Pre-play communication and credibility: A test of Aumann's conjecture

The effectiveness of pre-play communication in achieving efficientoutcomes has long been a subject of controversy. In some environments,cheap talk may help to achieve coordination. However, Aumannconjectures that, in a variant of the Stag Hunt game, a signal forefficient play is not self-enforcing and concludes that an "agreementto play [the efficient outcome] conveys no information about what theplayers will do." Harsanyi and Selten (1988) cite this example as anillustration of risk-dominance vs. payoff-dominance. Farrell and Rabin(1996) agree with the logic, but suspect that cheap talk willnonetheless achieve efficiency. The conjecture is tested with one-waycommunication. When the sender first chooses a signal and then anaction, there is impressive coordination: a 94% probability for thepotentially efficient (but risky) play, given a signal for efficientplay. Without communication, efforts to achieve efficiency wereunsuccessful, as the proportion of B moves is only 35%. I also test ahypothesis that the order of the action and the signal affects theresults, finding that the decision order is indeed important. WhileAumann s conjecture is behaviorally disconfirmed when the signal isdetermined initially, the signal s credibility seems to be much moresuspect when the sender is known to have first chosen an action, andthe results are not statistically distinguishable from those whenthere is no signal. Some applications and issues in communication andcoordination are discussed.

Protectionist but globalised? Latin American custom duties and trade during the pre-1914 belle époque

While it is true that Latin American republics had no rival on maximising revenues from custom collection during the belle époque, this paper shows that Latin American countries were also generous importers, only behind the larger commercial countries of Western Europe in terms of imports per capita. Latin American citizens were much more linked to international trade than citizens of most regions of the world. Their relation to the world economy was tighter both via their imports and their exports relative to their population and income levels. This paper comes to show that there is no contradiction between the high custom collection by the Latin American republics and their high level of interaction with the global economy in the pre-1914 belle époque, although large country differences can be observed when descending from the regional to the national level.

Entrepreneurial structure of the mercantile company in pre-industrial Catalonia

The mercantile company was the basic form of enterprise in pre-industrial Catalonia. The aim of this paper is to study the formation and development of the mercantile companies in Barcelona whose end was the wholesale and retail sale of textiles in the botigues de teles (textile retail shops) throughout the eighteenth century. These firms were officially registered before a notary and their deeds reveal how these establishments were administered and managed.The study covers a sample of 121 mercantile companies, and the articles and documentation that were put into effect by 32 notaries who were active in Barcelona in the 18th century have been consulted in their entirety. From an initial selection of documentation, a total of 228 deeds registering companies have been found, 107 of which (47%) relate to the creation of companies whose various activities were centred in taverns, textile manufacturing, braiding.... While the 121 companies, which make up our sample and which account for 53% of the deeds registered with the notaries mentioned above, focused exclusively on the management of textile retail shops located in the commercial heart of the city. Thus one point of interest that the documentation reveals is that the majority of the mercantile companies registered by Barcelona notaries throughout the 18th century were establishments which traded in textiles. The first part of the article focuses on the structural characteristics of these enterprises, the number and socio-professional status of the partners and the extent of each partner s involvement in the administration and management. The second part of the article examines the capital investment made by each partner, their rights and obligations agreed on, the sharing out of profits and possible losses and the duration of the companies. The final aim of the paper is to highlight the evolution of these companies through one specific case.

A dynamic analysis of human welfare in a warming planet

Climate science indicates that climate stabilization requires low GHG emissions. Is thisconsistent with nondecreasing human welfare?Our welfare or utility index emphasizes education, knowledge, and the environment. Weconstruct and calibrate a multigenerational model with intertemporal links provided by education,physical capital, knowledge and the environment.We reject discounted utilitarianism and adopt, first, the Pure Sustainability Optimization (orIntergenerational Maximin) criterion, and, second, the Sustainable Growth Optimization criterion,that maximizes the utility of the first generation subject to a given future rate of growth. We applythese criteria to our calibrated model via a novel algorithm inspired by the turnpike property.The computed paths yield levels of utility higher than the level at reference year 2000 for allgenerations. They require the doubling of the fraction of labor resources devoted to the creation ofknowledge relative to the reference level, whereas the fractions of labor allocated to consumptionand leisure are similar to the reference ones. On the other hand, higher growth rates requiresubstantial increases in the fraction of labor devoted to education, together with moderate increasesin the fractions of labor devoted to knowledge and the investment in physical capital.

Lipid reserves of red mullet (Mullus barbatus) during pre-spawning in the northwestern Mediterranean

Lipid reserves are a particularly important attribute of fishes because they have a large influence on growth, reproduction and survival. This study analyses the lipid content of red mullet (Mullus barbatus) pre-spawners in three different areas of the northwestern Mediterranean in relation to trawling activities and river runoff. The muscle lipid was considered as an indicator of the somatic condition of individuals whilst the gonad lipid was used as a proxy of the energy invested in reproduction. The results show that fish with the highest muscle lipid levels inhabited the area where fishing impact was lowest. Since the abundance and biomass of polychaetes, which represent the main food source for red mullet, were found to be lower in trawled zones than in unfished ones, we suggest that differences in the muscle lipid levels between areas might be attributed to variation in prey abundance in relation to fishing impact. However, no impact of river runoff on lipid reserves of red mullet was observed. The results also show that muscle and gonad lipid reserves are not related to each other during pre-spawning

Características estratigráficas y sedimentológicas del 'Garumniense' en el sector de Ager (Pre-Pirineo, Lleida).

