The firm delocalization decision

In the current paper, the determinants of firm international relocation decision in twenty-six European countries during the period 2004-2014 are analyzed. We demonstrate, at light of three different but complementary theories that neoclassical, behavioural and institutional „push‟ factors have an impact in a firm decision-making process. Findings support that firm size, access to a global network, foreign capital, and negative internal growth in the workforce induce firm relocation. On the other hand, the degree of sunk assets has a negative effect on the probability of relocation. Delocalization decisions are also sector-dependent with low-tech manufacturing firms paying high salaries relocating abroad with a greater likelihood.

Detection of purkinje images for automatic positioning of fixation target and interferometric measurements of anterior eye chamber

In cataract surgery, the eye’s natural lens is removed because it has gone opaque and doesn’t allow clear vision any longer. To maintain the eye’s optical power, a new artificial lens must be inserted. Called Intraocular Lens (IOL), it needs to be modelled in order to have the correct refractive power to substitute the natural lens. Calculating the refractive power of this substitution lens requires precise anterior eye chamber measurements. An interferometry equipment, the AC Master from Zeiss Meditec, AG, was in use for half a year to perform these measurements. A Low Coherence Interferometry (LCI) measurement beam is aligned with the eye’s optical axis, for precise measurements of anterior eye chamber distances. The eye follows a fixation target in order to make the visual axis align with the optical axis. Performance problems occurred, however, at this step. Therefore, there was a necessity to develop a new procedure that ensures better alignment between the eye’s visual and optical axes, allowing a more user friendly and versatile procedure, and eventually automatizing the whole process. With this instrument, the alignment between the eye’s optical and visual axes is detected when Purkinje reflections I and III are overlapped, as the eye follows a fixation target. In this project, image analysis is used to detect these Purkinje reflections’ positions, eventually automatically detecting when they overlap. Automatic detection of the third Purkinje reflection of an eye following a fixation target is possible with some restrictions. Each pair of detected third Purkinje reflections is used in automatically calculating an acceptable starting position for the fixation target, required for precise measurements of anterior eye chamber distances.

Essays in health economics: Volume-Outcome Effect, upcoding behaviour and the evaluation of a short-term intervention program

Evidence in the literature suggests a negative relationship between volume of medical procedures and mortality rates in the health care sector. In general, high-volume hospitals appear to achieve lower mortality rates, although considerable variation exists. However, most studies focus on US hospitals, which face different incentives than hospitals in a National Health Service (NHS). In order to add to the literature, this study aims to understand what happens in a NHS. Results reveal a statistically significant correlation between volume of procedures and better outcomes for the following medical procedures: cerebral infarction, respiratory infections, circulatory disorders with AMI, bowel procedures, cirrhosis, and hip and femur procedures. The effect is explained with the practice-makes-perfect hypothesis through static effects of scale with little evidence of learning-by-doing. The centralization of those medical procedures is recommended given that this policy would save a considerable number of lives (reduction of 12% in deaths for cerebral infarction).

Analysis of a controversial decision process: the case of the pumped hydro storage power plant Atdorf in Germany

Based on the report for the unit “Métodos Interactivos de Participação e Decisão A” (Interactive methods of participation and decision A), coordinated by Prof. Lia Maldonado Teles de Vasconcelos and Prof. Nuno Miguel Ribeiro Videira Costa. This unit was provided for the PhD Program in Technology Assessment in 2015/2016.

A decision- theoretic model for M&A sale processes

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Double Degree in Economics and International Business from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics and Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa

Testing for tail breaks in currency returns

In this work project we study the tail properties of currency returns and analyze whether changes in the tail indices of these series have occurred over time as a consequence of turbulent periods. Our analysis is based on the methods introduced by Quintos, Fan and Phillips (2001), Candelon and Straetmans (2006, 2013), and their extensions. Specifically, considering a sample of daily data from December 31, 1993 to February 13, 2015 we apply the recursive test in calendar time (forward test) and in reverse calendar time (backward test) and indeed detect falls and rises in the tail indices, signifying increases and decreases in the probability of extreme events.

