Missing value imputation in longitudinal measures of alcohol consumption

Attrition in longitudinal studies can lead to biased results. The study is motivated by the unexpected observation that alcohol consumption decreased despite increased availability, which may be due to sample attrition of heavy drinkers. Several imputation methods have been proposed, but rarely compared in longitudinal studies of alcohol consumption. The imputation of consumption level measurements is computationally particularly challenging due to alcohol consumption being a semi-continuous variable (dichotomous drinking status and continuous volume among drinkers), and the non-normality of data in the continuous part. Data come from a longitudinal study in Denmark with four waves (2003-2006) and 1771 individuals at baseline. Five techniques for missing data are compared: Last value carried forward (LVCF) was used as a single, and Hotdeck, Heckman modelling, multivariate imputation by chained equations (MICE), and a Bayesian approach as multiple imputation methods. Predictive mean matching was used to account for non-normality, where instead of imputing regression estimates, "real" observed values from similar cases are imputed. Methods were also compared by means of a simulated dataset. The simulation showed that the Bayesian approach yielded the most unbiased estimates for imputation. The finding of no increase in consumption levels despite a higher availability remained unaltered. Copyright (C) 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Comparison of indices proposed as criteria for assigning skin notation

OBJECTIVES: Skin notations are used as a hazard identification tool to flag chemicals associated with a potential risk related to transdermal penetration. The transparency and rigorousness of the skin notation assignment process have recently been questioned. We compared different approaches proposed as criteria for these notations as a starting point for improving and systematizing current practice. METHODS: In this study, skin notations, dermal acute lethal dose 50 in mammals (LD(50)s) and two dermal risk indices derived from previously published work were compared using the lists of Swiss maximum allowable concentrations (MACs) and threshold limit values (TLVs) from the American Conference of Governmental Industrial Hygienists (ACGIH). The indices were both based on quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) estimation of transdermal fluxes. One index compared the cumulative dose received through skin given specific exposure surface and duration to that received through lungs following inhalation 8 h at the MAC or TLV. The other index estimated the blood level increase caused by adding skin exposure to the inhalation route at kinetic steady state. Dermal-to-other route ratios of LD(50) were calculated as secondary indices of dermal penetrability. RESULTS: The working data set included 364 substances. Depending on the subdataset, agreement between the Swiss and ACGIH skin notations varied between 82 and 87%. Chemicals with a skin notation were more likely to have higher dermal risk indices and lower dermal LD(50) than chemicals without a notation (probabilities between 60 and 70%). The risk indices, based on cumulative dose and kinetic steady state, respectively, appeared proportional up to a constant independent of chemical-specific properties. They agreed well with dermal LD(50)s (Spearman correlation coefficients -0.42 to -0.43). Dermal-to-other routes LD(50) ratios were moderately associated with QSAR-based transdermal fluxes (Spearman correlation coefficients -0.2 to -0.3). CONCLUSIONS: The plausible but variable relationship between current skin notations and the different approaches tested confirm the need to improve current skin notations. QSAR-based risk indices and dermal toxicity data might be successfully integrated in a systematic alternative to current skin notations for detecting chemicals associated with potential dermal risk in the workplace. [Authors]

Assessing the Relationship between the Baseline Value of a Continuous Variable and Subsequent Change over Time

Analyzing the relationship between the baseline value and subsequent change of a continuous variable is a frequent matter of inquiry in cohort studies. These analyses are surprisingly complex, particularly if only two waves of data are available. It is unclear for non-biostatisticians where the complexity of this analysis lies and which statistical method is adequate.With the help of simulated longitudinal data of body mass index in children,we review statistical methods for the analysis of the association between the baseline value and subsequent change, assuming linear growth with time. Key issues in such analyses are mathematical coupling, measurement error, variability of change between individuals, and regression to the mean. Ideally, it is better to rely on multiple repeated measurements at different times and a linear random effects model is a standard approach if more than two waves of data are available. If only two waves of data are available, our simulations show that Blomqvist's method - which consists in adjusting for measurement error variance the estimated regression coefficient of observed change on baseline value - provides accurate estimates. The adequacy of the methods to assess the relationship between the baseline value and subsequent change depends on the number of data waves, the availability of information on measurement error, and the variability of change between individuals.

