Power Law Behavior and Self-similarity in Modern Industrial Accidents

Advances in technology have produced more and more intricate industrial systems, such as nuclear power plants, chemical centers and petroleum platforms. Such complex plants exhibit multiple interactions among smaller units and human operators, rising potentially disastrous failure, which can propagate across subsystem boundaries. This paper analyzes industrial accident data-series in the perspective of statistical physics and dynamical systems. Global data is collected from the Emergency Events Database (EM-DAT) during the time period from year 1903 up to 2012. The statistical distributions of the number of fatalities caused by industrial accidents reveal Power Law (PL) behavior. We analyze the evolution of the PL parameters over time and observe a remarkable increment in the PL exponent during the last years. PL behavior allows prediction by extrapolation over a wide range of scales. In a complementary line of thought, we compare the data using appropriate indices and use different visualization techniques to correlate and to extract relationships among industrial accident events. This study contributes to better understand the complexity of modern industrial accidents and their ruling principles.

Pseudo Phase Plane and Fractional Calculus Modelling of Western Global Economic Downturn

This paper applies Pseudo Phase Plane (PPP) and Fractional Calculus (FC) mathematical tools for modeling world economies. A challenging global rivalry among the largest international economies began in the early 1970s, when the post-war prosperity declined. It went on, up to now. If some worrying threatens may exist actually in terms of possible ambitious military aggression, invasion, or hegemony, countries’ PPP relative positions can tell something on the current global peaceful equilibrium. A global political downturn of the USA on global hegemony in favor of Asian partners is possible, but can still be not accomplished in the next decades. If the 1973 oil chock has represented the beginning of a long-run recession, the PPP analysis of the last four decades (1972–2012) does not conclude for other partners’ global dominance (Russian, Brazil, Japan, and Germany) in reaching high degrees of similarity with the most developed world countries. The synergies of the proposed mathematical tools lead to a better understanding of the dynamics underlying world economies and point towards the estimation of future states based on the memory of each time series.

Analysis of World Economic Variables Using Multidimensional Scaling

Waves of globalization reflect the historical technical progress and modern economic growth. The dynamics of this process are here approached using the multidimensional scaling (MDS) methodology to analyze the evolution of GDP per capita, international trade openness, life expectancy, and education tertiary enrollment in 14 countries. MDS provides the appropriate theoretical concepts and the exact mathematical tools to describe the joint evolution of these indicators of economic growth, globalization, welfare and human development of the world economy from 1977 up to 2012. The polarization dance of countries enlightens the convergence paths, potential warfare and present-day rivalries in the global geopolitical scene.

Produção Fotovoltaica em Autoconsumo e Pequena Produção: Caso de Estudo do ISEP

A presente dissertação insere-se no âmbito da unidade curricular de “Dissertação/Projeto/Estágio”, do 2º ano do mestrado em Engenharia Eletrotécnica – Sistemas Elétricos de Energia. Com o crescente aumento do consumo energético a nível mundial, e consequente esgotamento dos recursos fósseis, surge a necessidade de procurar soluções alternativas para a produção de energia. As energias renováveis aparecem como uma solução sustentável na produção de eletricidade, pois a sua produção representa um menor custo. Este trabalho tem como principais objetivos o dimensionamento de uma central de produção fotovoltaica para o ISEP nos regimes de exploração em autoconsumo e pequena produção, tendo em conta o atual Decreto-Lei (DL) n.º 153/2014, e também a análise de viabilidade económica dessa mesma instalação. O sistema fotovoltaico usado no dimensionamento em autoconsumo e pequena produção foi realizado com recurso ao software PVsyst. Tendo em conta que os consumos do ISEP são bastante inferiores nos períodos de férias escolares e fins-de-semana, e também por haver uma limitação de área disponível para a colocação dos módulos fotovoltaicos, a melhor opção a adotar será um sistema fotovoltaico de 237 kWp, tanto para autoconsumo como para pequena produção. Outro objetivo é a realização de um estudo de viabilidade económica do sistema fotovoltaico dimensionado. Os resultados obtidos permitem então clarificar qual dos regimes de exploração é mais viável para o ISEP, sendo que esses resultados poderão servir de apoio a uma futura decisão, caso o ISEP decida instalar um sistema deste tipo.

