Automatic risk evaluation in elderly patients based on Autonomic Nervous System assessment

Dysfunction of Autonomic Nervous System (ANS) is a typical feature of chronic heart failure and other cardiovascular disease. As a simple non-invasive technology, heart rate variability (HRV) analysis provides reliable information on autonomic modulation of heart rate. The aim of this thesis was to research and develop automatic methods based on ANS assessment for evaluation of risk in cardiac patients. Several features selection and machine learning algorithms have been combined to achieve the goals. Automatic assessment of disease severity in Congestive Heart Failure (CHF) patients: a completely automatic method, based on long-term HRV was proposed in order to automatically assess the severity of CHF, achieving a sensitivity rate of 93% and a specificity rate of 64% in discriminating severe versus mild patients. Automatic identification of hypertensive patients at high risk of vascular events: a completely automatic system was proposed in order to identify hypertensive patients at higher risk to develop vascular events in the 12 months following the electrocardiographic recordings, achieving a sensitivity rate of 71% and a specificity rate of 86% in identifying high-risk subjects among hypertensive patients. Automatic identification of hypertensive patients with history of fall: it was explored whether an automatic identification of fallers among hypertensive patients based on HRV was feasible. The results obtained in this thesis could have implications both in clinical practice and in clinical research. The system has been designed and developed in order to be clinically feasible. Moreover, since 5-minute ECG recording is inexpensive, easy to assess, and non-invasive, future research will focus on the clinical applicability of the system as a screening tool in non-specialized ambulatories, in order to identify high-risk patients to be shortlisted for more complex investigations.

Risk factors for postoperative delirium in the elderly

Background: Delirium is defined as an acute disorder of attention and cognition. Delirium is common in hospitalized elderly patient and is associated with increased morbidity, length of stay and patient care costs. Although Delirium can develop at any time during hospitalization, it typically presents early in the post-operative period (Post-Operative Delirium, POD) in the surgery context. The molecular mechanism and possible genetics basis of POD onset are not known, as well as all the risk factors are not completely defined. Our hypothesis is that genetic risk factor involving the inflammatory response could have possible effects on the immunoneuroendocrine system. Moreover, our previous data (inflamm-aging) suggest that aging is associated with an increase of inflammatory status, favouring age-related diseases such as neurodegenerative diseases, frailty, depression among other. Some pro-inflammatory or anti-inflammatory cytokines, seem to play a crucial role in increasing the inflammatory status and in the communication and regulation of immunoneuroendocrine system. Objective: this study evaluated the incidence of POD in elderly patients undergoing general surgery, clinical/physical and psychological risk factors of POD insurgency and investigated inflammatory and genetic risk factors. Moreover, this study evaluated the consequence of POD in terms of institutionalization, development of permanent cognitive dysfunction or dementia and mortality Methods: patients aged over 65 admitted for surgery at the Urgency Unit of S.Orsola-Malpighi Hospital were eligible for this case–control study. Risk factors significantly associated with POD in univariate analysis were entered into multivariate analysis to establish those independently associated with POD. Preoperative plasma level of 9 inflammatory markers were measured in 42 control subjects and 43 subjects who developed POD. Functional polymorphisms of IL-1 α , IL-2, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10 and TNF-alpha cytokine genes were determined in 176 control subjects and 27 POD subjects. Results: A total of 351 patients were enrolled in the study. The incidence of POD was 13•2 %. Independent variables associated with POD were: age, co-morbidity, preoperative cognitive impairment, glucose abnormalities. Median length of hospital stay was 21 days for patients with POD versus 8 days for control patients (P < 0•001). The hospital mortality rate was 19 and 8•4 % respectively (P = 0•021) and mortality rate after 1 year was also higher in POD (P= 0.0001). The baseline of IL-6 concentration was higher in POD patients than patients without POD, whereas IL-2 was lower in POD patients compared to patients without POD. In a multivariate analysis only IL-6 remained associated with POD. Moreover IL-6, IL-8 and IL-2 are associated with co-morbidity, intra-hospital mortality, compromised functional status and emergency admission. No significant differences in genotype distribution were found between POD subjects and controls for any SNP analyzed in this study. Conclusion: In this study we found older age, comorbidity, cognitive impairment, glucose abnormalities and baseline of IL-6 as independent risk factors for the development of POD. IL-6 could be proposed as marker of a trait that is associated with an increased risk of delirium; i.e. raised premorbid IL-6 level predict for the development of delirium.

