Validation of Logistic Regression Models for Landslide Susceptibility Maps

A wide range of numerical models and tools have been developed over the last decades to support the decision making process in environmental applications, ranging from physical models to a variety of statistically-based methods. In this study, a landslide susceptibility map of a part of Three Gorges Reservoir region of China was produced, employing binary logistic regression analyses. The available information includes the digital elevation model of the region, geological map and different GIS layers including land cover data obtained from satellite imagery. The landslides were observed and documented during the field studies. The validation analysis is exploited to investigate the quality of mapping.

Ultra high performance supercritical fluid chromatography coupled with tandem mass spectrometry for screening of doping agents. II: Analysis of biological samples.

The potential and applicability of UHPSFC-MS/MS for anti-doping screening in urine samples were tested for the first time. For this purpose, a group of 110 doping agents with diverse physicochemical properties was analyzed using two separation techniques, namely UHPLC-MS/MS and UHPSFC-MS/MS in both ESI+ and ESI- modes. The two approaches were compared in terms of selectivity, sensitivity, linearity and matrix effects. As expected, very diverse retentions and selectivities were obtained in UHPLC and UHPSFC, proving a good complementarity of these analytical strategies. In both conditions, acceptable peak shapes and MS detection capabilities were obtained within 7min analysis time, enabling the application of these two methods for screening purposes. Method sensitivity was found comparable for 46% of tested compounds, while higher sensitivity was observed for 21% of tested compounds in UHPLC-MS/MS and for 32% in UHPSFC-MS/MS. The latter demonstrated a lower susceptibility to matrix effects, which were mostly observed as signal suppression. In the case of UHPLC-MS/MS, more serious matrix effects were observed, leading typically to signal enhancement and the matrix effect was also concentration dependent, i.e., more significant matrix effects occurred at the lowest concentrations.

The role of the hypothalamic kisspeptin/GPR54 system in the control of GnRH neurons