Arrested kinetic Li isotope fractionation at the margin of the llimaussaq complex, South Greenland: Evidence for open-system processes during final cooling of peralkaline igneous rocks

Li contents [Li] and isotopic composition (delta Li-7) of mafic minerals (mainly amphibole and clinopyroxene) from the alkaline to peralkaline Ilimaussaq plutonic complex, South Greenland, track the behavior of Li and its isotopes during magmatic differentiation and final cooling of an alkaline igneous system. [Li] in amphibole increase from < 10 ppm in Caamphiboles of the least differentiated unit to >3000 ppm in Na-amphiboles of the highly evolved units. In contrast, [Li] in clinopyroxene are comparatively low (<85 ppm) and do not vary systematically with differentiation. The distribution of Li between amphibole and pyroxene is controlled by the major element composition of the minerals (Ca-rich and Na-rich, respectively) and changes in oxygen fugacity (due to Li incorporation via coupled substitution with ferric iron) during magmatic differentiation. delta(7) Li values of all minerals span a wide range from + 17 to - 8 parts per thousand, with the different intrusive units of the complex having distinct Li isotopic systematics. Amphiboles, which dominate the Li budget of whole-rocks from the inner part of the complex, have constant delta Li-7 of + 1.8 +/- 2.2 parts per thousand (2 sigma, n = 15). This value reflects a homogeneous melt reservoir and is consistent with their mantle derivation, in agreement with published O and Nd isotopic data. Clinopyroxenes of these samples are consistently lighter, with Delta Li-7(amph-cpx). as large as 8 parts per thousand and are thus not in Li isotope equilibrium. These low values probably reflect late-stage diffusion of Li into clinopyroxene during final cooling of the rocks, thus enriching the clinopyroxene in 6 Li. At the margin of the complex delta(7) Li in the syenites increases systematically, from +2 to high values of + 14 parts per thousand. This, coupled with the observed Li isotope systematics of the granitic country rocks, reflects post-magmatic open-system processes occurring during final cooling of the intrusion. Although the shape and magnitude of the Li isotope and elemental profiles through syenite and country rock are suggestive of diffusion-driven isotope fractionation, they cannot be modeled by one-dimensional diffusive transport and point to circulation of a fluid having a high 67 Li value (possibly seawater) along the chilled contact. In all, this study demonstrates that Li isotopes can be used to identify complex fluid- and diffusion-governed processes taking place during the final cooling of such rocks. (c) 2007 Elsevier B.V All rights reserved.

Implication of DNA methylation and PAX5 factor in the transcriptional regulation of hTERT, the human telomerase reverse transcriptase gene