Central autonomic control in spontaneously hypertensive rats: a study on phasic phenomena during rapid-eye-movement sleep

The cardiovascular regulation undergoes wide changes in the different states of sleepwake cycle. In particular, the relationship between spontaneous fluctuations in heart period and arterial pressure clearly shows differences between the two sleep states. In non rapid-eye-movement sleep, heart rhythm is under prevalent baroreflex control, whereas in rapid-eye-movement sleep central autonomic commands prevail (Zoccoli et al., 2001). Moreover, during rapid-eye-movement sleep the cardiovascular variables show wide fluctuations around their mean value. In particular, during rapid-eyemovement sleep, the arterial pressure shows phasic hypertensive events which are superimposed upon the tonic level of arterial pressure. These phasic increases in arterial pressure are accompanied by an increase in heart rate (Sei & Morita, 1996; Silvani et al., 2005). Thus, rapid-eye-movement sleep may represent an “autonomic stress test” for the cardiovascular system, able to unmask pathological patterns of cardiovascular regulation (Verrier et al. 2005), but this hypothesis has never been tested experimentally. The aim of this study was to investigate whether rapid-eye-movement sleep may reveal derangements in central autonomic cardiovascular control in an experimental model of essential hypertension. The study was performed in Spontaneously Hypertensive Rats, which represent the most widely used model of essential hypertension, and allow full control of genetic and environmental confounding factors. In particular, we analyzed the cardiovascular, electroencephalogram, and electromyogram changes associated with phasic hypertensive events during rapid-eyemovement sleep in Spontaneously Hypertensive Rats and in their genetic Wistar Kyoto control strain. Moreover, we studied also a group of Spontaneously Hypertensive Rats made phenotypically normotensive by means of a chronic treatment with an angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor, the Enalapril maleate, from the age of four weeks to the end of the experiment. All rats were implanted with electrodes for electroencephalographic and electromyographic recordings and with an arterial catheter for arterial pressure measurement. After six days for postoperative recovery, the rats were studied for five days, at an age of ten weeks.The study indicated that the peak of mean arterial pressure increase during the phasic hypertensive events in rapid-eye-movement sleep did not differ significantly between Spontaneously Hypertensive Rats and Wistar Kyoto rats, while on the other hand Spontaneously Hypertensive Rats showed a reduced increase in the frequency of theta rhythm and a reduced tachicardia with respect to Wistar Kyoto rats. The same pattern of changes in mean arterial pressure, heart period, and theta frequency was observed between Spontaneously Hypertensive Rats and Spontaneously Hypertensive Rats treated with Enalapril maleate. Spontaneously Hypertensive Rats do not differ from Wistar Kyoto rats only in terms of arterial hypertension, but also due to multiple unknown genetic differences. Spontaneously Hypertensive Rats were developed by selective breeding of Wistar Kyoto rats based only on the level of arterial pressure. However, in this process, multiple genes possibly unrelated to hypertension may have been selected together with the genetic determinants of hypertension (Carley et al., 2000). This study indicated that Spontaneously Hypertensive Rats differ from Wistar Kyoto rats, but not from Spontaneously Hypertensive Rats treated with Enalapril maleate, in terms of arterial pH and theta frequency. This feature may be due to genetic determinants unrelated to hypertension. In sharp contrast, the persistence of differences in the peak of heart period decrease and the peak of theta frequency increase during phasic hypertensive events between Spontaneously Hypertensive Rats and Spontaneously Hypertensive Rats treated with Enalapril maleate demonstrates that the observed reduction in central autonomic control of the cardiovascular system in Spontaneously Hypertensive Rats is not an irreversible consequence of inherited genetic determinants. Rather, the comparison between Spontaneously Hypertensive Rats and Spontaneously Hypertensive Rats treated with Enalapril maleate indicates that the observed differences in central autonomic control are the result of the hypertension per se. This work supports the view that the study of cardiovascular regulation in sleep provides fundamental insight on the pathophysiology of hypertension, and may thus contribute to the understanding of this disease, which is a major health problem in European countries (Wolf-Maier et al., 2003) with its burden of cardiac, vascular, and renal complications.

