The application of Basel III in Portugal: previsions based on 2012 and 2013 banking balance-sheets

The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) introduced new regulations for banking supervision in December 2010, better known as Basel III recommendations that aimed at guaranteeing the solidity of banks worldwide and the mitigation of new banking crises risks. The European Union transposed these directives through the Credit Review Directives IV (CRD IV). Portugal adopted CRD IV by a new decree-law no. 157/2014, on 24 th October 2014, enforced from 24 th November 2014. While individual banks have been given the option of using the internal ratings based method, this study analyses the compliance levels of all Portuguese banking institutions using the standard method, also prescribed by BCBS. Our results show that out of thirteen banks on 31-12-2013 only five banks were in a comfortable position and the remaining eight could not reach the minimum requirements set up by BCBS for 1-1-2014.

Planeamento estratégico através da implementação da metodologia Balanced Scorecard numa empresa de construção

Atualmente, existe uma constante necessidade de inovação tecnológica e organizacional das empresas, face às exigências do mercado e ao aumento constante da competitividade. No contexto da economia atual, e para contrariar a falta de investimento dos últimos anos, as empresas concentram-se no desenvolvimento de negócios bem estruturados e organizados, que satisfaçam as exigências de cada cliente. Revela-se, assim, muito importante a avaliação de desempenho para o alcance do seu sucesso, permitindo alinhar as atividades operacionais com a visão organizacional, fomentar a comunicação da estratégia e gerir o seu desempenho. É neste contexto que ganha importância o Balanced Scorecard, um instrumento que permite avaliar o desempenho organizacional, funcionando também como uma ferramenta de gestão. Tem, portanto, como principais objetivos definir claramente uma estratégia, definir objetivos, indicadores e medidas estratégicas, planear e estabelecer metas e melhorar continuamente os resultados obtidos. Esta ferramenta analisa a organização em quatro diferentes perspetivas: financeira, clientes, processos internos e apendizagem e crescimento. Cada uma delas deve estrututrar os seus próprios objetivos, indicadores, metas e iniciativas de forma a contribuir para o desenvolvimento da estratégia da organização e avaliar o seu desempenho. O desafio deste relatório é adaptar esta metodologia durante a realização de um estágio curricular na empresa Bysteel, que tem por base a implementação de um processo de gestão estratégica nas suas empreitadas, através do Balanced Scorecard. Este planemamento surge como um dos principais requisitos para uma gestão eficaz de custos e de tempo planeados para cada empreitada da Bysteel. Este processo torna-se bastante complexo dado que cada obra apresenta diferentes particularidades. A implementação desta metodologia numa empresa desta dimensão é um fator muito motivador, tornando-se ainda mais interessante pelo facto de se tratar de uma implementação numa nova vertente.

Impacto da redução de impostos sobre o trabalho, capital e consumo no crescimento económico da União Europeia dos 15

Este artigo tem por objectivo averiguar se uma redução nos impostos sobre o trabalho, capital e consumo poderão afectar permanentemente o crescimento económico, validando o paradigma do crescimento endógeno ou, se pelo contrário, afectam apenas o nível de output (teoria do crescimento exógeno). Recorrendo às taxas efectivas de impostos sobre as funções económicas estimadas por Martinez-Mongay (2000) e à estimação de modelos dinâmicos de séries temporais, que permitem estudar os efeitos de curto e de longo prazo, os resultados obtidos para 14 Estados-Membros da União Europeia dos 15, no período 1970-2000, sugerem a validação do paradigma de crescimento endógeno. Em particular, a redução dos impostos sobre o trabalho e o capital poderia estimular o crescimento económico de longo prazo.

