Capturing Weak Signals for Foresight Building

Tulevaisuuden hahmottamisen merkitys heikkojen signaalien avulla on korostunut viime vuosien aikana merkittävästi,koska yrityksen liiketoimintaympäristössä tapahtuvia muutoksia on ollut yhä vaikeampaa ennustaa historian perusteella. Liiketoimintaympäristössä monien muutoksien merkkejä on ollut nähtävissä, mutta niitä on ollut vaikea havaita. Heikkoja signaaleja tunnistamalla ja keräämällä sekä reagoimalla tilanteeseen riittävän ajoissa, on mahdollista saavuttaa ylivoimaista kilpailuetua. Kirjallisuustutkimus keskittyy heikkojen signaalien tunnistamisen haasteisiin liiketoimintaympäristöstä, signaalien ja informaation kehittymiseen sekä informaation hallintaan organisaatiossa. Kiinnostus näihin perustuu tarpeeseen määritellä heikkojen signaalien tunnistamiseen vaadittava prosessi, jonka avulla heikot signaalit voidaan huomioida M-real Oyj:n päätöksenteossa. Kirjallisuustutkimus osoittaa selvästi sen, että heikkoja signaaleita on olemassa ja niitä pystytään tunnistamaan liiketoimintaympäristöstä. Signaaleja voidaan rikastuttaa yrityksessä olevalla tietämyksellä ja hyödyntää edelleen päätöksenteossa. Vertailtaessa sekä kirjallisuustutkimusta että empiiristä tutkimusta tuli ilmi selkeästi tiedon moninaisuus; määrä,laatu ja tiedonsaannin oikea-aikaisuus päätöksenteossa. Tutkimuksen aikana kehittyi prosessimalli tiedon suodattamiselle, luokittelulle ja heikkojen signaalien tunnistamiselle. Työn edetessä prosessimalli kehittyi osaksi tässä työssä kehitettyä kokonaisuutta 'Weak Signal Capturing' -työkalua. Monistamalla työkalua voidaan kerätä heikkoja signaaleja eri M-realin liiketoiminnan osa-alueilta. Tietoja systemaattisesti kokoamalla voidaan kartoittaa tulevaisuutta koko M-realille.

Performance benchmarking and incentive regulation – considerations of directing signals for electricity distribution companies

After the restructuring process of the power supply industry, which for instance in Finland took place in the mid-1990s, free competition was introduced for the production and sale of electricity. Nevertheless, natural monopolies are found to be the most efficient form of production in the transmission and distribution of electricity, and therefore such companies remained franchised monopolies. To prevent the misuse of the monopoly position and to guarantee the rights of the customers, regulation of these monopoly companies is required. One of the main objectives of the restructuring process has been to increase the cost efficiency of the industry. Simultaneously, demands for the service quality are increasing. Therefore, many regulatory frameworks are being, or have been, reshaped so that companies are provided with stronger incentives for efficiency and quality improvements. Performance benchmarking has in many cases a central role in the practical implementation of such incentive schemes. Economic regulation with performance benchmarking attached to it provides companies with directing signals that tend to affect their investment and maintenance strategies. Since the asset lifetimes in the electricity distribution are typically many decades, investment decisions have far-reaching technical and economic effects. This doctoral thesis addresses the directing signals of incentive regulation and performance benchmarking in the field of electricity distribution. The theory of efficiency measurement and the most common regulation models are presented. The chief contributions of this work are (1) a new kind of analysis of the regulatory framework, so that the actual directing signals of the regulation and benchmarking for the electricity distribution companies are evaluated, (2) developing the methodology and a software tool for analysing the directing signals of the regulation and benchmarking in the electricity distribution sector, and (3) analysing the real-life regulatory frameworks by the developed methodology and further develop regulation model from the viewpoint of the directing signals. The results of this study have played a key role in the development of the Finnish regulatory model.

