Intelligent Distributed Environmental Decision Support System

This article discusses the development of an Intelligent Distributed Environmental Decision Support System, built upon the association of a Multi-agent Belief Revision System with a Geographical Information System (GIS). The inherent multidisciplinary features of the involved expertises in the field of environmental management, the need to define clear policies that allow the synthesis of divergent perspectives, its systematic application, and the reduction of the costs and time that result from this integration, are the main reasons that motivate the proposal of this project. This paper is organised in two parts: in the first part we present and discuss the developed Distributed Belief Revision Test-bed — DiBeRT; in the second part we analyse its application to the environmental decision support domain, with special emphasis on the interface with a GIS.

Adaptive learning in agents behaviour: A framework for electricity markets simulation

Electricity markets are complex environments, involving a large number of different entities, playing in a dynamic scene to obtain the best advantages and profits. MASCEM (Multi-Agent System for Competitive Electricity Markets) is a multi-agent electricity market simulator that models market players and simulates their operation in the market. Market players are entities with specific characteristics and objectives, making their decisions and interacting with other players. This paper presents a methodology to provide decision support to electricity market negotiating players. This model allows integrating different strategic approaches for electricity market negotiations, and choosing the most appropriate one at each time, for each different negotiation context. This methodology is integrated in ALBidS (Adaptive Learning strategic Bidding System) – a multiagent system that provides decision support to MASCEM's negotiating agents so that they can properly achieve their goals. ALBidS uses artificial intelligence methodologies and data analysis algorithms to provide effective adaptive learning capabilities to such negotiating entities. The main contribution is provided by a methodology that combines several distinct strategies to build actions proposals, so that the best can be chosen at each time, depending on the context and simulation circumstances. The choosing process includes reinforcement learning algorithms, a mechanism for negotiating contexts analysis, a mechanism for the management of the efficiency/effectiveness balance of the system, and a mechanism for competitor players' profiles definition.

Adaptive Learning in Games: Defining Profiles of Competitor Players

Artificial Intelligence has been applied to dynamic games for many years. The ultimate goal is creating responses in virtual entities that display human-like reasoning in the definition of their behaviors. However, virtual entities that can be mistaken for real persons are yet very far from being fully achieved. This paper presents an adaptive learning based methodology for the definition of players’ profiles, with the purpose of supporting decisions of virtual entities. The proposed methodology is based on reinforcement learning algorithms, which are responsible for choosing, along the time, with the gathering of experience, the most appropriate from a set of different learning approaches. These learning approaches have very distinct natures, from mathematical to artificial intelligence and data analysis methodologies, so that the methodology is prepared for very distinct situations. This way it is equipped with a variety of tools that individually can be useful for each encountered situation. The proposed methodology is tested firstly on two simpler computer versus human player games: the rock-paper-scissors game, and a penalty-shootout simulation. Finally, the methodology is applied to the definition of action profiles of electricity market players; players that compete in a dynamic game-wise environment, in which the main goal is the achievement of the highest possible profits in the market.

Análise dinâmica de composições musicais

A composição musical é um tema de muito interesse para a computação evolucionária dentro da área da inteligência artificial. É uma área que tem sofrido vários desenvolvimentos ao longo dos últimos anos pois o interesse em que hajam computadores que façam obras musicais é deveras aliciante. Este trabalho tem por objectivo realizar mais um passo nesse sentido. Assim, foi desenvolvida uma aplicação informática que realiza composições musicais de dois géneros distintos: Músicas Infantis e Músicas Blues. A aplicação foi implementada com recurso aos Algoritmos Genéticos, que são os algoritmos evolucionários mais populares da área da computação evolucionária. O trabalho foi estruturado em duas fases de desenvolvimento. Na primeira fase, realizou-se um levantamento estatístico sobre as características específicas de cada um dos géneros musicais. Analisaram-se quinze músicas de cada género musical, com o intuito de se chegar a uma proporção do uso que cada nota tem em cada um dos casos. Na segunda fase, desenvolveu-se o software que compõe as músicas com implementação de um algoritmo genético. Além disso, foi também desenvolvida uma interface gráfica que permite ao utilizador a escolha do género musical que pretende compor. O algoritmo genético começa por gerar uma população inicial de potenciais soluções de acordo com a escolha do utilizador, realizando, de seguida, o ciclo que caracteriza o algoritmo genético. A população inicial é constituída por soluções que seguem as regras que foram implementadas de acordo com os dados recolhidos ao longo da primeira fase. Foi também implementada uma interface de avaliação, através da qual, o utilizador pode ouvir cada uma das músicas para posterior avaliação em termos de fitness. O estado de evolução do algoritmo é apresentado, numa segunda interface, a qual facilita a clareza e justiça na avaliação ao longo de todo o processo. Esta última apresenta informação sobre a média das fitness da geração anterior e actual, sendo assim possível ter uma noção da evolução do algoritmo, no sentido de se obterem resultados satisfatórios no que diz respeito às composições musicais.