Human capital in the knowledge-based society: comparative analysis: Romania-Portugal

The current economic crisis has rushed even more the economists’ concerns to identify new directions for the sustainable development of the society. In this context, the human capital is crystallised as the key variable of the creative economy and of the knowledge-based society. As such, we have directed the research underlying this paper to identifying the most eloquent indicators of human capital to meet the demands of the knowledge-based society and sustainable development as well as towards achieving a comprehensive analysis of the human capital in the EU countries, respectively of a comparative analysis: Romania - Portugal. To carry out this paper, the methodology used is based on the interdisciplinary triangulation involving approaches from the perspective of human resource management, economy and economic statistics. The research techniques used consist of the content analysis and investigation of secondary data of international organisations accredited in the field of this research, such as: the United Nation Development Programme - Human Development Reports, World Bank - World Development Reports, International Labour Organisation, Eurostat, European Commission’s Eurobarometer surveys and reports on human capital. The research results emphasise both similarities and differences between the two countries under the comparative analysis and the main directions in which one has to invest for the development of human capital.

Electricity markets modeling considering complex contracts and aggregators

All over the world, the liberalization of electricity markets, which follows different paradigms, has created new challenges for those involved in this sector. In order to respond to these challenges, electric power systems suffered a significant restructuring in its mode of operation and planning. This restructuring resulted in a considerable increase of the electric sector competitiveness. Particularly, the Ancillary Services (AS) market has been target of constant renovations in its operation mode as it is a targeted market for the trading of services, which have as main objective to ensure the operation of electric power systems with appropriate levels of stability, safety, quality, equity and competitiveness. In this way, with the increasing penetration of distributed energy resources including distributed generation, demand response, storage units and electric vehicles, it is essential to develop new smarter and hierarchical methods of operation of electric power systems. As these resources are mostly connected to the distribution network, it is important to consider the introduction of this kind of resources in AS delivery in order to achieve greater reliability and cost efficiency of electrical power systems operation. The main contribution of this work is the design and development of mechanisms and methodologies of AS market and for energy and AS joint market, considering different management entities of transmission and distribution networks. Several models developed in this work consider the most common AS in the liberalized market environment: Regulation Down; Regulation Up; Spinning Reserve and Non-Spinning Reserve. The presented models consider different rules and ways of operation, such as the division of market by network areas, which allows the congestion management of interconnections between areas; or the ancillary service cascading process, which allows the replacement of AS of superior quality by lower quality of AS, ensuring a better economic performance of the market. A major contribution of this work is the development an innovative methodology of market clearing process to be used in the energy and AS joint market, able to ensure viable and feasible solutions in markets, where there are technical constraints in the transmission network involving its division into areas or regions. The proposed method is based on the determination of Bialek topological factors and considers the contribution of the dispatch for all services of increase of generation (energy, Regulation Up, Spinning and Non-Spinning reserves) in network congestion. The use of Bialek factors in each iteration of the proposed methodology allows limiting the bids in the market while ensuring that the solution is feasible in any context of system operation. Another important contribution of this work is the model of the contribution of distributed energy resources in the ancillary services. In this way, a Virtual Power Player (VPP) is considered in order to aggregate, manage and interact with distributed energy resources. The VPP manages all the agents aggregated, being able to supply AS to the system operator, with the main purpose of participation in electricity market. In order to ensure their participation in the AS, the VPP should have a set of contracts with the agents that include a set of diversified and adapted rules to each kind of distributed resource. All methodologies developed and implemented in this work have been integrated into the MASCEM simulator, which is a simulator based on a multi-agent system that allows to study complex operation of electricity markets. In this way, the developed methodologies allow the simulator to cover more operation contexts of the present and future of the electricity market. In this way, this dissertation offers a huge contribution to the AS market simulation, based on models and mechanisms currently used in several real markets, as well as the introduction of innovative methodologies of market clearing process on the energy and AS joint market. This dissertation presents five case studies; each one consists of multiple scenarios. The first case study illustrates the application of AS market simulation considering several bids of market players. The energy and ancillary services joint market simulation is exposed in the second case study. In the third case study it is developed a comparison between the simulation of the joint market methodology, in which the player bids to the ancillary services is considered by network areas and a reference methodology. The fourth case study presents the simulation of joint market methodology based on Bialek topological distribution factors applied to transmission network with 7 buses managed by a TSO. The last case study presents a joint market model simulation which considers the aggregation of small players to a VPP, as well as complex contracts related to these entities. The case study comprises a distribution network with 33 buses managed by VPP, which comprises several kinds of distributed resources, such as photovoltaic, CHP, fuel cells, wind turbines, biomass, small hydro, municipal solid waste, demand response, and storage units.

