370 resultados para multivariate analysis


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BACKGROUND: In animal farming, respiratory disease has been associated with indoor air contaminants and an excess in FEV1 decline. Our aim was to determine the characteristics and risk factors for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in never-smoking European farmers working inside animal confinement buildings. METHODS: A sample of participants in the European Farmers' Study was selected for a cross-sectional study assessing lung function and air contaminants. Dose-response relationships were assessed using logistic regression models. RESULTS: COPD was found in 18 of 105 farmers (45.1 SD 11.7 years) (17.1%); 8 cases (7.6%) with moderate and 3 cases (2.9%) with severe disease. Dust and endotoxin showed a dose-response relationship with COPD, with the highest prevalence of COPD in subjects with high dust (low=7.9%/high=31.6%) and endotoxin exposure (low=10.5%/high=20.0%). This association was statistically significant for dust in the multivariate analysis (OR 6.60, 95% CI 1.10-39.54). CONCLUSION: COPD in never-smoking animal farmers working inside confinement buildings is related to indoor dust exposure and may become severe. [Authors]

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OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between socio-demographic factors and the quality of preventive care and chronic care of cardiovascular (CV) risk factors in a country with universal health care coverage. METHODS: Our retrospective cohort assessed a random sample of 966 patients aged 50-80years followed over 2years (2005-2006) in 4 Swiss university primary care settings (Basel/Geneva/Lausanne/Zürich). We used RAND's Quality Assessment Tools indicators and examined recommended preventive care among different socio-demographic subgroups. RESULTS: Overall patients received 69.6% of recommended preventive care. Preventive care indicators were more likely to be met among men (72.8% vs. 65.4%; p<0.001), younger patients (from 71.0% at 50-59years to 66.7% at 70-80years, p for trend=0.03) and Swiss patients (71.1% vs. 62.7% in forced migrants; p=0.001). This latter difference remained in multivariate analysis adjusted for gender, age, civil status and occupation (OR 0.68; 95% CI 0.54-0.86). Forced migrants had lower scores for physical examination and breast and colon cancer screening (all p≤0.02). No major differences were seen for chronic care of CV risk factors. CONCLUSION: Despite universal healthcare coverage, forced migrants receive less preventive care than Swiss patients in university primary care settings. Greater attention should be paid to forced migrants for preventive care.

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Long-term outcome of idiopathic steroid-resistant nephrotic syndrome was retrospectively studied in 78 children in eight centers for the past 20 years. Median age at onset was 4.4 years (1.1-15.0 years) and the gender ratio was 1.4. Median follow-up period was 7.7 years (1.0-19.7 years). The disease in 45 patients (58%) was initially not steroid-responsive and in 33 (42%) it was later non-responsive. The main therapeutic strategies included administration of ciclosporine (CsA) alone (n = 29; 37%) and CsA + mycophenolate mofetil (n = 18; 23%). Actuarial patient survival rate after 15 years was 97%. Renal survival rate after 5 years, 10 years and 15 years was 75%, 58% and 53%, respectively. An age at onset of nephrotic syndrome (NS) > 10 years was the only independent predictor of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in a multivariate analysis using a Cox regression model (P < 0.001). Twenty patients (26%) received transplants; ten showed recurrence of the NS: seven within 2 days, one within 2 weeks, and two within 3-5 months. Seven patients lost their grafts, four from recurrence. Owing to better management, kidney survival in idiopathic steroid-resistant nephrotic syndrome (SRNS) has improved during the past 20 years. Further prospective controlled trials will delineate the potential benefit of new immunosuppressive treatment.

