Regime-Switching in the Impact of Oil Price Shocks on Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from Oil-Importing and Oil-Exporting Countries

Research has highlighted the adequacy of Markov regime-switching model to address dynamic behavior in long term stock market movements. Employing a purposed Extended regime-switching GARCH(1,1) model, this thesis further investigates the regime dependent nonlinear relationship between changes in oil price and stock market volatility in Saudi Arabia, Norway and Singapore for the period of 2001-2014. Market selection is prioritized to national dependency on oil export or import, which also rationalizes the fitness of implied bivariate volatility model. Among two regimes identified by the mean model, high stock market return-low volatility regime reflects the stable economic growth periods. The other regime characterized by low stock market return-high volatility coincides with episodes of recession and downturn. Moreover, results of volatility model provide the evidence that shocks in stock markets are less persistent during the high volatility regime. While accelerated oil price rises the stock market volatility during recessions, it reduces the stock market risk during normal growth periods in Singapore. In contrast, oil price showed no significant notable impact on stock market volatility of target oil-exporting countries in either of the volatility regime. In light to these results, international investors and policy makers could benefit the risk management in relation to oil price fluctuation.

Flow in porous media of oil-water systems

Fluid flow behaviour in porous media is a conundrum. Therefore, this research is focused on filtration-volumetric characterisation of fractured-carbonate sediments, coupled with their proper simulation. For this reason, at laboratory rock properties such as pore volume, permeability and porosity are measured, later phase permeabilities and oil recovery in function of flow rate are assessed. Furthermore, the rheological properties of three oils are measured and analysed. Finally based on rock and fluid properties, a model using COMSOL Multiphysics is built in order to compare the experimental and simulated results. The rock analyses show linear relation between flow rate and differential pressure, from which phase permeabilities and pressure gradient are determined, eventually the oil recovery under low and high flow rate is established. In addition, the oils reveal thixotropic properties as well as non-Newtonian behaviour described by Bingham model, consequently Carreau viscosity model for the used oil is given. Given these points, the model for oil and water is built in COMSOL Multiphysics, whereupon successfully the reciprocity between experimental and simulated results is analysed and compared. Finally, a two-phase displacement model is elaborated.

Commodity Price Driven Risk Management from Viewpoint of High Grade Steel Alloys

The study of price risk management concerning high grade steel alloys and their components was conducted. This study was focused in metal commodities, of which nickel, chrome and molybdenum were in a central role. Also possible hedging instruments and strategies for referred metals were studied. In the literature part main themes are price formation of Ni, Cr and Mo, the functioning of metal exchanges and main hedging instruments for metal commodities. This section also covers how micro and macro variables may affect metal prices from the viewpoint of short as well as longer time period. The experimental part consists of three sections. In the first part, multiple regression model with seven explanatory variables was constructed to describe price behavior of nickel. Results were compared after this with information created with comparable simple regression model. Additionally, long time mean price reversion of nickel was studied. In the second part, theoretical price of CF8M alloy was studied by using nickel, ferro-chrome and ferro-molybdenum as explanatory variables. In the last section, cross hedging possibilities for illiquid FeCr -metal was studied with five LME futures. Also this section covers new information concerning possible forthcoming molybdenum future contracts as well. The results of this study confirm, that linear regression models which are based on the assumption of market rationality, are not able to reliably describe price development of metals at issue. Models fulfilling assumptions for linear regression may though include useful information of statistical significant variables which have effect on metal prices. According to the experimental part, short futures were found to incorporate the most accurate information concerning the price movements in the future. However, not even 3M futures were able to predict turning point in the market before the faced slump. Cross hedging seemed to be very doubtful risk management strategy for illiquid metals, because correlations coefficients were found to be very sensitive for the chosen time span.

Waste Stream Investigation from Perspective of Changing Waste Legislation at Green Sand Foundries

The update of the Finnish legislation concerning waste was unavoidable, to comply with the European Union (EU) requirements defined in the EU-Directive on Waste. The new waste law updates were enacted into the Finnish legislation on the 11.03.2011 and targeted for applicability by the 11.03.2012. This thesis investigates the implications of the new amendments to the waste legislation from the perspective of green sand foundries. The investigations are conducted by comparing two of Componenta’s green sand foundries and evaluating their waste streams. Additionally, the impacts of legislation amendments are critiqued on their environmental and economic aspects. The study’s comparison of waste fractions at the two foundries reveals that sand is dominant in absolute tonnage and costs. The increments of waste taxes forces foundries to focus on waste management, recycling and disposing. The new legislation’s promotion of material efficiency, also guides foundries towards the prevention of waste. A potential preventive measure is to regenerate waste sand resulting to cost savings on both raw-materials and waste management. However, the lack of absolute targets for waste prevention or recycling rates discourages the interests towards creating or adopting new technologies and methods for the waste handling.

Development of a Radiometer Front End for Detection of Oil Spill on Sea Surface

Kaikki kappaleet säteilevät sähkömagneettista energiaa. Radiometreillä voidaan mitata tätä säteilyä, ja mittausten avulla voidaan kaukokartoituksessa analysoida monia ilmakehään ja maan pintaan liittyviä ilmiöitä. Säteilyä kerätään useimmiten radiometriin kytketyn antennin avulla. Mikroaaltoalueella säteilystä saatava teho on verrannollinen kohteen kirkkauslämpötilaan. Kirkkauslämpötila on puolestaan verrannollinen kohteen fyysiseen lämpötilaan materiaalin emissiivisyyden kautta. Emissiivisyys voi vaihdella suuresti eri pintojen ja materiaalien välillä. Näin ollen mittaamalla kohteen kirkkauslämpötilaa saadaan tietoa sen ominaisuuksista. Mikroaaltoradiometrin avulla voidaan havaita öljyläikkä meren pinnalta, sekä määrittää öljyläikän paksuus. Öljy muodostaa ohuen kalvon meren pinnalla. Ohuen kalvon ylä- ja alapinnasta heijastuneet aallot kulkevat eri matkan, jonka seurauksena muodostuu interferenssikuvio. Interferenssi on joko konstruktiivinen tai destruktiivinen riippuen heijastusten vaihe-erosta. Pistetaajuudella tästä seuraa kalvon paksuudesta riippuva sinimuotoinen emissiivisyys. Mallintamalla tämä ilmiö riittävän tarkasti voidaan radiometrin mittaamaa kirkkauslämpötilaa verrata mallinnettuun arvoon ja täten määrittää öljykerroksen paksuus. Tässä työssä esitetään kahden radiometrin suunnittelu ja testaus. Työ rajoittuu radiometrien alustavaan testausvaiheeseen. Radiometrit on suunniteltu 36,5GHz sekä 89GHz taajuuksille. Työn suurin kontribuutio on radiometrien etupään suunnittelussa ja testauksessa, kalibraatiomenetelmien kehittämisessä sekä kylmäkuorman suunnittelussa. Lisäksi työssä esitetään radiometrien systeemisuunnittelu sekä siihen liittyvät simulaatiot.

Behring's Sea and Arctic Ocean from surveys of the U.S. North Pacific Surveying Expedition in 1855 John Rogers commanding and from Russian and English authorities : additions to July 1868

Kartta kuuluu A. E. Nordenskiöldin kokoelmaan