Variation in forest fire ignition probability in Finland

Abstract

Using software metrics to increase efficiency in product creation

Opinnäytetyö etsii korrelaatiota ohjelmistomittauksella saavutettujen tulosten ja ohjelmasta löytyneiden virheiden väliltä. Työssä käytetään koeryhmänä jo olemassaolevia ohjelmistoja. Työ tutkii olisiko ohjelmistomittareita käyttämällä ollut mahdollista paikallistaa ohjelmistojen ongelmakohdat ja näin saada arvokasta tietoa ohjelmistokehitykseen. Mittausta voitaisiin käyttää resurssien parempaan kohdentamiseen koodikatselmuksissa, koodi-integraatiossa, systeemitestauksessa ja aikataulutuksessa. Mittaamisen avulla nämä tehtävät saisivat enemmän tietoa resurssien kohdistamiseen. Koeryhmänä käytetään erilaisia ohjelmistotuotteita. Yhteistä näille kaikille tuotteille on niiden peräkkäiset julkaisut. Uutta julkaisua tehtäessä, edellistä julkaisua käytetään pohjana, jonka päällekehitetään uutta lähdekoodia. Tämän takia ohjelmistomittauksessa pitää pystyä erottelemaan edellisen julkaisun lähdekoodi uudesta lähdekoodista. Työssä käytettävät ohjelmistomittarit ovat yleisiä ja ohjelmistotekniikassalaajasti käytettyjä mittaamaan erilaisia lähdekoodin ominaisuuksia, joiden arvellaan vaikuttavan virhealttiuteen. Tämän työn tarkoitus on tutkia näiden ohjelmistomittareiden käytettävyyttä koeryhmänä toimivissa ohjelmistoympäristöissä. Käytännön osuus työstä onnistui löytämään korrelaation joidenkinohjelmistomittareiden ja virheiden väliltä, samalla kuin toiset ohjelmistomittarit eivät antaneet vakuuttavia tuloksia. Ohjelmistomittareita käyttämällä näyttää olevan mahdollista tunnistaa virhealttiit kohdat ohjelmasta ja siten parantaa ohjelmistokehityksen tehokkuutta. Ohjelmistomittareiden käyttö tuotekehityksessäon perusteltavaa ja niiden avulla mahdollisesti pystyttäisiin vaikuttamaan ohjelmiston laatuun tulevissa julkaisuissa.

Developing supply chain performance measurement metrics, case Halton Oy

Tämä tutkimus pyrkii selvittämään, miten toimitusketjun suorituskykyä voidaan mitata kohdeyrityksessä. Supply Chain Council (SCC) on vuonna 1996 kehittänyt Supply Chain Operations Reference (SCOR) – mallin, joka mahdollistaa myös suorituskyvyn mittaamisen. Tämän tutkimuksen tarkoituksena on soveltaa SCOR-mallin suorituskyvyn mittausmallia kohdeyrityksessä. Työ on kvalitatiivinen tapaustutkimus. Työn teoriaosassa on pääasiallisesti käsitelty toimitusketjua ja suorituskyvyn mittaamista koskevaa kirjallisuutta. Mittausjärjestelmän luominen alkaa kohdeyrityksen esittelyllä. SCOR – mallin mittarit on kohdeyrityksessä rakennettu SCC:n ehdotusten mukaisesti, jotta mittareiden tulokset olisivat käyttökelpoisia myös benchmarkkausta varten. Malli sisältää 10 SCOR – mittaria, sekä muutamia muita Haltonin omia mittareita. Lopputuloksena voidaan nähdä, että SCOR – malli antaa hyvän yleiskuvan toimitusketjun suorituskyvystä, mutta kohdeyrityksessä on silti tarvetta kehittää edelleen informatiivisempia mittareita, jotka antaisivat yksityiskohtaisempaa tietoa kohdeyrityksen johdolle.

On Option Price Information Content and Extraction of Implied Probability Distributions

In this study we used market settlement prices of European call options on stock index futures to extract implied probability distribution function (PDF). The method used produces a PDF of returns of an underlying asset at expiration date from implied volatility smile. With this method, the assumption of lognormal distribution (Black-Scholes model) is tested. The market view of the asset price dynamics can then be used for various purposes (hedging, speculation). We used the so called smoothing approach for implied PDF extraction presented by Shimko (1993). In our analysis we obtained implied volatility smiles from index futures markets (S&P 500 and DAX indices) and standardized them. The method introduced by Breeden and Litzenberger (1978) was then used on PDF extraction. The results show significant deviations from the assumption of lognormal returns for S&P500 options while DAX options mostly fit the lognormal distribution. A deviant subjective view of PDF can be used to form a strategy as discussed in the last section.