Summary : The hypothalamus represents less than 1 % of the total volume of the brain tissue, yet it plays a crucial role in endocrine regulations. Puberty is defined as a process leading to physical, sexual and psychosocial maturation. The hypothalamus is central to this process, via the activation of GnRH neurons. Pulsatile GnRH secretion, minimal during childhood, increases with the onset of puberty. The primary function of GnRH is to regulate the growth, development and function of testes in boys and ovaries in girls, by stimulating the pituitary gland secretion of luteinizing hormone (LH) and follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH). Several factors contribute to the timing of puberty, including sex and ethnicity, genetics, dietary intake and energy expenditure. Kisspeptins constitute a family of small peptides arising from the proteolytic cleavage of metastin, a peptide with 54 amino acids initially purified from human placenta. These kisspeptins were the subject of much attention following their discovery because of their antimetastatic properties, but it was more recently that their determining role in the reproductive function was demonstrated. It was shown that kisspeptins are ligands of a receptor, GPR54, whose natural inactivating mutation in humans, or knockout in the mouse, lead to infertility. GnRH neurons play a pivotal role in the central regulation of fertility. Kisspeptin greatly increases GnRH release and GnRH neuron firing activity, but the neurobiological mechanisms for these actions are unknown. Gprotein-coupled receptor 54, the receptor for kisspeptin, is expressed by GnRH neurons as well as other hypothalamic neurons, suggesting that both direct and indirect effects are possible. In the first part of my thesis, we investigated a possible connection between the acceleration of sexual development induced by leptin and hypothalamic metastin neurons. However, the data generated by our preliminary experiments confirmed that the commercially available antibodies are non-specific. This finding constituted a major drawback for our studies, which relied heavily upon the neuroanatomical study of the hypothalamic metastinergic pathways to elucidate their sensitivity to exogenous leptin. Therefore, we decided to postpone any further in vivo experiment until a better antibody becomes available, and focused on in vitro studies to better understand the mechanisms of action of kisspeptins in the modulation of the activity of GnRH neurons. We used two GnRH-expressing neuronal cell lines to investigate the cellular and molecular mechanisms of action of metastin in GnRH neurons. We demonstrated that kisspeptin induces an early activation of the MAP kinase intracellular signaling pathway in both cell lines, whereas the SAP/JNK or the Akt pathways were unaffected. Moreover, we found an increase in GnRH mRNA levels after 6h of metastin stimulation. Thus, we can conclude that kisspeptin regulates GnRH neurons both at the secretion and the gene expression levels. The MAPK pathway is the major pathway activated by metastin in GnRH expressing neurons. Taken together, these data provide the first mechanism of action of kisspeptin on GnRH neurons. Résumé : L'hypothalamus est une zone située au centre du cerveau, dont il représente moins de 1 du volume total. La puberté est la période de transition entre l'enfance et l'age adulte, qui s'accompagne de transformations somatiques, psychologiques, métaboliques et hormonales conduisant à la possibilité de procréer. La fonction principale de la GnRH est la régulation de la croissance, du développement et de la fonction des testicules chez les hommes, et des ovaires chez les femmes en stimulant la sécrétion de l'hormone lutéinisante (LH) et de l'hormone folliculostimulante (FSH) par la glande hypophysaire. Plusieurs facteurs contribuent au déclanchement de la puberté, y compris le sexe et l'appartenance ethnique, la génétique, l'apport alimentaire et la dépense énergétique. Les Kisspeptines constituent une famille de peptides résultant de la dissociation proteolytique de la métastine, un peptide de 54 acides aminés initialement purifié à partir de placenta humain. Ces kisspeptines ont fait l'objet de beaucoup d'attention à la suite de leur découverte en raison de leurs propriétés anti-metastatiques, et c'est plus récemment que leur rôle déterminant dans la fonction reproductive a été démontré. Les kisspeptines sont des ligands du récepteur GPR54, dont la mutation inactivatrice chez l'homme, ou le knockout chez la souris, conduisent à l'infertilité par hypogonadisme hypogonadotrope. Les neurones à GnRH jouent un rôle central dans le règlement des fonctions reproductrices et la kisspeptine stimule l'activité des neurones à GnRH et la libération de GnRH par ces neurones. Toutefois, les mécanismes neurobiologiques de ces actions ne sont pas connus. Dans la première partie de ma thèse, nous avons étudié le lien potentiel entre l'accélération du développement sexuel induite par la leptine et les neurones hypothalamiques à metastine. Les données générées dans cette première série d'expériences ont malheureusement confirmé que les anticorps anti-metastine disponibles dans le commerce sont aspécifiques. Ceci a constitué un inconvénient majeur pour nos études, qui devaient fortement s'appuyer sur l' étude neuroanatomique des neurones hypothalamiques à metastine pour évaluer leur sensibilité à la leptine exogène. Nous avons donc décidé de focaliser nos travaux sur une étude in vitro des mécanismes d'action de la kisspeptine pour moduler l'activité des neurones à GnRH. Nous avons utilisé deux lignées de cellules neuronales exprimant la GnRH pour étudier les mécanismes d'action cellulaires et moléculaires de la metastine dans des neurones. Nous avons ainsi pu démontrer que la kisspeptine induit une activation précoce de la voie f de signalisation de la MAP kinase dans les deux lignées cellulaires, alors que nous n'avons observé aucune activation de la voie de signalisation de la P13 Kinase et de la SAP/JNK. Nous avons en outre démontré une augmentation de l'expression de la GnRH par la stimulation avec la Kisspeptine. L'ensemble de ces données contribue à élucider le mécanisme d'action avec lequel la kisspeptine agit dans les neurones à GnRH, en démontrant un effet sur l'expression génique de la GnRH. Nous pouvons également conclure que la voie de la MAPK est la voie principale activée par la metastine dans les neurones exprimant la GnRH.

β-Arrestin2 influences the response to methadone in opioid-dependent patients.