Valutazione del rapporto urinario proteine totali/creatinina e albumina/creatinina in cani affetti da iperadrenocorticismo e da diabete mellito

INTRODUCTION – In human medicine, diabetes mellitus (DM), hypertension, proteinuria and nephropathy are often associated although it is still not clear whether hypertension is the consequence or the cause of nephropathy and albuminuria. Microalbuminuria, in humans, is an early and sensitive marker which permits timely and effective therapy in the early phase of renal damage. Conversely, in dogs, these relationships were not fully investigated, even though hypertension has been associated with many diseases (Bodey and Michell, 1996). In a previous study, 20% of diabetic dogs were found proteinuric based on a U:P/C > 1 and 46% were hypertensive; this latter finding is similar to the prevalence of hypertension in diabetic people (40-80%) (Struble et al., 1998). In the same canine study, hypertension was also positively correlated with the duration of the disease, as is the case in human beings. Hypertension was also found to be a common complication of hypercortisolism (HC) in dogs, with a prevalence which varies from 50 (Goy-Thollot et al., 2002) to 80% (Danese and Aron, 1994).The aim of our study was to evaluate the urinary albumin to creatinine ratio (U:A/C) in dogs affected by Diabetes Mellitus and HC in order to ascertain if, as in human beings, it could represent an early and more sensitive marker of renal damage than U:P/C. Furthermore, the relationship between proteinuria and hypertension in DM and HC was also investigated. MATERIALS AND METHODS – Twenty dogs with DM, 14 with HC and 21 healthy dogs (control group) were included in the prospective case-control study. Inclusion criteria were hyperglycaemia, glicosuria and serum fructosamine above the reference range for DM dogs and a positive ACTH stimulation test and/or low-dose dexamethasone test and consistent findings of HC on abdominal ultrasonography in HC dogs. Dogs were excluded if affected by urinary tract infections and if the serum creatinine or urea values were above the reference range. At the moment of inclusion, an appropriate therapy had already been instituted less than 1 month earlier in 12 diabetic dogs. The control dogs were considered healthy based on clinical exam and clinicopathological findings. All dogs underwent urine sample collection by cystocentesis and systemic blood pressure measurement by means of either an oscillometric device (BP-88 Next, Colin Corporation, Japan) or by Doppler ultrasonic traducer (Minidop ES-100VX, Hadeco, Japan). The choice of method depended on the dog’s body weight: Doppler ultrasonography was employed in dogs < 20 kg of body weight and the oscillometric method in the other subjects. Dogs were considered hypertensive whenever systemic blood pressure was found ≥ 160 mmHg. The urine was assayed for U:P/C and U:A/C (Gentilini et al., 2005). The data between groups were compared using the Mann-Whitney U test. The reference ranges for U:P/C and U:A/C had already been established by our laboratory as 0.6 and 0.05, respectively. U:P/C and U:A/C findings were correlated to systemic blood pressure and Spearman R correlation coefficients were calculated. In all cases, p < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. RESULTS – The mean ± sd urinary albumin concentration in the three groups was 1.79 mg/dl ± 2.18; 20.02 mg/dl ± 43.25; 52.02 mg/dl ± 98.27, in healthy, diabetic