Power law and entropy analysis of catastrophic phenomena

Catastrophic events, such as wars and terrorist attacks, tornadoes and hurricanes, earthquakes, tsunamis, floods and landslides, are always accompanied by a large number of casualties. The size distribution of these casualties has separately been shown to follow approximate power law (PL) distributions. In this paper, we analyze the statistical distributions of the number of victims of catastrophic phenomena, in particular, terrorism, and find double PL behavior. This means that the data sets are better approximated by two PLs instead of a single one. We plot the PL parameters, corresponding to several events, and observe an interesting pattern in the charts, where the lines that connect each pair of points defining the double PLs are almost parallel to each other. A complementary data analysis is performed by means of the computation of the entropy. The results reveal relationships hidden in the data that may trigger a future comprehensive explanation of this type of phenomena.

Forest fires in Northern region of Portugal: impact on PM levels

Every year European citizens become victims of devastating fires, which are especially disastrous for Southern European countries. Apart from the numerous health and economic consequences, fires generate hazardous pollutants that are introduced into the environment, thus representing serious risks for public health. In that regard, particulate matter (PM) is of amajor concern. Thus, the objectives of thisworkwere to characterize the trend of forest fire occurrences and burnt area during the period of 2005 and 2010 and to study the influence of forest fires on levels of particulatematter PM10 and PM2.5. In 2010, 22,026 forest fires occurred in Portugal. The northern region was the most affected by forest fires, with 27% of occurrences in Oporto district. The annual means of PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations at two urban background sites were 25±14 μg m−3 and 8.2±4.9 μg m−3, and 17±13 μg m−3 and 7.3±5.9 μg m−3, respectively. At both sites the highest levels of PMfractionswere observed during July and August of 2010, corresponding to the periods when majority (66%) of forest fires occurred. Furthermore, PM10 daily limit at the two sites was exceeded during 20 and 5 days, respectively; 56%, and respectively 60% of those exceedances occurred during the forest fire season. Considering that the risks of forest fire ignition and severity are enhanced with elevated temperatures, the climate change might increase the environmental impacts of forest fires.

A Review on the Characterization of Signals and Systems by Power Law Distributions

Power laws, also known as Pareto-like laws or Zipf-like laws, are commonly used to explain a variety of real world distinct phenomena, often described merely by the produced signals. In this paper, we study twelve cases, namely worldwide technological accidents, the annual revenue of America׳s largest private companies, the number of inhabitants in America׳s largest cities, the magnitude of earthquakes with minimum moment magnitude equal to 4, the total burned area in forest fires occurred in Portugal, the net worth of the richer people in America, the frequency of occurrence of words in the novel Ulysses, by James Joyce, the total number of deaths in worldwide terrorist attacks, the number of linking root domains of the top internet domains, the number of linking root domains of the top internet pages, the total number of human victims of tornadoes occurred in the U.S., and the number of inhabitants in the 60 most populated countries. The results demonstrate the emergence of statistical characteristics, very close to a power law behavior. Furthermore, the parametric characterization reveals complex relationships present at higher level of description.

Casualties distribution in human and natural hazards

Catastrophic events, such as wars and terrorist attacks, big tornadoes and hurricanes, huge earthquakes, tsunamis, floods, and landslides, are always accompanied by a large number of casualties. The size distribution of these casualties have separately been shown to follow approximate power law (PL) distributions. In this paper, we analyze the number of victims of catastrophic phenomena, in particular, terrorism, and find double PL behavior. This means that the data set is better approximated by two PLs instead of one. We have plotted the two PL parameters corresponding to all terrorist events occurred in every year, from 1980 to 2010. We observe an interesting pattern in the chart, where the lines, that connect each pair of points defining the double PLs, are roughly aligned to each other.

