Prediction of Childhood Asthma Using Conditional Probability and Discrete Event Simulation

Abstract: Asthma prevalence in children and adolescents in Spain is 10-17%. It is the most common chronic illness during childhood. Prevalence has been increasing over the last 40 years and there is considerable evidence that, among other factors, continued exposure to cigarette smoke results in asthma in children. No statistical or simulation model exist to forecast the evolution of childhood asthma in Europe. Such a model needs to incorporate the main risk factors that can be managed by medical authorities, such as tobacco (OR = 1.44), to establish how they affect the present generation of children. A simulation model using conditional probability and discrete event simulation for childhood asthma was developed and validated by simulating realistic scenario. The parameters used for the model (input data) were those found in the bibliography, especially those related to the incidence of smoking in Spain. We also used data from a panel of experts from the Hospital del Mar (Barcelona) related to actual evolution and asthma phenotypes. The results obtained from the simulation established a threshold of a 15-20% smoking population for a reduction in the prevalence of asthma. This is still far from the current level in Spain, where 24% of people smoke. We conclude that more effort must be made to combat smoking and other childhood asthma risk factors, in order to significantly reduce the number of cases. Once completed, this simulation methodology can realistically be used to forecast the evolution of childhood asthma as a function of variation in different risk factors.

Learning to live together: an exploration and analysis of managing cultural diversity in ten early childhood development centres in South Africa

This study explores how South African Early Childhood Development (ECD) Practitioners and families meet the needs of the increasing number of children from diverse cultural backgrounds in their care. Research participants were identified through ten ECD centres located in two urban communities in the Eastern and Western Cape Provinces of South Africa. The values and attitudes held by Practitioners and families vis-à-vis cultural diversity was investigated, along with the knowledge and strategies they employ to manage cultural diversity in ECD programmes. The intercultural education model provides the necessary tools to address the challenges identified.

¿Qué Calidad de Vida tienen nuestros asmáticos? Aplicación de la Versión Española Reducida del “Asthma Quality of Life Questionnaire” (AQLQ) o mini-AQLQ.

Estudio descriptivo transversal llevado a cabo en un centro urbano de atención primaria, con una muestra de 250 asmáticos, de entre 536 registrados en el centro, que pretende estudiar su calidad de vida y su relación con diferentes variables (edad, sexo, tabaquismo, patologías crónicas más prevalentes, ansiedad y/o depresión, rinitis alérgica, tipo de asma y grado de control). Para ello se les aplicó el test Mini-AQLQ, que valora la calidad de vida en una escala del 1 al 7 (15 preguntas), donde 1 supone el mayor grado de discapacidad y 7 el mayor grado de autonomía.

Preserving memories on-line : the exhibition 'Memories of our childhood' and the Catalan Immigration History Museum

Gràcies a la introducció d'Internet, les institucions de la memòria poden anar ara un pas endavant i proporcionar narratives i documentació en línia. La present comunicació intenta descobrir com poden ser utilitzades les memòries en línia basant-se en dues experiències: una exposició de nens de la guerra i un portal d'immigració.

Intermediary and structural determinants of early childhood health in Colombia: exploring the role of communities

This study examines how structural determinants influence intermediary factors of child health inequities and how they operate through the communities where children live. In particular, we explore individual, family and community level characteristics associated with a composite indicator that quantitatively measures intermediary determinants of early childhood health in Colombia. We use data from the 2010 Colombian Demographic and Health Survey (DHS). Adopting the conceptual framework of the Commission on Social Determinants of Health (CSDH), three dimensions related to child health are represented in the index: behavioural factors, psychosocial factors and health system. In order to generate the weight of the variables and take into account the discrete nature of the data, principal component analysis (PCA) using polychoric correlations are employed in the index construction. Weighted multilevel models are used to examine community effects. The results show that the effect of household’s SES is attenuated when community characteristics are included, indicating the importance that the level of community development may have in mediating individual and family characteristics. The findings indicate that there is a significant variance in intermediary determinants of child health between-community, especially for those determinants linked to the health system, even after controlling for individual, family and community characteristics. These results likely reflect that whilst the community context can exert a greater influence on intermediary factors linked directly to health, in the case of psychosocial factors and the parent’s behaviours, the family context can be more important. This underlines the importance of distinguishing between community and family intervention programmes.

