Non-linear time series models

The last three decades have seen quite dramatic changes the way we modeled time dependent data. Linear processes have been in the center stage in modeling time series. As far as the second order properties are concerned, the theory and the methodology are very adequate.However, there are more and more evidences that linear models are not sufficiently flexible and rich enough for modeling purposes and that failure to account for non-linearities can be very misleading and have undesired consequences.

A score test for non-nested hypotheses with applications to discrete data models

This paper suggests that a convenient score test against non-nested alternatives can be constructed from the linear combination of the likelihood functions of the competing models. It is shown that this procedure is essentially a test for the correct specification of the conditional distribution of the variable of interest.

Sífilis congénita : caracterização da infecção e avaliação de técnicas laboratoriais para o seu diagnóstico

RESUMO: Um dos maiores problemas da sífilis é a infecção intra-uterina do feto, que pode resultar em morte fetal com aborto espontâneo. Os objectivos desta tese foram comparar os cinco testes serológicos para o diagnóstico de sífilis congénita e optimizar e aplicar a várias amostras clínicas, colhidas de indivíduos com suspeita de infecção por Treponema pallidum, uma técnica de PCR-Multiplex e uma técnica de PCR em tempo real. Na globalidade dos soros estudados obtiveram-se os seguintes resultados: o RPR reactivo em 87/517; TPHA reactivo em 135/517; e EIA reactivo em 127/517. A pesquisa de anticorpos específicos de tipo IgM foi efectuada em 33 soros sendo estudada pelas técnicas de imunofluorescência indirecta e de westernblot. Quanto aos resultados obtidos pelas duas técnicas, o teste FTA-Abs-IgM demonstrou reactividade em 3/33, enquanto que a técnica de westernblot-M, apresentou reactividade em 18/33. Para a avaliação de uma técnica de PCR-TR, foram estudadas 318 amostras de 236 indivíduos classificados, com base em critérios clínicos e laboratoriais, em diferentes estádios de infecção por Treponema pallidum e em indivíduos sem infecção por aquele microrganismo. Relativamente a estas técnicas foi possível observar amplificação de ADN de Treponema pallidum em 133/318 pela técnica de PCR-TR e 90/318 pela técnica de PCR-Multiplex. Mediante os resultados obtidos e de outros estudos efectuados parece poder concluir-se que o teste EIA é o mais indicado para o rastreio da infecção por Treponema pallidum, devendo um resultado reactivo por esta técnica, ser confirmado com a realização de um teste não treponémico (RPR). Relativamente ao diagnóstico de infecção congénita, o teste westernblot para pesquisa de anticorpos específicos de tipo IgM, parece ser o mais apropriado. A técnica PCR-TR, parece ser a mais indicada, pois apresenta uma maior sensibilidade e especificidade que a PCR-Multiplex.----------------- ABSTRACT:The syphilis major problem is the intrauterine infection of the fetus, which may result in fetal death with spontaneous abortion. The objectives of this thesis were to compare the five serological tests for the diagnosis of congenital syphilis and optimize and apply several clinical samples taken from individuals suspected of infection with Treponema pallidum, a PCR-Multiplex and real-time PCR. In all sera studied were obtained the following results: the RPR reactive in 87/517; reactive TPHA in 135/517, and 127/517 in reactive EIA. The search for specific IgM antibodies was performed on 33 sera that were studied by indirect immunofluorescence and westernblot. The results obtained by both techniques, the test FTA-Abs-IgM showed reactivity in 3/33, while the technique westernblot-M, showed reactivity in 18/33. For an RT-PCR evaluation, we studied 318 samples from 236 individuals classified based on clinical and laboratory criteria at different stages of infection by Treponema pallidum and in individuals without infection by that organism. For these techniques it was possible to observe ADN amplification of Treponema pallidum in 133/318 by RT-PCR and 90/318 by PCR-Multiplex. Based on obtained results and in other studies seems that we can conclude that the EIA test is the most suitable for Treponema pallidum screening infection, and a reactive result by this technique, should be confirmed with the realization of a non-treponemal test (RPR). For the congenital infection diagnosis, testing for antibodies westernblot specific IgM appears to be the most appropriate. The RT-PCR seems to be the most suitable, since it has a higher sensitivity and specificity than the PCR-Multiplex.