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PURPOSE: Acute pyelonephritis is a common condition in children, and can lead to renal scarring. The aim of this study was to analyze the progression of renal scarring with time and its impact on renal growth. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 50 children who had renal scarring on dimercapto-succinic acid scan 6 months after acute pyelonephritis underwent a repeat scan 3 years later. Lesion changes were evaluated by 3 blinded observers, and were classified as no change, partial resolution or complete disappearance. Renal size at time of acute pyelonephritis and after 3 years was obtained by ultrasound, and renal growth was assessed comparing z-score for age between the 2 measures. Robust linear regression was used to identify determinants of renal growth. RESULTS: At 6 months after acute pyelonephritis 88 scars were observed in 100 renal units. No change was observed in 27%, partial resolution in 63% and complete disappearance in 9% of lesions. Overall, 72% of lesions improved. Increased number of scars was associated with high grade vesicoureteral reflux (p = 0.02). Multivariate analysis showed that the number of scars was the most important parameter leading to decreased renal growth (CI -1.05 to -0.35, p <0.001), and with 3 or more scars this finding was highly significant on univariate analysis (-1.59, CI -2.10 to -1.09, p <0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Even 6 months after acute pyelonephritis 72% of dimercapto-succinic acid defects improved, demonstrating that some of the lesions may be not definitive. The number of scars was significantly associated with loss of renal growth at 3 years.

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BACKGROUND: Therapy of chronic hepatitis C (CHC) with pegIFNα/ribavirin achieves a sustained virologic response (SVR) in ∼55%. Pre-activation of the endogenous interferon system in the liver is associated with non-response (NR). Recently, genome-wide association studies described associations of allelic variants near the IL28B (IFNλ3) gene with treatment response and with spontaneous clearance of the virus. We investigated if the IL28B genotype determines the constitutive expression of IFN stimulated genes (ISGs) in the liver of patients with CHC. METHODS: We genotyped 93 patients with CHC for 3 IL28B single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs, rs12979860, rs8099917, rs12980275), extracted RNA from their liver biopsies and quantified the expression of IL28B and of 8 previously identified classifier genes which discriminate between SVR and NR (IFI44L, RSAD2, ISG15, IFI22, LAMP3, OAS3, LGALS3BP and HTATIP2). Decision tree ensembles in the form of a random forest classifier were used to calculate the relative predictive power of these different variables in a multivariate analysis. RESULTS: The minor IL28B allele (bad risk for treatment response) was significantly associated with increased expression of ISGs, and, unexpectedly, with decreased expression of IL28B. Stratification of the patients into SVR and NR revealed that ISG expression was conditionally independent from the IL28B genotype, i.e. there was an increased expression of ISGs in NR compared to SVR irrespective of the IL28B genotype. The random forest feature score (RFFS) identified IFI27 (RFFS = 2.93), RSAD2 (1.88) and HTATIP2 (1.50) expression and the HCV genotype (1.62) as the strongest predictors of treatment response. ROC curves of the IL28B SNPs showed an AUC of 0.66 with an error rate (ERR) of 0.38. A classifier with the 3 best classifying genes showed an excellent test performance with an AUC of 0.94 and ERR of 0.15. The addition of IL28B genotype information did not improve the predictive power of the 3-gene classifier. CONCLUSIONS: IL28B genotype and hepatic ISG expression are conditionally independent predictors of treatment response in CHC. There is no direct link between altered IFNλ3 expression and pre-activation of the endogenous system in the liver. Hepatic ISG expression is by far the better predictor for treatment response than IL28B genotype.

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BACKGROUND: At least 2 apparently independent mechanisms, microsatellite instability (MSI) and chromosomal instability, are implicated in colorectal tumorigenesis. Their respective roles in predicting clinical outcomes of patients with T3N0 colorectal cancer remain unknown. METHODS: Eighty-eight patients with a sporadic T3N0 colon or rectal adenocarcinoma were followed up for a median of 67 months. For chromosomal instability analysis, Ki-ras mutations were determined by single-strand polymerase chain reaction, and p53 protein staining was studied by immunohistochemistry. For MSI analysis, DNA was amplified by polymerase chain reaction at 7 microsatellite targets (BAT25, BAT26, D17S250, D2S123, D5S346, transforming growth factor receptor II, and BAX). RESULTS: Overall 5-year survival rate was 72%. p53 protein nuclear staining was detected in 39 patients (44%), and MSI was detected in 21 patients (24%). MSI correlated with proximal location (P <.001) and mucinous content (P <.001). In a multivariate analysis, p53 protein expression carried a significant risk of death (relative risk = 4.0, 95% CI = 1.6 to 10.1, P =.004). By comparison, MSI was not a statistically significant prognostic factor for survival in this group (relative risk = 2.2, 95% CI = 0.6 to 7.3, P =.21). CONCLUSIONS: p53 protein overexpression provides better prognostic discrimination than MSI in predicting survival of patients with T3N0 colorectal cancer. Although MSI is associated with specific clinicopathologic parameters, it did not predict overall survival in this group. Assessment of p53 protein expression by immunocytochemistry provides a simple means to identify a subset of T3N0 patients with a 4-times increased risk for death.