Yrityksen strategiaprosessi : Näkökulmia strategisen johtamisen kehitämiseksi konserniorganisaatiossa

Tämän tutkimuksen tavoitteena oli määritellä strategiaprosessiin liittyvät kriittiset alueet, konsernijohdon tehtävät strategiaprosessissa sekä edellisten pohjalta kehittää konsernityyppiselle yritykselle normatiivinen strategiaprosessin malli kriittisten alueiden hallitsemiseksi. Tavoitteena oli myös lisätä strategisen ajattelun ja strategiaprosessien ymmärtämistä selittämällä niiden historiallista kehittymistä sekä niiden käsitteistöä ja käsitteiden sisältöä. Probleemaa lähestyttiin sekä doktriinin kautta että tulkitsemalla strategiaprosessissa ilmeneviä ongelmia ja analysoimalla niiden syy ja seuraussuhteita. Käsillä oleva teoreettis praktinen tutkimus toteutettiin osittain toiminta-analyyttisella tutkimusotteella, osittain toiminta analyyttisella tutkimusotteella case tutkimuksen ja komparatiivisen analyysin tukemana sekä osittain päätöksentekometodologisella tutkimusotteella. Työn teoreettinen osa tehtiin kirjallisuustutkimuksena. Siinä luotiin strategiaprosessin ja konsernijohtamisen käsitteellinen perusta ja tutkimuksen viitekehys. Konsernijohtaminen laajennettiin tutkimuksessa tulosten osalta yleistäen koskemaan muitakin hajautettuja yritysorganisaatioita kuin pelkän juridiikan pohjalta muodostuneita konserneja. Tutkimuksen aluksi tarkasteltiin strategisen ajattelun koulukuntia eri näkemyksineen sekä toisaalta strategia-ajattelun kehittymistrendeja 1950 luvulta nykyhetkeen. Samoin tarkasteltiin sitä, kuinka strategiaprosessit oval kehittyneet samara ajanjaksona. Huomion painopisteen todettiin siirtyneen strategisen johtamisen inhimilliseen puoleen strategisem johtajuuden samalla korostuessa ja strategisen ajattelun laajentuessa Empiirinen osuus toteutettiin case tutkimuksena. Sen kuluessa kartoitettiin strategiaprosessin keskeiset ongelma alueet ja analysoitiin niiden takana olevat syyt, jotta voidin määritellä strategiapmsessin kehittämisen suunnat ja painopisteaiueet. Teoreettisen ja empiirisen osan penisteella määriteltiin strategiaprosessin kriittiset alueet yleisellä tasolla. Kriittisellä alueella tarkoitetaan asiakokonaisuutta tai asiaa, jonka on oltava kunaossa, jotta strategiaprosessit toimisivat. Nämä alueet liittyvat itse strategiaprosessiin suoraan tai välillisesti muun johtamistyön kautta. Strategiaprosessin kriittisten alueiden määrittelyn yhteydessä asetettiin doktriiniin tukeutuen strategiaprosessin kehittämissuunnat konsernijohdon nakäkökulmasta tarkasteltuna. Näihin kehittämissuuntiin ja edelleen doktriiniin tukeutuen määriteltiin konsernijohdon strategiaprosessin substanssitehtävät, prosessia tukevat tehtävät sekä prosessin toteuttamis- ja kehittämistehtävtä. Konsernijohdon strategiaprosessin tehtävät eivät muodosta sekventiaalista ja hierarkista järjestelmää vaan ovat joukko aktiviteetteja, joita toteutetaan tarpeen mukaan. Konsernijohdon strategiaprosessi määriteltiin ja kuvattiin tutkimuksessa johdon työskentelyprosessiksi sellaisten toimeenpanokelpoisten strategioiden tuottamiseksi ja toimeenpanemiseksi, jotka lisäävät yrityksen (konsernin) arvoa omistajan näkökulmasta mutta huomioivat myös muiden keskeisten sidosryhmien vaatimukset, tavoitteet ja rajoitteet. Konsernijohdon strategiaprosessi nähdään tässä jatkuvana konsernitasoisena päämäärä- ja keinopuolen tarkasteluna. Siinä konsernijohto tiedostaa konsernin ulkoisesta ja sisäisestä ymparistostä tulevat signaalit sekä pitää yllä näkemystä konsernin strategisesta asemasta. Tiedon massan näkemyksen saavutettua kriittisen rajansa se pakottaa konsernijohdon aivioimaan aiempia ratkaisuja uudessa valossa. Tämä validointi perustuu jatkuvasti esitettyihin neljään kysymykseen: onko ympäristö , premissi ja toimeenpanoseurannasta kertyneen tietämyksen perusteella nähtävissä vaikutuksia välittömiin toimenpiteisiin, vaikutuksia toimintasuunnitelmiin tai kriittisiin seurannan kohteisiin, vaikutuksia suunnanvalintoihin tai vaikutuksia perususkomuksiin? Konsernijohdon strategiaprosessi etenee jatkuvana prosessina päätösten ja ajan virrassa.

