18 resultados para predicting and alert system


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Dissertação apresentada na Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia da Universidade Nova de Lisboa para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Tecnologia e Segurança Alimentar

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Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies.

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Dissertation presented to obtain the Ph.D degree in Biology

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Dissertação apresentada na Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia da Universidade Nova de Lisboa para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Informática

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Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia do Ambiente

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Trabalho apresentado no âmbito do Mestrado em Engenharia Informática, como requisito parcial para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Informática

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Dissertação apresentada na Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia da Universidade Nova de Lisboa para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Electrotécnica e de Computadores

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RESUMO - As alterações climáticas alteraram a incidência e distribuição mundial de zoonoses, ao modificarem o perfil epidemiológico dos seus vectores. A leishmaniose visceral é reemergente na bacia mediterrânica, sendo o seu impacto real subestimado. Em Portugal, é endémica em três regiões, de declaração obrigatória desde 1948 e o reservatório é o canídeo. O aumento da incidência da doença no cão e a escassez de informação epidemiológica tornou pertinente investigar a realidade nacional. A partir das bases de dados das notificações e dos grupos de diagnósticos homogéneos hospitalares, foram identificados todos os casos e, consultados todos os processos clínicos dos doentes com episódios de internamento nos hospitais do continente entre 1999-2009. Ocorreram 730 internamentos para 375 indivíduos na maioria: homens, eurocaucasianos, com em média, 27 anos e, residência em Lisboa e Vale do Tejo. A sintomatologia e comorbilidades dos doentes vão de encontro ao descrito internacionalmente. A doença foi subnotificada, com uma demora média de 19 dias. A letalidade foi de 5%. A taxa de incidência média do continente foi de 0,294/100000 habitantes, sem padrão de sazonalidade. O corredor endémico de Bortman construído apresentou picos com amplitudes de 2-3 anos. O mapeamento dos doentes evidenciou casos em regiões não endémicas acompanhando a distribuição da leishmaniose canina. Seria pertinente que futuras investigações construíssem uma modelação matemática que confirmasse a tendência do corredor endémico (pico em 2011?) para accionar um sistema de alerta nos Serviços de Saúde. Seria também útil a avaliação das condições geoclimáticas das localidades com casos para evidenciar possíveis similitudes no território. -------ABSTRACT - Climate changed the incidence and worldwide distribution of zoonosis while the epidemiological profile of their vectors was changing. Visceral leishmaniasis is reemerging in the Mediterranean basin and its real impact underestimated. In Portugal, it’s endemic in three regions; the notification occurs since 1948 and dog is the reservoir. The increased incidence of the canines’ disease and the scarcity of epidemiological information relevant investigate the national reality. From Notifications and Homogeneous’ Diagnostics Groups system databases, all cases were identified and also analyze all clinical processes of inpatients’ hospitals in 1999- 2009 in Portugal. 730 admissions occurred for 375 patients. In most they were men, Caucasians, with an average of 27 years and residency in Lisboa e Vale do Tejo. The symptoms and comorbilidades patient go against described internationally. The disease was under notified, with an average delay of 19 days. Lethality was 5%. The incidence rate was 0,294/100000 inhabitants, without seasonality. The endemic’s Bortman corridor presents peak amplitudes of 2-3 years. Mapping patient’s residency shows that cases’ distribution is similar to endemic canine leishmaniasis. It would be appropriate a research to build a mathematical modeling up to confirm the trend of corridor endemic (peak in 2011?), to trigger an alert system for health services. It would also be useful to evaluate the geo-climatics conditions of localities with cases to highlight possible similarities in the territory.

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Dissertação apresentada para a obtenção do Grau de Doutor em Informática pela Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia

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Dissertação apresentada na Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia da Universidade Nova de Lisboa para a obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Química e Bioquímica

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Dissertação apresentada na Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia da Universidade Nova de Lisboa para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Tecnologia e Segurança Alimentar

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Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies.

