Fuzzy Monte Carlo mathematical model for load curtailment minimization in transmission power systems

This paper presents a methodology which is based on statistical failure and repair data of the transmission power system components and uses fuzzyprobabilistic modeling for system component outage parameters. Using statistical records allows developing the fuzzy membership functions of system component outage parameters. The proposed hybrid method of fuzzy set and Monte Carlo simulation based on the fuzzy-probabilistic models allows catching both randomness and fuzziness of component outage parameters. A network contingency analysis to identify any overloading or voltage violation in the network is performed once obtained the system states by Monte Carlo simulation. This is followed by a remedial action algorithm, based on optimal power flow, to reschedule generations and alleviate constraint violations and, at the same time, to avoid any load curtailment, if possible, or, otherwise, to minimize the total load curtailment, for the states identified by the contingency analysis. In order to illustrate the application of the proposed methodology to a practical case, the paper will include a case study for the Reliability Test System (RTS) 1996 IEEE 24 BUS.

Minimization of open orders using interval graphs

In this paper we address an order processing optimization problem known as the Minimization of Open Stacks Problem (MOSP). This problem consists in finding the best sequence for manufacturing the different products required by costumers, in a setting where only one product can be made at a time. The objective is to minimize the maximum number of incomplete orders from costumers that are being processed simultaneously. We present an integer programming model, based on the existence of a perfect elimination order in interval graphs, which finds an optimal sequence for the costumers orders. Among other economic advantages, manufacturing the products in this optimal sequence reduces the amount of space needed to store incomplete orders.

Voltage Magnitude Analysis Considering Load Curtailment Minimization in Sub-Transmission Networks with Distributed Generators

Most of distribution generation and smart grid research works are dedicated to the study of network operation parameters, reliability among others. However, many of this research works usually uses traditional test systems such as IEEE test systems. This work proposes a voltage magnitude study in presence of fault conditions considering the realistic specifications found in countries like Brazil. The methodology considers a hybrid method of fuzzy set and Monte Carlo simulation based on the fuzzyprobabilistic models and a remedial action algorithm which is based on optimal power flow. To illustrate the application of the proposed method, the paper includes a case study that considers a real 12 bus sub-transmission network.

Voltage Analysis and Load Curtailment Minimization in Sub-transmission Networks with Distributed Generation

Most of distributed generation and smart grid research works are dedicated to network operation parameters studies, reliability, etc. However, many of these works normally uses traditional test systems, for instance, IEEE test systems. This paper proposes voltage magnitude and reliability studies in presence of fault conditions, considering realistic conditions found in countries like Brazil. The methodology considers a hybrid method of fuzzy set and Monte Carlo simulation based on the fuzzy-probabilistic models and a remedial action algorithm which is based on optimal power flow. To illustrate the application of the proposed method, the paper includes a case study that considers a real 12-bus sub-transmission network.

Estudo de caso. A implementação do projeto de internalização do RX do Centro de Diagnóstico Pneumológico do Porto

Portugal atravessa uma crise económico-financeira. A austeridade económica é prioritária, e a área de saúde não é exceção. Nesta conjuntura justifica-se de todo a realização de análises económicas na saúde. Este estudo é uma análise custo - mínimo ao Projeto de Internalização do RX do Centro Diagnóstico Pneumológico (CDP) do Porto com o objetivo de rentabilizar o equipamento radiológico instalado no CDP do Porto, pretende-se usar a capacidade máxima instalada e permitida pelo equipamento para produção de radiografias a utentes provenientes dos Agrupamentos de Centros de Saúde (ACES) do Porto. O Projeto de Internalização do RX do CDP do Porto é um projeto da Administração Regional de Saúde (ARS) do Norte, que pretende encaminhar os utentes dos ACES do Porto para realização de exames radiográficos no RX do CDP do Porto. Para proceder à análise económica foram identificados os custos e os benefícios relevantes do RX do CDP do Porto e elaboradas 3 estimativas: 1. Realização dos exames radiográficos do CDP do Porto a utentes do CDP do Porto e realização de exames radiográficos a utentes dos ACES do Porto nos gabinetes de radiologia convencionados pela ARSNorte; 2. Projeto de Internalização do RX do CDP do Porto com realização dos exames radiográficos até esgotar a capacidade máxima instalada do equipamento radiológico com recurso a utentes dos ACES do Porto; 3. Realização dos exames radiográficos nos ACES do Porto e dos exames do CDP do Porto nos gabinetes de radiologia convencionados. Os resultados da análise levaram à conclusão que a implementação do Projeto de Internalização do RX do Porto é rentável, ou seja, o projeto permitirá ganhos financeiros para a ARSNorte se for implementado na sua plenitude.