Fibroblast Growth Factor 8 and its Receptors in The Growth and Angiogenesis of Experimental Breast Cancer . With Special Reference to Thrombospondin-1 as a Novel Target Gene for FGF-8

The growth of breast cancer is regulated by hormones and growth factors. Recently, aberrant fibroblast growth factor (FGF) signalling has been strongly implicated in promoting the progression of breast cancer and is thought to have a role in the development of endocrine resistant disease. FGFs mediate their auto- and paracrine signals through binding to FGF receptors 1-4 (FGFR1-4) and their isoforms. Specific targets of FGFs in breast cancer cells and the differential role of FGFRs, however, are poorly described. FGF-8 is expressed at elevated levels in breast cancer, and it has been shown to act as an angiogenic, growth promoting factor in experimental models of breast cancer. Furthermore, it plays an important role in mediating androgen effects in prostate cancer and in some breast cancer cell lines. We aimed to study testosterone (Te) and FGF-8 regulated genes in Shionogi 115 (S115) breast cancer cells, characterise FGF-8 activated intracellular signalling pathways and clarify the role of FGFR1, -2 and -3 in these cells. Thrombospondin-1 (TSP-1), an endogenous inhibitor of angiogenesis, was recognised as a Te and FGF-8 regulated gene. Te repression of TSP-1 was androgen receptor (AR)-dependent. It required de novo protein synthesis, but it was independent of FGF-8 expression. FGF-8, in turn, downregulated TSP-1 transcription by activating the ERK and PI3K pathways, and the effect could be reversed by specific kinase inhibitors. Differential FGFR1-3 action was studied by silencing each receptor by shRNA expression in S115 cells. FGFR1 expression was a prerequisite for the growth of S115 tumours, whereas FGFR2 expression alone was not able to promote tumour growth. High FGFR1 expression led to a growth advantage that was associated with strong ERK activation, increased angiogenesis and reduced apoptosis, and all of these effects could be reversed by an FGFR inhibitor. Taken together, the results of this thesis show that FGF-8 and FGFRs contribute strongly to the regulation of the growth and angiogenesis of experimental breast cancer and support the evidence for FGF-FGFR signalling as one of the major players in breast cancers.

Cellular responses to stress and kinase signaling activation : apoptosis and differentiation

Stressignaler avkänns många gånger av membranbundna proteiner som översätter signalerna till kemisk modifiering av molekyler, ofta proteinkinaser Dessa kinaser överför de avkodade budskapen till specifika transkriptionsfaktorer genom en kaskad av sekventiella fosforyleringshändelser, transkriptionsfaktorerna aktiverar i sin tur de gener som behövs för att reagera på stressen. En av de mest kända måltavlorna för stressignaler är transkriptionsfaktor AP-1 familjemedlemen c-Jun. I denna studie har jag identifierat den nukleolära proteinet AATF som en ny regulator av c-Jun-medierad transkriptionsaktivitet. Jag visar att stresstimuli inducerar omlokalisering av AATF vilket i sin tur leder till aktivering av c-Jun. Den AATF-medierad ökningen av c-Jun-aktiviteten leder till en betydande ökning av programmerad celldöd. Parallellt har jag vidarekarakteriserat Cdk5/p35 signaleringskomplexet som tidigare har identifierats i vårt laboratorium som en viktig faktor för myoblastdifferentiering. Jag identifierade den atypiska PKCξ som en uppströms regulator av Cdk5/p35-komplexet och visar att klyvning och aktivering av Cdk5 regulatorn p35 är av fysiologisk betydelse för differentieringsprocessen och beroende av PKCξ aktivitet. Jag visar att vid induktion av differentiering fosforylerar PKCξ p35 vilket leder till calpain-medierad klyvning av p35 och därmed ökning av Cdk5-aktiviteten. Denna avhandling ökar förståelsen för de regulatoriska mekanismer som styr c-Jun-transkriptionsaktiviteten och c-Jun beroende apoptos genom att identifiera AATF som en viktig faktor. Dessutom ger detta arbete nya insikter om funktionen av Cdk5/p35-komplexet under myoblastdifferentiering och identifierar PKCξ som en uppströms regulator av Cdk5 aktivitet och myoblast differentiering.