Contribuição ao estudo da mistura néon-azoto a baixas temperaturas

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia Física

Non-clinical isolates bring new findings on enterococcal virulence

Dissertation presented to obtain the PhD degree in Biology

New spectroscopic and electrochemical insights on a class I superoxide reductase: evidence for an intramolecular electron-transfer pathway

Biochem. J. (2011) 438,485–494 doi:10.1042/BJ20110836

A new CuZ active form in the catalytic reduction of N2O by nitrous oxide reductase from Pseudomonas nautica

J Biol Inorg Chem (2010) 15:967–976 DOI 10.1007/s00775-010-0658-6

Infecção por Treponema pallidum: análise serológica e pesquisa de DNA

RESUMO: A sífilis é uma infecção causada por T. pallidum que pode ser transmitida por via vertical, por contacto sexual ou por sangue, e cujo diagnóstico se baseia na associação entre manifestações clinicas e testes serológicos. Neste estudo utilizaram-se os testes serológicos RPR, TPHA, FTA-Abs, um teste rápido não comercializado (Signal-Spirolipin) que pesquisa anticorpos treponémicos (CDC-T) e não treponémicos (CDC-2) em simultâneo no mesmo dispositivo e uma técnica de PCR-multiplex para a pesquisa de ADN de T. pallidum. Da comparação das técnicas serológicas constatou-se que a sensibilidade dos testes RPR e TPHA foi de 84,5% e 98% respectivamente. A especificidade foi de 77,3% para o teste RPR e de 87,5% para o teste TPHA. Na avaliação do teste rápido a comparação do teste CDC-2 com o teste RPR resultou numa taxa de concordância de 93,1% enquanto que, a do teste CDC-T com o teste TPHA foi de 94,8%. A sensibilidade e especificidade obtidas pelos testes CDC-2 e CDC-T foram de 88,7% e 65% e de 94,9% e 91,3% respectivamente. Considerando o diagnóstico de sífilis activa com base na reactividade simultânea dos testes RPR e TPHA, avaliou-se a sensibilidade do teste rápido utilizando esse mesmo critério. A sensibilidade obtida foi de 98,4% para o teste rápido e de 97,2% para a associação dos testes RPR/TPHA. A técnica de PCR-multiplex apresentou fraca sensibilidade já que em apenas 33% dos casos de sífilis foi identificado ADN de T. pallidum. O teste rápido avaliado apresentou um comportamento idêntico aos testes geralmente utilizados na rotina laboratorial tais como os utilizados neste estudo. Apresenta a vantagem de pesquisar anticorpos treponémicos e não treponémicos, ao contrário dos testes rápidos comercializados que pesquisam apenas anticorpos treponémicos. Não sendo necessário para a sua execução equipamento laboratorial especializado poderá ser de grande utilidade para o clinico a exercer em locais sem laboratório.------------- ABSTRACT: Syphilis is an infection caused by T. pallidum. Transmission may be vertical, through sexual contact or blood. The diagnosis is based in both serology and clinical manifestations. In this study, we used the serological tests RPR, TPHA, FTA-Abs and a non -commercialized rapid test (Signal-Spirolipin) to detect both treponemal (CDC-T) and non – treponemal antibodies (CDC-2) in the same device. T. pallidum DNA was identified with a multiplex PCR technique. In this study, the RPR and TPHA tests sensitivity was 84,5% and 98%, respectively, and the specificity 77,3% for the RPR test and 87,5% for TPHA test, respectively. The concordance rate was 93,1% in the comparison between the RPR and the CDC2 tests and 94,8% between the CDC-T with the TPHA tests. Sensitivity and specificity of the CDC-2 and CDC-T tests were 88,7% and 65% and 94,9% e 91,3%, respectively. Taking into account that the diagnosis of active syphilis is made when both the RPR and TPHA tests are reactive, we evaluated the sensitivity of the rapid test (CDC2 and CDCT) in the diagnosis of active syphilis, using the above described criteria. The sensitivity was 98,4 % for the rapid test and 97,2 % for the association of reactivity in both RPA and TPHA tests. The multiplex PCR technique presented a low sensitivity, with T. pallidum DNA being identified in only 33% of the syphilis cases. The rapid test evaluated in this study presented identical results to the tests generally used in the routine laboratory diagnosis, such as those used here. However, it does have the advantage of detecting both treponemal and non – treponemal antibodies what is not the case of the commercialized rapid test. Furthermore, there is no need of specialized laboratory equipment, which makes it of great utility in regions where such conditions do not exist, as in developing countries.

How to sell successfully a perfume in the non-selective market?

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Management from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

Identity dynamics in non-profit organizations: Ideological and methodological identity orientations

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Management from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

How differently do our non-large companies listed on the Portuguese Stock Exchange perform?

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Economics from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

Reductive scavenging of reactive oxygen species in prokaryotes

Dissertação para a obtenção de grau de doutor em Bioquímica pelo Instituto de Tecnologia Química e Biológica. Universidade Nova de Lisboa.

