Improving the prediction of the roll separating force in a hot steel finishing mill

This paper focuses on the development of a hybrid phenomenological/inductive model to improve the current physical setup force model on a five stand industrial hot strip finishing mill. We approached the problem from two directions. In the first approach, the starting point was the output of the current setup force model. A feedforward multilayer perceptron (MLP) model was then used to estimate the true roll separating force using some other available variables as additional inputs to the model.

It was found that it is possible to significantly improve the estimation of a roll separating force from 5.3% error on average with the current setup model to 2.5% error on average with the hybrid model. The corresponding improvements for the first coils are from 7.5% with the current model to 3.8% with the hybrid model. This was achieved by inclusion, in addition to each stand's force from the current model, the contributions from setup forces from the other stands, as well as the contributions from a limited set of additional variables such as: a) aim width; b) setup thickness; c) setup temperature; and d) measured force from the previous coil.

In the second approach, we investigated the correlation between the large errors in the current model and input parameters of the model. The data set was split into two subsets, one representing the "normal" level of error between the current model and the measured force value, while the other set contained the coils with a "large" level of error. Additional set of data with changes in each coil's inputs from the previous coil's inputs was created to investigate the dependency on the previous coil.

The data sets were then analyzed using a C4.5 decision tree. The main findings were that the level of the speed vernier variable is highly correlated with the large errors in the current setup model. Specifically, a high positive speed vernier value often correlated to a large error. Secondly, it has been found that large changes to the model flow stress values between coils are correlated frequently with larger errors in the current setup force model.

Evolution of hot working stress and microstructure of Mg-3Al-1Zn

The deformation behaviour of magnesium alloy AZ31 was examined. The work found that dynamic recrystallisation operates during hot deformation. The influence that different process variables have on this mechanism were quantified. The optimisation of dynamic recrystallisation allows magnesium alloys to be formed into products more easily whilst developing enhanced final properties.

Softening during the hot deformation of steel

The behaviour of steel undergoing hot deformation was examined with the aim of better understanding the softening mechanisms operating during industrial hot strip rolling. These softening mechanisms can significantly influence the deformation force required to attain a given reduction in thickness, and this work answered a number of questions with regard to the transition between softening mechanisms.

Evolution of recrystallization during and following hot deformation

Recrystallization of austenite during and following hot deformation has been studied in detail in a type 304 austenitic stainless steel. Furthermore, the effect of second phase on the softening process of austenite has been investigated using a 2205 duplex stainless steel. The mechanical and microstructural features have been compared for dynamic and post deformation recrystallization.

Variant selection during the c-to-ab phase transformation in hot-rolled bainitic TRIP-aided steels

The variant selection phenomenon during the austenite to bainite phase transformation in hot-rolled TRIP-aided steels was quantitatively characterized at the level of individual austenite grains. The reconstruction of the electron backscatter diffraction maps provided evidence that bainite grows by packets of laths sharing a common {1 1 1}_y plane in the austenite. The affect of hot deformation is to reduce the number of packets that form. It is suggested that slip activity is important in understanding this effect.

Performance of building integrated solar hot water systems

The integration of solar energy systems into buildings has been the subject of considerable commercial and academic research, particularly building integrated photovoltaics. However, the integration of solar hot water systems into roofing systems has had far less attention. This paper presents the theoretical and experimental results of a novel building integrated solar hot water system developed using existing long run roofing materials.

This work shows that it is possible to achieve effective integration that maintains the aesthetics of the building and also provides useful thermal energy. The results of an unglazed 108m2 swimming pool heater and 8m2 glazed domestic hot water systems are presented.

The experimental results show that the glazed system performs close to the theoretical model and is an effective provider of hot water in certain climates. However it was also found that for larger scale building integrated solar water heating systems, special attention must be paid to the configuration and arrangement of the collectors in order to minimise problems with respect to flow distribution and its effect on collector and system efficiency.

Microscale modelling of AISI 304 behaviour during hot deformation

This project aimed to model the microstructure evolution during and following hot deformation using a cellular automaton approach. The flow curves, softening kinetics and final microstructures were used as the input data for the post-deformation simulation to elucidate the effect of dynamic recrystallization on the post-deformation softening.

