101 resultados para out-of-sample forecast


Relevância:

100.00% 100.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

Financial abuse of older people too often lives ‘in the shadows, hidden by fear and shame’. This and the protective love between family members can screen changes that are critical to an older person’s financial and living arrangements. Rather than a single event, it is usually a series of well-intentioned but ill-considered financial acts, which at some point tips over into abuse interwoven with an intricate web of family relationships. Was a transfer of title or a loan to an adult child really misappropriation? Has thoughtlessness become undue influence or even theft? 

Seniors’ support agencies find that older people call for help after they have transferred money or property in the expectation of future housing and care from a younger family member. By then the money has usually gone, relationships have been destroyed and serious issues of health and homelessness have arisen. These situations are preventable and this is core to Seniors Rights Victoria’s legal education project – the prevention of financial abuse of older people in situations where assets have been transferred in exchange for care.
This paper is the third of three publications produced for this project. The previous two were: ‘Assets for Care: A Guide for Lawyers to Assist Clients at Risk of Financial Abuse’, and a guide for older people: ‘Care for Your Assets: Money, Ageing and Family. Each of these publications reflects the experience and knowledge of Seniors Rights Victoria and the service’s rights-based, preventive approach. Prevention of financial abuse helps avoid deep personal anguish and can lessen the burden on services that respond to elder abuse.
An examination of current law and its effectiveness together with discussion of and recommendations for law and policy reform, relevant to ‘assets for care’ scenarios, are this paper’s focus. Although some reform approaches are worthwhile, many shortcomings are systemic and cannot be dealt with through law reform alone, particularly given people’s reluctance to seek legal recourse for these complex and intensely personal family issues.

Relevância:

100.00% 100.00%

Publicador:

Relevância:

100.00% 100.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

Purpose: To compare tear film osmolarity measurements between in situ and vapor pressure osmometers. Repeatability of in situ measurements and the effect of sample collection techniques on tear film osmolarity were also evaluated.

Methods: Osmolarity was measured in one randomly determined eye of 52 healthy participants using the in situ (TearLab Corporation, San Diego, CA) and the vapor pressure (Vapro 5520; Wescor, Inc., Logan, UT) osmometers. In a subset of 20 participants, tear osmolarity was measured twice on-eye with the in situ osmometer and was additionally determined on a sample of nonstimulated collected tears (3 µL) with both instruments.

Results: Mean (SD) tear film osmolarity with the in situ osmometer was 299.2 (10.3) mOsmol/L compared with 298.4 (10) mmol/kg with the vapor pressure osmometer, which correlated moderately (r = 0.5, P < 0.05). Limits of agreement between the two instruments were -19.7 to +20.5 mOsmol/L. Using collected tears, measurements with the vapor pressure osmometer were marginally higher (mean [SD], 303.0 [11.0] vs 299.3 [8.0] mOsmol/L; P > 0.05) but correlated well with those using the in situ osmometer (r = 0.9, P < 0.05). The mean (SD) osmolarity of on-eye tears was 5.0 (6.6) mOsmol/L higher than that of collected tears, when both measurements were conducted with the in situ osmometer. This was a consistent effect because the measurements correlated well (r = 0.65, P < 0.05).The in situ osmometer showed good repeatability with a coefficient of repeatability of 9.4 mOsmol/L (r = 0.8, P < 0.05).

Conclusions: Correlation between the two instruments was better when compared on collected tear samples. Tear film osmolarity measurement is influenced by the sample collection technique with the osmolarity of on-eye tears being higher than that of collected tears. This highlights the importance of measuring tear film osmolarity directly on-eye. The in situ osmometer has good repeatability for conducting this measurement.

Relevância:

100.00% 100.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

Rates of overweight and obesity increase significantly whilst children and young people are in out-of-home care. This paper provides the protocol for a study, funded by the Australian Research Council (2012–2014), being conducted to evaluate the effectiveness of a Healthy Eating and Active Living intervention programme for adolescents who live in out-of-home residential care. This randomised trial will be conducted with 118 adolescents aged 13–17 years of age in out-of-home residential care and the residential staff who look after them. Adolescents' eating habits, physical activity levels, psychological well-being, body dissatisfaction and weight status will be assessed at baseline, immediately post the programme (which runs for 6 months), and again 12 months post baseline. Similar measures will be obtained from residential carers (across the same time points). If effective, this programme could be implemented as usual care to modify levels of obesity amongst these vulnerable young people.