Socially shared metacognitive regulation during collaborative learning processes in student dyads and small groups

Traditionally metacognition has been theorised, methodologically studied and empirically tested from the standpoint mainly of individuals and their learning contexts. In this dissertation the emergence of metacognition is analysed more broadly. The aim of the dissertation was to explore socially shared metacognitive regulation (SSMR) as part of collaborative learning processes taking place in student dyads and small learning groups. The specific aims were to extend the concept of individual metacognition to SSMR, to develop methods to capture and analyse SSMR and to validate the usefulness of the concept of SSMR in two different learning contexts; in face-to-face student dyads solving mathematical word problems and also in small groups taking part in inquiry-based science learning in an asynchronous computer-supported collaborative learning (CSCL) environment. This dissertation is comprised of four studies. In Study I, the main aim was to explore if and how metacognition emerges during problem solving in student dyads and then to develop a method for analysing the social level of awareness, monitoring, and regulatory processes emerging during the problem solving. Two dyads comprised of 10-year-old students who were high-achieving especially in mathematical word problem solving and reading comprehension were involved in the study. An in-depth case analysis was conducted. Data consisted of over 16 (30–45 minutes) videotaped and transcribed face-to-face sessions. The dyads solved altogether 151 mathematical word problems of different difficulty levels in a game-format learning environment. The interaction flowchart was used in the analysis to uncover socially shared metacognition. Interviews (also stimulated recall interviews) were conducted in order to obtain further information about socially shared metacognition. The findings showed the emergence of metacognition in a collaborative learning context in a way that cannot solely be explained by individual conception. The concept of socially-shared metacognition (SSMR) was proposed. The results highlighted the emergence of socially shared metacognition specifically in problems where dyads encountered challenges. Small verbal and nonverbal signals between students also triggered the emergence of socially shared metacognition. Additionally, one dyad implemented a system whereby they shared metacognitive regulation based on their strengths in learning. Overall, the findings suggested that in order to discover patterns of socially shared metacognition, it is important to investigate metacognition over time. However, it was concluded that more research on socially shared metacognition, from larger data sets, is needed. These findings formed the basis of the second study. In Study II, the specific aim was to investigate whether socially shared metacognition can be reliably identified from a large dataset of collaborative face-to-face mathematical word problem solving sessions by student dyads. We specifically examined different difficulty levels of tasks as well as the function and focus of socially shared metacognition. Furthermore, the presence of observable metacognitive experiences at the beginning of socially shared metacognition was explored. Four dyads participated in the study. Each dyad was comprised of high-achieving 10-year-old students, ranked in the top 11% of their fourth grade peers (n=393). Dyads were from the same data set as in Study I. The dyads worked face-to-face in a computer-supported, game-format learning environment. Problem-solving processes for 251 tasks at three difficulty levels taking place during 56 (30–45 minutes) lessons were video-taped and analysed. Baseline data for this study were 14 675 turns of transcribed verbal and nonverbal behaviours observed in four study dyads. The micro-level analysis illustrated how participants moved between different channels of communication (individual and interpersonal). The unit of analysis was a set of turns, referred to as an ‘episode’. The results indicated that socially shared metacognition and its function and focus, as well as the appearance of metacognitive experiences can be defined in a reliable way from a larger data set by independent coders. A comparison of the different difficulty levels of the problems suggested that in order to trigger socially shared metacognition in small groups, the problems should be more difficult, as opposed to moderately difficult or easy. Although socially shared metacognition was found in collaborative face-to-face problem solving among high-achieving student dyads, more research is needed in different contexts. This consideration created the basis of the research on socially shared metacognition in Studies III and IV. In Study III, the aim was to expand the research on SSMR from face-to-face mathematical problem solving in student dyads to inquiry-based science learning among small groups in an asynchronous computer-supported collaborative learning (CSCL) environment. The specific aims were to investigate SSMR’s evolvement and functions in a CSCL environment and to explore how SSMR emerges at different phases of the inquiry process. Finally, individual student participation in SSMR during the process was studied. An in-depth explanatory case study of one small group of four girls aged 12 years was carried out. The girls attended a class that has an entrance examination and conducts a language-enriched curriculum. The small group solved complex