Using demand response to deal with unexpected low wind power generation in the context of smart grid

Demand response is assumed an essential resource to fully achieve the smart grids operating benefits, namely in the context of competitive markets. Some advantages of Demand Response (DR) programs and of smart grids can only be achieved through the implementation of Real Time Pricing (RTP). The integration of the expected increasing amounts of distributed energy resources, as well as new players, requires new approaches for the changing operation of power systems. The methodology proposed aims the minimization of the operation costs in a smart grid operated by a virtual power player. It is especially useful when actual and day ahead wind forecast differ significantly. When facing lower wind power generation than expected, RTP is used in order to minimize the impacts of such wind availability change. The proposed model application is here illustrated using the scenario of a special wind availability reduction day in the Portuguese power system (8th February 2012).

Demand response in future power systems management – a conceptual framework and simulation tool

Mestrado em Engenharia Electrotécnica – Sistemas Eléctricos de Energia

Eficácia do Constraint-Induced Movement Therapy, em utentes com sequelas de Acidente Vascular Encefálico, até 9 meses

O Acidente Vascular Encefálico é uma das principais causas de morte, tornando-se cada vez mais iminente processos de reabilitação que minimizem as sequelas, nomeadamente as limitações do membro superior que dificultam o envolvimento em atividades da vida diária. O Constraint-Induced Movement Therapy, surge como uma abordagem que incrementa o uso do membro superior mais afetado. A presente investigação trata-se de um estudo de casos múltiplos. Pretende-se verificar se existem melhorias na funcionalidade do membro superior mais afetado, analisar em que atividades da vida diária são visíveis melhorias funcionais e compreender se o maior envolvimento nas atividades diárias está diretamente relacionado com a melhoria na capacidade funcional. Pretende-se ainda que os valores obtidos no Wolf Motor Function Test sejam um contributo para a sua validação para a população portuguesa. Utilizou-se um questionário para recolha de dados pessoais e clínicos (amplitudes de movimento, dor e espasticidade); o Wolf Motor Function Test e o Action Research Arm Test para verificar a funcionalidade do membro superior mais afetado; e a Motor Activity Log que avalia o envolvimento em atividades da vida diária. O grupo é constituído por 3 utentes que sofreram um primeiro Acidente Vascular Encefálico até 9 meses de evolução, internados na Santa Casa da Misericórdia de Monção e que cumpriam os critérios de inclusão. O programa foi implementado três horas/dia, durante 10 dias, mantendo a restrição no membro superior menos afetado durante 90% do dia acordado. Como se trata de um estudo de casos múltiplos, analisou-se cada participante individualmente e verificou-se a diferença entre os resultados finais e iniciais para cada uma das variáveis. Os resultados obtidos revelam ganhos na amplitude de movimento, velocidade de execução e capacidade funcional do membro superior mais afetado, nomeadamente nas funções de preensão e pinça da mão, bem como se testemunhou minimização do fenómeno learned nonuse. Verificaram-se ganhos funcionais em todos os participantes nas atividades da vida diária apesar de serem diferentes de participante para participante. Dois participantes afirmaram que voltariam a participar no programa.Conclui-se, assim que a técnica resulta em ganhos funcionais nestes utentes, indicando um caminho alternativo a outras abordagens de reabilitação.

Optimização energética da olaria de uma cerâmica

Na indústria cerâmica o consumo de energia é elevado, fazendo com que este custo represente uma parte significativa dos custos totais de produção das peças. De forma a diminuir esta dependência, a energia deve ser gerida de forma contínua e eficazmente. O presente trabalho consistiu na análise da situação energética e na elaboração de propostas de optimização da etapa de conformação que ocorre na Olaria número quatro da Fábrica Cerâmica de Valadares, S.A. Determinou-se o rendimento efectivo da Olaria, tendo-se obtido um valor de 24,7%. As perdas térmicas ocorrem na Olaria, a nível da envolvente, da ventilação, da exaustão de gases e da inércia térmica, representando, respectivamente, 18122 MJ, 50222 MJ, 39228 MJ e 4338 MJ por semana de trabalho. Numa última fase sugeriram-se algumas medidas de optimização energética. A primeira medida visa uma melhoria na manutenção dos geradores, um aumento na gama de temperaturas de funcionamento dos geradores e uma minimização dos tempos de abertura dos portões. Na segunda medida propõe-se a diminuição da percentagem de excesso de ar para 10%, equivalendo a uma poupança de 8839 €/ano. Na terceira medida avaliou-se a possibilidade da aplicação de um permutador de calor de modo a aproveitar os gases de combustão. Esta permitiria uma poupança de 119 €/ano, no entanto, devido ao elevado tempo de retorno do investimento (12,6 anos) considerou-se que esta medida não era viável. A quarta proposta relaciona-se com a optimização da ventilação da Olaria por aumento do ciclo de renovação de ar para 5 h, promovendo uma poupança de 8583 € anuais. Como última sugestão de optimização, aconselhou-se a diminuição do volume da olaria em 6935 m3. Com esta proposta é possível obter uma poupança de 4993 €/ano. Esta medida envolve um investimento de 12000 €, sendo o tempo de retorno do investimento de 2,4 anos. Das cinco propostas estudadas concluiu-se que quatro são viáveis permitindo uma melhoria do funcionamento da Olaria e uma poupança significativa na factura energética.