and hypercortisolemic dogs, respectively. The urine albumin concentration differed significantly between healthy and diabetic dogs (p = 0.008) and between healthy and HC dogs (p = 0.011). U:A/C values ranged from 0.00 to 0.34 (mean ± sd 0.02 ± 0.07), 0.00 to 6.72 (mean ± sd 0.62 ± 1.52) and 0.00 to 5.52 (mean ± sd 1.27 ± 1.70) in the control, DM and HC groups, respectively; U:P/C values ranged from 0.1 to 0.6 (mean ± sd 0.17 ± 0.15) 0.1 to 6.6 (mean ± sd 0.93 ± 1.15) and 0.2 to 7.1 (mean ± sd 1.90 ± 2.11) in the control, DM and HC groups, respectively. In diabetic dogs, U:A/C was above the reference range in 11 out of 20 dogs (55%). Among these, 5/20 (25%) showed an increase only in the U:A/C ratio while, in 6/20 (30%), both the U:P/C and the U:A/C were abnormal. Among the latter, 4 dogs had already undergone therapy. In subjects affected with HC, U:P/C and U:A/C were both increased in 10/14 (71%) while in 2/14 (14%) only U:A/C was above the reference range. Overall, by comparing U:P/C and U:A/C in the various groups, a significant increase in protein excretion in disease-affected animals compared to healthy dogs was found. Blood pressure (BP) in diabetic subjects ranged from 88 to 203 mmHg (mean ± sd 143 ± 33 mmHg) and 7/20 (35%) dogs were found to be hypertensive. In HC dogs, BP ranged from 116 to 200 mmHg (mean ± sd 167 ± 26 mmHg) and 9/14 (64%) dogs were hypertensive. Blood pressure and proteinuria were not significantly correlated. Furthermore, in the DM group, U:P/C and U:A/C were both increased in 3 hypertensive dogs and 2 normotensive dogs while the only increase of U:A/C was observed in 2 hypertensive and 3 normotensive dogs. In the HC group, the U:P/C and the U:A/C were both increased in 6 hypertensive and 2 normotensive dogs; the U:A/C was the sole increased parameter in 1 hypertensive dog and in 1 dog with normal pressure. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION- The findings of this study suggest that, in dogs affected by DM and HC, an increase in U:P/C, U:A/C and systemic hypertension is frequently present. Remarkably, some dogs affected by both DM and HC showed an U:A/C but not U:P/C above the reference range. In diabetic dogs, albuminuria was observed in 25% of the subjects, suggesting the possibility that this parameter could be employed for detecting renal damage at an early phase when common semiquantiative tests and even U:P/C fall inside the reference range. In HC dogs, a higher number of subjects with overt proteinuria was found while only 14% presented an increase only in the U:A/C. This fact, associated with a greater number of hypertensive dogs having HC rather than DM, could suggest a greater influence on renal function by the mechanisms involved in hypertension secondary to hypercortisolemia. Furthermore, it is possible that, in HC dogs, the diagnosis was more delayed than in DM dogs. However, the lack of a statistically significant correlation between hypertension and increased protein excretion as well as the apparently random distribution of proteinuric subjects in normotensive and hypertensive cases, imply that other factors besides hypertension are involved in causing proteinuria. Longitudinal studies are needed to further investigate the relationship between hypertension and proteinuria.

Circoli collaterali porto-sistemici all'eco-color-Doppler addominale in pazienti con ipertensione portale cirrotica: correlazione con il gradiente porto-epatico e valore prognostico