A historical approach to the new secular stagnation hypothesis

In this paper, we analyze the behavior of real interest rates over the long-run using historical data for nine developed economies, to assess the extent to which the recent decline observed in most advanced countries is at odds with the past data, as suggested by the Secular Stagnation hypothesis. By using data from 1703 and performing stationarity and structural breaks tests, we find that the recent decline in interest rates is not explained by a structural break in the time series. Our results also show that considering long-run data leads to different conclusions than using short-run data.

Cultural journalism in a digital environment : new models, practices and possibilities

Both culture coverage and digital journalism are contemporary phenomena that have undergone several transformations within a short period of time. Whenever the media enters a period of uncertainty such as the present one, there is an attempt to innovate in order to seek sustainability, skip the crisis or find a new public. This indicates that there are new trends to be understood and explored, i.e., how are media innovating in a digital environment? Not only does the professional debate about the future of journalism justify the need to explore the issue, but so do the academic approaches to cultural journalism. However, none of the studies so far have considered innovation as a motto or driver and tried to explain how the media are covering culture, achieving sustainability and engaging with the readers in a digital environment. This research examines how European media which specialize in culture or have an important cultural section are innovating in a digital environment. Specifically, we see how these innovation strategies are being taken in relation to the approach to culture and dominant cultural areas, editorial models, the use of digital tools for telling stories, overall brand positioning and extensions, engagement with the public and business models. We conducted a mixed methods study combining case studies of four media projects, which integrates qualitative web features and content analysis, with quantitative web content analysis. Two major general-interest journalistic brands which started as physical newspapers – The Guardian (London, UK) and Público (Lisbon, Portugal) – a magazine specialized in international affairs, culture and design – Monocle (London, UK) – and a native digital media project that was launched by a cultural organization – Notodo, by La Fábrica – were the four case studies chosen. Findings suggest, on one hand, that we are witnessing a paradigm shift in culture coverage in a digital environment, challenging traditional boundaries related to cultural themes and scope, angles, genres, content format and delivery, engagement and business models. Innovation in the four case studies lies especially along the product dimensions (format and content), brand positioning and process (business model and ways to engage with users). On the other hand, there are still perennial values that are crucial to innovation and sustainability, such as commitment to journalism, consistency (to the reader, to brand extensions and to the advertiser), intelligent differentiation and the capability of knowing what innovation means and how it can be applied, since this thesis also confirms that one formula doesn´t suit all. Changing minds, exceeding cultural inertia and optimizing the memory of the websites, looking at them as living, organic bodies, which continuously interact with the readers in many different ways, and not as a closed collection of articles, are still the main challenges for some media.

The hospitality industry

This study of independent Portuguese hotels‘ positioning strategies regarding adopting, or not, a soft brand affiliation seeks to determine what motivates this choice. Surveyed hotels were asked to enunciate the benefits and disadvantages associated with their strategic decision, and other difficulties experienced in their business. The results indicate that international brand awareness and the hotel owners‘ long-term goals are the core factors affecting the choice. In practice, we conclude that there isn‘t a ‗one size fits all‘ strategy. Nevertheless, affiliated hotels experience an operational advantage over non-affiliated ones stemming from the affiliating organization‘s accumulated experience in sales, distribution channels and marketing resources.

Nanomateriais manufaturados : avaliação de segurança através da caracterização dos seus efeitos genéticos

