Contabilidade do crescimento pelo lado da demanda agregada: uma proposta de cálculo das contribuições ao crescimento pela demanda agregada para o Brasil de, 2000 a 2009, utilizando matrizes insumo-produto

The demand side growth accounting studies the demand aggregate component contributions in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Traditionally, international and national organizations that uses the traditional method for calculating such contributions. However, this method does not take into account the effect the induction of imports by the various components of aggregate demand on the calculation of these. As an alternative to this method are presented others studies that consider this effect, as the alternative method proposed by Lara (2013), the attribution method, proposed by Kranendonk and Verbruggen (2005) and Hoekstra and van der Helm (2010), and the method the sraffian supermultiplier, by Freitas and Dweck (2013). Was made a summary of these methods, demonstrating the similarities and differences between them. Also, in the aim to contribute to the study of the subject was developed the “method of distribution of imports” that aims to distribute imports for the various components of aggregate demand, through the information set forth in the input-output matrices and tables of resources and uses. Were accounted the contributions to the growth of macroeconomic aggregates for Brazil from 2001 to 2009 using the method of distribution, and realized comparison with the traditional method, understanding the reasons for the differences in contributions. Later was done comparisons with all the methods presented in this work, between the calculated contributions to the growth of the components of aggregate demand and the domestic and external sectors. Was verified that the methods that exist in the literature was not enough to deal with this question, and given the alternatives for contributions to the growth presented throughout this work, it is believed that the method of distribution provides the best estimates for the account of contributions by aggregate demand sector. In particular, the main advantage of this method to the others is the breakdown of the contribution of imports, separated by aggregate demand component, which allows the analysis of contribution of each component to GDP growth. Thus, this type of analysis helps to study the pattern of growth of the Brazilian economy, not just the theoretical point of view, but also empirical and basis for the decision to economic policies

Fatores capazes de influenciar o encantamento do cliente de turismo de lazer a partir da experiência em parques temáticos

Com o aumento da demanda por empreendimentos no ramo do entretenimento, observa-se o aumento da competitividade no setor de turismo, gerando a necessidade de diferenciação em meio aos demais, visando à fidelização de clientes. Nesse sentido, os profissionais de Marketing passaram a acreditar que, para oferecer algo que fosse capaz de fidelizar os clientes, as empresas deveriam oferecer um produto ou serviço que fosse além das necessidades dos consumidores, surgindo então o termo “encantamento do cliente”. Nesse contexto, o presente estudo tem o objetivo de analisar fatores considerados como capazes de influenciar o encantamento do cliente (Customer Delight) de turismo de lazer, a partir de experiências em parques temáticos, por meio de uma abordagem baseada na Teoria da Avaliação Cognitiva. Para tanto, a investigação apresentou caráter exploratório-descritivo com enfoque analítico-quantitativo. A pesquisa foi do tipo Levantamento (Survey). Os dados foram coletados a partir de um público composto por 176 adolescentes que viajaram em excursão para o Walt Disney World, localizado em Orlando, Flórida, em junho de 2014, por uma agência de viagem localizada na cidade de Natal/ RN. O parque escolhido para objeto da pesquisa foi o Magic Kingdom. Para análise das respostas, foram utilizadas as análises descritiva, fatorial exploratória e confirmatória, assim como a modelagem de equações estruturais. Os resultados apontam para um grande nível de encantamento do entrevistado com o objeto, seja relacionado com a importância do objetivo da viagem, assim como à dimensão Inesperado da viagem. Pelas relações causais encontradas, observou-se que as dimensões “Coerência do Objetivo” e “Importância do Objetivo”, ambas consideradas como antecedentes do Encantamento, têm impactos significativos na formação do Encantamento do Cliente. As constatações permitiram ampliar a compreensão sobre o comportamento do consumidor no turismo de lazer.

Perfis epidemiológicos de saúde bucal no Brasil e os modelos de vigilância

National surveys are important tools for public health surveillance and thus key elements in monitoring health conditions and system performance. In the field of oral health, such surveys began with the oral health survey in 1986 and later in 1996 and with the SBBrasil Project in 2003. The 2010 edition of SBBrasil is the principal oral health surveillance strategy for the production of primary data. In order to contribute to this discussion, this article proposes: (a) to present and discuss the Brazilian experience with nationwide oral health surveys and (b) to discuss the use of data in health surveillance models. One can conclude that oral health surveys in Brazil have great possibilities as a tool for health services and academia. Such surveys have shown evident potential for verifying trends in the oral health profile, as well as for producing valid indicators for use in health services.

Análise do discurso sobre o "bom" professor de História no Brasil contemporâneo: uma questão de cidadania...

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Precificação da energia eólica offshore no Brasil

Offshore wind power emits low amounts of gases, is renewable and has better performance than onshore due to its greater stability and higher wind power density, less visual and noise impact, among others. Brazil has a high capacity of generation, but has not yet developed any offshore projects. High costs are a strong impediment. This study is an effort towards pricing offshore resources through Livelized Cost of Energy - LCOE, which represents the minimum return to cover the costs of development, production and maintenance of a wind project. Initially LCOE was calculated for all Brazilian onshore wind farms listed at Bloomberg New Energy Finance R○, accounting for 71 farms. Then hypothetical offshore wind farms were created from the onshore farms, tripling the cost of generation, which is consistent with the literature, and estimating the offshore energy for two locations off the Brazilian coast using satellite data extracted from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The results demonstrate that offshore resources have the potential to significantly reduce the energy price due to the better performance of the wind at sea