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BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Hyperglycemia after stroke is associated with larger infarct volume and poorer functional outcome. In an animal stroke model, the association between serum glucose and infarct volume is described by a U-shaped curve with a nadir ≈7 mmol/L. However, a similar curve in human studies was never reported. The objective of the present study is to investigate the association between serum glucose levels and functional outcome in patients with acute ischemic stroke. METHODS: We analyzed 1446 consecutive patients with acute ischemic stroke. Serum glucose was measured on admission at the emergency department together with multiple other metabolic, clinical, and radiological parameters. National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score was recorded at 24 hours, and Rankin score was recorded at 3 and 12 months. The association between serum glucose and favorable outcome (Rankin score ≤2) was explored in univariate and multivariate analysis. The model was further analyzed in a robust regression model based on fractional polynomial (-2-2) functions. RESULTS: Serum glucose is independently correlated with functional outcome at 12 months (OR, 1.15; P=0.01). Other predictors of outcome include admission NIHSS score (OR, 1.18; P<0001), age (OR, 1.06; P<0.001), prestroke Rankin score (OR, 20.8; P=0.004), and leukoaraiosis (OR, 2.21; P=0.016). Using these factors in multiple logistic regression analysis, the area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve is 0.869. The association between serum glucose and Rankin score at 12 months is described by a J-shaped curve with a nadir of 5 mmol/L. Glucose values between 3.7 and 7.3 mmol/L are associated with favorable outcome. A similar curve was generated for the association of glucose and 24-hour NIHSS score, for which glucose values between 4.0 and 7.2 mmol/L are associated with a NIHSS score <7. Discussion-Both hypoglycemia and hyperglycemia are dangerous in acute ischemic stroke as shown by a J-shaped association between serum glucose and 24-hour and 12-month outcome. Initial serum glucose values between 3.7 and 7.3 mmol/L are associated with favorable outcome.

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Background:Transplant glomerulopathy (TG) has received much attention in recent years as a manifestation of chronic humoral rejection (CHR). However, many cases lack C4d deposition and/or circulating donor-specifi c antibodies, and the contribution of other potential causes has not been fully addressed.Methods: Of 209 consecutive renal allograft indication biopsies performed for chronic allograft dysfunction, 25 that met pathologic criteria of TG (>10% duplication of the GBM without immune complex deposition) were examined for various etiologies, including hepatitis C infection (HCV), thrombotic microangiopathy (TMA), and CHR. 29 cases of biopsy-proven isolated chronic calcineurin inhibitor toxicity from the same time period were used as controls for comparing the prevalence of HCV.Results: Three partially overlapping categories accounted for 84% of the cases: C4d+TG (48%), HCV+TG (36%) and TMA+TG (32%). The majority of TMA+ cases were HCV+ (63%) and the majority of HCV+ cases had TMA (56%). Donor specifi c antibodies were associated with C4d+TG (7/8 vs. 1/4 C4d-TG; P<0.02), but not with HCV+TG. The prevalence of HCV was higher in the TG group than in 29 control patients without TG (36% vs. 7%, P<0.01). HCV+TG patients developed allograft failure earlier than HCV-TG patients (67.2 ± 60.2 mo versus 153.4 ± 126.2 mo, P=0.02). On a multivariate analysis, out of HCV, TG and C4d, only HCV was found to be a signifi cant risk factor for a more rapid allograft loss.Conclusion: We conclude that TG is not a specifi c diagnosis, but a pattern of pathologic injury with 3 major overlapping pathways involving CHR, HCV infection and TMA. It is important to distinguish these mechanisms, as they may have differentprognostic and therapeutic implications.