Demonstration Platform for Visual Quality Metrics

This thesis presents two graphical user interfaces for the project DigiQ - Fusion of Digital and Visual Print Quality, a project for computationally modeling the subjective human experience of print quality by measuring the image with certain metrics. After presenting the user interfaces, methods for reducing the computation time of several of the metrics and the image registration process required to compute the metrics, and details of their performance are given. The weighted sample method for the image registration process was able to signifigantly decrease the calculation times while resulting in some error. The random sampling method for the metrics greatly reduced calculation time while maintaining excellent accuracy, but worked with only two of the metrics.

Hyperbolic type metrics and distortion of quasiconformal map pings

This Ph.D. thesis consists of four original papers. The papers cover several topics from geometric function theory, more specifically, hyperbolic type metrics, conformal invariants, and the distortion properties of quasiconformal mappings. The first paper deals mostly with the quasihyperbolic metric. The main result gives the optimal bilipschitz constant with respect to the quasihyperbolic metric for the M¨obius self-mappings of the unit ball. A quasiinvariance property, sharp in a local sense, of the quasihyperbolic metric under quasiconformal mappings is also proved. The second paper studies some distortion estimates for the class of quasiconformal self-mappings fixing the boundary values of the unit ball or convex domains. The distortion is measured by the hyperbolic metric or hyperbolic type metrics. The results provide explicit, asymptotically sharp inequalities when the maximal dilatation of quasiconformal mappings tends to 1. These explicit estimates involve special functions which have a crucial role in this study. In the third paper, we investigate the notion of the quasihyperbolic volume and find the growth estimates for the quasihyperbolic volume of balls in a domain in terms of the radius. It turns out that in the case of domains with Ahlfors regular boundaries, the rate of growth depends not merely on the radius but also on the metric structure of the boundary. The topic of the fourth paper is complete elliptic integrals and inequalities. We derive some functional inequalities and elementary estimates for these special functions. As applications, some functional inequalities and the growth of the exterior modulus of a rectangle are studied.

Enlighten: A suite of metrics and altmetrics

Presentation at Open Repositories 2014, Helsinki, Finland, June 9-13, 2014

Thoughts on work-in-progress crowdsourcing metrics of digital collections

The presentation consists of work-in-progress metrics of #digitalkoot, the crowdsourcing project launched by National Library of Finland

Green ICT metrics and Biomimicry

Sustainability issue of ICT have gathered attention in recent years, and researchers are working on this problem. Sustainability incorporates numerous interconnected aspects as well as methods to achieve it in ICT, so it is quite complicated to have a general view on a problem without a proper framework. However, a general methodology for such a research is missing. In this work it is proposed to use Biomimicry approach as a framework for sustainability research and development, as it introduces systematics and also forces to account sustainable aspects. Additionally, an interesting problem of green network measurements for enhancing sustainability in ICT will be researched using mentioned approach. The goal is to investigate Biomimicry as a systemic approach for developing sustainable systems, as well as to apply it in green network measurements study. Comparative study is performed for examining Biomimicry approach, as well as a use case of green network measurements research is presented. As a result, green network measurement can potentially improve sustainability, but only to a limited extent as it cannot incorporate all the aspects; within Biomimicry approach, two methodologies exist. It is possible to conclude that Biomimicry is a good framework for developing sustainable systems, nevertheless, another methodology has to be introduced within it; new methodology has to incorporate advantages of two existing ones.

Metrics for Predicting User Behavior and Experience in an Interactive Storytelling System

In much of the previous research into the field of interactive storytelling, the focus has been on the creation of complete systems, then evaluating the performance of those systems based on user experience. Less focus has been placed on finding general solutions to problems that manifest in many different types of interactive storytelling systems. The goal of this thesis was to identify potential candidates for metrics that a system could use to predict player behavior or how players experience the story they are presented with, and to put these metrics to an empirical test. The three metrics that were used were morality, relationships and conflict. The game used for user testing of the metrics, Regicide is an interactive storytelling experience that was created in conjunction with Eero Itkonen. Data, in the forms of internal system data and survey answers, collected through user testing, was used to evaluate hypotheses for each metric. Out of the three chosen metrics, morality performed the best in this study. Though further research and refinement may be required, the results were promising, and point to the conclusion that user responses to questions of morality are a strong predictor for their choices in similar situations later on in the course of an interactive story. A similar examination for user relationships with other characters in the story did not produce promising results, but several problems were recognized in terms of methodology and further research with a better optimized system may yield different results. On the subject of conflict, several aspects, proposed by Ware et al. (2012), were evaluated separately. Results were inconclusive, with the aspect of directness showing the most promise.