Research on using the decision tree method in order to select the best alternative for the pharmacies supply

Introduction / Aims: Adopting the important decisions represents a specific task of the manager. An efficient manager takes these decisions during a sistematic process with well-defined elements, each with a precise order. In the pharmaceutical practice and business, in the supply process of the pharmacies, there are situations when the medicine distributors offer a certain discount, but require payment in a shorter period of time. In these cases, the analysis of the offer can be made with the help of the decision tree method, which permits identifying the decision offering the best possible result in a given situation. The aims of the research have been the analysis of the product offers of many different suppliers and the establishing of the most advantageous ways of pharmacy supplying. Material / Methods: There have been studied the general product offers of the following medical stores: A&G Med, Farmanord, Farmexim, Mediplus, Montero and Relad. In the case of medicine offers including a discount, the decision tree method has been applied in order to select the most advantageous offers. The Decision Tree is a management method used in taking the right decisions and it is generally used when one needs to evaluate the decisions that involve a series of stages. The tree diagram is used in order to look for the most efficient means to attain a specific goal. The decision trees are the most probabilistic methods, useful when adopting risk taking decisions. Results: The results of the analysis on the tree diagrams have indicated the fact that purchasing medicines with discount (1%, 10%, 15%) and payment in a shorter time interval (120 days) is more profitable than purchasing without a discount and payment in a longer time interval (160 days). Discussion / Conclusion: Depending on the results of the tree diagram analysis, the pharmacies would purchase from the selected suppliers. The research has shown that the decision tree method represents a valuable work instrument in choosing the best ways for supplying pharmacies and it is very useful to the specialists from the pharmaceutical field, pharmaceutical management, to medicine suppliers, pharmacy practitioners from the community pharmacies and especially to pharmacy managers, chief – pharmacists.

An integrated system to support electricity tariff contract definition

This paper presents an integrated system that helps both retail companies and electricity consumers on the definition of the best retail contracts and tariffs. This integrated system is composed by a Decision Support System (DSS) based on a Consumer Characterization Framework (CCF). The CCF is based on data mining techniques, applied to obtain useful knowledge about electricity consumers from large amounts of consumption data. This knowledge is acquired following an innovative and systematic approach able to identify different consumers’ classes, represented by a load profile, and its characterization using decision trees. The framework generates inputs to use in the knowledge base and in the database of the DSS. The rule sets derived from the decision trees are integrated in the knowledge base of the DSS. The load profiles together with the information about contracts and electricity prices form the database of the DSS. This DSS is able to perform the classification of different consumers, present its load profile and test different electricity tariffs and contracts. The final outputs of the DSS are a comparative economic analysis between different contracts and advice about the most economic contract to each consumer class. The presentation of the DSS is completed with an application example using a real data base of consumers from the Portuguese distribution company.

“To laugh in tragic joy” – a linguagem poética de W. B. Yeats em Lapis Lazuli

Artigo em texto integral no link da versão do editor

Green Cork. Um caso de responsabilidade social e sustentabilidade

Neste caso de estudo apresentam-se as acções de Responsabilidade Social e Sustentabilidade das organizações envolvidas no Programa GREEN CORK, assim como alguns aspectos relacionados com marketing verde. O GREEN CORK é um Programa de Reciclagem de rolhas de cortiça que permite o financiamento de parte do Programa “CRIAR BOSQUES, CONSERVAR A BIODIVERSIDADE”, que utilizará exclusivamente árvores que constituem a nossa floresta autóctone. “ROLHAS POR QUERCUS” é a mensagem do Programa GREEN CORK.

Experimental and numerical evaluation of composite repairs on wood beams damaged by cross-graining

An experimental and Finite Element study was performed on the bending behaviour of wood beams of the Pinus Pinaster species repaired with adhesively-bonded carbon–epoxy patches, after sustaining damage by cross-grain failure. This damage is characterized by crack growth at a small angle to the beams longitudinal axis, due to misalignment between the wood fibres and the beam axis. Cross-grain failure can occur in large-scale in a wood member when trees that have grown spirally or with a pronounced taper are cut for lumber. Three patch lengths were tested. The simulations include the possibility of cohesive fracture of the adhesive layer, failure within the wood beam in two propagation planes and patch interlaminar failure, by the use of cohesive zone modelling. The respective cohesive properties were estimated either by an inverse method or from the literature. The comparison with the tests allowed the validation of the proposed methodology, opening a good perspective for the reduction of costs in the design stages of these repairs due to extensive experimentation.