Welfare effects of entry into international markets with licensing

We study the effects of entry of a foreign firm on domestic welfare in the presence of licensing, when the entrant is technologically inferior to the incumbent. We show that foreign entry increases domestic welfare for intermediate (respectively, sufficiently large) technological differences between the firms under licensing with fixed fee (respectively, output royalty).

Resident's perceptions on impacts of hosting the “Guimarães 2012 European Capital of Culture

. Residents tend to have high expectations about the benefits of hosting a mega‐event. So, it was not surprising that the nomination of Guimarães, Portugal, as the 2012 European Capital of Culture (2012 ECOC) had raised great expectations in the local community towards its socio‐economic and cultural benefits. The present research was designed to examine the Guimarães residents’ perceptions on the impacts of hosting the 2012 ECOC approached in two different time schedules, the pre‐ and the post‐event, trying to capture the evolution of the residents` evaluation of its impacts. For getting the data, two surveys were applied to Guimarães` residents, one in the pre‐event phase, in 2011, and another in the post‐event phase, in 2013. This approach is uncommonly applied to Portugal data and it is even the first time it was done to a Portuguese European Capital of Culture. After a factor analysis, the results of t‐tests indicate that there were significant differences (p<0.05) between the samples from the pre‐ and post‐2012 ECOC on two positive impact factors (Community’ benefits and Residents’ benefits) and one negative impact factor (Economic, social and environmental costs). Respondents also showed a negative perception of the impacts in all dimensions, except Changes in habits of Guimarães residents. 

Ex-ante evaluation by the media of the Guimarães 2012 European Capital of Culture

The nomination of Guimarães to host the 2012 European Capital of Culture (ECC) has put on the agenda of the city the need of measuring the effects that the implementation of this mega event could have in it and in the municipality a whole. The balance of the benefits and costs and an extended community involvement tend to reduce negative impacts and enhance positive ones. This chapter analyzes the involvement of population and local associations in the planning and organization of the 2012 Guimarães European Capital of Culture, using the coverage made during 2011 by local and national press of the mega event. A content analysis of the news published covering the period between January and December 2011 and using three newspapers was conducted. From those, two were local and weekly newspapers and one was a national daily one. Looking to data results, it can be concluded that it was poor the community involvement and, also, the one of the cultural associations in the organizations of the 2012 ECC. A strong negative reaction to the model choose to plan the mega event conducted by official organizers was found, which has cast doubts on the desirable participation of the residents and, consequently, on the success of the mega event, especially in a perspective of a medium and long term effects.

Potenciais impactos para Guimarães do acolhimento da Capital Europeia da Cultura 2012

A nomeação de Guimarães como Capital Europeia da Cultura (CEC), em 2012, suscitou grandes expectativas na comunidade local, nos territórios limítrofes e, de um modo geral, na população portuguesa. No entanto, muitos dos potenciais impactos são ainda pouco perceptíveis pela maior parte das pessoas, se bem que muitas delas antecipem que os impactos sejam positivos. A presente comunicação pretende aferir, de forma prospectiva, os possíveis impactos do acolhimento por Guimarães da CEC, em 2012. Por referência a experiências anteriores de organização de outras CEC, procura-se identificar alguns dos efeitos, em termos de atracção de turistas (nacionais e internacionais), das actividades culturais programadas, disponibilidades orçamentais e audiências, bem como aferir do potencial impacto económico e do legado do evento para o futuro da cidade. Com base na análise efectuada, pode concluir-se que Guimarães CEC 2012 oferece um potencial de atracção para o Norte do país e região da Galiza, possui um orçamento, por habitante, comparável a outras CEC e beneficia do empenhamento dos agentes locais. Menos positiva é a distância da cidade a dois dos principais destinos turísticos nacionais (Lisboa e Algarve), a extensão da programação cultural do evento, o fraco envolvimento dos agentes culturais locais no programa de actividades do evento e a inexistência de espaços museológicos de referência internacional. Em contrapartida, destaca-se a existência de ligações aéreas de baixo custo a várias cidades Europeias através do aeroporto do Porto, a possibilidade de reposicionar a imagem da cidade ao nível nacional e internacional, a disponibilização de fundos para a revitalização urbana do centro histórico e o aumento esperado do número de turistas (nacionais e estrangeiros). A recessão económica (nacional e Europeia), as dificuldades orçamentais, a pouca ambição da política de angariação de patrocínios e de recursos financeiros privados e a sustentabilidade do evento no futuro são algumas ameaças que poderão comprometer o sucesso de Guimarães CEC 2012