La sucesión estratigráfica de los depósitos continentales de la ' cuenca de Ager corresponde a sedimentos lacustres (Fm Massana), depósitos fluviales y de llanura de inundación (Fm. Figuerola), sedimentos lacustres (Fm. Milla) y una sucesión de materiales palustres, lacustres, fluviales, de lagunas evaponticas y aun mareales (Complejo de Perauba). Todos esos materiales fueron depositados en los diferentes medios sedimentarios citados que se desarrollaron en esa zona entre el Maastrichtiense y el Paleógeno inferior. En concreto, el tránsito entre el Cretácico y el Terciario (m)se produjo en uno de esos medios sedimentarios. Anteriormente se habia correlacionado ese límite con un nivel litoestratigráfico concreto (carbonatos de la Fm. Milla), pero actualmente se conoce que ese evento se produce en el tercio superior de la unidad tem'gena de la Fm. Figuerola. Los datos de paleomagnetismo sugieren que los dinosaunos y las carófitas cretácicas empezaron a desaparacer, en esta zona, unos dos millones de años antes que sucediera el evento asociado al límite K/T.

Changes in chromosomal polymorphism and global warming: The case of Drosophila subobscura from Apatin (Serbia)

Abstract In this study, chromosomal inversion polymorphism data for a natural population of Drosophila subobscura from a swampy region near the town of Apatin (Serbia) were compared with data for the same population collected approximately 15 years earlier. The pattern of chromosomal inversion polymorphism changed over time. There were significant increases in the frequency of characteristic southern latitude ("warm" adapted) chromosomal arrangements and significant decreases in the frequency of characteristic northern latitude ("cold" adapted) chromosomal arrangements in the O and U chromosomes. The chromosomal arrangements O3+4 and O3+4+22 (derived from the O3+4 arrangement)showed significant increases in 2008 and 2009 with regard to the 1994 sample. There was also a significant increase (~50%) in the U1+2 arrangement, while U1+8+2 (a typical southern arrangement) was detected for the first time. Since the Apatin swampy population ofD. subobscura has existed for a long time in a stable habitat with high humidity that has not been changed by man our results indicate that natural selection has produced chromosomal changes in response to the increase in temperature that has occurred in the Balkan Peninsula of central southeastern European. Key words: chromosomal inversions, Drosophila subobscura, global warming, karyotypes.

Las unidades litoestratigráficas del Eoceno pre-pirenaico del Ripollés oriental (prov. de Gerona y Barcelona)

En este trabajo se definen una serie de unidades litoestratigréficas para el Eoceno prepirenaico del Ripollés oriental (provincia de Gerona y Barcelona) y se da un corte general del mismo que pone de manifiesto los cambios de facies y las relaciones entre las distintas formaciones y miembros.

Réplica a las objeciones presentadas por el Sr. Juan Ullastre a la parte gráfica que ilustra un artículo de geofísica del Berguedá y Solsonés (Pre-Pirineo Catalán)

El comentario que con el título de 'Objeciones a la parte gráfica .que ilustra un artículo de geofísica del Berguedá y Solsonés' realiza J.Ullastre a nuestro artículo 'Aportaciones de la prospección geofísica al estudio del subsuelo del Berguedá y Solsonés' publicado en el volumen 27 de esta revista dedicado en homenaje al Dr Oriol Riba, presenta algunos aspectos formales y otros de fondo que merece la pena puntualizar.

Les matemàtiques a pre-escolar

Es el propósito del presente artículo estudiar la evolución de los conceptos básicos matemáticos en relación con la evolución madurativa del niño, con la finalidad de adecuar los contenidos matemáticos de la enseñanza para la etapa preescolar. Las matemáticas que se proponen no se definen ni como ¿tradicionales¿ ni como ¿modernas¿ La propuesta es, en cambio, de una didáctica que busca situaciones matemáticamente relacionables. El contenido hace referencia tanto a la formación del número natural (cardinal y ordinal) como a la formación de clases.