Simulation Environment for Multi-Robot Cooperative 3D Target Perception

4th International Conference, SIMPAR 2014, Bergamo, Italy, October 20-23, 2014

Uncertainty based Multi-Robot Cooperative Triangulation

The paper presents a multi-robot cooperative framework to estimate the 3D position of dynamic targets, based on bearing-only vision measurements. The uncertainty of the observation provided by each robot equipped with a bearing-only vision system is effectively addressed for cooperative triangulation purposes by weighing the contribution of each monocular bearing ray in a probabilistic manner. The envisioned framework is evaluated in an outdoor scenario with a team of heterogeneous robots composed of an Unmanned Ground and Aerial Vehicle.

Estado da Arte da Computação Evolutiva Aplicada à Eletrónica

A Computação Evolutiva enquadra-se na área da Inteligência Artificial e é um ramo das ciências da computação que tem vindo a ser aplicado na resolução de problemas em diversas áreas da Engenharia. Este trabalho apresenta o estado da arte da Computação Evolutiva, assim como algumas das suas aplicações no ramo da eletrónica, denominada Eletrónica Evolutiva (ou Hardware Evolutivo), enfatizando a síntese de circuitos digitais combinatórios. Em primeiro lugar apresenta-se a Inteligência Artificial, passando à Computação Evolutiva, nas suas principais vertentes: os Algoritmos Evolutivos baseados no processo da evolução das espécies de Charles Darwin e a Inteligência dos Enxames baseada no comportamento coletivo de alguns animais. No que diz respeito aos Algoritmos Evolutivos, descrevem-se as estratégias evolutivas, a programação genética, a programação evolutiva e com maior ênfase, os Algoritmos Genéticos. Em relação à Inteligência dos Enxames, descreve-se a otimização por colônia de formigas e a otimização por enxame de partículas. Em simultâneo realizou-se também um estudo da Eletrónica Evolutiva, explicando sucintamente algumas das áreas de aplicação, entre elas: a robótica, as FPGA, o roteamento de placas de circuito impresso, a síntese de circuitos digitais e analógicos, as telecomunicações e os controladores. A título de concretizar o estudo efetuado, apresenta-se um caso de estudo da aplicação dos algoritmos genéticos na síntese de circuitos digitais combinatórios, com base na análise e comparação de três referências de autores distintos. Com este estudo foi possível comparar, não só os resultados obtidos por cada um dos autores, mas também a forma como os algoritmos genéticos foram implementados, nomeadamente no que diz respeito aos parâmetros, operadores genéticos utilizados, função de avaliação, implementação em hardware e tipo de codificação do circuito.

Inteligência artificial aplicada na previsão de mercados financeiros

Neste documento, são investigados vários métodos usados na inteligência artificial, com o objetivo de obter previsões precisas da evolução dos mercados financeiros. O uso de ferramentas lineares como os modelos AR, MA, ARMA e GARCH têm muitas limitações, pois torna-se muito difícil adaptá-los às não linearidades dos fenómenos que ocorrem nos mercados. Pelas razões anteriormente referidas, os algoritmos como as redes neuronais dinâmicas (TDNN, NARX e ESN), mostram uma maior capacidade de adaptação a estas não linearidades, pois não fazem qualquer pressuposto sobre as distribuições de probabilidade que caracterizam estes mercados. O facto destas redes neuronais serem dinâmicas, faz com que estas exibam um desempenho superior em relação às redes neuronais estáticas, ou outros algoritmos que não possuem qualquer tipo de memória. Apesar das vantagens reveladas pelas redes neuronais, estas são um sistema do tipo black box, o que torna muito difícil extrair informação dos pesos da rede. Isto significa que estes algoritmos devem ser usados com precaução, pois podem tornar-se instáveis.

A multi-agent based approach for intelligent smart grid management

The spread and globalization of distributed generation (DG) in recent years has should highly influence the changes that occur in Electricity Markets (EMs). DG has brought a large number of new players to take action in the EMs, therefore increasing the complexity of these markets. Simulation based on multi-agent systems appears as a good way of analyzing players’ behavior and interactions, especially in a coalition perspective, and the effects these players have on the markets. MASCEM – Multi-Agent System for Competitive Electricity Markets was created to permit the study of the market operation with several different players and market mechanisms. MASGriP – Multi-Agent Smart Grid Platform is being developed to facilitate the simulation of micro grid (MG) and smart grid (SG) concepts with multiple different scenarios. This paper presents an intelligent management method for MG and SG. The simulation of different methods of control provides an advantage in comparing different possible approaches to respond to market events. Players utilize electric vehicles’ batteries and participate in Demand Response (DR) contracts, taking advantage on the best opportunities brought by the use of all resources, to improve their actions in response to MG and/or SG requests.