Background. Abdominal porto-systemic collaterals (APSC) on Color-Doppler ultrasound are a frequent finding in portal hypertensive cirrhotic patients. In patients with cirrhosis, an HVPG ≥ 16mmHg has been shown to be associated with increased mortality in two studies. Non-invasive indicators of HVPG ≥ 16 mmHg might define a subgroup of high-risk patients, but data on this aspect are lacking. Aims. We aimed to investigate whether HVPG predicts mortality in patients with clinically significant portal hypertension, and if APSC may predict a severe portal hypertensive state (i.e. HVPG≥16mmHg) in patients with cirrhosis and untreated portal hypertension. Methods. We analysed paired HVPG and ultrasonographic data of 86 untreated portal hypertensive cirrhotic patients. On abdominal echo-color-Doppler data on presence, type and number of APSC were prospectively collected. HVPG was measured following published guidelines. Clinical, laboratory and endoscopic data were available in all cases. First decompensation of cirrhosis and liver-disease related mortality on follow-up (mean 28±20 months) were recorded. Results. 73% of patients had compensated cirrhosis, while 27% were decompensated. All patients had an HVPG≥10 mmHg (mean 17.8±5.1 mmHg). 58% of compensated patients and 82% of decompensated patients had an HVPG over 16 mmHg. 25% had no varices, 28% had small varices, and 47% had medium/large varices. HVPG was higher in patients with esophageal varices vs. patients without varices (19.0±4.8 vs. 14.1±4.2mmHg, p<0.0001), and correlated with Child-Pugh score (R=0.494,p=0.019). 36 (42%) patients had APSC were more frequent in decompensated patients (60% vs. 35%, p=0.03) and in patients with esophageal varices (52% vs. 9%,p=0.001). HVPG was higher in patients with APSC compared with those without PSC (19.9± 4.6 vs. 16.2± 4.9mmHg, p=0.001). The prevalence of APSC was higher in patients with HVPG≥16mmHg vs. those with HVPG<16mmHg (57% vs. 13%,p<0.0001). Decompensation was significantly more frequent in patients with HVPG≥16mmHg vs. HVPG<16mmHg (35.1% vs. 11.5%, p=0.02). On multivariate analysis only HVPG and bilirubin were independent predictors of first decompensation. 10 patients died during follow-up. All had an HVPG≥16 mmHg (26% vs. 0% in patients with HVPG <16mmHg,p=0.04). On multivariate analysis only MELD score and HVPG ≥16mmHg were independent predictors of mortality. In compensated patients the detection of APSC predicted an HVPG≥16mmHg with 92% specificity, 54% sensitivity, positive and negative likelihood ratio 7.03 and 0.50, which implies that the demonstration of APSC on ultrasound increased the probability of HVPG≥16mmHg from 58% to 91%. Conclusions. HVPG maintains an independent prognostic value in the subset of patients with cirrhosis and clinically significant portal hypertension. The presence of APSC is a specific indicator of severe portal hypertension in patients with cirrhosis. Detection of APSC on ultrasound allows the non-invasive identification of a subgroup of compensated patients with bad prognosis, avoiding the invasive measurement of HVPG.

Utilzzo dei parametri ecocardiografici tradizionali ed a Doppler tissutale nella valutazione della disfunzione atrio-ventricolare in cani affetti da malattia mitralica cronica

In questo lavoro ci siamo posti come obiettivo lo studio della disfunzione atrio-ventricolare mediante tecniche ecocardiografiche avanzate (come il Tissue Doppler Imaging - TDI) in cani affetti da malattia mitralica cronica (MVD). Una prima parte è volta alla valutazione della funzionalità diastolica del ventricolo destro. Ci siamo proposti di analizzare la funzione del ventricolo destro in cani affetti da malattia del cuore sinistro per comprendere se quest’ultima possa condizionare direttamente la performance del settore cardiaco controlaterale. I risultati più importanti che abbiamo riscontrato sono: l’assenza di differenze significative nella disfunzione sisto-diastolica del ventricolo destro in cani con MVD a diverso stadio; la diretta correlazione tra le variabili TDI di funzionalità del ventricolo destro con il grado di disfunzione del ventricolo sinistro, come indicatori di interdipendenza ventricolare; ed infine il riscontro di una maggior tendenza ad alterazioni diastoliche del ventricolo sinistro in cani con ipertensione polmonare. A quest’ultimo proposito, per quanto riguarda le variabili TDI, il rapporto E/e’ dell’anulus mitralico laterale e settale è risultato avere una differenza significativa tra i cani con ipertensione polmonare e quelli privi di ipertensione polmonare (P<0,01). Nel secondo studio abbiamo applicato il TDI per l’analisi della funzione sisto-diastolica dell’atrio sinistro. Il lavoro è stato articolato in una parte di validazione della metodica su cani normali ed una su animali affetti da MDV. I risultati ottenuti mostrano che la valutazione ecocardiografica delle proprietà di deformazione dell’atrio sinistro basata sul TDI è attuabile e riproducibile nel cane. Abbiamo fornito dei valori di normalità per questa specie e confrontato questi dati con quelli ricavati in cani portatori di MVD. Le differenza tra le varie classi di malattia, nei diversi gradi di dilatazione atriale, sono risultate limitate, ma abbiamo individuato delle correlazioni tra i parametri TDI ed alcune variabili di funzionalità atriale.