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BACKGROUND: To asses the clinical profile, treatment outcome and prognostic factors in primary breast lymphoma (PBL). METHODS: Between 1970 and 2000, 84 consecutive patients with PBL were treated in 20 institutions of the Rare Cancer Network. Forty-six patients had Ann Arbor stage IE, 33 stage IIE, 1 stage IIIE, 2 stage IVE and 2 an unknown stage. Twenty-one underwent a mastectomy, 39 conservative surgery and 23 biopsy; 51 received radiotherapy (RT) with (n = 37) or without (n = 14) chemotherapy. Median RT dose was 40 Gy (range 12-55 Gy). RESULTS: Ten (12%) patients progressed locally and 43 (55%) had a systemic relapse. Central nervous system (CNS) was the site of relapse in 12 (14%) cases. The 5-yr overall survival, lymphoma-specific survival, disease-free survival and local control rates were 53%, 59%, 41% and 87% respectively. In the univariate analyses, favorable prognostic factors were early stage, conservative surgery, RT administration and combined modality treatment. Multivariate analysis showed that early stage and the use of RT were favorable prognostic factors. CONCLUSION: The outcome of PBL is fair. Local control is excellent with RT or combined modality treatment but systemic relapses, including that in the CNS, occurs frequently.

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OBJECTIVES: Leptin may be involved in the regulation of body weight, food intake, and energy expenditure. In view of a possible link between leptin concentrations and diabetes that has been suggested in obese rodents, we investigated the potential relationship between serum leptin concentrations and hyperglycaemia in French patients with morbid obesity. SUBJECTS: Fasting leptin concentrations were measured in 241 morbidly obese patients with various degrees of glucose tolerance in a cross-sectional study. RESULTS: Fasting serum leptin concentrations did not differ between normoglycaemia (NG, 61.5 +/- 24.0 ng/ml) and glucose intolerant morbidly obese subjects (IGT, 56.5 +/- 18.5 ng/ml) and were slightly lower in those with controlled diabetes (55.1 +/- 30.3 ng/ml, P = 0.06 when compared to NG subjects). In contrast, leptin concentrations were 30% lower in patients with poorly controlled diabetes (43.0 +/- 22.2 ng/ml, P = 0.001 vs NG subjects). Leptin concentrations were negatively correlated with fasting glucose in all groups combined (p = -0.24, P = 0.0001) and particularly in NIDDM subjects (p = 0.31, P = 0.0054). Although leptin concentrations were higher in women than in men, similar significant correlation with fasting glucose was found when females were analyzed separately. A positive correlation was found with BMI (p = 0.25, P = 0.0001) in all groups. Multivariate analysis revealed that fasting glucose was independently associated with serum leptin concentrations (F = 12.5, P = 0.0005). Sex, age, BMI, waist/hip ratio, fasting glucose and insulin, total cholesterol and triglycerides, tested in the model, explained 42% of the leptin variability in this population. CONCLUSIONS: Poorly controlled diabetes was accompanied by a significant reduction of serum leptin concentrations in morbidly obese subjects. We suggest that a relative leptin deficiency (lower than expected for the BMI) associated with insulin deficiency in this population might contribute to a vicious cycle maintaining (or even worsening) obesity itself and/or its metabolic complications.

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Background: Alcohol use has beneficial as well as adverse consequences on health, but few studies examined its role in the development of age-related frailty. Objectives: To describe the cross-sectional and longitudinal association between alcohol intake and frailty in older persons. Design: The Lausanne cohort 65+ population-based study, launched in 2004. Setting: Community. Participants: One thousand five hundred sixty-four persons aged 65-70 years. Measurements: Annual data collection included demographics, health and functional status, extended by a physical examination every 3 years. Alcohol use (AUDIT-C), and Fried's frailty criteria were measured at baseline and 3-year follow-up. Participants were categorized into robust (0 frailty criterion) and vulnerable (1+ criteria). Results: Few participants (13.0%) reported no alcohol consumption over the past year, 57.8% were light-to-moderate drinkers, while 29.3% drank above recommended thresholds (18.7% "at risk" and 10.5% "heavy" drinkers). At baseline, vulnerability was most frequent in non-drinkers (43.0%), least frequent in light-to-moderate drinkers (26.2%), and amounted to 31.9% in "heavy" drinkers showing a reverse J-curve pattern. In multivariate analysis, compared to light-to-moderate drinkers, non-drinkers had twice higher odds of prevalent (adjOR: 2.24; 95%CI:1.39-3.59; p=.001), as well as 3-year incident vulnerability (adjOR: 2.00; 95%CI:1.02-3.91; p=.043). No significant association was observed among "at risk" and "heavy" drinkers. Conclusion: Non-drinkers had two-times higher odds of prevalent and 3-year incident vulnerability, even after adjusting for their baseline poorer health status. Although residual confounding is still possible, these results likely reflect a healthy survival effect among drinkers while those who experienced health- or alcohol-related problems stopped drinking earlier.