Impacto da influência de um Sistema de Gestão Técnica Centralizada na redução dos custos de exploração de um edifício

É de conhecimento do meio, que os Sistemas de Gestão Técnica Centralizada (SGTC) são uma mais-valia para a redução de utilização de energia associados principalmente aos sistemas de Aquecimento, Ventilação e Ar Condicionado (AVAC) apesar das potencialidades serem abrangentes a outras áreas. No entanto, existe alguma lacuna quanto à quantificação dessa mais-valia, facto importante sobretudo para a alteração de mentalidades dos promotores e proprietários dos edifícios, que por falta de prova, normalmente apenas associam o SGTC a um investimento num serviço desnecessário. As potencialidades dos SGTC são muitas, a título de exemplo, redução na utilização de fontes de energia, gestão da manutenção de sistemas e equipamentos, análise de eficiências de equipamentos, entre muitas outras, sendo nesta dissertação estudado com mais profundidade a questão associada à diferença dos custos de exploração resultantes da utilização de energia num edifício por parte dos sistemas de AVAC, isto é, quais serão os ganhos na utilização da energia, associados ao sistema AVAC, que podem ser obtidos com a implementação de um SGTC. Para o efeito, utilizou-se os sistemas e equipamentos existentes no edifício ECOTERMOLAB, pertencente ao Instituto de Soldadura e Qualidade (ISQ), com o objetivo de verificar as diferenças de utilização de energia resultantes do funcionamento do edifício em normal atividade, isto é, o edifício com todos os seus sistemas operacionais, incluindo o SGTC, e o edifício em funcionamento sem o auxílio do SGTC, ou seja, todos os sistemas associados ao sistema AVAC em funcionamento em modo manual e sem recurso a variação de caudal na rede aeráulica e hidráulica. Em termos anuais, o ECOTERMOLAB consome, aproximadamente, cerca de 38,1 MWh de energia elétrica e 39,2 MWh de gás natural, o que representa uma utilização de energia primária de 14,4 tep/ano. Esta energia, representa um encargo financeiro anual de, aproximadamente, 9500€/ano, correspondente a 7000€/ano de energia elétrica e 2500€/ano de gás natural. Após a análise desenvolvida neste trabalho, conclui-se que o funcionamento do edifício sem controlo do sistema de AVAC por SGTC representaria em termos anuais a um aumento de, aproximadamente, 25,2 MWh e 6,2 MWh de energia elétrica e de gás natural, respetivamente. Em termos de energia primária, a diferença entre soluções origina um acréscimo na utilização de energia de 7,8 tep/ano o que representa um aumento de emissão de CO2 na ordem das 9,4 ton/ano. A avaliação económica, recaiu sobre a determinação de indicadores para avaliação da viabilidade de implementação de um SGTC, nomeadamente, o período de retorno simples, o valor atual líquido e a taxa interna de rentabilidade. Todos estes indicadores se revelaram positivos, apresentando um período de retorno ligeiramente superior a oito anos, um valor atual líquido positivo (8864,1€) e uma taxa interna de rentabilidade superior à taxa de custo de capital (11,2%).