RESUMO - Os nanomateriais manufaturados (NMs), isto é, fabricados deliberadamente para fins específicos, apresentam propriedades físico-químicas únicas como a dimensão, área superficial ou funcionalização, que lhes conferem caraterísticas mecânicas, óticas, elétricas e magnéticas muito vantajosas para aplicações industriais e biomédicas. Efetivamente, a tecnologia baseada nos NMs, ou nanotecnologia, foi identificada como uma key enabling technology, impulsionadora do crescimento económico dos países industrializados, devido ao seu potencial para melhorar a qualidade e desempenho de muitos tipos de produtos e de processos. Contudo, a expansão da utilização de NMs contrasta com a insuficiente avaliação de risco para a saúde humana e para o ambiente, sendo considerados como um risco emergente para a saúde pública. As incertezas sobre a segurança dos NMs para a saúde pública advêm sobretudo de estudos epidemiológicos em humanos expostos a nanomateriais produzidos como consequência dos processos e atividades humanas e da poluição. Uma das principais preocupações relativamente aos efeitos adversos dos NMs na saúde humana é o seu potencial efeito carcinogénico, que é sugerido por alguns estudos experimentais, como no caso dos nanomateriais de dióxido de titânio ou dos nanotubos de carbono. Para avaliar em curto termo as propriedades carcinogénicas de um composto, utilizam-se frequentemente ensaios de genotoxicidade em linhas celulares de mamífero ou ensaios em modelos animais, em que se analisa uma variedade de lesões genéticas potencialmente relacionados com o processo de carcinogénese. No entanto, a investigação sobre as propriedades genotóxicas dos NMs não foi, até hoje, conclusiva. O presente estudo tem por objectivo principal caracterizar os efeitos genotóxicos associados à exposição a nanomateriais manufaturados, de forma a contribuir para a avaliação da sua segurança. Constituíram objectivos específicos deste estudo: i) avaliar a genotoxicidade dos NMs em três tipos de células humanas expostas in vitro: linfócitos humanos primários, linha celular de epitélio brônquico humano (BEAS-2B) e linha celular de adenocarcinoma epitelial de pulmão humano (A549); ii) avaliar a sua genotoxicidade num modelo de ratinho transgénico; iii) investigar alguns mecanismos de acção que poderão contribuir para a genotoxicidade dos nanomateriais, como a contribuição de lesões oxidativas para a genotoxicidade induzida pelos NMs in vitro, e a investigação da sua bioacumulação e localização celular in vivo. Foram analisados os efeitos genotóxicos associados à exposição a duas classes de NMs, dióxido de titânio e nanotubos de carbono de parede múltipla, bem como a um NM de óxido de zinco, candidato a ser utlilizado como controlo positivo de dimensão nanométrica. Os xx NMs utilizados foram previamente caracterizados com detalhe relativamente às suas características físico-químicas e também relativamente à sua dispersão em meio aquoso e no meio de cultura. A metodologia incluiu ensaios de citotoxicidade e de genotoxicidade in vitro, designadamente, ensaios de quebras no DNA (ensaio do cometa) e nos cromossomas (ensaio do micronúcleo) em células humanas expostas a várias concentrações de NMs, por comparação com células não expostas. Também foram realizados ensaios in vivo de quebras no DNA, quebras cromossómicas e ainda um ensaio de mutações em vários órgãos de grupos de ratinhos transgénicos LacZ, expostos por via intravenosa a duas doses de dióxido de titânio. Foi investigada a existência de uma relação dose-resposta após exposição das células humanas ou dos animais a NMs. A contribuição de lesões oxidativas para a genotoxicidade após exposição das células aos NMs in vitro foi explorada através do ensaio do cometa modificado com enzima. Realizaram-se estudos histológicos e citológicos para deteção e localização celular dos NMs nos órgãos-alvo dos ratinhos expostos in vivo. Os resultados demonstraram efeitos genotóxicos em alguns dos NMs analisados em células humanas. No entanto, os efeitos genotóxicos, quando positivos, foram em níveis reduzidos, ainda que superiores aos valores dos controlos, e a sua reprodutibilidade era dependente do sistema experimental utilizado. Para outros NMs, a evidência de genotoxicidade revelou-se equívoca, conduzindo à necessidade de esclarecimento através de ensaios in vivo. Para esse fim, recorreu-se a uma análise integrada de múltiplos parâmetros num modelo animal, o ratinho transgénico baseado em plasmídeo contendo o gene LacZ exposto a um NM de dióxido de titânio, NM-102. Embora tenha sido demonstrada a exposição e a acumulação do NM no fígado, não se observaram efeitos genotóxicos nem no fígado, nem no baço nem no sangue dos ratinhos expostos a esse NM. Neste estudo concluiu-se que algumas formas de dióxido de titânio e nanotubos de carbono de parede múltipla produzem efeitos genotóxicos em células humanas, contribuindo para o conjunto de evidências sobre o efeito genotóxico desses NMs. As diferenças observadas relativamente à genotoxicidade entre NMs do mesmo tipo, mas distintos em algumas das suas características físico-quimicas, aparentemente não são negligenciáveis, pelo que os resultados obtidos para um NM não devem ser generalizados ao grupo correspondente. Para além disso, a genotoxicidade equívoca verificada para o NM-102 em células humanas expostas in vitro, não foi confirmada no modelo in vivo, pelo que o valor preditivo da utilização dos ensaios in vitro para a identificação de NMs com efeitos genotóxicos (e portanto potencialmente carcinogénicos) ainda tem de ser esclarecido antes de ser possível extrapolar as conclusões para a saúde humana. Por sua vez, como a informação aqui produzida pelas metodologias in vitro e in vivo não reflete os efeitos de exposição continua ou prolongada, que poderá conduzir a efeitos genotóxicos distintos, esta xxi deverá ser complementada com outras linhas de evidência relativamente à segurança dos NMs. Perante a incerteza dos níveis de exposição real do organismo humano e do ambiente, a segurança da utilização dos NMs não pode ser garantida a longo prazo e, tendo em conta a elevada produção e utilização destes NMs, são prementes futuros estudos de monitorização ambiental e humana.