Remediação de solos contaminados por compostos farmacêuticos

O recente surgimento de nanopartículas de ferro valente-zero (nFZV), um material com elevada capacidade de remediação de solos por via de reacções de oxidação/redução pode ser uma opção viável para a remoção de fármacos do solo. A sua aplicação já é uma realidade em alguns tipos de solos contaminados por compostos específicos e, com este trabalho, procura-se estudar a sua capacidade de remediação de solos contaminados por compostos farmacêuticos, recorrendo-se a uma tecnologia “verde” de síntese destas nanopartículas. Esta tecnologia é bastante recente, ainda não aplicada no campo de trabalho, que se baseia no uso de folhas de certas árvores para produzir extratos naturais que reduzem o ferro (III) a ferro zero valente, formando nFZV. Desta forma procedeu-se, à escala laboratorial, ao estudo da eficiência das nFZV na degradação de um fármaco – paracetamol – e comparou-se com a eficiência demonstrada por oxidantes, muito utilizados hoje em dia em casos de remediação in situ como o permanganato de potássio, o peróxido de hidrogénio, o persulfato de sódio e o reagente de Fenton. O estudo foi efectuado em dois meios diferentes: solução aquosa e solo arenoso. De forma muito sucinta, o estudo baseou-se na introdução dos oxidantes/nFZV em soluções/solos contaminados com paracetamol e consequente monitorização do processo de remediação através de cromatografia líquida de alta eficiência. Nos ensaios com soluções aquosas contaminadas com paracetamol, o permanganato de potássio e o reagente de Fenton revelaram capacidade para degradar o paracetamol, atingindo mesmo um grau de degradação de 100%. O persulfato de sódio também demonstrou uma capacidade de degradação do paracetamol, chegando a atingir 99% de degradação, mas apenas recorrendo ao uso de um volume de oxidante elevado quando comparado com os outros dois oxidantes já referidos. Por outro lado, o peróxido de hidrogénio não demonstrou qualquer capacidade de degradação do paracetamol, pelo que o seu uso não passou desta fase. Verificou-se também que o uso de ferro granulado para o tratamento de água contaminada com paracetamol revelou resultados diferentes dos observados no uso de nFZV, obtendo-se eficiências de 87%. Existiram dificuldades analíticas na quantificação do paracetamol, especificamente relacionadas com o uso do extracto de folhas de amoreira, cuja composição continha substâncias que causaram dificuldades acentuadas na análise dos cromatogramas. Por fim, um pequeno teste de combinação do reagente de Fenton com os fenómenos de biodegradação resultantes dos microrganismos presentes em folhas do extracto de chá preto demonstrou que este pode ser uma área que pode e deve ser mais estudada. Desta forma, a utilização das nFZV para o tratamento de água contaminada com paracetamol não permitiu a retirada de conclusões seguras sobre a capacidade que as nFZV produzidas com extractos de folhas de amoreira e de chá preto têm de degradação do paracetamol. Nos testes de remediação de solos contaminados os resultados demonstraram que, mais uma vez, tanto o permanganato de potássio como o reagente de Fenton se revelam como os melhores oxidantes para a degradação do paracetamol, obtendo-se a degradação total do paracetamol. Por outro lado, voltou a ser necessário uma elevada quantidade de persulfato de sódio quando comparada com os dois anteriores, para que ocorra a degradação desta mesma quantidade de paracetamol, demonstrando mais uma vez que, apesar de não ideal, o persulfato demonstra capacidade de degradação do paracetamol.