Contributos legislativos para a criação de empresas cooperativas: a livre fixação do capital social

Num contexto em que as dinâmicas europeias em matéria de empreendedorismo e empresas sociais apelam à melhoria do ambiente legal, este estudo debruça-se sobre a oportunidade da consagração do princípio da livre fixação nos estatutos da cooperativa do montante do capital social. Esta solução legislativa permitirá reduzir os custos de contexto para a constituição da cooperativa e evitar o risco de fuga para formas societárias com regimes mais favoráveis em matéria de capital social mínimo. Constata-se que nas cooperativas, mais intensamente do que nas sociedades comerciais, o capital social mínimo não desempenha eficientemente as funções que lhe são tradicionalmente atribuídas. Conclui-se, igualmente, que a avaliação do nível de capitalização das cooperativas não pode atender apenas a este instituto, devendo ter em conta o património da cooperativa ressalvado para garantia dos credores, com particular destaque para a reserva legal.

Negotiation context analysis in electricity markets

Contextualization is critical in every decision making process. Adequate responses to problems depend not only on the variables with direct influence on the outcomes, but also on a correct contextualization of the problem regarding the surrounding environment. Electricity markets are dynamic environments with increasing complexity, potentiated by the last decades' restructuring process. Dealing with the growing complexity and competitiveness in this sector brought the need for using decision support tools. A solid example is MASCEM (Multi-Agent Simulator of Competitive Electricity Markets), whose players' decisions are supported by another multiagent system – ALBidS (Adaptive Learning strategic Bidding System). ALBidS uses artificial intelligence techniques to endow market players with adaptive learning capabilities that allow them to achieve the best possible results in market negotiations. This paper studies the influence of context awareness in the decision making process of agents acting in electricity markets. A context analysis mechanism is proposed, considering important characteristics of each negotiation period, so that negotiating agents can adapt their acting strategies to different contexts. The main conclusion is that context-dependant responses improve the decision making process. Suiting actions to different contexts allows adapting the behaviour of negotiating entities to different circumstances, resulting in profitable outcomes.

Multi-agent simulation of competitive electricity markets: Autonomous systems cooperation for European market modeling

The electricity market restructuring, and its worldwide evolution into regional and even continental scales, along with the increasing necessity for an adequate integration of renewable energy sources, is resulting in a rising complexity in power systems operation. Several power system simulators have been developed in recent years with the purpose of helping operators, regulators, and involved players to understand and deal with this complex and constantly changing environment. The main contribution of this paper is given by the integration of several electricity market and power system models, respecting to the reality of different countries. This integration is done through the development of an upper ontology which integrates the essential concepts necessary to interpret all the available information. The continuous development of Multi-Agent System for Competitive Electricity Markets platform provides the means for the exemplification of the usefulness of this ontology. A case study using the proposed multi-agent platform is presented, considering a scenario based on real data that simulates the European Electricity Market environment, and comparing its performance using different market mechanisms. The main goal is to demonstrate the advantages that the integration of various market models and simulation platforms have for the study of the electricity markets’ evolution.

Six thinking hats: A novel metalearner for intelligent decision support in electricity markets

The energy sector has suffered a significant restructuring that has increased the complexity in electricity market players' interactions. The complexity that these changes brought requires the creation of decision support tools to facilitate the study and understanding of these markets. The Multiagent Simulator of Competitive Electricity Markets (MASCEM) arose in this context, providing a simulation framework for deregulated electricity markets. The Adaptive Learning strategic Bidding System (ALBidS) is a multiagent system created to provide decision support to market negotiating players. Fully integrated with MASCEM, ALBidS considers several different strategic methodologies based on highly distinct approaches. Six Thinking Hats (STH) is a powerful technique used to look at decisions from different perspectives, forcing the thinker to move outside its usual way of thinking. This paper aims to complement the ALBidS strategies by combining them and taking advantage of their different perspectives through the use of the STH group decision technique. The combination of ALBidS' strategies is performed through the application of a genetic algorithm, resulting in an evolutionary learning approach.