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RESUMO: Os vírus respiratórios continuam a ocupar um papel relevante na morbilidade e mortalidade infantil, tendo na última década sido alargado o espectro de vírus potencialmente causadores das infeções respiratórias. O diagnóstico destas infeções pode ser efetuado por várias metodologias, sendo as técnicas de biologia molecular consideradas as mais sensíveis para este fim. No âmbito do Projeto Ambiente e Saúde em Creches e Infantários (ENVIRH) foi efetuada uma comparação da prevalência dos principais vírus respiratórios em crianças em idade pré-escolar, com critérios de infeção respiratória, recorrendo a técnicas de biologia molecular, em duas populações: crianças que se encontravam na escola/domicilio e crianças que recorreram a uma urgência hospitalar. O estudo decorreu em dois períodos, de Fevereiro a Maio de 2011 e de Outubro de 2011 a Abril de 2012. Foram efetuadas duas colheitas de zaragatoas, uma nasal e outra orofaríngea. A metodologia utilizada para a identificação viral nas amostras foi a PCR e RT-PCR multiplex em tempo real. Os vírus pesquisados foram: Influenza A e B, Parainfluenza 1-4, Metapneumovirus humano, Vírus Sincicial respiratório (VSR), Rinovírus, Enterovírus, Coronavírus e Bocavirus. Foram realizadas 100 colheitas em crianças com idades compreendidas entre os 5 meses e os 5 anos. Foram obtidas 64 amostras dos infantários/domicílios, das quais 47 foram positivas. Da urgência Hospitalar obtiveram-se 36 amostras, em que 32 foram positivas. O vírus da gripe A (H3) foi o mais frequentemente detetado nas duas populações, mas apenas durante o surto de 2012. O VSR e os adenovírus foram mais frequentes nas crianças que recorreram ao hospital, ao contrário dos enterovirus e dos coronavírus, que não foram detetados nesta população. Os bocavirus nunca foram detetados isoladamente. Este estudo reforça a importância de se utilizarem técnicas de biologia molecular para o diagnóstico etiológico das infeções respiratórias, devido à elevada sensibilidade das mesmas, o que se reflete na elevada percentagem de amostras positivas. O facto de se utilizarem técnicas “multiplex”, que permitem a pesquisa simultânea de vários vírus, facilita a deteção de um maior espectro destes agentes. A elevada prevalência de Influenza A H3N2 deveu-se ao facto de grande parte do estudo ter coincidido com um período de surto por este vírus. O sistema de alerta montado durante o projeto ENVIRH pareceu promissor para uma eventual utilização futura em períodos de atividade gripal.--------------ABSTRACT: In the last decade, as respiratory viruses keep representing a relevant factor in child morbidity and mortality, the spectrum of viruses that may potentially cause respiratory infections has been widened. Within the several methodologies that may be applied in the diagnosis of these types of infections, the ones that use molecular biology are considered to be the most sensitive. The Environment and Health in Daycares and Nurseries Project (ENVIRH) arranged for a study, by means of molecular biology techniques, on the main respiratory viruses' influence in pre-school aged children with respiratory infection symptoms. This study compared children in two different populations: children at school or at home and children that were taken to a hospital emergency service. The study was conducted in two different time periods, one from February to May 2011 and the other from October 2011 to April 2012. During this time, two swab collections were held, one nasal and one oropharyngeal. PCR and RT-PCR multiplex in real time techniques were used for viral identification of the samples, searching for the viruses Influenza A and B, Parainfluenza 1-4, human Metapneumovirus, Respiratory Sincytial Virus (RSV), Rhinovirus, Enterovirus, Coronavirus and Bocavirus. One hundred (100) collections were held in children between the ages of 5 months and 5 years, sixty-four (64) at home/school and thirty-six (36) at the hospital's emergency service. From a total of seventy-nine (79) positive samples, forty-seven (47) were obtained at home/school and thirty-two (32) at the hospital. The virus detected the most in both populations was the Influenza A (H3), but only during the outbreak of 2012. Unlike the enteroviruses and coronaviruses, that were not detected within this population, the RSV and the adenoviruses were most common within the children at the hospital. Bocaviruses were never detected isolated from other viruses. The high percentage of positive samples reinforces the significance of using molecular biology techniques for the etiological diagnosis of respiratory infections. The use of multiplex techniques, that make the simultaneous search for multiple viruses possible, enhances the detection of a larger spectrum of such agents. Most of the study coincided with an outbreak of the Influenza A H3N2 virus, thus explaining the high number of its cases identified. The alert system set up during the ENVIRH project looked promising enough for eventual periods of flu activity in the future.

