LAID - a smart decision room with ambient intelligence for group decision making and argumentation support considering emotional aspects

Decision Making is one of the most important activities of the human being. Nowadays decisions imply to consider many different points of view, so decisions are commonly taken by formal or informal groups of persons. Groups exchange ideas or engage in a process of argumentation and counter-argumentation, negotiate, cooperate, collaborate or even discuss techniques and/or methodologies for problem solving. Group Decision Making is a social activity in which the discussion and results consider a combination of rational and emotional aspects. In this paper we will present a Smart Decision Room, LAID (Laboratory of Ambient Intelligence for Decision Making). In LAID environment it is provided the support to meeting room participants in the argumentation and decision making processes, combining rational and emotional aspects.

Intelligent decision making in electricity markets: simulated annealing Q-Learning

Electricity markets are complex environments, involving a large number of different entities, playing in a dynamic scene to obtain the best advantages and profits. MASCEM is a multi-agent electricity market simulator to model market players and simulate their operation in the market. Market players are entities with specific characteristics and objectives, making their decisions and interacting with other players. MASCEM is integrated with ALBidS, a system that provides several dynamic strategies for agents’ behavior. This paper presents a method that aims at enhancing ALBidS competence in endowing market players with adequate strategic bidding capabilities, allowing them to obtain the higher possible gains out of the market. This method uses a reinforcement learning algorithm to learn from experience how to choose the best from a set of possible actions. These actions are defined accordingly to the most probable points of bidding success. With the purpose of accelerating the convergence process, a simulated annealing based algorithm is included.

Seller, buyer and VPP agents behavior on a simulated electricity market

Competitive electricity markets are complex environments, involving a large number of different entities, playing in a dynamic scene to obtain the best advantages and profits. MASCEM is an electricity market simulator able to model market players and simulate their operation in the market. As market players are complex entities, having their characteristics and objectives, making their decisions and interacting with other players, a multi-agent architecture is used and proved to be adequate. MASCEM players have learning capabilities and different risk preferences. They are able to refine their strategies according to their past experience (both real and simulated) and considering other agents’ behavior. Agents’ behavior is also subject to its risk preferences.

Intelligent multi-player smart grid management considering distributed energy resources and demand response

The smart grid concept is rapidly evolving in the direction of practical implementations able to bring smart grid advantages into practice. Evolution in legacy equipment and infrastructures is not sufficient to accomplish the smart grid goals as it does not consider the needs of the players operating in a complex environment which is dynamic and competitive in nature. Artificial intelligence based applications can provide solutions to these problems, supporting decentralized intelligence and decision-making. A case study illustrates the importance of Virtual Power Players (VPP) and multi-player negotiation in the context of smart grids. This case study is based on real data and aims at optimizing energy resource management, considering generation, storage and demand response.

Qualidade de vida relacionada com o exercício em indivíduos com asma: revisão sistemática

Background: A asma condiciona o dia-a-dia do indivíduo asmático do ponto de vista clínico e emocional demonstrando-se muitas vezes como um subtractivo da qualidade de vida (QV). Alguns estudos, com particular incidência nos últimos dez anos, para além de demonstrarem os benefícios da actividade física na componente clínica da doença, têm analisado o seu efeito na QV dos asmáticos. Objectivo: Analisar os efeitos da actividade física na QV de indivíduos com asma tendo por base uma revisão da literatura actual. Métodos: Foi conduzida uma pesquisa dos randomized controlled trials (RCT) compreendidos entre Janeiro de 2000 e Agosto de 2010, bem como as citações e as referências bibliográficas de cada estudo nas principais bases de dados de ciências da saúde (Academic Search Complete, DOAJ, Elsevier – Science Direct, Highwire Press, PubMed, Scielo Global, Scirus, Scopus, SpringerLink, Taylor & Francis e Wiley Interscience) com as palavras-chave: asthma, quality of life, QoL, physical activity, exercise, breathing, training e programme em todas as combinações possíveis. Os estudos foram analisados independentemente por dois revisores quanto aos critérios de inclusão e qualidade dos estudos. Resultados: Dos 1075 estudos identificados apenas onze foram incluídos. Destes, seis apresentaram um score 5/10, três 6/10 e dois 7/10 segundo a escala PEDro. Cinco destes estudos foram realizados em crianças entre os 7 e os 15 anos e os restantes em adultos. Os programas de intervenção dividiram-se em programas de treino aeróbio e programas de exercícios respiratórios. Todos programas de treino aeróbio apresentaram melhorias na QV demonstrando uma influência positiva do treino aeróbio na asma. Principais conclusões: Há uma tendência notória do benefício dos programas de treino aeróbio na QV dos indivíduos asmáticos. Os programas de exercícios respiratórios foram poucos e heterogéneos impossibilitando uma conclusão positiva quanto à sua recomendação para a melhoria da QV nesta patologia. Há uma grande necessidade de mais RCT com rigor metodológico.