Valutazione preoperatoria del rischio chirurgico in pazienti onco-geriatrici (studio PREOP)

La maggior parte dei pazienti che vengono sottoposti a interventi chirurgici per tumori solidi hanno un’età superiore a 70 anni1. Circa il 30% di questi pazienti vengono considerati “fragili”. Questi infatti presentano numerose comorbidità ed hanno un più elevato rischio di sviluppare complicanze postoperatorie con perdita della riserva funzionale residua. Per questo non esistono sistemi semplici di screening che permettano ai medici responsabili del trattamento di identificare questi pazienti con aumentato rischio postoperatorio. Identificare i pazienti a rischio è infatti il primo passo nel processo attraverso il quale è possibile prevenire in necessarie complicanze postoperatorie come delirio, eventi cardiovascolari e perdita della funzionalità complessiva con conseguente perdita di autonomia. Scopo di questo studio è quello di confrontare l’accuratezza nella previsione di mortalità e morbidità a 30 giorni dei tre test preditivi “Groningen Frailty Index” (GFI); “Vulnerable Elders Survey” (VES-13); “timed up and go test” con alcune componenti del Preoperative Assessment of Cancer in the Elderly (PACE). Lo studio verrà effettuato sui pazienti con età maggiore di 70 anni che dovranno essere sottoposti a intervento chirurgico in anestesia generale per la presenza di una neoplasia solida.

Computational resources for structural and metagenomic characterization of functions in bacteria and bacterial communities. Antimicrobial resistance, pathways for xenobiotic degradation and relationship between gut microbiome and ageing.

Prokaryotic organisms are one of the most successful forms of life, they are present in all known ecosystems. The deluge diversity of bacteria reflects their ability to colonise every environment. Also, human beings host trillions of microorganisms in their body districts, including skin, mucosae, and gut. This symbiosis is active for all other terrestrial and marine animals, as well as plants. With the term holobiont we refer, with a single word, to the systems including both the host and its symbiotic microbial species. The coevolution of bacteria within their ecological niches reflects the adaptation of both host and guest species, and it is shaped by complex interactions that are pivotal for determining the host state. Nowadays, thanks to the current sequencing technologies, Next Generation Sequencing, we have unprecedented tools for investigating the bacterial life by studying the prokaryotic genome sequences. NGS revolution has been sustained by the advancements in computational performance, in terms of speed, storage capacity, algorithm development and hardware costs decreasing following the Moore’s Law. Bioinformaticians and computational biologists design and implement ad hoc tools able to analyse high-throughput data and extract valuable biological information. Metagenomics requires the integration of life and computational sciences and it is uncovering the deluge diversity of the bacterial world. The present thesis work focuses mainly on the analysis of prokaryotic genomes under different aspects. Being supervised by two groups at the University of Bologna, the Biocomputing group and the group of Microbial Ecology of Health, I investigated three different topics: i) antimicrobial resistance, particularly with respect to missense point mutations involved in the resistant phenotype, ii) bacterial mechanisms involved in xenobiotic degradation via the computational analysis of metagenomic samples, and iii) the variation of the human gut microbiota through ageing, in elderly and longevous individuals.