Underpricing, risk management, hot issue and crowding out effects : evidence from the Australian resources sector initial public offerings

The main purpose of this paper is to explore the role of risk management, speculative industry competition effect and hot issue markets. We used a sample of 260 initial public offerings (IPOs) in the Australian resource sector for the 1994–2004 period to test the underpricing effect. We do not find any evidence that risk management can reduce the uncertainty relating to the new issue and hence alleviate the extent of underpricing. A plausible explanation for this lack of evidence is the poor information content of publicly available disclosures regarding risk management activities of IPO firms. We further provide evidence that the underpricing returns for resources IPOs are not impacted upon by the strength of alternative speculative IPO markets. We also show that the degree of underpricing adjusts to both market return in the preceding three months and the average underpricing of resources IPOs in the 12 month period leading to the float which offers an explanation to the hot issue effect observed in the IPO market.

Corporate commitment to sustainability – is it all hot air? A review of the linkage between executive pay and sustainable performance

Across time, companies are increasingly making public commitments to sustainable development and to reducing their impacts on climate change. Management remuneration plans (MRPs) are a key mechanism to motivate managers to achieve corporate goals. We review the MRPs negotiated with key management personnel in a sample of large Australian carbon-intensive companies. Our results show that, as in past decades, the companies in our sample have MRPs in place that continue to fixate on financial performance. We argue that this provides evidence of a disconnection between the sustainability-related rhetoric of the sample companies, and their ‘real’ organisational priorities.

A heuristic model selection scheme for representing hot flow data using the hot torsion test results

The problem of "model selection" for expressing a wide range of constitutive behaviour adequately using hot torsion test data was considered here using a heuristic approach. A model library including several nested parametric linear and non-linear models was considered and applied to a set of hot torsion test data for API-X 70 micro-alloyed steel with a range of strain rates and temperatures. A cost function comprising the modelled hot strength data and that of the measured data were utilized in a heuristic model selection scheme to identify the optimum models. It was shown that a non-linear rational model including ten parameters is an optimum model that can accurately express the multiple regimes of hardening and softening for the entire range of the experiment. The parameters for the optimum model were estimated and used for determining variations of hot strength of the samples with deformation.

Post processing of the hot torsion test results using a multi-dimensional modelling approach

A model selection scheme was extended to a multi-dimensional representation of the hot torsion test torque, twist and twist rate data to calculate partial derivatives of the torque data with respect to twist and twist rate. These enabled calculation of the instantaneous strain and strain rate hardening indices in the Fields and Backofen method. The concept of an iso-parametric shape function has been borrowed from the finite element method for adding twist rate as a dependant variable to the torque-twist models identified by the model selection scheme. Expressions to calculate the hardening indices, when employing a rational model of torsion data, were derived and presented. Subsequently, the models were used for post processing the data and determining hot strength behaviour, taking into account variations of strain and strain rate hardening indices during the deformation. To substantiate the technique, the hot flow behaviour of API-X70 micro-alloyed steel was determined using a range of hot torsion test data for the material. The flow stress obtained using the instantaneous hardening indices were compared with that obtained by the orthodox technique. For the investigated cases, the onset of dynamic recrystallization (DRX) predicted by the presented technique deviated considerably from those obtained when the average indices were used.

The role of strain on the recrystallization behaviour of hot worked and annealed magnesium alloy Mg-3Al-1Zn

The present work examines the microstructure that evolves during the hot deformation and subsequent annealing of magnesium alloy AZ31. In particular, the role of strain on the progression of dynamic recrystallization (DRX) and post-deformation recrystallization is investigated. It is found that the grain size developed after post-deformation recrystallization is larger when the deformation strain, and hence the degree of DRX, is low (for strains up to 0.4). Also, the kinetics of post-deformation recrystallization are found to be independent of strain for strain values of 0.4 and above. Whilst increasing strain alters the texture of the un-recrystallized microstructure (for the deformation mode examined), the texture does not change significantly during post-deformation recrystallization.