The Arts (Music, Arts&Crafts and Drama) as a procedure for learning pre-school content: Grupo Edebé Project

There is nothing as amazing and fascinating as children learning process. Between 0 and 6 years old, a child brain develops in a waythat will never be repeated. At this age, children are eager to discover and they have great potential of active and affective life.Because of this, their learning capacity in this period is incalculable. (Jordan-Decarbo y Nelson, 2002; Wild, 1999).Pre-school Education is a unique and special stage, with self identity, which aims are:attending children as a whole,motivate them to learn,give them an affective and stable environment in which they can grow up and get to be balanced and confident people and inwhich they can relate to others, learn, enjoy and be happy.Arts, Music, Visual Arts and Drama (Gardner, 1994) can provide a framework of special, even unique, personal expression.With the aim of introducing qualitative improvements in the education of children and to ensure their emotional wellbeing, and havingnoticed that teachers had important needs and concerns as regards to diversity in their student groups, we developed a programbased on the detection of needs and concerns explained by professionals in education.This program of Grupo edebé, object of our research, is a multicultural, interdisciplinary and globalizing project the aims of which are:developing children's talent and personality,keeping their imagination and creativity and using these as a learning resource,promoting reasoning, favouring expression and communication,providing children with the tools to manage their emotions,and especially, introducing Arts as a procedure to increase learning.We wanted to start the research by studying the impact (Brice, 2003) that this last point had on the learning of five-year-old childrenschooled in multicultural environments.Therefore, the main goal of the research was the assessment of the implementation of a child education programme attending todiversity in a population of five-year-old children, specifically in the practice of procedures based on the use of Arts (music, arts andcrafts and theatre) as a vehicle or procedure for learning contents in Pre-school stage.Because children emotional welfare was a subject of our concern, and bearing in mind that the affective aspects are of vitalimportance for learning and child development (Parke and Gauvain, 2009), Grupo Edebé has also evaluated the starting, evolving andfinal impact in five-year-old children given that they finish Pre-school education at that age.

El valor de la autonomía emocional en la pre-adolescencia

Está demostrado que los buenos hábitos aprendidos durante la infancia actúan como factores protectores en la edad adulta; es por ello que se plantea un programa de educación emocional para ciclo superior de primaria, porque es en esta etapa pre-adolescente (11-13a) cuando se construyen los cimientos para conseguir cuotas de autonomía personal. En este estudio ponemos el acento en la autonomía emocional porque entendemos que es una de las competencias personales más complejas para conseguir una independencia saludable. Implica la capacidad de pensar, sentir, tomar decisiones responsables; implica el autoconocimiento, la autoaceptación, la confianza en uno mismo y adquirir una actitud positiva ante la vida. El trabajo continuado y sistemático de cada una de estas dimensiones permite un mayorgrado de autoeficacia emocional y en consecuencia un fortalecimiento de la autoestima. Constituye la mejor vacuna para la prevención de conductas disruptivas.

Comprender la experiencia de la mujer ingresada con pre-eclampsia y eclampsia

Introducción: La preeclampsia/eclampsia es una enfermedad del embarazo que puede producir cambios en el estado emocional de la mujer por su prolongado ingreso hospitalario. Objetivo: Conocer las experiencias vividas por las mujeres con preeclampsia/eclampsia durante el ingreso hospitalario. Los objetivos que se tendrán en cuenta serán conocer cómo se modifica el rol propio dentro de la organización familiar, conocer cómo impacta su ingreso respecto a suestado emocional, conocer cómo les afecta la estructura de la unidad a su estado emocional y conocer qué necesidades y/o cuidados terapéuticos reciben respeto al equipo sanitario. Ámbito: El estudio se realizará en el Hospital de la Vall d’ Hebrón de Barcelona. Metodología: Estudio fenomenológico. La muestra se escogerá intencionadamente que cumplirá con los criterios de inclusión (mujeres ingresadas por preeclampsia/eclampsia en launidad de materno infantil de la Vall d’ Hebrón de Barcelona), y se terminará hasta llegar al nivel de saturación teórico. Los datos se recogerán a través de entrevistas semi-estructuradas y de la observación participante. Consideraciones finales: Dada la baja incidencia que existe tanto a nivel nacional como internacional en estudios de este tipo, un estudio cualitativo que ayude a conocer las experiencias de las mujeres ingresadas por preeclampsia podría ayudar a mejorar la calidad y práctica asistencial enfermera.

Short- and long-term changes in chromosomal inversion polymorphism and global warming: Drosophila subobscura from the Balkans

The chromosomal inversion polymorphism of Drosophila subobscura is adaptive to environmental changes. The population of Petnica, Serbia, was chosen to analyze short- and long-term changes in this polymorphism. Short-term changes were studied in the samples collected in May, June, and August of 1995. The inversion polymorphism varied over these months, although various interpretations are possible. To analyze long-term changes, samples obtained in May 1995 and May 2010 were compared. The frequency of the 'cold' adapted inversions (Ast, Jst, Ust, Est, and Ost) decreased and that of the 'warm' adapted inversions (A2, J1, U1+2, and O3+4) increased, from 1995 to 2010. These changes are consistent with the general increase in temperature recorded in Petnica for the same period. Finally, the possible response of chromosomal polymorphism to global warming was analyzed at the regional level (Balkan peninsula). This polymorphism depends on the ecological conditions of the populations, and the changes observed appear to be consistent with global warming expectations. Natural selection seems to be the main mechanism responsible for the evolution of this chromosomal polymorphism.