Gestão estratégica: balanced scorecard para uma entidade hospitalar

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Contabilidade e Finanças Orientador: Doutora Cláudia Maria Ferreira Pereira Lopes

ANN-Based LMP forecasting in a distribution network with large penetration of DG

In recent years, power systems have experienced many changes in their paradigm. The introduction of new players in the management of distributed generation leads to the decentralization of control and decision-making, so that each player is able to play in the market environment. In the new context, it will be very relevant that aggregator players allow midsize, small and micro players to act in a competitive environment. In order to achieve their objectives, virtual power players and single players are required to optimize their energy resource management process. To achieve this, it is essential to have financial resources capable of providing access to appropriate decision support tools. As small players have difficulties in having access to such tools, it is necessary that these players can benefit from alternative methodologies to support their decisions. This paper presents a methodology, based on Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), and intended to support smaller players. In this case the present methodology uses a training set that is created using energy resource scheduling solutions obtained using a mixed-integer linear programming (MIP) approach as the reference optimization methodology. The trained network is used to obtain locational marginal prices in a distribution network. The main goal of the paper is to verify the accuracy of the ANN based approach. Moreover, the use of a single ANN is compared with the use of two or more ANN to forecast the locational marginal price.

Adaptive learning in multiagent systems: a forecasting methodology based on error analysis

Electricity markets are complex environments, involving a large number of different entities, playing in a dynamic scene to obtain the best advantages and profits. MASCEM is a multi-agent electricity market simu-lator to model market players and simulate their operation in the market. Market players are entities with specific characteristics and objectives, making their decisions and interacting with other players. MASCEM pro-vides several dynamic strategies for agents’ behaviour. This paper presents a method that aims to provide market players strategic bidding capabilities, allowing them to obtain the higher possible gains out of the market. This method uses an auxiliary forecasting tool, e.g. an Artificial Neural Net-work, to predict the electricity market prices, and analyses its forecasting error patterns. Through the recognition of such patterns occurrence, the method predicts the expected error for the next forecast, and uses it to adapt the actual forecast. The goal is to approximate the forecast to the real value, reducing the forecasting error.

ANN based support for distributed energy resources scheduling in smart grids

The future scenarios for operation of smart grids are likely to include a large diversity of players, of different types and sizes. With control and decision making being decentralized over the network, intelligence should also be decentralized so that every player is able to play in the market environment. In the new context, aggregator players, enabling medium, small, and even micro size players to act in a competitive environment, will be very relevant. Virtual Power Players (VPP) and single players must optimize their energy resource management in order to accomplish their goals. This is relatively easy to larger players, with financial means to have access to adequate decision support tools, to support decision making concerning their optimal resource schedule. However, the smaller players have difficulties in accessing this kind of tools. So, it is required that these smaller players can be offered alternative methods to support their decisions. This paper presents a methodology, based on Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), intended to support smaller players’ resource scheduling. The used methodology uses a training set that is built using the energy resource scheduling solutions obtained with a reference optimization methodology, a mixed-integer non-linear programming (MINLP) in this case. The trained network is able to achieve good schedule results requiring modest computational means.

Cost dependent strategy for electricity markets bidding based on adaptive reinforcement learning

Electricity markets are complex environments, involving a large number of different entities, playing in a dynamic scene to obtain the best advantages and profits. MASCEM is a multi-agent electricity market simulator to model market players and simulate their operation in the market. Market players are entities with specific characteristics and objectives, making their decisions and interacting with other players. MASCEM provides several dynamic strategies for agents’ behavior. This paper presents a method that aims to provide market players with strategic bidding capabilities, allowing them to obtain the higher possible gains out of the market. This method uses a reinforcement learning algorithm to learn from experience how to choose the best from a set of possible bids. These bids are defined accordingly to the cost function that each producer presents.

Computational intelligence applications for future power systems

Power system planning, control and operation require an adequate use of existing resources as to increase system efficiency. The use of optimal solutions in power systems allows huge savings stressing the need of adequate optimization and control methods. These must be able to solve the envisaged optimization problems in time scales compatible with operational requirements. Power systems are complex, uncertain and changing environments that make the use of traditional optimization methodologies impracticable in most real situations. Computational intelligence methods present good characteristics to address this kind of problems and have already proved to be efficient for very diverse power system optimization problems. Evolutionary computation, fuzzy systems, swarm intelligence, artificial immune systems, neural networks, and hybrid approaches are presently seen as the most adequate methodologies to address several planning, control and operation problems in power systems. Future power systems, with intensive use of distributed generation and electricity market liberalization increase power systems complexity and bring huge challenges to the forefront of the power industry. Decentralized intelligence and decision making requires more effective optimization and control techniques techniques so that the involved players can make the most adequate use of existing resources in the new context. The application of computational intelligence methods to deal with several problems of future power systems is presented in this chapter. Four different applications are presented to illustrate the promises of computational intelligence, and illustrate their potentials.