β-Arrestin2 (ARRB2) is a component of the G-protein-coupled receptor complex and is involved in μ-opioid and dopamine D(2) receptor signaling, two central processes in methadone signal transduction. We analyzed 238 patients in methadone maintenance treatment (MMT) and identified a haplotype block (rs34230287, rs3786047, rs1045280 and rs2036657) spanning almost the entire ARRB2 locus. Although none of these single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) leads to a change in amino-acid sequence, we found that for all the SNPs analyzed, with exception of rs34230287, homozygosity for the variant allele confers a nonresponding phenotype (n=73; rs1045280C and rs2036657G: OR=3.1, 95% CI=1.5-6.3, P=0.004; rs3786047A: OR=2.5, 95% CI=1.2-5.1, P=0.02) also illustrated by a 12-fold shorter period of negative urine screening (P=0.01). The ARRB2 genotype may thus contribute to the interindividual variability in the response to MMT and help to predict response to treatment.

Indirect hydrogen analysis by gas chromatography coupled to mass spectrometry (GC-MS).

Gas chromatography (GC) is an analytical tool very useful to investigate the composition of gaseous mixtures. The different gases are separated by specific columns but, if hydrogen (H2 ) is present in the sample, its detection can be performed by a thermal conductivity detector or a helium ionization detector. Indeed, coupled to GC, no other detector can perform this detection except the expensive atomic emission detector. Based on the detection and analysis of H2 isotopes by low-pressure chemical ionization mass spectrometry (MS), a new method for H2 detection by GC coupled to MS with an electron ionization ion source and a quadrupole analyser is presented. The presence of H2 in a gaseous mixture could easily be put in evidence by the monitoring of the molecular ion of the protonated carrier gas. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Validation of an analytical method for nitrous oxide (N2O) laughing gas by headspace gas chromatography coupled to mass spectrometry (HS-GC-MS): Forensic application to a lethal intoxication.

Drug abuse is a widespread problem affecting both teenagers and adults. Nitrous oxide is becoming increasingly popular as an inhalation drug, causing harmful neurological and hematological effects. Some gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (GC-MS) methods for nitrous oxide measurement have been previously described. The main drawbacks of these methods include a lack of sensitivity for forensic applications; including an inability to quantitatively determine the concentration of gas present. The following study provides a validated method using HS-GC-MS which incorporates hydrogen sulfide as a suitable internal standard allowing the quantification of nitrous oxide. Upon analysis, sample and internal standard have similar retention times and are eluted quickly from the molecular sieve 5Å PLOT capillary column and the Porabond Q column therefore providing rapid data collection whilst preserving well defined peaks. After validation, the method has been applied to a real case of N2O intoxication indicating concentrations in a mono-intoxication.

Evaluating sampling strategies and logistic regression methods for modelling complex land cover changes

The role of land cover change as a significant component of global change has become increasingly recognized in recent decades. Large databases measuring land cover change, and the data which can potentially be used to explain the observed changes, are also becoming more commonly available. When developing statistical models to investigate observed changes, it is important to be aware that the chosen sampling strategy and modelling techniques can influence results. We present a comparison of three sampling strategies and two forms of grouped logistic regression models (multinomial and ordinal) in the investigation of patterns of successional change after agricultural land abandonment in Switzerland. Results indicated that both ordinal and nominal transitional change occurs in the landscape and that the use of different sampling regimes and modelling techniques as investigative tools yield different results. Synthesis and applications. Our multimodel inference identified successfully a set of consistently selected indicators of land cover change, which can be used to predict further change, including annual average temperature, the number of already overgrown neighbouring areas of land and distance to historically destructive avalanche sites. This allows for more reliable decision making and planning with respect to landscape management. Although both model approaches gave similar results, ordinal regression yielded more parsimonious models that identified the important predictors of land cover change more efficiently. Thus, this approach is favourable where land cover change pattern can be interpreted as an ordinal process. Otherwise, multinomial logistic regression is a viable alternative.

High-throughput hydrophilic interaction chromatography coupled to tandem mass spectrometry for the optimized quantification of the anti-Gram-negatives antibiotic colistin A/B and its pro-drug colistimethate.