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The aim of this study is to evaluate the risk and the results of surgical treatment for perforated peptic ulcer (PPU), to compare them through time, and to determine the current optimal surgical treatment. In a retrospective study, the charts of all the patients admitted for PPU between January 1976 and October 1991 were reviewed. The features believed to be of importance in the outcome were assessed for statistical analysis. A comparison was made between three periods of the study (1976-1980, 1981-1985, 1986-1991). 247 patients were included. Mortality was 11.7% (29/247). Factors associated with an increased mortality were: shock on admission (p = 0.01), age (p < 0.001), severe associated medical illnesses (p < 0.001) and the form of treatment (p < 0.01). After multivariate analysis, only shock on admission and associated disease remained significant. Chronic peptic ulcer disease occurred in 76% of the patients. Comparing the periods showed that age, associated illnesses, percentage of acute or subacute ulcers, mortality, as well as the number of patients, are increasing. The main determinant of surgical treatment for PPU is the patient and his/her general state. Because of the high frequency of chronic peptic ulcer disease, we believe that the gold standard in the treatment for PPU remains definitive surgery. However, in the presence of more than one risk factor, suture and patch are probably safer.

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Introduction: The prevalence of multimorbidity (MM) in hospitalized patients is increasing and recognized as an important factor that may modify the strategies of treatment and increase the length of stay. Little is currently known about the prevalence of MM in the general population and if measured or self-reported diseases are different in the outpatient setting compared to hospitalized patients. The objective of the study was, therefore, to assess the prevalence of self-reported and measured MM in representative sample of the general population aged 35-75 years in Switzerland. Method: Data were obtained from the population based CoLaus Study: 3712 participants (1965 women, 50±9 years). MM was defined as presenting >=2 morbidities according to a list of 27 items (either measured or self-reported data, according to Barret et al.) or a Functional Comorbidity Index (FCI) (18 items, measured only). Results: The prevalence of MM according to these three definitions is summarized in the table 1. For all definitions prevalence of MM was higher in women, elderly participants, those with lower education levels, Swiss nationals, former smokers and obese participants. The prevalence of MM when measured data were used was significantly higher than according to self-reported (p<0.001). Multivariate analysis confirmed most of these associations, except that no difference was found for educational level and for overweight participants. Conclusion: The prevalence of MM is high in the general population, ranging from 13.8 and 50.3% even in the younger age group. The prevalence is higher in women, and increases with age and weight. The prevalence varies considerably according to the definition and is lower when using self-reported compared to measured data.

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AIM: To assess the predictors of a significant decrease or cessation of substance use (SU) in a treated epidemiological cohort of first-episode psychosis (FEP) patients. METHOD: Participants were FEP patients of the Early Psychosis Prevention and Intervention Centre in Australia. Patients' medical files were reviewed using a standardized file audit. Data on 432 patients with FEP and baseline co-morbid substance use disorder (SUD) were available for analysis. Predictors of reduction/cessation of SU at follow up were examined using logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: In univariate analyses, a reduction/cessation of SU was predicted by baseline measures reflecting higher education, employment, accommodation with others, cannabis use disorder (CUD) only (rather than poly-SUDs), better global functioning and better premorbid social and occupational functioning, later age at onset of psychosis, and a diagnosis of non-affective psychosis. In multivariate analysis, CUD alone and better premorbid social and occupational functioning remained significant predictors. CONCLUSIONS: Addressing SUDs and social and occupational goals in people with FEP may offer opportunities to prevent SUDs becoming more severe or entrenched. Further longitudinal research on recovery from SU and FEP is needed to disentangle directions of influence and identify key targets for intervention.