The roman conquered by delay: reducing the number of preemptions using sleep states

Sleep-states are emerging as a first-class design choice in energy minimization. A side effect of this is that the release behavior of the system is affected and subsequently the preemption relations between tasks. In a first step we have investigated how the behavior in terms of number of preemptions of tasks in the system is changed at runtime, using an existing procrastination approach, which utilizes sleepstates for energy savings purposes. Our solution resulted in substantial savings of preemptions and we expect from even higher yields for alternative energy saving algorithms. This work is intended to form the base of future research, which aims to bound the number of preemptions at analysis time and subsequently how this may be employed in the analysis to reduced the amount of system utilization, which is reserved to account for the preemption delay.

A sensitivity study of the WRF model in wind simulation for an area of high wind energy

The performance of the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model in wind simulation was evaluated under different numerical and physical options for an area of Portugal, located in complex terrain and characterized by its significant wind energy resource. The grid nudging and integration time of the simulations were the tested numerical options. Since the goal is to simulate the near-surface wind, the physical parameterization schemes regarding the boundary layer were the ones under evaluation. Also, the influences of the local terrain complexity and simulation domain resolution on the model results were also studied. Data from three wind measuring stations located within the chosen area were compared with the model results, in terms of Root Mean Square Error, Standard Deviation Error and Bias. Wind speed histograms, occurrences and energy wind roses were also used for model evaluation. Globally, the model accurately reproduced the local wind regime, despite a significant underestimation of the wind speed. The wind direction is reasonably simulated by the model especially in wind regimes where there is a clear dominant sector, but in the presence of low wind speeds the characterization of the wind direction (observed and simulated) is very subjective and led to higher deviations between simulations and observations. Within the tested options, results show that the use of grid nudging in simulations that should not exceed an integration time of 2 days is the best numerical configuration, and the parameterization set composed by the physical schemes MM5–Yonsei University–Noah are the most suitable for this site. Results were poorer in sites with higher terrain complexity, mainly due to limitations of the terrain data supplied to the model. The increase of the simulation domain resolution alone is not enough to significantly improve the model performance. Results suggest that error minimization in the wind simulation can be achieved by testing and choosing a suitable numerical and physical configuration for the region of interest together with the use of high resolution terrain data, if available.

A hybrid genetic algorithm for the multi-mode resource-constrained project scheduling

A construction project is a group of discernible tasks or activities that are conduct-ed in a coordinated effort to accomplish one or more objectives. Construction projects re-quire varying levels of cost, time and other resources. To plan and schedule a construction project, activities must be defined sufficiently. The level of detail determines the number of activities contained within the project plan and schedule. So, finding feasible schedules which efficiently use scarce resources is a challenging task within project management. In this context, the well-known Resource Constrained Project Scheduling Problem (RCPSP) has been studied during the last decades. In the RCPSP the activities of a project have to be scheduled such that the makespan of the project is minimized. So, the technological precedence constraints have to be observed as well as limitations of the renewable resources required to accomplish the activities. Once started, an activity may not be interrupted. This problem has been extended to a more realistic model, the multi-mode resource con-strained project scheduling problem (MRCPSP), where each activity can be performed in one out of several modes. Each mode of an activity represents an alternative way of combining different levels of resource requirements with a related duration. Each renewable resource has a limited availability for the entire project such as manpower and machines. This paper presents a hybrid genetic algorithm for the multi-mode resource-constrained pro-ject scheduling problem, in which multiple execution modes are available for each of the ac-tivities of the project. The objective function is the minimization of the construction project completion time. To solve the problem, is applied a two-level genetic algorithm, which makes use of two separate levels and extend the parameterized schedule generation scheme. It is evaluated the quality of the schedules and presents detailed comparative computational re-sults for the MRCPSP, which reveal that this approach is a competitive algorithm.

Numerical prediction of delamination onset in carbon/epoxy composites drilling

Despite the fact that their physical properties make them an attractive family of materials, composites machining can cause several damage modes such as delamination, fibre pull-out, thermal degradation, and others. Minimization of axial thrust force during drilling reduces the probability of delamination onset, as it has been demonstrated by analytical models based on linear elastic fracture mechanics (LEFM). A finite element model considering solid elements of the ABAQUS® software library and interface elements including a cohesive damage model was developed in order to simulate thrust forces and delamination onset during drilling. Thrust force results for delamination onset are compared with existing analytical models.

A genetic algorithm for project scheduling with multi-modes and renewable resources

This paper presents a genetic algorithm-based approach for project scheduling with multi-modes and renewable resources. In this problem activities of the project may be executed in more than one operating mode and renewable resource constraints are imposed. The objective function is the minimization of the project completion time. The idea of this approach is integrating a genetic algorithm with a schedule generation scheme. This study also proposes applying a local search procedure trying to yield a better solution when the genetic algorithm and the schedule generation scheme obtain a solution. The experimental results show that this algorithm is an effective method for solving this problem.

Utilização de algoritmos de processamento e análise de imagem na avaliação do dano em placas compósitas

PTDC/EME–TME/66207/2006 e POSC/EEA-SRI/55386/2004