Efecte de la nutrició precoç en el desenvolupament de sibilàncies

Objectiu: provar que, enfront de l’aparició de sibilàncies, l’alletament matern es comporta com a un factor protector i l’alletament artificial com a un factor inductor. Material i mètodes: assaig clínic controlat, randomitzat, a doble cec amb grup control i seguiment de 8 anys, de la submostra espanyola, en el seu 5è any de seguiment, del treball multicèntric europeu EU CHILDHOOD OBESITY PROGRAMME (QLK1-2001-00389). La població es va dividir en 3 grups: nadons alimentats amb lactància artificial amb baix contingut proteic, nadons alimentats amb lactància artificial amb alt contingut proteic i un grup control de nadons alimentats amb llet materna. Per avaluar l’aparició de sibilàncies i la seva evolució en el temps es van realitzar entrevistes als pares a mesura que la població assolia els 6 anys de vida sobre qüestions referides als 3 i als 6 anys i s’havien de realitzar entrevistes als 8 anys de vida sobre qüestions referdies a aquesta mateixa edat. Per comprovar la repercussió en la funció pulmonar i valorar la base atòpica, es tenia previst realitzar, als 8 anys, espirometria, prik test amb aeroalergens, determinació de IgE sèrica total i quantificació dels eosinòfils en sang perifèrica. S’han valorat possibles factors de confusió com antecedents familiars de malalties de base al•lèrgica, nivell socioeconòmic familiar, factors, ambient epidemiològic i s’ha estudiat altra morbiditat associada com episodis de febre, vòmits, diarrea, dermatitis atòpica, refredat de vies respiratòries altes i prescripció mèdica d’antibiòtics. Resultats: només un 20’8% van rebre alletament matern. No s’han trobat diferències estadísticament significatives entre la història d’episodis de sibilàncies i el tipus d’alletament rebut. Tampoc s’han trobat diferències estadísticament significatives entre l’alimentació rebuda i la història de dermatitis atòpica. La llet artificial es va associar, amb significació estadística, a una major prescripció d’antibiòtics i una major incidència de patir diarrees i, sense significació estadística, es va associar a un augment del risc de patir RVA. La lactància materna es va associar amb significació estadística a una menor prescripció d’antibiòtics. La presència de germans grans i un baix nivell d’educació de la mare van contribuir a augmentar la morbiditat durant el primer any de vida. El consum d’alcohol durant l’embaràs es va associar a més episodis de vòmits i el consum de tabac a més episodis de diarrea. Conclusions: l’alletament artificial no predisposa a patir més episodis de sibilàncies ni de dermatitis atòpica. La lactància materna exclusiva durant almenys 3 mesos disminueix el risc de diarrees en els primers 6 mesos de vida i retarda l’aparició d’infeccions aparentment bacterianes que requereixen tractament antibiòtic. L’alletament matern exclusiu durant un mínim de tres mesos no comporta una substancial disminució de la morbiditat durant els primers 12 mesos de vida.

Induced sputum versus exhaled nitric oxide for the evaluation of airway inflammation in allergic paediatric asthma patients treated with omalizumab

Our purpose is to determine the inflammatory changes in the airways of allergic paediatric asthma patients treated with omalizumab, measured by the percentage of eosinophils in induced sputum and exhaled nitric oxide (FENO). We observed a progressive and statistically significant decrease of eosinophil count in the induced sputum meanwhile FENO, although very sensible, was a less reproducible and thus a less reliable method to evaluate chronic airway inflammation in this population. Induced sputum seems to be a better method to monitor chronic inflammation and thus the response to chronic omalizumab treatment while FENO measurement would be more useful to monitor acute events preceding exacerbations.

Childhood adversity and psychosis: examinig whether the association is due to genetic confounding using a monozygotic twin differences approach

Purpose: To test whether the association between childhood adversity and positive and negative psychotic experiences is due to genetic confounding. Method: Childhood adversity and psychotic experiences were assessed in a sample of 226 twins from the general population. A monozygotic (MZ) twin differences approach was used to assess possible genetic confounding. Results: In the whole sample, childhood adversity was significantly associated with positive (β =.45; SE=.16; p=.008) and negative psychotic experiences (β=.77; SE=.18; p<.01). Within-pair MZ twin differences in exposure to childhood adversity were significantly associated with differences in positive (β =.71; SE=.29; p=.016) and negative psychotic experiences (β =.98; SE=.38; p=.014) in a subsample of 86 MZ twin pairs. Conclusions: Individuals exposed to childhood adversity are more likely to report psychotic experiences. Furthermore, our findings indicate that unique environmental effects of childhood adversity contribute to the development of psychotic experiences.