Cohesive law estimation of adhesive joints in mode II condition

The adhesive bonding technique enables both weight and complexity reduction in structures that require some joining technique to be used on account of fabrication/component shape issues. Because of this, adhesive bonding is also one of the main repair methods for metal and composite structures by the strap and scarf configurations. The availability of strength prediction techniques for adhesive joints is essential for their generalized application and it can rely on different approaches, such as mechanics of materials, conventional fracture mechanics or damage mechanics. These two last techniques depend on the measurement of the fracture toughness (GC) of materials. Within the framework of damage mechanics, a valid option is the use of Cohesive Zone Modelling (CZM) coupled with Finite Element (FE) analyses. In this work, CZM laws for adhesive joints considering three adhesives with varying ductility were estimated. The End-Notched Flexure (ENF) test geometry was selected based on overall test simplicity and results accuracy. The adhesives Araldite® AV138, Araldite® 2015 and Sikaforce® 7752 were studied between high-strength aluminium adherends. Estimation of the CZM laws was carried out by an inverse methodology based on a curve fitting procedure, which enabled a precise estimation of the adhesive joints’ behaviour. The work allowed to conclude that a unique set of shear fracture toughness (GIIC) and shear cohesive strength (ts0) exists for each specimen that accurately reproduces the adhesive layer’ behaviour. With this information, the accurate strength prediction of adhesive joints in shear is made possible by CZM.

Sectorization: measures and an electromagnetism based approach

Sectorization means dividing a set of basic units into sectors or parts, a procedure that occurs in several contexts, such as political, health and school districting, social networks and sales territory or airspace assignment, to achieve some goal or to facilitate an activity. This presentation will focus on three main issues: Measures, a new approach to sectorization problems and an application in waste collection. When designing or comparing sectors different characteristics are usually taken into account. Some are commonly used, and they are related to the concepts of contiguity, equilibrium and compactness. These fundamental characteristics will be addressed, by defining new generic measures and by proposing a new measure, desirability, connected with the idea of preference. A new approach to sectorization inspired in Coulomb’s Law, which establishes a relation of force between electrically charged points, will be proposed. A charged point represents a small region with specific characteristics/values creating relations of attraction/repulsion with the others (two by two), proportional to the charges and inversely proportional to their distance. Finally, a real case about sectorization and vehicle routing in solid waste collection will be mentioned.

Fiscal decentralisation and economic theory

There is no complete overview or discussion of the literature of the economics of federalism and fiscal decentralization, even though scholarly interest in the topic has been increasing significantly over recent years. This paper provides a general, brief but comprehensive overview of the main insights from the literature on fiscal federalism and decentralization. In doing so, literature on fiscal federalism and decentralization is grouped into two main approaches: “first generation of theories” and “second generation of theories”.

Which “place and non-place” do women occupy in social economy organisations?