Exploring the consumer decision journey and online shoping experience through an emotional prespective

Traditional consumer decision-making models have long used quantitative research to address a link between emotional and rational behavior. However, little qualitative research has been conducted in the area of online shopping as an end-to-end experience. This study aims to provide a detailed phenomenological account of consumers’ online shopping experience and extend Mckinsey & Companys’s consumer decision journey model from an emotional perspective. Six semi-structured interviews and a focus group of nine people are analyzed using Interpretive Phenomenology Analysis and five superordinate themes emerged from the results: emotional experience, empathy and encouragement, in relation to brand preference, emotional encounters in relation to consumer satisfaction and emotional exchange and relationship with a company or brand. A model interrelating these themes is then introduced to visually represent the emotional essence of a large online purchase. This study promises to be applicable as a descriptive, and perhaps, better predictive report for understanding the complex consumer decision-making process as it relates to online consumer behavior. Future research topics are also identified.

Mapping the Pasture Steppe in Bayankhongor, Mongolia: comparison of classification methods, using Landsat-8 and geophysical data

Grasslands in semi-arid regions, like Mongolian steppes, are facing desertification and degradation processes, due to climate change. Mongolia’s main economic activity consists on an extensive livestock production and, therefore, it is a concerning matter for the decision makers. Remote sensing and Geographic Information Systems provide the tools for advanced ecosystem management and have been widely used for monitoring and management of pasture resources. This study investigates which is the higher thematic detail that is possible to achieve through remote sensing, to map the steppe vegetation, using medium resolution earth observation imagery in three districts (soums) of Mongolia: Dzag, Buutsagaan and Khureemaral. After considering different thematic levels of detail for classifying the steppe vegetation, the existent pasture types within the steppe were chosen to be mapped. In order to investigate which combination of data sets yields the best results and which classification algorithm is more suitable for incorporating these data sets, a comparison between different classification methods were tested for the study area. Sixteen classifications were performed using different combinations of estimators, Landsat-8 (spectral bands and Landsat-8 NDVI-derived) and geophysical data (elevation, mean annual precipitation and mean annual temperature) using two classification algorithms, maximum likelihood and decision tree. Results showed that the best performing model was the one that incorporated Landsat-8 bands with mean annual precipitation and mean annual temperature (Model 13), using the decision tree. For maximum likelihood, the model that incorporated Landsat-8 bands with mean annual precipitation (Model 5) and the one that incorporated Landsat-8 bands with mean annual precipitation and mean annual temperature (Model 13), achieved the higher accuracies for this algorithm. The decision tree models consistently outperformed the maximum likelihood ones.

Uncertainty in olfactory decision-making

Relationships between accuracy and speed of decision-making, or speed-accuracy tradeoffs (SAT), have been extensively studied. However, the range of SAT observed varies widely across studies for reasons that are unclear. Several explanations have been proposed, including motivation or incentive for speed vs. accuracy, species and modality but none of these hypotheses has been directly tested. An alternative explanation is that the different degrees of SAT are related to the nature of the task being performed. Here, we addressed this problem by comparing SAT in two odor-guided decision tasks that were identical except for the nature of the task uncertainty: an odor mixture categorization task, where the distinguishing information is reduced by making the stimuli more similar to each other; and an odor identification task in which the information is reduced by lowering the intensity over a range of three log steps. (...)