Voting after the bombing: Can terrorist attacks change the outcome of democratic elections?

Economists have recently turned their attention to the effects of terrorism. One much debated effect of terrorist attacks is its impact on the results of democratic elections. We use the electoral consequences of the terrorist attacks of the 11-M in Madrid to analyze this issue. We consider this particular experiment since the attack took place only three days before the 2004 Congressional Election, which allows the use of credible identification criteria. In particular, we use the advance voting by Spanish residents abroad, who cast their vote before the terrorist attack, to identify the effect of the bombing. We exploit this macabre natural experiment to run a difference-in-differences estimation using data on three consecutive Congressional elections. Our empirical results indicate that a terrorist attack can have a large impact on the outcome of democratic elections.

Protecting mobile agents from external replay attacks

Peer-reviewed

The 2004 election in Spain: terrorism, accountability, and voting

In this paper the electoral consequences of the Islamist terrorist attacks on March 11, 2004 are analysed. According to a quantitative analysis based on a post-electoral survey, we show the causal mechanisms that transform voters’ reactions to the bombings into a particular electoral behaviour and estimate their relevance in the electoral results on March 14, 2004

The EU as a security provider in its neighbourhood: the case of non-proliferation of WMD in the Mediterranean area

As a consequence of the terrorist attacks of 9/11 and the US-led war against Iraq, WMD and their proliferation have become a central element of the EU security agenda. In December 2003, the European Council adopted even a EU Strategy against Proliferation of WMD. The approach adopted in this Strategy can be largely described as a ‘cooperative security provider’ approach and is based on effective multilateralism, the promotion of a stable international and regional environment and the cooperation with key partners. The principal objective of this paper is to examine in how far the EU has actually implemented the ‘cooperative security provider’ approach in the area which the Non-proliferation Strategy identifies as one of its priorities – the Mediterranean. Focusing on the concept of security interdependence, the paper analyses first the various WMD dangers with which the EU is confronted in the Mediterranean area. Afterwards, it examines how the EU has responded to these hazards in the framework of the Barcelona process and, in particular, the new European Neighbourhood Policy. It is argued that despite its relatively powerful rhetoric, the EU has largely failed, for a wide range of reasons, to apply effectively its non-proliferation approach in the Mediterranean area and, thus, to become a successful security provider.

Influence of the in vivo deregulation of the expression of ntrk3 (trkc) on cortical development of a murine model of panic/anxiety disorder

Alteracions durant el desenvolupament cerebral produirien canvis en la connectivitat neuronal i la bioquímica cel•lular que podrien resultar en una disfunció cognitiva i/o emocional, desembocant a trastorns psiquiàtrics. Les neurotrofines intervenen en els processos del neurodesenvolupament i en la funcionalitat del cervell adult i, conseqüentment, serien bons candidats com a factors de predisposició en diverses malalties mentals. S’ha suggerit la implicació del receptor de la neurotrofina 3, TrkC, en el trastorn de pànic. Nosaltres proposem que la sobreexpressió del gen NTRK3 (TrkC) és un mediador comú dels desencadenants genètics i ambientals d’aquest trastorn. Concretament, la seva desregulació podria produir canvis estructurals i funcionals a l’escorça cerebral dels pacients pel seu paper durant l’establiment dels circuïts corticals i la neuroplasticitat a l’adult, probablement esdevenint elements de predisposició a patir atacs de pànic. Els objectius principals d’aquest treball han estat: 1/determinar la contribució específica del gen NTRK3 a les alteracions de l’escorça cerebral observades en pacients, utilitzant un model murí modificat genèticament (TgNTRK3), i 2/analitzar l’impacte específic de la sobreexpressió de NTRK3 sobre la corticogènesi durant estadis embrionaris o postnatals estudiant la neurogènesi i la neuritogènesi. Els resultats indiquen que la sobreexpressió de NTRK3 als ratolins produeix una reducció del gruix de l’escorça frontal, recapitulant la hipofrontalitat dels pacients, que comportaria una menor inhibició dels nuclis subcorticals del sistema límbic com l’amígdala, i alteracions citoarquitectòniques a l’escorça prefrontal medial que recolzen la hipòtesi del seu mal funcionament. Tanmateix, els ratolins TgNTRK3 presenten canvis estructurals a l’escorça somatosensorial, suggerint que el processament de la informació sensorial podria estar alterat, el que encara no s’ha explorat en pacients. La sobreexpressió de NTRK3 també afecta la neuritogènesi en cultius primaris corticals i modifica la resposta de les neurones a l’estimulació amb neurotrofines. Per tant, el fenotip cortical adult dels TgNTRK3 podria dependre d’alteracions durant la corticogènesi.

9/11/01 : Cinema i literatura després dels atemptats

Els atemptats de l'11 de setembre a Nova York i les seves conseqüències han donat les bases d'una sèrie de propostes artístiques que, en el camp literari i cinematogràfic, han estat del tot colpidores. L'anàlisi del trauma o la por juntament amb una nova reflexió sobre la violència són claus per entendre els nous camins per on transita l'imaginari col.lectiu.