Can advergames boost children’s healthier eating habits?: A comparison between healthy and non-healthy food

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Management from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

Market selection and market entry recommendations for a non-profit organization's first international venture

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Management from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

Atherogenesis and atherosclerosis in primary antiphospholipid syndrome

ABSTRACT: In the late seventies the term “Haematological Stress Syndrome” defined some haematological abnormalities appearing in the course of acute and chronic disorders, such as raised plasma levels of fibrinogen (FNG) and factor VIII, reduced fibrinolytic activity and hyperviscosity. In the early nineties the “Membrane stress syndrome hypothesis” proposed the unification of the concepts of haematological stress syndrome with those of oxidation, inflammation and immune activation to explain the pathogenesis of the antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) Antiphospholipid antibodies, coagulation, fibrinolysis and thrombosis. This chapter investigated the occurrence of the “Haematological Stress Syndrome” and thrombosis in 144 participants positive for aPL detected by clotting and immune tests. Among the clotting assays for the detection of lupus anticoagulant, dilute Russell's viper venom time better correlated with a history of venous thrombosis than activated partial thromboplastin time (p<0.0002 vs p<0.009) and was the only test correlated with a history of arterial thrombosis (p<0.01). By regression analysis, serum levels of IgG anticardiolipin antibodies (aCL) associated with the number of venous occlusions (p<0.001). With regards to FNG and von Willebrand factor (vWF), the former rose by 36% (95% CI; 21%, 53%) and the latter by 50% (95% CI; 29%, 75%) at the first venous occlusion and remained unchanged after subsequent occlusions. At variance FNG rose by 45% (95% CI; 31%, 60%) per arterial occlusion and vWF by 27% (95% CI; 10%, 47%) per arterial occlusion throughout. The coagulation/fibrinolytic balance was cross-sectionally evaluated on 18 thrombotic PAPS patients, 18 subjects with persistence of idiopathic aPL and in healthy controls. Markers of thrombin generation prothrombin fragment 1+2 (F1+2), thrombin-antithrombin complex (TAT) and of fibrin turnover D-Dimer (D-D) were higher in thrombotic (p=0.006)and non-thrombotic subjects (p=0.0001) than in controls as were those of D-D (p<0.0001 and p=0.003 respectively). TAT levels did not differ. Gender analysed data revealed blunted tPA release (hence a negative venous occlusion test) in thrombotic females but neither in thrombotic males (p=0.01) nor in asymptomatic subjects of either sex. Also, in both patient groups females had higher mean PAI than males (p<0.0002) and control females (p<0.02). The activity of factor XIII (FXIIIa) was evaluated was evaluated in 29 patients with PAPS, 14 persistent carriers of aPL without thrombosis, 24 thrombotic patients with inherited thrombophilia, 28 healthy controls and 32 patients with mitral and aortic valve prosthesis as controls for FXIII only. FXIIIa was highest in PAPS (p=0.001), particularly in patients with multiple (n=12) than single occlusion (p=0.02) and in correlation with PAI (p=0.003) and FNG (p=0.005). Moreover FXIIIa was strongly associated with IgG aCL and IgG anti-2GPI (p=0.005 for both) in the PAPS group and to a lesser degree in the aPL group (FXIIIa with IgG aCL, p=0.02, with IgG anti-2GPI, p=0.04). Altogether these results indicate: 1) a differential relationship of aPL, vWF and FNG with venous and arterial thrombosis; 2) heightened thrombin generation, accelerated fibrin turnover and fibrinolysis abnormalities also in asymptomatic carriers of aPLs; 3) enhanced FXIIIa that may contribute to atherothrombosis via increased fibrin/fibrinogen cross-linking. Lipid profile, lipid peroxidation and anti-lipoprotein antibodies in thrombotic primary antiphospholipid syndrome. Given the atherogenic lipid profile of SLE, the same possibility was explored in PAPS by comparing high-density lipoprotein (HDL), low-density lipoprotein (LDL), total cholesterol (CHO), apolipoprotein AI (ApoAI), apolipoprotein B (ApoB), triglycerides (TG), anti-lipoprotein antibodies, beta-2-glycoprotein I complexed to oxidized low-density lipoprotein (oxLDL-2GPI) and C-reactive protein (CRP) in 34 thrombotic PAPS patients compared to 36 thrombotic patients with inherited thrombophilia (IT), to 18 subjects persistently positive for antiphospholipid antibodies (aPL) with no underlying autoimmune or non-autoimmune disorders and to 28 healthy controls. Average concentrations of HDL (p<0.0001), LDL (p<0.0001), CHO (p=0.0002), ApoAI (p=0.002) were lower in PAPS whereas average TRY was higher (p=0.01) than other groups. Moreover PAPS showed higher IgG anti-HDL (p=0.01) and IgG anti-ApoAI (p<0.0001) as well as