Incidencia de fibrilación auricular en pacientes con dispositivos de estimulación cardiaca con cardiopatía chagásica y no chagásica

La posible asociación entre el desarrollo de fibrilación auricular (FA) con la presencia de cardiopatía chagásica en una población portadora de dispositivos cardiacos de estimulación no está descrita. Se presenta un estudio de tipo cohorte retrospectivo realizado en la FCI que recopila las principales características clínicas de una población de pacientes con cardiopatía de variada etiología y portadores de dispositivos cardiacos buscando evaluar la incidencia de FA en presencia de cardiomiopatía de origen chagásico y no chagásico. A la fecha no se cuenta con una base de datos institucional ni regional que contenga las variables analizadas. Durante los 5 meses que duró la construcción de la base de datos se incluyeron 99 sujetos de investigación. Se implantaron 42 marcapasos bicamerales, 39 cardiodesfibriladores bicamerales, 6 dispositivos correspondientes cardiodesfibrilador con función de resincronización cardiaca, 2 resincronizadores cardiacos sin función de cardiodesfibrilador y 7 cardiodesfibriladores unicamerales. De los 99 sujetos recolectados se presentaron 8 desenlaces (FA de novo) y de esos solamente 1 pertenece al grupo de pacientes con cardiomiopatía chagásica. Este número reducido de desenlaces no permitió desarrollar un modelo de regresión de Cox y ni otros tipos de análisis estadísticos planteados en el protocolo inicial debido al bajo número de casos y pobre poder estadístico. Esta dificultad es inherente a la naturaleza del problema a estudiar y al corto tiempo de seguimiento. Por lo anterior no se puede establecer si existe una relación entre la presencia de serología positiva para infección por T. Cruzi y la presencia de FA de novo.

Identification of plasmodium vivax proteins with potential role in invasion using sequence redundancy reduction and profile hidden markov models

Background: This study describes a bioinformatics approach designed to identify Plasmodium vivax proteins potentially involved in reticulocyte invasion. Specifically, different protein training sets were built and tuned based on different biological parameters, such as experimental evidence of secretion and/or involvement in invasion-related processes. A profile-based sequence method supported by hidden Markov models (HMMs) was then used to build classifiers to search for biologically-related proteins. The transcriptional profile of the P. vivax intra-erythrocyte developmental cycle was then screened using these classifiers. Results: A bioinformatics methodology for identifying potentially secreted P. vivax proteins was designed using sequence redundancy reduction and probabilistic profiles. This methodology led to identifying a set of 45 proteins that are potentially secreted during the P. vivax intra-erythrocyte development cycle and could be involved in cell invasion. Thirteen of the 45 proteins have already been described as vaccine candidates; there is experimental evidence of protein expression for 7 of the 32 remaining ones, while no previous studies of expression, function or immunology have been carried out for the additional 25. Conclusions: The results support the idea that probabilistic techniques like profile HMMs improve similarity searches. Also, different adjustments such as sequence redundancy reduction using Pisces or Cd-Hit allowed data clustering based on rational reproducible measurements. This kind of approach for selecting proteins with specific functions is highly important for supporting large-scale analyses that could aid in the identification of genes encoding potential new target antigens for vaccine development and drug design. The present study has led to targeting 32 proteins for further testing regarding their ability to induce protective immune responses against P. vivax malaria.

Seguros de desempleo: revisión de literatura y propuesta para Colombia

En este artículo se estudia la posibilidad de introducir seguros de desempleo en Colombia. En una primera parte, se propone una revisión de literatura de los seguros de desempleo en la cual se exponen las ventajas generadas por una cobertura contra este riesgo, así como sus inconvenientes. En una segunda parte, se estudian varios escenarios para introducir seguros de desempleo en Colombia. Después de haber presentado el contexto del mercado laboral y de las normas que lo vigilan, se proponen varios diseños que abordan la gestión y la administración del riesgo de desempleo en Colombia. Igualmente se presentan algunas consideraciones teóricas para la valoración del costo del aseguramiento, las cuales incorporan los efectos del riesgo moral sobre la duración y la incidencia del desempleo.

Natural resources, redistribution and Human capital formation

How do resource booms affect human capital accumulation? We exploit time and spatial variation generated by the commodity boom across local governments in Peru to measure the effect of natural resources on human capital formation. We explore the effect of both mining production and tax revenues on test scores, finding a substantial and statistically significant effect for the latter. Transfers to local governments from mining tax revenues are linked to an increase in math test scores of around 0.23 standard deviations. We find that the hiring of permanent teachers as well as the increases in parental employment and improvements in health outcomes of adults and children are plausible mechanisms for such large effect on learning. These findings suggest that redistributive policies could facilitate the accumulation of human capital in resource abundant developing countries as a way to avoid the natural resources curse.

Does uncertainty cause inertia in decision making? An experimental study of the role of regret aversion and indecisiveness

Previous research has shown that often there is clear inertia in individual decision making---that is, a tendency for decision makers to choose a status quo option. I conduct a laboratory experiment to investigate two potential determinants of inertia in uncertain environments: (i) regret aversion and (ii) ambiguity-driven indecisiveness. I use a between-subjects design with varying conditions to identify the effects of these two mechanisms on choice behavior. In each condition, participants choose between two simple real gambles, one of which is the status quo option. I find that inertia is quite large and that both mechanisms are equally important.