Grados altos en la Escala de Fisher predicen el desarrollo de hidrocefalia en pacientes con hemorragia subaracnoidea espontanea

Objetive. To determine if high grades of Fisher scale are useful to predict the development of hydrocephalus in consecutive Colombian patients with spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) assessed from January 2005 to April 2012 with 12 month follow-up. Methods. 251 patients were included in a restrospective manner. The association between Fisher scale and hydrocephalus was analyzed bivariate and multivariate analysis. In addition, a systematic literature review (SLR) was done. Results. In our cohort of patients, the etiology of SAH was due to aneurysms; 78,5%. The prevalence of hydrocephalus was found to be of 27,1%. Overall survival with a 12 month follow-up was of 65,7%. Average age of included patients was 55,5 ± 15 years, and most of them were women; 65,7%. Having Fisher 4 and Hunt-Hess III are significantly associated with hydrocephalus: adjusted OR: 2.93 95% CI: 1.51-5.65, P <0.001, adjusted OR: 2.83 95% CI: 1.31-6.17 P=0.008 respectively. The SRL showed an overall prevalence of hydrocephalus between 17 and 68% and mortality varied between 3.0% and 33%. 50% of the included studies significantly associated intraventricular hemorrhage ( Fisher 4) with hydrocephalus. Conclusion. Our results confirm current concepts on post-SAH hydrocephalus and the fact that is obstructive and secondary to Fisher 4 and having neurological impairment on admission (Hunt and Hess III).

Escala de Fisher como factor predictor de hidrocefalia en hemorragia subaracnoidea espontanea

Objetivo. Determinar si la cantidad de sangre y su localización es el espacio subaracnoideo, medible con la escala de Fisher en las primeras 24 horas de ocurrido el ictus hemorrágico, es un factor predictor para el desarrollo de hidrocefalia en pacientes con diagnóstico de hemorragia subaracnoidea (HSA) espontánea, vistos en el Hospital Universitario Clínica San Rafael (HUCSR) con seguimiento de 12 meses. Métodos. 251 pacientes fueron incluidos en una cohorte retrospectiva. La asociación entre la escala de Fisher y el desarrollo de hidrocefalia en pacientes con HSA espontánea fue analizada a través de un análisis bivariado y multivariado. Resultados. La edad promedio de los pacientes fue de 55,5 ± 15 años; con predominancia en el sexo femenino 65,7%. La prevalencia de hidrocefalia fue de 27,1% en la cohorte y la etiología de la HSA fue en su mayoría por ruptura de aneurismas de arterias cerebrales; 78,5%. La sobrevida a 12 meses fue de 65,7%. Tanto el grado 4 en la escala de Fisher como Hunt-Hess III se asocian con el desarrollo de hidrocefalia: ORA; 2.93 IC 95%: 1.51-5.65, P <0.001, ORA 2.83 IC 95%: 1.31-6.17 P=0.008 respectivamente. Conclusión. La presencia de sangrado Intraventricular o intraparenquimatoso ( Fisher 4) en las primeras 24 horas, asociado a un deterioro neurológico al ingreso Hunt-Hess III están asociados con el desarrollo de hidrocefalia en los 251 pacientes evaluados con diagnóstico de HSA espontánea; hallazgos consistentes con lo reportado en la literatura mundial.

PPP, UIP and Fisher parity: speculation or rational expectations? Evidence for four Latin American countries

This work aims to test the equilibrium relations of two international macroeconomics models for Colombia, Chile, Mexico and Brazil. The first model is the rational expectation hypothesis (REH) where three key relations will be tested: Purchasing Power Parity (PPP), Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) and the Fisher Parity condition. The second model follows the line of though of Imperfect Knowledge Economics (IKE) where two equilibrium relations will be tested. According to IKE, even under the assumption that agents are rational, the presence of speculative behavior in financial markets helps explain the long swings often observed in the behavior of exchange rates. The results support the view that the predictions of the IKE model hold for Colombia, while those of the REH hold for both Brazil and Mexico. Mixed findings are obtained for Chile.