Scientific literature has strengthened the perpetuation of inequality factors in the labour market based on gender, despite the on-going endeavour of various political bodies and legal norms against the vertical and horizontal segregation of women. National and European statistical data shows the relevance and timeless features of theories of market segmentation associated with the labour market dating back to the 70’s of the 20th century. Hence, the European Community considers as a priority in the Europe 2020 strategy, the definition of “policies to promote gender equality […] to increase labour force participation thus adding to growth and social cohesion”. If we consider that on the one hand, social economy is fairly recognised to be equated with market actors and the State for its economic and social role in tackling the current crisis, and on the other hand, that the ideals of the sector, systematised in the “Framework Law of Social Economy” (Law no. 30/2013 8th of May), particularly in article 5 proposing “the respect for the values […] of equality and non-discrimination […], justice and equity […]”, we aim to reflect on indicators that uncover a vertical and horizontal segregation in the labour market. Departing from a mixed methodological approach (extensive and intensive), subject to the topic of "Social Entrepreneurship in Portugal" in social economy organisations, we detect very high rates of employment feminisation, with a ratio of 1 man (23%) for every 3 women (77%). Women are mainly earmarked for technical and operational activities, arising from the privileged intervention areas, namely education, training, health, elderly, families, poverty, ultimately being underrepresented in statutory boards and, as such, far removed from deliberations and strategic resolutions. This is particularly visible in the existing hierarchy of functions and management practices of the responsibility of male members. Thus, it seems easily verified that the sector is travelling away from the ideals of justice and social equity, which can crystallise the "non-place" of women in the definition of a strategic direction of social economy and in the most invisible/private “place” of the organisational setting.

Desenvolvimento de ferramenta de apoio ao dimensionamento de sistemas de autoconsumo fotovoltaico em ambiente doméstico

Nos últimos anos, tem-se assistido a uma maior preocupação com o meio ambiente, a atual conjuntura mundial está cada vez mais direcionada para a eficiência energética e para a utilização de fontes de energias renováveis. Os principais governos mundiais, incluindo o português, já perceberam a necessidade de enveredar por esse caminho e nesse sentido aplicam medidas que direcionam e consciencializam a população para a eficiência energética e para as energias renováveis. Em Portugal, o setor das energias renováveis assume atualmente uma posição de extrema importância, resultante da expressão que governo português tem vindo a implementar no panorama energético nacional, da qual resulta uma importante contribuição para o desenvolvimento económico, na criação de riqueza e geração de emprego. Neste contexto, e no caso particular da energia fotovoltaica têm sido implementadas medidas que incentivam a aposta nesta tecnologia, prova disso é o Decreto-Lei n.º 153/2014 aprovado em conselho de ministros em Setembro de 2014, que promove essencialmente o autoconsumo. O autoconsumo consiste na utilização de painéis fotovoltaicos para produção de energia elétrica para consumo próprio com ou sem recurso a equipamentos de acumulação. Em termos práticos, este sistema permite que os consumidores produzam a sua própria energia através de uma fonte renovável ao invés de adquirir essa energia na rede elétrica de serviço público. As políticas de incentivo ao autoconsumo proporcionam uma oportunidade para os consumidores interessados em investir na produção da própria energia elétrica, neste sentido e de forma a ajudar no dimensionamento de unidades de produção de autoconsumo foi desenvolvida, no âmbito desta tese, uma ferramenta de apoio ao dimensionamento de sistemas de autoconsumo fotovoltaico sem acumulação em ambiente doméstico, com o objetivo de estimar as necessidades de potência fotovoltaica a instalar em habitações de baixa tensão normal. Na base da construção desta ferramenta estiveram essencialmente os perfis de consumo, aprovados pela Entidade Reguladora dos Serviços Energéticos, de todos os clientes finais que não dispõem de equipamento de medição com registo de consumos e também a estimativa de produção fotovoltaica desenvolvida pelo Centro Comum de Investigação da Comissão Europeia. A aplicação desenvolvida tem como principal funcionalidade proporcionar ao utilizador o dimensionamento de unidades de produção de autoconsumo fotovoltaico, mediante a introdução de alguns dados tais como o distrito, a potência contratada, a tarifa e o consumo energético anual. Esta aplicação apresenta resultados relativos ao dimensionamento do sistema, como é o caso da potência a instalar e da estimativa de produção fotovoltaica anual, e resultados relativos à análise económica do sistema como é o caso do valor atual líquido, da taxa interna de rentabilidade e do payback do investimento.

A evolução da repartição de poderes entre o Juiz e o Agente de Execução

Dissertação de Mestrado em Solicitaria