Colistin is a last resort's antibacterial treatment in critically ill patients with multi-drug resistant Gram-negative infections. As appropriate colistin exposure is the key for maximizing efficacy while minimizing toxicity, individualized dosing optimization guided by therapeutic drug monitoring is a top clinical priority. Objective of the present work was to develop a rapid and robust HPLC-MS/MS assay for quantification of colistin plasma concentrations. This novel methodology validated according to international standards simultaneously quantifies the microbiologically active compounds colistin A and B, plus the pro-drug colistin methanesulfonate (colistimethate, CMS). 96-well micro-Elution SPE on Oasis Hydrophilic-Lipophilic-Balanced (HLB) followed by direct analysis by Hydrophilic Interaction Liquid Chromatography (HILIC) with Ethylene Bridged Hybrid - BEH - Amide phase column coupled to tandem mass spectrometry allows a high-throughput with no significant matrix effect. The technique is highly sensitive (limit of quantification 0.014 and 0.006μg/mL for colistin A and B), precise (intra-/inter-assay CV 0.6-8.4%) and accurate (intra-/inter-assay deviation from nominal concentrations -4.4 to +6.3%) over the clinically relevant analytical range 0.05-20μg/mL. Colistin A and B in plasma and whole blood samples are reliably quantified over 48h at room temperature and at +4°C (<6% deviation from nominal values) and after three freeze-thaw cycles. Colistimethate acidic hydrolysis (1M H2SO4) to colistin A and B in plasma was completed in vitro after 15min of sonication while the pro-drug hydrolyzed spontaneously in plasma ex vivo after 4h at room temperature: this information is of utmost importance for interpretation of analytical results. Quantification is precise and accurate when using serum, citrated or EDTA plasma as biological matrix, while use of heparin plasma is not appropriate. This new analytical technique providing optimized quantification in real-life conditions of the microbiologically active compounds colistin A and B offers a highly efficient tool for routine therapeutic drug monitoring aimed at individualizing drug dosing against life-threatening infections.

THE USE OF SIMULATIONS IN EVOLUTIONARY POPULATION GENETICS: APPLICATIONS ON HUMANS, OWLS AND VIRTUAL ORGANISMS

Summary (in English) Computer simulations provide a practical way to address scientific questions that would be otherwise intractable. In evolutionary biology, and in population genetics in particular, the investigation of evolutionary processes frequently involves the implementation of complex models, making simulations a particularly valuable tool in the area. In this thesis work, I explored three questions involving the geographical range expansion of populations, taking advantage of spatially explicit simulations coupled with approximate Bayesian computation. First, the neutral evolutionary history of the human spread around the world was investigated, leading to a surprisingly simple model: A straightforward diffusion process of migrations from east Africa throughout a world map with homogeneous landmasses replicated to very large extent the complex patterns observed in real human populations, suggesting a more continuous (as opposed to structured) view of the distribution of modern human genetic diversity, which may play a better role as a base model for further studies. Second, the postglacial evolution of the European barn owl, with the formation of a remarkable coat-color cline, was inspected with two rounds of simulations: (i) determine the demographic background history and (ii) test the probability of a phenotypic cline, like the one observed in the natural populations, to appear without natural selection. We verified that the modern barn owl population originated from a single Iberian refugium and that they formed their color cline, not due to neutral evolution, but with the necessary participation of selection. The third and last part of this thesis refers to a simulation-only study inspired by the barn owl case above. In this chapter, we showed that selection is, indeed, effective during range expansions and that it leaves a distinguished signature, which can then be used to detect and measure natural selection in range-expanding populations. Résumé (en français) Les simulations fournissent un moyen pratique pour répondre à des questions scientifiques qui seraient inabordable autrement. En génétique des populations, l'étude des processus évolutifs implique souvent la mise en oeuvre de modèles complexes, et les simulations sont un outil particulièrement précieux dans ce domaine. Dans cette thèse, j'ai exploré trois questions en utilisant des simulations spatialement explicites dans un cadre de calculs Bayésiens approximés (approximate Bayesian computation : ABC). Tout d'abord, l'histoire de la colonisation humaine mondiale et de l'évolution de parties neutres du génome a été étudiée grâce à un modèle étonnement simple. Un processus de diffusion des migrants de l'Afrique orientale à travers un monde avec des masses terrestres homogènes a reproduit, dans une très large mesure, les signatures génétiques complexes observées dans les populations humaines réelles. Un tel modèle continu (opposé à un modèle structuré en populations) pourrait être très utile comme modèle de base dans l'étude de génétique humaine à l'avenir. Deuxièmement, l'évolution postglaciaire d'un gradient de couleur chez l'Effraie des clocher (Tyto alba) Européenne, a été examiné avec deux séries de simulations pour : (i) déterminer l'histoire démographique de base et (ii) tester la probabilité qu'un gradient phénotypique, tel qu'observé dans les populations naturelles puisse apparaître sans sélection naturelle. Nous avons montré que la population actuelle des chouettes est sortie d'un unique refuge ibérique et que le gradient de couleur ne peux pas s'être formé de manière neutre (sans l'action de la sélection naturelle). La troisième partie de cette thèse se réfère à une étude par simulations inspirée par l'étude de l'Effraie. Dans ce dernier chapitre, nous avons montré que la sélection est, en effet, aussi efficace dans les cas d'expansion d'aire de distribution et qu'elle laisse une signature unique, qui peut être utilisée pour la détecter et estimer sa force.