A questão da língua na União Europeia – implicações sobre a liberdade de circulação de mercadorias

Dissertação apresentada ao Instituto Superior de Contabilidade e Administração do Porto para a obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Empreendedorismo e Internacionalização Orientada pela Mestre Maria Luísa Verdelho Alves

Sustentabilidade em escolas - um caso de estudo

Devido à actual conjuntura sócio económica e às crescentes preocupações ambientais e sociais houve a necessidade de construir e desenvolver indicadores de sustentabilidade que registassem e avaliassem o desempenho, ano após ano, da comunidade escolar, de modo a melhorá-lo, pois as escolas devem ser elas próprias, modelos de sustentabilidade. Os indicadores formulados e desenvolvidos são ferramentas de gestão pois facultam a identificação de prioridades, o estabelecimento de metas e a tomada de decisões além de possibilitarem a elaboração de um historial que pode ajudar a melhorar o desempenho económico, ambiental e social das escolas, de acordo com os três pilares do desenvolvimento sustentável. Foram aplicados, ao caso de estudo, os indicadores considerados mais relevantes, tendo em conta a globalidade da sua aplicação, a sua clareza, mensurabilidade, compreensibilidade e reprodutibilidade. Obtiveram-se 185 indicadores de eficiência distribuídos pelas áreas ambiental (46), social (85), económica (18) e ensino / aprendizagem (36) e 63 indicadores descritivos distribuídos pelas áreas social (39), económica (9) e ensino / aprendizagem (15). Através de um inquérito realizado para avaliar as expectativas globais da comunidade escolar e dos dados disponibilizados pelo gabinete de qualidade e pela administração da escola, que serviu de caso de estudo, conseguiram-se calcular 71% dos indicadores de eficiência e 70% dos indicadores descritivos propostos.

Método multicritério como apoio a um processo de negociação numa empresa de serviços médicos

O processo de negociação tem ganho relevância como uma das formas de gestão de conflitos. Verifica-se que nas organizações a negociação é um processo omnipresente, que tem sido alvo de muito estudo e investigação, e as capacidades de negociação são consideradas determinantes para o sucesso. Em consequência dessas tendências, surgem propostas de modelos de negociação bastantes flexíveis e que visam colaboração entre as partes interessadas, modelos que se adequam aos contextos organizacionais em que predominam relações estáveis e de longo prazo. Estas propostas procuram a solução óptima para as partes interessadas. No entanto, faltam frequentemente os mecanismos e procedimentos que garantam um processo estruturado para elaborar e analisar os diversos cenários na negociação, considerando um conjunto de aspectos relevantes para ambas as partes. No presente trabalho de dissertação formula-se uma proposta baseada no modelo de negociação Win Win Quantitativa, em que foi utilizada uma abordagem do método multicritério Analitic Hierarchy Process (AHP) para seleccionar a melhor opção de serviço para uma determinada empresa. Para o caso de estudo, num contexto real, foi necessário desenvolver uma aplicação Excel que permitisse analisar, de uma forma clara, as diversas alternativas perante os critérios mencionados. A aplicação do método AHP permite aos clientes tomar uma decisão potencialmente mais acertada. A aplicação informática procura optimizar os custos inerentes à prestação de serviços, oferecendo aos clientes um custo reduzido e assim tornando a empresa mais competitiva e atractiva para os potenciais clientes.

Strategic bidding in electricity markets: an agent-based simulator with game theory for scenario analysis

Electricity markets are complex environments, involving a large number of different entities, with specific characteristics and objectives, making their decisions and interacting in a dynamic scene. Game-theory has been widely used to support decisions in competitive environments; therefore its application in electricity markets can prove to be a high potential tool. This paper proposes a new scenario analysis algorithm, which includes the application of game-theory, to evaluate and preview different scenarios and provide players with the ability to strategically react in order to exhibit the behavior that better fits their objectives. This model includes forecasts of competitor players’ actions, to build models of their behavior, in order to define the most probable expected scenarios. Once the scenarios are defined, game theory is applied to support the choice of the action to be performed. Our use of game theory is intended for supporting one specific agent and not for achieving the equilibrium in the market. MASCEM (Multi-Agent System for Competitive Electricity Markets) is a multi-agent electricity market simulator that models market players and simulates their operation in the market. The scenario analysis algorithm has been tested within MASCEM and our experimental findings with a case study based on real data from the Iberian Electricity Market are presented and discussed.