science problems in an asynchronous CSCL environment, participating in research-like processes of inquiry during 22 lessons (á 45–minute). Students’ network discussion were recorded in written notes (N=640) which were used as study data. A set of notes, referred to here as a ‘thread’, was used as the unit of analysis. The inter-coder agreement was regarded as substantial. The results indicated that SSMR emerges in a small group’s asynchronous CSCL inquiry process in the science domain. Hence, the results of Study III were in line with the previous Study I and Study II and revealed that metacognition cannot be reduced to the individual level alone. The findings also confirm that SSMR should be examined as a process, since SSMR can evolve during different phases and that different SSMR threads overlapped and intertwined. Although the classification of SSMR’s functions was applicable in the context of CSCL in a small group, the dominant function was different in the asynchronous CSCL inquiry in the small group in a science activity than in mathematical word problem solving among student dyads (Study II). Further, the use of different analytical methods provided complementary findings about students’ participation in SSMR. The findings suggest that it is not enough to code just a single written note or simply to examine who has the largest number of notes in the SSMR thread but also to examine the connections between the notes. As the findings of the present study are based on an in-depth analysis of a single small group, further cases were examined in Study IV, as well as looking at the SSMR’s focus, which was also studied in a face-to-face context. In Study IV, the general aim was to investigate the emergence of SSMR with a larger data set from an asynchronous CSCL inquiry process in small student groups carrying out science activities. The specific aims were to study the emergence of SSMR in the different phases of the process, students’ participation in SSMR, and the relation of SSMR’s focus to the quality of outcomes, which was not explored in previous studies. The participants were 12-year-old students from the same class as in Study III. Five small groups consisting of four students and one of five students (N=25) were involved in the study. The small groups solved ill-defined science problems in an asynchronous CSCL environment, participating in research-like processes of inquiry over a total period of 22 hours. Written notes (N=4088) detailed the network discussions of the small groups and these constituted the study data. With these notes, SSMR threads were explored. As in Study III, the thread was used as the unit of analysis. In total, 332 notes were classified as forming 41 SSMR threads. Inter-coder agreement was assessed by three coders in the different phases of the analysis and found to be reliable. Multiple methods of analysis were used. Results showed that SSMR emerged in all the asynchronous CSCL inquiry processes in the small groups. However, the findings did not reveal any significantly changing trend in the emergence of SSMR during the process. As a main trend, the number of notes included in SSMR threads differed significantly in different phases of the process and small groups differed from each other. Although student participation was seen as highly dispersed between the students, there were differences between students and small groups. Furthermore, the findings indicated that the amount of SSMR during the process or participation structure did not explain the differences in the quality of outcomes for the groups. Rather, when SSMRs were focused on understanding and procedural matters, it was associated with achieving high quality learning outcomes. In turn, when SSMRs were focused on incidental and procedural matters, it was associated with low level learning outcomes. Hence, the findings imply that the focus of any emerging SSMR is crucial to the quality of the learning outcomes. Moreover, the findings encourage the use of multiple research methods for studying SSMR. In total, the four studies convincingly indicate that a phenomenon of socially shared metacognitive regulation also exists. This means that it was possible to define the concept of SSMR theoretically, to investigate it methodologically and to validate it empirically in two different learning contexts across dyads and small groups. In-depth micro-level case analysis in Studies I and III showed the possibility to capture and analyse in detail SSMR during the collaborative process, while in Studies II and IV, the analysis validated the emergence of SSMR in larger data sets. Hence, validation was tested both between two environments and within the same environments with further cases. As a part of this dissertation, SSMR’s detailed functions and foci were revealed. Moreover, the findings showed the important role of observable metacognitive experiences as the starting point of SSMRs. It was apparent that problems dealt with by the groups should be rather difficult if SSMR is to be made clearly visible. Further, individual students’ participation was found to differ between students and groups. The multiple research methods employed revealed supplementary findings regarding SSMR. Finally, when SSMR was focused on understanding and procedural matters, this was seen to lead to higher quality learning outcomes. Socially shared metacognition regulation should therefore be taken into consideration in students’ collaborative learning at school similarly to how an individual’s metacognition is taken into account in individual learning.