Welcome to the new world disorder: conflict and transformation in Ian McEwan’s saturday

Ian McEwan‘s novel Saturday deals with the complex issues of conflict and transformation in the age of terrorism. The plot presents one internal dilemma and several interpersonal altercations that occur within a mere twenty-four hours: a) Perowne (the protagonist) vs. himself, in face of his ambivalent thoughts regarding British military participation in the war in the Middle East; b) The protagonist vs. Baxter, a ruffian from East End, in the context of a car accident; c) Perowne vs. a fellow anaesthetist, Jay Strauss, during a squash game; d) Perowne‘s daughter, Daisy vs. her grandfather, John Grammaticus, both poets and rivals; e) Perowne‘s family vs. Baxter, who intrudes the protagonist‘s house. In this paper, I exemplify, analyse and discuss how: a) Understanding the causes of what we call evil constitutes an important step towards mutual understanding; b) Both science and arts (which Perowne considers, at first, irrelevant) are important elements in the process of transformation; c) Both personal and interpersonal conflicts are intrinsic to human nature — but they also propitiate healthy changes in behaviour and opinion, through reflection. In order to do so, I resort to Saturday, and to the work of several specialists in the field of conflict management.

A Participação das mulheres na administração das empresas “O Teto de vidro”

Dissertação apresentada ao Instituto Superior de Contabilidade para a obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Auditoria Orientador: Mestre Helena Maria Santos de Oliveira

Leis de Pareto para Guerras e Actos de Terrorismo

Mestrado em Engenharia Eletrotécnica e de Computadores - Área de Especialização de Sistemas e Planeamento Industrial

Seguro Obrigatório de Responsabilidade Civil Automóvel

Dissertação de Mestrado em Solicitadoria

New Features to Look at Natural Phenomena

Proceeding of the 3rd International Conference on Fractional Systems and Signals, at Ghent, Belgium

Proposta de solução de videovigilância para locais remotos

Desde tempos remotos que homens faziam a vigilância de bens e mercadorias e mais recentemente também de pessoas com o intuito de dissuadir roubos, atos de vandalismo e de violência. Nos últimos anos, com a evolução das novas tecnologias verificou-se a sua adoção para auxílio da vigilância. Os atos de terrorismo que têm acontecido um pouco por todo o mundo trouxeram um clima de insegurança à população mundial. Este fenómeno, juntamente com o elevado número de roubos e atos de violência levou à expansão de utilização dos meios de videovigilância de forma a dissuadir estes tipos de crime podendo mesmo, nalguns casos servir como prova para punir os autores dos mesmos. Em Portugal tem-se verificado uma escalada de crimes nas zonas mais rurais não só de bens como as alfaias agrícolas mas também de frutos e mesmo de animais. Estes crimes predominam em locais rurais, relativamente distantes das povoações e em locais onde não existem (ou são praticamente inexistentes) infraestruturas necessárias para implementar meios de videovigilância como a falta de rede elétrica e internet o que torna quase inviável a existência de sistemas de videovigilância nesses locais. Dotar esses locais das infra estruturas necessárias poderia tornar-se demasiado dispendioso e os vigilantes humanos poderiam correr riscos no meio dos montes ou noutros locais remotos para além dos seus elevados custos. Para além do problema dos roubos, existe um outro flagelo relacionado com os incêndios na floresta portuguesa, que todos os anos é dizimada pelo fogo devido a incêndios que surgem na sua maioria causados pelo homem sendo uma parte significativa os de origem criminosa. Para dar resposta a estes problemas e no sentido de vigiar e dissuadir estes tipos de crimes, iniciamos um estudo que pretende propor um protótipo de um sistema de videovigilância para locais remotos (SVR - Sistema de Videovigilância Remota) de baixo custo de forma a diminuir o número de crimes e assim minimizar os prejuízos económico e sociais causados pelos mesmos. Pretendemos estudar o problema e analisar tecnologias com potencial para propor uma solução que possa auxiliar a vigilância nesse tipo de locais com o pressuposto de poder vir a contribuir para a diminuição deste tipo de crimes devido ao seu efeito dissuasor pelo facto de se poder divulgar que estes locais já têm uma solução de vigilância oculta. A solução proposta contempla um sistema de videovigilância com uma camara construída com base num Raspberry Pi onde o vídeo é transmitido em streaming via Web através de comunicações móveis. A alimentação do sistema nestes espaços sem energia elétrica é feita através de um painel fotovoltaico. É proporcionado ao utilizador uma interface para visualizar o vídeo transmitido e um mecanismo de notificações por email. É ainda possível a visualização de imagens gravadas num cartão de memória relativas a ocorrências de deteção de movimentos. Foram realizados inúmeros testes ao protótipo SVR sendo os resultados obtidos aqui descritos.