RESUME La télomérase est une enzyme dite "d'immortalité" qui permet aux cellules de maintenir la longueur de leurs télomères, ce qui confère une capacité de réplication illimitée aux cellules reproductrices et cancéreuses. A l'inverse, les cellules somatiques normales, qui n'expriment pas la télomérase, ont une capacité de réplication limitée. La sous-unité catalytique de la télomérase, hTERT, est définie comme le facteur limitant l'activité télomérasique. Entre activateurs et répresseurs, le rôle de la méthylation de l'ADN et de l'acétylation des histones, de nombreux modèles ont été suggérés. La découverte de l'implication de CTCF dans la régulation transcriptionnelle de hTERT explique en partie le mécanisme de répression de la télomérase dans la plupart des cellules somatiques et sa réactivation dans les cellules tumorales. Dans les cellules télomérase-positives, l'activité inhibitrice de CTCF est bloquée par un mécanisme dépendent ou non de la méthylation. Dans la plupart des carcinomes, une hyperméthylation de la région 5' de hTERT bloque l'effet inhibiteur de CTCF, alors qu'une petite région hypométhylée permet un faible niveau de transcription du gène. Nous avons démontré que la protéine MBD2 se lie spécifiquement sur la région 5' méthylée de hTERT dans différentes lignées cellulaires et qu'elle est impliquée dans la répression partielle de la transcription de hTERT dans les cellules tumorales méthylées. Par contre, nous avons montré que dans les lymphocytes B normaux et néoplasiques, la régulation de hTERT est indépendante de la méthylation. Dans ces cellules, le facteur PAX5 se lie sur la région 5' de hTERT en aval du site d'initiation de la traduction (ATG). L'expression exogène de PAX5 dans les cellules télomérase-négatives active la transcription de hTERT, alors que la répression de PAX5 dans les cellules lymphomateuses inhibe la transcription du gène. PAX5 est donc directement impliqué dans l'activation de l'expression de hTERT dans les lymphocytes B exprimant la télomérase. Ces résultats révèlent des différences entre les niveaux de méthylation de hTERT dans les cellules de carcinomes et les lymphocytes B exprimant la télomérase. La méthylation de hTERT en tant que biomarqueur de cancer a été évaluée, puis appliquée à la détection de métastases. Nous avons ainsi montré que la méthylation de hTERT est positivement corrélée au diagnostic cytologique dans les liquides céphalorachidiens. Nos résultats conduisent à un modèle de régulation de hTERT, qui aide à comprendre comment la transcription de ce gène est régulée par CTCF, avec un mécanisme lié ou non à la méthylation du gène hTERT. La méthylation de hTERT s'est aussi révélée être un nouveau et prometteur biomarqueur de cancer. SUMMARY Human telomerase is an "immortalizing" enzyme that enables cells to maintain telomere length, allowing unlimited replicative capacity to reproductive and cancer cells. Conversely, normal somatic cells that do not express telomerase have a finite replicative capacity. The catalytic subunit of telomerase, hTERT, is defined as the limiting factor for telomerase activity. Between activators and repressors, and the role of DNA methylation and histone acetylation, an abundance of hTERT regulatory models have been suggested. The discovery of the implication of CTCF in the transcriptional regulation of hTERT in part explained the mechanism of silencing of telomerase in most somatic cells and its reactivation in neoplastic cells. In telomerase-positive cells, the inhibitory activity of CTCF is blocked by methylation-dependent and -independent mechanisms. In most carcinoma cells, hypermethylation of the hTERT 5' region has been shown to block the inhibitory effect of CTCF, while a short hypomethylated region allows a low transcription level of the gene. We have demonstrated that MBD2 protein specifically binds the methylated 5' region of hTERT in different cell lines and is therefore involved in the partial repression of hTERT transcription in methylated tumor cells. In contrast, we have shown that in normal and neoplastic B cells, hTERT regulation is methylation-independent. The PAX5 factor has been shown to bind to the hTERT 5'region downstream of the ATG translational start site. Ectopic expression of PAX5 in telomerase-negative cells or repression of PAX5 expression in B lymphoma cells respectively activated and repressed hTERT transcription. Thus, PAX5 is strongly implicated in hTERT expression activation in telomerase-positive B cells. These results reveal differences between the hTERT methylation patterns in telomerase-positive carcinoma cells and telomerase-positive normal B cells. The potential of hTERT methylation as a cancer biomarker was evaluated and applied to the detection of metastasis. We have shown that hTERT methylation correlates with the cytological diagnosis in cerebrospinal fluids. Our results suggest a model of hTERT gene regulation, which helps us to better understand how hTERT transcription is regulated by CTCF in methylation-dependant and independent mechanisms. Our data also indicate that hTERT methylation is a promising new cancer biomarker.

Will climate change drive alien invasive plants into areas of high protection value? An improved model-based regional assessment to prioritise the management of invasions.

Species distribution models (SDMs) studies suggest that, without control measures, the distribution of many alien invasive plant species (AIS) will increase under climate and land-use changes. Due to limited resources and large areas colonised by invaders, management and monitoring resources must be prioritised. Choices depend on the conservation value of the invaded areas and can be guided by SDM predictions. Here, we use a hierarchical SDM framework, complemented by connectivity analysis of AIS distributions, to evaluate current and future conflicts between AIS and high conservation value areas. We illustrate the framework with three Australian wattle (Acacia) species and patterns of conservation value in Northern Portugal. Results show that protected areas will likely suffer higher pressure from all three Acacia species under future climatic conditions. Due to this higher predicted conflict in protected areas, management might be prioritised for Acacia dealbata and Acacia melanoxylon. Connectivity of AIS suitable areas inside protected areas is currently lower than across the full study area, but this would change under future environmental conditions. Coupled SDM and connectivity analysis can support resource prioritisation for anticipation and monitoring of AIS impacts. However, further tests of this framework over a wide range of regions and organisms are still required before wide application.