Novel cancer-related regulatory targets for the signalling sphingolipids sphingosine-1-phosphate and sphingosylphosphorylcholine

The signalling sphingolipid sphingosine-1-phosphate (S1P) is necessary for development of the immune system and vasculature and on a cellular level regulates migration, proliferation and survival. Due to these traits S1P has an important role in cancer biology. It is considered a primarily cancer-promoting factor and the enzyme which produces it, sphingosine kinase (SphK), is often over-expressed in tumours. S1P is naturally present in the blood, lymph, tissue fluids and cell cytoplasm and functions through its cell surface receptors (S1P1-5) and as an intracellular second messenger. Sphingosylphosphorylcholine (SPC) is closely related to S1P and has similar regulatory functions but has not been extensively studied. Both S1P and SPC are able to evoke either stimulatory or inhibitory effects on cancer cells depending on the context. The aim of this thesis work was to study novel regulatory targets of S1P and SPC, which mediate the effects of S1P/SPC signalling on cancer cell behaviour. The investigated targets are the transcription factor hypoxia-inducible factor 1 (HIF-1), the intermediate filament protein vimentin and components of the Hippo signalling pathway. HIF-1 has a central role in cancer biology, as it regulates a multitude of cancer-related genes and is potently activated by intratumoural hypoxia through stabilization of the regulatory subunit HIF-1α. Tumours typically harbour high HIF-1α levels and HIF-1, in turn, facilitates tumour angiogenesis and metastasis and regulates cancer cell metabolism. We found S1P to induce follicular thyroid cancer cell migration in normal oxygen conditions by increasing HIF-1α synthesis and stability and subsequently HIF-1 activity. Vimentin is a central regulator of cell motility and is also commonly over-expressed in cancers. Vimentin filaments form a cytoskeletal network in mesenchymal cells as well as epithelial cancer cells which have gone through epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT). Vimentin is heavily involved in cancer cell invasion and gives tumours metastatic potential. We saw both S1P and SPC induce phosphorylation of vimentin monomers and reorganization of the vimentin filament network in breast and anaplastic thyroid cancer cells. We also found vimentin to mediate the anti-migratory effect of S1P/SPC on these cells. The Hippo pathway is a novel signalling cascade which controls cancer-related processes such as cellular proliferation and survival in response to various extracellular signals. The core of the pathway consists of the transcriptional regulators YAP and TAZ, which activate predominantly cancer-promoting genes, and the tumour suppressive kinases Lats1 and Lats2 which inhibit YAP/TAZ. Increased YAP expression and activity has been reported for a wide variety of cancers. We found SPC to regulate Hippo signalling in breast cancer cells in a two-fold manner through effects on phosphorylation status, activity and/or expression of YAP and Lats2. In conclusion, this thesis reveals new details of the signalling function of S1P and SPC and regulation of the central oncogenic factors HIF-1 and vimentin as well as the novel cancer-related pathway Hippo.

Using electroencephalography signals to control acoustical processing

Current hearing-assistive technology performs poorly in noisy multi-talker conditions. The goal of this thesis was to establish the feasibility of using EEG to guide acoustic processing in such conditions. To attain this goal, this research developed a model via the constructive research method, relying on literature review. Several approaches have revealed improvements in the performance of hearing-assistive devices under multi-talker conditions, namely beamforming spatial filtering, model-based sparse coding shrinkage, and onset enhancement of the speech signal. Prior research has shown that electroencephalography (EEG) signals contain information that concerns whether the person is actively listening, what the listener is listening to, and where the attended sound source is. This thesis constructed a model for using EEG information to control beamforming, model-based sparse coding shrinkage, and onset enhancement of the speech signal. The purpose of this model is to propose a framework for using EEG signals to control sound processing to select a single talker in a noisy environment containing multiple talkers speaking simultaneously. On a theoretical level, the model showed that EEG can control acoustical processing. An analysis of the model identified a requirement for real-time processing and that the model inherits the computationally intensive properties of acoustical processing, although the model itself is low complexity placing a relatively small load on computational resources. A research priority is to develop a prototype that controls hearing-assistive devices with EEG. This thesis concludes highlighting challenges for future research.