Perceptions of diabetes obtained through drawing in childhood and adolescence

Objective: To examine whether drawing is useful in the detection of problems of psychosocial adaptation in children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes (T1D) and in improving communication with health professionals. Methods: We performed an exploratory descriptive study in 199 children and adolescents with T1D aged 413 years. The participants were asked to render a drawing on a suggested topic. The variables analyzed were related to the drawing and to clinical and sociodemographic data. Results: Most participants showed evidence of having a well-balanced personality, but there were also signs of affective or psychosocial difficulties. Conclusion: Drawing is a useful technique by which to identify children"s and adolescents" feelings and possible problems in adapting to T1D, as well as to gain information directly from the children themselves. Future studies should delimit the possibilities of this technique in clinical practice in greater detail.

Perceptions of diabetes obtained through drawing in childhood and adolescence

Objective: To examine whether drawing is useful in the detection of problems of psychosocial adaptation in children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes (T1D) and in improving communication with health professionals. Methods: We performed an exploratory descriptive study in 199 children and adolescents with T1D aged 413 years. The participants were asked to render a drawing on a suggested topic. The variables analyzed were related to the drawing and to clinical and sociodemographic data. Results: Most participants showed evidence of having a well-balanced personality, but there were also signs of affective or psychosocial difficulties. Conclusion: Drawing is a useful technique by which to identify children"s and adolescents" feelings and possible problems in adapting to T1D, as well as to gain information directly from the children themselves. Future studies should delimit the possibilities of this technique in clinical practice in greater detail.

Roumanian childhood and adolescence in transnational migrations

This book offers the reader the study and the conclusions obtained from theresearch made in Spain in the frame of the JUST/2009/FRAC/AG/0933 project,“Children’s rights in action. Improving children’s rights in migration acrossEurope. The Romanian case”. A project funded by the Department of FundamentalRights and Citizenship of the European Commission. This research wascarried out in Spain, Italy and Romania between October 2010 and June 2012,performing activities to spread the results obtained until March 2013.

Evaluación de la psicopatología del preescolar mediante el Early Childhood Inventory-4 (ECI-4): concordancia entre padres y maestros.= Assessment of psychopathology in preschool age children through the Early Childhood Inventory-4 (ECI-4): Agreement among parents and teachers

El objetivo principal de este estudio es conocer la concordancia entre informantes, padres y maestros,en cada una de las dimensiones o categorías diagnósticas del Early Childhood Inventory-4 (ECI-4).Además, se pretende analizar la influencia de la presencia de problemas de salud en los padres en ladescripción y valoración de la conducta de una muestra de 204 alumnos de preescolar (3 a 6 años) deperfiles socioeconómicos diferentes. Los resultados indican que los padres tienden a valorar con mayorseveridad los síntomas, observándose una mayor concordancia entre informantes en los relativos alos trastornos del desarrollo

Genetic origin of the relationship between parental negativity and behavior problems from early childhood to adolescence: A longitudinal genetically sensitive study.

Little is known about how genetic and environmental factors contribute to the association between parental negativity and behavior problems from early childhood to adolescence. The current study fitted a cross-lagged model in a sample consisting of 4,075 twin pairs to explore (a) the role of genetic and environmental factors in the relationship between parental negativity and behavior problems from age 4 to age 12, (b) whether parent-driven and child-driven processes independently explain the association, and (c) whether there are sex differences in this relationship. Both phenotypes showed substantial genetic influence at both ages. The concurrent overlap between them was mainly accounted for by genetic factors. Causal pathways representing stability of the phenotypes and parent-driven and child-driven effects significantly and independently account for the association. Significant but slight differences were found between males and females for parent-driven effects. These results were highly similar when general cognitive ability was added as a covariate. In summary, the longitudinal association between parental negativity and behavior problems seems to be bidirectional and mainly accounted for by genetic factors. Furthermore, child-driven effects were mainly genetically mediated, and parent-driven effects were a function of both genetic and shared-environmental factors.

Measuring Intermediary Determinants of Early Childhood Health: A Composite Index Comparing Colombian Departments

In recent years there has been growing interest in composite indicators as an efficient tool of analysis and a method of prioritizing policies. This paper presents a composite index of intermediary determinants of child health using a multivariate statistical approach. The index shows how specific determinants of child health vary across Colombian departments (administrative subdivisions). We used data collected from the 2010 Colombian Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) for 32 departments and the capital city, Bogotá. Adapting the conceptual framework of Commission on Social Determinants of Health (CSDH), five dimensions related to child health are represented in the index: material circumstances, behavioural factors, psychosocial factors, biological factors and the health system. In order to generate the weight of the variables, and taking into account the discrete nature of the data, principal component analysis (PCA) using polychoric correlations was employed in constructing the index. From this method five principal components were selected. The index was estimated using a weighted average of the retained components. A hierarchical cluster analysis was also carried out. The results show that the biggest differences in intermediary determinants of child health are associated with health care before and during delivery.