MAP kinase pathways in UV-induced apoptosis of retinal pigment epithelium ARPE19 cells.

The retinal pigment epithelium (RPE) is constantly exposed to external injuries which lead to degeneration, dysfunction or loss of RPE cells. The balance between RPE cells death and proliferation may be responsible for several diseases of the underlying retina, including age-related macular degeneration (AMD) and proliferative vitreoretinopathy (PVR). Signaling pathways able to control cells proliferation or death usually involve the MAPK (mitogen-activated protein kinases) pathways, which modulate the activity of transcription factors by phosphorylation. UV exposure induces DNA breakdown and causes cellular damage through the production of reactive oxygen species (ROS) leading to programmed cell death. In this study, human retinal pigment epithelial cells ARPE19 were exposed to 100 J/m(2) of UV-C and MAPK pathways were studied. We first showed the expression of the three major MAPK pathways. Then we showed that activator protein-1 (AP-1) was activated through phosphorylation of cJun and cFos, induced by JNK and p38, respectively. Specific inhibitors of both kinases decreased their respective activities and phosphorylation of their nuclear targets (cJun and cFos) and reduced UV-induced cell death. The use of specific kinases inhibitors may provide excellent tools to prevent RPE apoptosis specifically in RPE diseases involving ROS and other stress-related compounds such as in AMD.

Simultaneous B(0)- and B(1)+-map acquisition for fast localized shim, frequency, and RF power determination in the heart at 3 T.

High-field (>or=3 T) cardiac MRI is challenged by inhomogeneities of both the static magnetic field (B(0)) and the transmit radiofrequency field (B(1)+). The inhomogeneous B fields not only demand improved shimming methods but also impede the correct determination of the zero-order terms, i.e., the local resonance frequency f(0) and the radiofrequency power to generate the intended local B(1)+ field. In this work, dual echo time B(0)-map and dual flip angle B(1)+-map acquisition methods are combined to acquire multislice B(0)- and B(1)+-maps simultaneously covering the entire heart in a single breath hold of 18 heartbeats. A previously proposed excitation pulse shape dependent slice profile correction is tested and applied to reduce systematic errors of the multislice B(1)+-map. Localized higher-order shim correction values including the zero-order terms for frequency f(0) and radiofrequency power can be determined based on the acquired B(0)- and B(1)+-maps. This method has been tested in 7 healthy adult human subjects at 3 T and improved the B(0) field homogeneity (standard deviation) from 60 Hz to 35 Hz and the average B(1)+ field from 77% to 100% of the desired B(1)+ field when compared to more commonly used preparation methods.