Relevância:

100.00% 100.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

This examination of the gaps and ambiguities linked to Cantrills Filmnotes (CF), an Australian publication on experimental film, offers a case study on the production and ownership of Pierre Bourdieu’s 'cultural capital' in film art at the margins, witnessed first-hand. CF emerged at the intersection between the street and the academy, spanning that period from the 70s till its abandonment in 2000 during which, it is argued here, it migrated from the former to the latter. This examination surveils, in retrospect, for whose benefit was the magazine's accumulation of power, status and prestige exercised, in whose service was it exacted? CF’s manifesto-like editorial rhetoric was often directed at perceived shortcomings of those institutions servicing film art in Australia. What is revealed when such a critical eye focuses on the production of Cantrills Filmnotes (CF) itself? CF's cultural production has a further dimension of both taking on and taking place inside a colonial mind-set, a cultural cringe often the subject of editorial commentary, elucidating a practice residing at the geographic margins of a marginal arts practice. The founders and editors of CF, the married couple Corinne and Arthur Cantrill both suffered and benefited from CF’s impact on this international field of art production.

Relevância:

100.00% 100.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

The need to manage otariid populations has necessitated the development of a wide range of capture methods. Chemical restraint by remote drug delivery (i.e., darting) is a highly selective method that can be used to facilitate otariid capture in a range of scenarios, when other methods may be impracticable. However, the risks associated with darting otariids are not widely known and guidelines necessary to promote and refine best practice do not exist. We review the risks associated with darting and in light of our findings, develop darting guidelines to help practitioners assess and minimize risks during capture, anesthesia and recovery. Published studies reveal that mortalities associated with darting predominantly result from complications during anesthetic maintenance (e.g., prolonged respiratory depression, apnea, or hyperthermia), rather than from complications during capture or recovery. In addition to monitoring vital signs and proper intervention, the risk of irreversible complications during anesthesia can be reduced by administering drug doses that are sufficient to enable the capture and masking of animals, after which anesthetic depth can be regulated using gas anesthesia.

Relevância:

100.00% 100.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

The European Carbon Emissions Trading Scheme introduced in 2005 has led to both spot and futures market trading of carbon emissions. However, despite seven years of trading, we have no knowledge on how profitable carbon emissions trading is. In this paper, we first test whether carbon forward returns predict carbon spot returns. We find strong evidence on both in-sample and out-of-sample predictability. Based on this evidence, we forecast carbon spot returns using both carbon forward returns and a constant. We consider a mean-variance investor and a CRRA investor, and show that they have higher utility and can make more statistically significant profits by following forecasts generated from the forward returns model than from a constant returns model.

Relevância:

100.00% 100.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

This paper discusses pre-service teachers' responses to a critical analysis of gender/power relations using examples from a final assessment for an intensive elective unit called Teaching Sexuality in the Middle Years. This unit critically examines gender/ power relations, the production of difference, heteronormativity and pleasure and desire, employing a feminist post-structural framework. Despite the focus on critical thinking, reflection and interrogating structural inequalities in this unit some students were resistant or unable to engage with this approach in their assessments, although appearing to do so in workshops. We consider the broad range of sexuality education discourses mobilised by this unit to try to make sense of what looks like resistance but may be something more complex and difficult to negotiate. The paper ends with a consideration of some of the implications of this approach for practice.

Relevância:

100.00% 100.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

Emerging evidence suggests that abuse and neglect in childhood may play a role in subsequent development of obesity. One population group particularly at risk is children and young people living in out-of-home care (OOHC). Given this population is already a vulnerable group, identifying potential mechanisms by which childhood abuse and neglect increases risk for obesity is essential. A possible explanation is that problematic eating and food-related behaviours (i.e., emotional eating, compulsive eating, overeating, binge eating, stealing or hoarding food) might mediate the association between adverse childhood experiences and obesity. Hence, the overall goal of this paper was to provide a narrative review of eating and food-related difficulties for children in care and their possible association with unhealthy and excessive weight gain. This review revealed a shortage of existing empirical papers and signalled particular need for further examination of the mediating effects of problematic eating.

Relevância:

100.00% 100.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

OBJECTIVE: Given the high prevalence of overweight/obesity among young people in residential out-of-home care (OOHC), and as their carers are in loco parentis, this research aimed: 1) to examine the healthy lifestyle cognitions and behaviours of residential carers; and 2) to describe resources needed to improve diet and/or physical activity outcomes for residents. METHODS: Cross-sectional data were collected from 243 residential carers. Measures included: demographics; knowledge of dietary/physical activity recommendations; self-reported encouragement/importance of health behaviours; physical activity/screen time (at work); unit 'healthiness'; and necessary resources for creating a healthy environment. RESULTS: Staff placed importance on the residents eating well and being physically active. However, examination of carer knowledge found significant gaps in staff education. Three key priority areas were identified to help build a healthy food and activity environment in residential OOHC: funding, professional development and policy. CONCLUSION: Carer knowledge of healthy lifestyles can be improved and they need to be well resourced to ensure children in public care settings live in a healthy environment. IMPLICATIONS: These findings may inform the development of ongoing professional development to improve carers' health literacy, as well as policy to support dietary/activity guidelines for the OOHC sector.