Desenvolvimento de Ontologia para Apoio ao Diagnóstico de Distúrbios do Humor

Mestrado em Computação e Instrumentação Médica

Soil sampling design and sampling techniques for soil properties monitoring – common difficulties related to forest soils

Mathematical models and statistical analysis are key instruments in soil science scientific research as they can describe and/or predict the current state of a soil system. These tools allow us to explore the behavior of soil related processes and properties as well as to generate new hypotheses for future experimentation. A good model and analysis of soil properties variations, that permit us to extract suitable conclusions and estimating spatially correlated variables at unsampled locations, is clearly dependent on the amount and quality of data and of the robustness techniques and estimators. On the other hand, the quality of data is obviously dependent from a competent data collection procedure and from a capable laboratory analytical work. Following the standard soil sampling protocols available, soil samples should be collected according to key points such as a convenient spatial scale, landscape homogeneity (or non-homogeneity), land color, soil texture, land slope, land solar exposition. Obtaining good quality data from forest soils is predictably expensive as it is labor intensive and demands many manpower and equipment both in field work and in laboratory analysis. Also, the sampling collection scheme that should be used on a data collection procedure in forest field is not simple to design as the sampling strategies chosen are strongly dependent on soil taxonomy. In fact, a sampling grid will not be able to be followed if rocks at the predicted collecting depth are found, or no soil at all is found, or large trees bar the soil collection. Considering this, a proficient design of a soil data sampling campaign in forest field is not always a simple process and sometimes represents a truly huge challenge. In this work, we present some difficulties that have occurred during two experiments on forest soil that were conducted in order to study the spatial variation of some soil physical-chemical properties. Two different sampling protocols were considered for monitoring two types of forest soils located in NW Portugal: umbric regosol and lithosol. Two different equipments for sampling collection were also used: a manual auger and a shovel. Both scenarios were analyzed and the results achieved have allowed us to consider that monitoring forest soil in order to do some mathematical and statistical investigations needs a sampling procedure to data collection compatible to established protocols but a pre-defined grid assumption often fail when the variability of the soil property is not uniform in space. In this case, sampling grid should be conveniently adapted from one part of the landscape to another and this fact should be taken into consideration of a mathematical procedure.

Management Driven Hybrid Multicast Framework for Content Aware Networks

The need for better adaptation of networks to transported flows has led to research on new approaches such as content aware networks and network aware applications. In parallel, recent developments of multimedia and content oriented services and applications such as IPTV, video streaming, video on demand, and Internet TV reinforced interest in multicast technologies. IP multicast has not been widely deployed due to interdomain and QoS support problems; therefore, alternative solutions have been investigated. This article proposes a management driven hybrid multicast solution that is multi-domain and media oriented, and combines overlay multicast, IP multicast, and P2P. The architecture is developed in a content aware network and network aware application environment, based on light network virtualization. The multicast trees can be seen as parallel virtual content aware networks, spanning a single or multiple IP domains, customized to the type of content to be transported while fulfilling the quality of service requirements of the service provider.

Dynamic Analysis and Pattern Visualization of Forest Fires

This paper analyses forest fires in the perspective of dynamical systems. Forest fires exhibit complex correlations in size, space and time, revealing features often present in complex systems, such as the absence of a characteristic length-scale, or the emergence of long range correlations and persistent memory. This study addresses a public domain forest fires catalogue, containing information of events for Portugal, during the period from 1980 up to 2012. The data is analysed in an annual basis, modelling the occurrences as sequences of Dirac impulses with amplitude proportional to the burnt area. First, we consider mutual information to correlate annual patterns. We use visualization trees, generated by hierarchical clustering algorithms, in order to compare and to extract relationships among the data. Second, we adopt the Multidimensional Scaling (MDS) visualization tool. MDS generates maps where each object corresponds to a point. Objects that are perceived to be similar to each other are placed on the map forming clusters. The results are analysed in order to extract relationships among the data and to identify forest fire patterns.