Extent of hypoattenuation on CT angiography source images in basilar artery occlusion: prognostic value in the Basilar Artery International Cooperation Study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The posterior circulation Acute Stroke Prognosis Early CT Score (pc-ASPECTS) quantifies the extent of early ischemic changes in the posterior circulation with a 10-point grading system. We hypothesized that pc-ASPECTS applied to CT angiography source images predicts functional outcome of patients in the Basilar Artery International Cooperation Study (BASICS). METHODS: BASICS was a prospective, observational registry of consecutive patients with acute symptomatic basilar artery occlusion. Functional outcome was assessed at 1 month. We applied pc-ASPECTS to CT angiography source images of patients with CT angiography for confirmation of basilar artery occlusion. We calculated unadjusted and adjusted risk ratios (RRs) of pc-ASPECTS dichotomized at ≥8 versus <8. Primary outcome measure was favorable outcome (modified Rankin Scale scores 0-3). Secondary outcome measures were mortality and functional independence (modified Rankin Scale scores 0-2). RESULTS: Of 158 patients included, 78 patients had a CT angiography source images pc-ASPECTS≥8. Patients with a pc-ASPECTS≥8 more often had a favorable outcome than patients with a pc-ASPECTS<8 (crude RR, 1.7; 95% CI, 0.98-3.0). After adjustment for age, baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, and thrombolysis, pc-ASPECTS≥8 was not related to favorable outcome (RR, 1.3; 95% CI, 0.8-2.2), but it was related to reduced mortality (RR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.5-0.98) and functional independence (RR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.1-3.8). In post hoc analysis, pc-ASPECTS dichotomized at ≥6 versus <6 predicted a favorable outcome (adjusted RR, 3.1; 95% CI, 1.2-7.5). CONCLUSIONS: pc-ASPECTS on CT angiography source images independently predicted death and functional independence at 1 month in the CT angiography subgroup of patients in the BASICS registry.

U-Pb ages of magmatic rocks of the western Austroalpine Dent-Blanche-Sesia unit

Conventional U-Pb ages on zircon and monazite demonstrate that granites and gabbros intruded during a short time span of 5 Ma between 293 and 288 Ma in several polycyclic basement units of the Western Austroalpine domain. This bimodal activity reflects increasing underplating of an upwelling mantle at the base of a thinning post-Variscan continental crust.

Fracture vertébrate évaluée par ostéodensitométrie. Un nouveau facteur de risque pour la fracture [Vertebral fracture assessed by DXA: a new risk factor for fracture]

At the age of 50, a woman has a lifetime risk of more than 40% to present a vertebral fracture. More than 60% of vertebral fractures remain undiagnosed. As a consequence it is of major importance to develop screening strategies to detect these fractures. Vertebral fracture assessment (VFA) by DXA allows one to detect vertebral fracture from T4 to L4 using DXA devices, while performing also during the same visit the bone mineral density measurement. Such an approach should improve the evaluation of fracture risk and therapeutic indication. Compared to the standard X-ray assessment, VFA highly enables to detect moderate or severe vertebral fractures below T6.

Valeur ajoutée de la supervision du médecin-assistant par un médecin de famille dans une permanence [Added value of family practitioners' supervision of junior doctors in a walk-in clinic].

The pending workforce crisis in family medicine has triggered various initiatives. This article describes the PMU-FLON walk-in clinic, a project of the Institute of General Medicine University of Lausanne. The working conditions in this clinic are close to that of a family practice. Doctors in training are supervised by family doctors who work part-time in the clinic. The objective is to improve training in the various fields of family medicine, from technical skills (improving optimal use of diagnostic tools), to integrating patients' requests in a more global patient-centered approach. This new educational model allows doctors in training to benefit from the specific approaches of different trainers. It will contribute to promoting quality family medicine in the future.

Tumor localization in patients by radiolabeled monoclonal antibodies against colon carcinoma.

A radiolabeled monoclonal antibody (MAb) that has been shown to react specifically in vitro and ex vivo to human colorectal carcinoma and to inhibit growth of human carcinomas grafted in nude mice was administered to 52 colorectal carcinoma patients and 15 patients with other types of cancer. Of 63 colorectal carcinoma tumor sites studied, 34 showed significant accumulation of antibody by external photoscanning and tomoscintigraphy, whereas none of the 20 sites of other cancer types gave positive results. One-third of the patients received F(ab')2 fragments of the MAb, which gave a slightly higher percentage (61%) of positive results than did intact MAbs (51%). A few patients scheduled for tumor resection were given injections simultaneously of 131I-labeled MAb and 125I-labeled normal immunoglobulin G. Antibody concentration in resected tumors was 3.6 to 6.3 times higher than the average antibody concentration in adjacent normal tissues (1.5, 3.4, and 9.4 as compared with normal mucosa, serosa, and fat, respectively), and the specificity indices, calculated by differential radioactivity analysis, ranged from 2.1 to 5.1. The results show the potential value and limitations of this particular MAb for tumor detection by immunoscintigraphy.