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A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Finance from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

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The term res publica (literally “thing of the people”) was coined by the Romans to translate the Greek word politeia, which, as we know, referred to a political community organised in accordance with certain principles, amongst which the notion of the “good life” (as against exclusively private interests) was paramount. This ideal also came to be known as political virtue. To achieve it, it was necessary to combine the best of each “constitutional” type and avoid their worst aspects (tyranny, oligarchy and ochlocracy). Hence, the term acquired from the Greeks a sense of being a “mixed” and “balanced” system. Anyone that was entitled to citizenship could participate in the governance of the “public thing”. This implied the institutionalization of open debate and confrontation between interested parties as a way of achieving the consensus necessary to ensure that man the political animal, who fought with words and reason, prevailed over his “natural” counterpart. These premises lie at the heart of the project which is now being presented under the title of Res Publica: Citizenship and Political Representation in Portugal, 1820-1926. The fact that it is integrated into the centenary commemorations of the establishment of the Republic in Portugal is significant, as it was the idea of revolution – with its promise of rupture and change – that inspired it. However, it has also sought to explore events that could be considered the precursor of democratization in the history of Portugal, namely the vintista, setembrista and patuleia revolutions. It is true that the republican regime was opposed to the monarchic. However, although the thesis that monarchy would inevitably lead to tyranny had held sway for centuries, it had also been long believed that the monarchic system could be as “politically virtuous” as a republic (in the strict sense of the word) provided that power was not concentrated in the hands of a single individual. Moreover, various historical experiments had shown that republics could also degenerate into Caesarism and different kinds of despotism. Thus, when absolutism began to be overturned in continental Europe in the name of the natural rights of man and the new social pact theories, initiating the difficult process of (written) constitutionalization, the monarchic principle began to be qualified as a “monarchy hedged by republican institutions”, a situation in which not even the king was exempt from isonomy. This context justifies the time frame chosen here, as it captures the various changes and continuities that run through it. Having rejected the imperative mandate and the reinstatement of the model of corporative representation (which did not mean that, in new contexts, this might not be revived, or that the second chamber established by the Constitutional Charter of 1826 might not be given another lease of life), a new power base was convened: national sovereignty, a precept that would be shared by the monarchic constitutions of 1822 and 1838, and by the republican one of 1911. This followed the French example (manifested in the monarchic constitution of 1791 and in the Spanish constitution of 1812), as not even republicans entertained a tradition of republicanism based upon popular sovereignty. This enables us to better understand the rejection of direct democracy and universal suffrage, and also the long incapacitation (concerning voting and standing for office) of the vast body of “passive” citizens, justified by “enlightened”, property- and gender-based criteria. Although the republicans had promised in the propaganda phase to alter this situation, they ultimately failed to do so. Indeed, throughout the whole period under analysis, the realisation of the potential of national sovereignty was mediated above all by the individual citizen through his choice of representatives. However, this representation was indirect and took place at national level, in the hope that action would be motivated not by particular local interests but by the common good, as dictated by reason. This was considered the only way for the law to be virtuous, a requirement that was also manifested in the separation and balance of powers. As sovereignty was postulated as single and indivisible, so would be the nation that gave it soul and the State that embodied it. Although these characteristics were common to foreign paradigms of reference, in Portugal, the constitutionalization process also sought to nationalise the idea of Empire. Indeed, this had been the overriding purpose of the 1822 Constitution, and it persisted, even after the loss of Brazil, until decolonization. Then, the dream of a single nation stretching from the Minho to Timor finally came to an end.