Electricity Markets Simulation: MASCEM Contributions to the Challenging Reality

Electricity Markets are not only a new reality but an evolving one as the involved players and rules change at a relatively high rate. Multi-agent simulation combined with Artificial Intelligence techniques may result in sophisticated tools very helpful under this context. Some simulation tools have already been developed, some of them very interesting. However, at the present state it is important to go a step forward in Electricity Markets simulators as this is crucial for facing changes in Power Systems. This paper explains the context and needs of electricity market simulation, describing the most important characteristics of available simulators. We present our work concerning MASCEM simulator, presenting its features as well as the improvements being made to accomplish the change and challenging reality of Electricity Markets.

LMP based bid formation for virtual power players operating in smart grids

Power system organization has gone through huge changes in the recent years. Significant increase in distributed generation (DG) and operation in the scope of liberalized markets are two relevant driving forces for these changes. More recently, the smart grid (SG) concept gained increased importance, and is being seen as a paradigm able to support power system requirements for the future. This paper proposes a computational architecture to support day-ahead Virtual Power Player (VPP) bid formation in the smart grid context. This architecture includes a forecasting module, a resource optimization and Locational Marginal Price (LMP) computation module, and a bid formation module. Due to the involved problems characteristics, the implementation of this architecture requires the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques. Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) are used for resource and load forecasting and Evolutionary Particle Swarm Optimization (EPSO) is used for energy resource scheduling. The paper presents a case study that considers a 33 bus distribution network that includes 67 distributed generators, 32 loads and 9 storage units.

Simulated annealing metaheuristic to solve the optimal power flow

The optimal power flow problem has been widely studied in order to improve power systems operation and planning. For real power systems, the problem is formulated as a non-linear and as a large combinatorial problem. The first approaches used to solve this problem were based on mathematical methods which required huge computational efforts. Lately, artificial intelligence techniques, such as metaheuristics based on biological processes, were adopted. Metaheuristics require lower computational resources, which is a clear advantage for addressing the problem in large power systems. This paper proposes a methodology to solve optimal power flow on economic dispatch context using a Simulated Annealing algorithm inspired on the cooling temperature process seen in metallurgy. The main contribution of the proposed method is the specific neighborhood generation according to the optimal power flow problem characteristics. The proposed methodology has been tested with IEEE 6 bus and 30 bus networks. The obtained results are compared with other wellknown methodologies presented in the literature, showing the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Ant colony search algorithm for the optimal power flow problem

To maintain a power system within operation limits, a level ahead planning it is necessary to apply competitive techniques to solve the optimal power flow (OPF). OPF is a non-linear and a large combinatorial problem. The Ant Colony Search (ACS) optimization algorithm is inspired by the organized natural movement of real ants and has been successfully applied to different large combinatorial optimization problems. This paper presents an implementation of Ant Colony optimization to solve the OPF in an economic dispatch context. The proposed methodology has been developed to be used for maintenance and repairing planning with 48 to 24 hours antecipation. The main advantage of this method is its low execution time that allows the use of OPF when a large set of scenarios has to be analyzed. The paper includes a case study using the IEEE 30 bus network. The results are compared with other well-known methodologies presented in the literature.

Intelligent behavior in a Cyber-Ambient training system for control center operators

This paper deals with the application of an intelligent tutoring approach to delivery training in diagnosis procedures of a Power System. In particular, the mechanisms implemented by the training tool to support the trainees are detailed. This tool is part of an architecture conceived to integrate Power Systems tools in a Power System Control Centre, based on an Ambient Intelligent paradigm. The present work is integrated in the CITOPSY project which main goal is to achieve a better integration between operators and control room applications, considering the needs of people, customizing requirements and forecasting behaviors.

Using an ambient intelligent architecture for developing an intelligent tutoring system for training operators of power system control centres

This paper describes an architecture conceived to integrate Power Sys-tems tools in a Power System Control Centre, based on an Ambient Intelligent (AmI) paradigm. This architecture is an instantiation of the generic architecture proposed in [1] for developing systems that interact with AmI environments. This architecture has been proposed as a consequence of a methodology for the inclu-sion of Artificial Intelligence in AmI environments (ISyRAmI - Intelligent Sys-tems Research for Ambient Intelligence). The architecture presented in the paper will be able to integrate two applications in the control room of a power system transmission network. The first is SPARSE expert system, used to get diagnosis of incidents and to support power restoration. The second application is an Intelligent Tutoring System (ITS) incorporating two training tools. The first tutoring tool is used to train operators to get the diagnosis of incidents. The second one is another tutoring tool used to train operators to perform restoration procedures.