greater average oxLDL-2GPI (p=0.001) and CRP (p=0.003). Within PAPS, IgG anti-HDL correlated negatively to HDL (p=0.004) and was an independent predictor of oxLDL-2GPI (p=0.009). HDL and ApoAI correlated negatively with CRP (p=0.001 and p=0.007, respectively). IgG anti-HDL may hamper the antioxidant and anti-inflammatory effect of HDL favouring low-grade inflammation and enhanced oxidation in thrombotic PAPS. Indeed plasma 8-epi-prostaglandin F2α (a very specific marker of lipid peroxidation) was significantly higher in 10 patients with PAPS than 10 age and sex matched healthy subjects (p=0.0002) and strongly related to the titre of plasma IgG aCL (r=0.89, p=0.0004). Hence oxidative stress, a major player in atherogenesis, also characterises PAPS. Nitric oxide and nitrative stress in thrombotic primary antiphosholipid syndrome. Oxidative stress goes hand in hand with nitrative stress and to address the latter plasma nitrotyrosine (NT, marker of nitrative stress), nitrite (NO2-) and nitrate (NO3-) were measured in 46 thrombotic PAPS patients, 21 asymptomatic but persistent carriers of antiphospholipid antibodies (PCaPL), 38 patients with inherited thrombophilia (IT), 33 patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and 29 healthy controls (CTR). Average crude NT was higher in PAPS and SLE (p=0.01) whereas average plasma NO2- was lower in PAPS and average NO3- highest in SLE (p<0.0001). In PAPS, IgG aCL titer and number of vascular occlusions negatively predicted NO2-, (p=0.03 and p=0.001, respectively) whereas arterial occlusions and smoking positively predicted NO3- (p=0.05 and p=0.005). Moreover CRP (an inflammatory marker) positively predicted NT (p=0.004). Nitric oxide metabolites relates to type and number of vascular occlusions and to aPL titers, whereas nitrative stress relates to low grade marker) positively predicted NT (p=0.004). Nitric oxide metabolites relates to type and number of vascular occlusions and to aPL titers, whereas nitrative stress relates to low grade inflammation and both phenomena may have implications for thrombosis and atherosclerosis in PAPS Inflammation and immune activation in thrombotic primary antiphospholipid syndrome. To investigate inflammation and immune activation in thrombotic PAPS high-sensitivity CRP (hs-CRP), serum amyloid A (SAA), oxLDL-2GPI, CRP bound to oxLDL-2GPI (CRP-oxLDL-2GPI) (as inflammatory markers) neopterin (NPT) and soluble CD14 (sCD14) (as immune activation markers) were measured by ELISA in 41 PAPS patients, in 44 patients with inherited thrombophilia (IT) and 39 controls (CTR). Compared to other groups, PAPS presented with higher plasma concentrations of inflammatory, hs-CRP (p=0.0004), SAA (p<0.01), CRP-oxLDL-2GPI (p=0.0004) and immune activation markers, NPT (p<0.0001) and sCD14 (p=0.007). By regression analysis SAA independently predicted thrombosis number (p=0.003) and NPT independently predicted thrombosis type (arterial, p=0.03) and number (p=0.04). These data confirm that low-grade inflammation and immune activation occur and relate to vascular features of PAPS. Antiphosholipid antibodies, haemostatic variables and atherosclerosis in thrombotic primary antiphospholipid syndrome To evaluate whether IgG aCL titre, haemostatic variables and the lipid profile bore any relationship to the intima media thickness (IMT) of carotid arteries high-resolution sonography was applied to the common carotid (CC), carotid bifurcation (CB) and internal carotid (IC) of 42 aPL subjects, 29 with primary thrombotic antiphospholipid syndrome and 13 with persistence of aPL in the absence of any underlying disorder. The following were measured: plasma FNG, vWF, PAI, homocysteine (HC), CHO, TG, HDL, LDL, platelet numbers and aCL of IgG and IgM isotype. By multiple regression analysis, IgG aCL titre independently predicted IMT at all carotid segments examined (p always <0.005). Plasma FNG and HC independently predicted IMT at the CB (p=0.001 and p<0.0001, respectively) and IC (p=0.03 and p<0.0001, respectively). These data strongly support an atherogenic role for IgG aCL in patients with aPL in addition to traditional risk factors. The atherosclerosis hypothesis was investigated in an age and sex-matched case-double-control study including 49 thrombotic PAPS patients (18 M, 31 F, mean age 37 ± 11), 49 thrombotic patients for IT and 49 healthy subjects. Average IMT was always greater in PAPS than control patients (CC: p=0.004, CB: p=0.013, IC: p=0.001). By dividing participants into age tertiles the IMT was greater in the second (CC: p=0.003, CB: p=0.023, IC: p=0.003) and third tertiles (CC: p=0.03, CB: p=0.004, IC: p=0.007). Conclusion: Coagulation activation, fibrinolysis depression, hightened fibrin turnover, oxidative and nitrative stress in parallel with low grade inflammation and immune activation characterise thrombotic PAPS: all these are early atherogenic processes and contribute to the demonstrated premature atherosclerosis that should be considered a clinical feature of PAPS.