Xifratge d'arxius

L'objectiu d'aquest projecte és dissenyar i implementar una utilitat que permeti xifrar (i posteriorment desxifrar) carpetes i fitxers fent servir claus basades en contrasenyes, la qual haurà de ser informada per l'usuari. Aquesta relació entre clau i contrasenya haurà de garantir que el sistema sigui prou segur davant d'atacs criptogràfics.

One kind of lawlessness: estimating the welfare cost of Somali piracy

This paper estimates the effect of piracy attacks on shipping costs using a unique data set on shipping contracts in the dry bulk market. We look at shipping routes whose shortest path exposes them to piracy attacks and find that the increase in attacks in 2008 lead to around a ten percent increase in shipping costs. We use this estimate to get a sense of the welfare loss imposed by piracy. Our intermediate estimate suggests that the creation of $120 million of revenue for pirates in the Somalia area led to a welfare loss of over $1.5 billion.

The Cooperation on Justice and Home Affairs and the Enlargement of the European Union

This working – paper will be focused on three key issues: • How will affect the enlargement to the Justice and Home Affairs Cooperation. Especially, the absortion of Schenguen Agreements and the overall JHA by the candidate countries. • The enlargement impact over the European Immigraton Policy and the specific policies carried out by the EU Member States. The main question is the free movement of persons safeguard, in order to protect external borders of European Union. • An analysis of September, 11 attacks against U.S.A might be necessary to understand the future changes on JHA policy.

Analysis and Design of a secure WLAN solution for Cobre Las Cruces

Cobre Las Cruces is a renowned copper mining company located in Sevilla, with unexpected problems in wireless communications that have a direct affectation in production. Therefore, the main goals are to improve the WiFi infrastructure, to secure it and to detect and prevent from attacks and from the installation of rogue (and non-authorized) APs. All of that integrated with the current ICT infrastructure.This project has been divided into four phases, although only two of them have been included into the TFC; they are the analysis of the current situation and the design of a WLAN solution.Once the analysis part was finished, some weaknesses were detected. Subjects such as lack of connectivity and control, ignorance about installed WiFi devices and their localization and state and, by and large, the use of weak security mechanisms were some of the problems found. Additionally, due to the fact that the working area became larger and new WiFi infrastructures were added, the first phase took more time than expected.As a result of the detailed analysis, some goals were defined to solve and it was designed a centralized approach able to cope with them. A solution based on 802.11i and 802.1x protocols, digital certificates, a probe system running as IDS/IPS and ligthweight APs in conjunction with a Wireless LAN Controller are the main features.

El Sistema educatiu als territoris autònoms palestins: estudi interpretatiu

El propòsit d'aquesta investigació és conèixer, descriure i interpretar el sistema educatiu palestí per saber si una situació de conflicte afecta -i en quina mesura- el funcionament, estructura, resultats i comprensió del concepte educatiu en una regió. Per assolir-ho, s'ha cercat informació bibliogràfica en diferents fonts, a més de la observació in situ de la realitat educativa palestina, fent entrevistes a diferents agents de la regió. Cal esmentar que el treball teòric és general però la descripció pràctica és contextualitzada a Nablus, una ciutat de Cisjordània. Els resultats obtinguts en aquesta investigació educativa de la branca de l'Educació Comparada han estat diversos, concretar-se en diferents conclusions: les conseqüències d'una guerra silenciosa que fa més de 60 anys que es perllonga en el temps implica dificultats econòmiques i administratives que afecten directament al sistema educatiu de la regió; objectius del govern palestí encarats a desenvolupar la població amb una aplicació pràctica real que els acompleix; importància de l'imaginari social de la nació per comprendre la importància del concepte d'Educació i les accions i atacs que rep aquest concepte per part de l'Estat d'Israel i on la comunitat internacional no es posiciona; la necessitat de crear un Estat Independent Palestí

A two-stage approach for tonic identification in indian art music

In this paper we propose a new approach for tonic identification in Indian art music and present a proposal for acomplete iterative system for the same. Our method splits the task of tonic pitch identification into two stages. In the first stage, which is applicable to both vocal and instrumental music, we perform a multi-pitch analysis of the audio signal to identify the tonic pitch-class. Multi-pitch analysisallows us to take advantage of the drone sound, which constantlyreinforces the tonic. In the second stage we estimate the octave in which the tonic of the singer lies and is thusneeded only for the vocal performances. We analyse the predominant melody sung by the lead performer in order to establish the tonic octave. Both stages are individually evaluated on a sizable music collection and are shown toobtain a good accuracy. We also discuss the types of errors made by the method.Further, we present a proposal for a system that aims to incrementally utilize all the available data, both audio and metadata in order to identify the tonic pitch. It produces a tonic estimate and a confidence value, and is iterative in nature. At each iteration, more data is fed into the systemuntil the confidence value for the identified tonic is above a defined threshold. Rather than obtain high overall accuracy for our complete database, ultimately our goal is to develop a system which obtains very high accuracy on a subset of the database with maximum confidence.