Análise de Desempenho e Recomendação para Soluções IVR

Mestrado em Engenharia Informática, Área de Especialização em Tecnologias do Conhecimento e da Decisão

Using data mining techniques to support breast cancer diagnosis

More than ever, there is an increase of the number of decision support methods and computer aided diagnostic systems applied to various areas of medicine. In breast cancer research, many works have been done in order to reduce false-positives when used as a double reading method. In this study, we aimed to present a set of data mining techniques that were applied to approach a decision support system in the area of breast cancer diagnosis. This method is geared to assist clinical practice in identifying mammographic findings such as microcalcifications, masses and even normal tissues, in order to avoid misdiagnosis. In this work a reliable database was used, with 410 images from about 115 patients, containing previous reviews performed by radiologists as microcalcifications, masses and also normal tissue findings. Throughout this work, two feature extraction techniques were used: the gray level co-occurrence matrix and the gray level run length matrix. For classification purposes, we considered various scenarios according to different distinct patterns of injuries and several classifiers in order to distinguish the best performance in each case described. The many classifiers used were Naïve Bayes, Support Vector Machines, k-nearest Neighbors and Decision Trees (J48 and Random Forests). The results in distinguishing mammographic findings revealed great percentages of PPV and very good accuracy values. Furthermore, it also presented other related results of classification of breast density and BI-RADS® scale. The best predictive method found for all tested groups was the Random Forest classifier, and the best performance has been achieved through the distinction of microcalcifications. The conclusions based on the several tested scenarios represent a new perspective in breast cancer diagnosis using data mining techniques.

Contribuição da produção em regime especial na garantia do abastecimento de energia elétrica e o impacto no planeamento da rede

Esta dissertação apresenta um estudo sobre a garantia de fornecimento de energia elétrica por parte dos produtores em regime especial com tecnologia cogeração e o impacto que estes traduzem na fase de planeamento da rede. Este trabalho foi realizado na Energias de Portugal - Distribuição (EDP-D) na direção de planeamento da rede (DPL). Para este estudo foi utilizado o caso de uma subestação com dezoito produtores em regime especial agregados à sua rede, em que dezasseis desses produtores são cogeração. A proposta de estudo para o caso concreto, passa pela análise das condições de funcionamento da subestação e apurar se a mesma necessita de alguma reformulação, tendo em vista as cargas a satisfazer atuais e possível incremento de carga futura. Considerando que a subestação está inserida num ambiente industrial e atendendo que existem diversos produtores de energia elétrica nas imediações da subestação. Para a resolução da garantia do fornecimento de energia por parte da cogeração, estudou-se a possibilidade de prever a energia produzida por estes produtores, através dos seguintes modelos de previsão: árvore de regressão, árvore de regressão com aplicação bagging e uma rede neuronal (unidirecional). Com a implementação destes modelos pretende-se estimar qual a potência que se pode esperar na garantia de abastecimento da carga, prevenindo maior solicitação de potência por parte da subestação. A metodologia utilizada baseia-se em simulações computacionais.

Dynamic Analysis and Pattern Visualization of Forest Fires

This paper analyses forest fires in the perspective of dynamical systems. Forest fires exhibit complex correlations in size, space and time, revealing features often present in complex systems, such as the absence of a characteristic length-scale, or the emergence of long range correlations and persistent memory. This study addresses a public domain forest fires catalogue, containing information of events for Portugal, during the period from 1980 up to 2012. The data is analysed in an annual basis, modelling the occurrences as sequences of Dirac impulses with amplitude proportional to the burnt area. First, we consider mutual information to correlate annual patterns. We use visualization trees, generated by hierarchical clustering algorithms, in order to compare and to extract relationships among the data. Second, we adopt the Multidimensional Scaling (MDS) visualization tool. MDS generates maps where each object corresponds to a point. Objects that are perceived to be similar to each other are placed on the map forming clusters. The results are analysed in order to extract relationships among the data and to identify forest fire patterns.

A Real-Time Optimization for 2R Manipulators

This work proposes a real-time algorithm to generate a trajectory for a 2 link planar robotic manipulator. The objective is to minimize the space/time ripple and the energy requirements or the time duration in the robot trajectories. The proposed method uses an off line genetic algorithm to calculate every possible trajectory between all cells of the workspace grid. The resultant trajectories are saved in several trees. Then any trajectory requested is constructed in real-time, from these trees. The article presents the results for several experiments.