sulla piattaforma di simulazione MASON, vengono eseguiti diversi esperimenti per dimostrare la fattibilità dell’approccio adottato nell'ambito del Self-Management di malattie croniche.

Simulazione agent-based di un sistema di m-Health per il self-management del diabete di tipo 1

L'obiettivo della tesi è dimostrare l'utilità e i vantaggi che può fornire il Self-Management del diabete mellito di tipo 1 in un sistema di mobile Health a partire da un modello computazionale Agent-Based. Viene quindi affrontata in maniera approfondita la tematica del mobile Health ed il suo sviluppo nei paesi a basso/medio reddito, illustrando i risultati ottenuti dalla ricerca scientifica fino ad oggi, ed il concetto di Self-Management di malattie croniche, un processo di cura caratterizzato dalla partecipazione autonoma del paziente stesso, fornendo una panoramica degli approcci computazionali sviluppati. Viene quindi studiato il diabete mellito in ogni sua caratteristica, seguito dall'illustrazione di diverse applicazioni per la gestione autonoma della suddetta patologia tutt'ora in commercio. Nel caso di studio vengono effettuate diverse simulazioni, tramite la piattaforma di simulazione MASON, per realizzare varie dinamiche della rete fisiologica di un paziente al fine di stabilire feedback qualitativi per il Self-Management della patologia.

Modelling and simulating in systems biology: an approach based on multi-agent systems

Systems Biology is an innovative way of doing biology recently raised in bio-informatics contexts, characterised by the study of biological systems as complex systems with a strong focus on the system level and on the interaction dimension. In other words, the objective is to understand biological systems as a whole, putting on the foreground not only the study of the individual parts as standalone parts, but also of their interaction and of the global properties that emerge at the system level by means of the interaction among the parts. This thesis focuses on the adoption of multi-agent systems (MAS) as a suitable paradigm for Systems Biology, for developing models and simulation of complex biological systems. Multi-agent system have been recently introduced in informatics context as a suitabe paradigm for modelling and engineering complex systems. Roughly speaking, a MAS can be conceived as a set of autonomous and interacting entities, called agents, situated in some kind of nvironment, where they fruitfully interact and coordinate so as to obtain a coherent global system behaviour. The claim of this work is that the general properties of MAS make them an effective approach for modelling and building simulations of complex biological systems, following the methodological principles identified by Systems Biology. In particular, the thesis focuses on cell populations as biological systems. In order to support the claim, the thesis introduces and describes (i) a MAS-based model conceived for modelling the dynamics of systems of cells interacting inside cell environment called niches. (ii) a computational tool, developed for implementing the models and executing the simulations. The tool is meant to work as a kind of virtual laboratory, on top of which kinds of virtual experiments can be performed, characterised by the definition and execution of specific models implemented as MASs, so as to support the validation, falsification and improvement of the models through the observation and analysis of the simulations. A hematopoietic stem cell system is taken as reference case study for formulating a specific model and executing virtual experiments.

New markov chain based methods for single and cross-domain sentiment classification

Nowadays communication is switching from a centralized scenario, where communication media like newspapers, radio, TV programs produce information and people are just consumers, to a completely different decentralized scenario, where everyone is potentially an information producer through the use of social networks, blogs, forums that allow a real-time worldwide information exchange. These new instruments, as a result of their widespread diffusion, have started playing an important socio-economic role. They are the most used communication media and, as a consequence, they constitute the main source of information enterprises, political parties and other organizations can rely on. Analyzing data stored in servers all over the world is feasible by means of Text Mining techniques like Sentiment Analysis, which aims to extract opinions from huge amount of unstructured texts. This could lead to determine, for instance, the user satisfaction degree about products, services, politicians and so on. In this context, this dissertation presents new Document Sentiment Classification methods based on the mathematical theory of Markov Chains. All these approaches bank on a Markov Chain based model, which is language independent and whose killing features are simplicity and generality, which make it interesting with respect to previous sophisticated techniques. Every discussed technique has been tested in both Single-Domain and Cross-Domain Sentiment Classification areas, comparing performance with those of other two previous works. The performed analysis shows that some of the examined algorithms produce results comparable with the best methods in literature, with reference to both single-domain and cross-domain tasks, in $2$-classes (i.e. positive and negative) Document Sentiment Classification. However, there is still room for improvement, because this work also shows the way to walk in order to enhance performance, that is, a good novel feature selection process would be enough to outperform the state of the art. Furthermore, since some of the proposed approaches show promising results in $2$-classes Single-Domain Sentiment Classification, another future work will regard validating these results also in tasks with more than $2$ classes.