Development of open models and tools for seismic risk assessment: application to Portugal

The exponential growth of the world population has led to an increase of settlements often located in areas prone to natural disasters, including earthquakes. Consequently, despite the important advances in the field of natural catastrophes modelling and risk mitigation actions, the overall human losses have continued to increase and unprecedented economic losses have been registered. In the research work presented herein, various areas of earthquake engineering and seismology are thoroughly investigated, and a case study application for mainland Portugal is performed. Seismic risk assessment is a critical link in the reduction of casualties and damages due to earthquakes. Recognition of this relation has led to a rapid rise in demand for accurate, reliable and flexible numerical tools and software. In the present work, an open-source platform for seismic hazard and risk assessment is developed. This software is capable of computing the distribution of losses or damage for an earthquake scenario (deterministic event-based) or earthquake losses due to all the possible seismic events that might occur within a region for a given interval of time (probabilistic event-based). This effort has been developed following an open and transparent philosophy and therefore, it is available to any individual or institution. The estimation of the seismic risk depends mainly on three components: seismic hazard, exposure and vulnerability. The latter component assumes special importance, as by intervening with appropriate retrofitting solutions, it may be possible to decrease directly the seismic risk. The employment of analytical methodologies is fundamental in the assessment of structural vulnerability, particularly in regions where post-earthquake building damage might not be available. Several common methodologies are investigated, and conclusions are yielded regarding the method that can provide an optimal balance between accuracy and computational effort. In addition, a simplified approach based on the displacement-based earthquake loss assessment (DBELA) is proposed, which allows for the rapid estimation of fragility curves, considering a wide spectrum of uncertainties. A novel vulnerability model for the reinforced concrete building stock in Portugal is proposed in this work, using statistical information collected from hundreds of real buildings. An analytical approach based on nonlinear time history analysis is adopted and the impact of a set of key parameters investigated, including the damage state criteria and the chosen intensity measure type. A comprehensive review of previous studies that contributed to the understanding of the seismic hazard and risk for Portugal is presented. An existing seismic source model was employed with recently proposed attenuation models to calculate probabilistic seismic hazard throughout the territory. The latter results are combined with information from the 2011 Building Census and the aforementioned vulnerability model to estimate economic loss maps for a return period of 475 years. These losses are disaggregated across the different building typologies and conclusions are yielded regarding the type of construction more vulnerable to seismic activity.

Revenue diversification in higher education: the case of Portugal

Socio-economic changes, alterations in societal expectations and new public policies have put pressures on higher education public funding, bringing the issue of funding diversification to the forefront. Income diversification, namely, generation of funds from private, as well as from competitive public sources, has become increasingly important in European higher education due to a complex financial environment and perceived deficit of innovation transfer. Although there are numerous studies about changes in national funding systems and allocation mechanisms, few have focused on diversification of funding sources, especially in the European context, making Portugal no exception. Thus, this study aims at exploring income diversification at the institutional level and its influence on the internal organisational structures. For this purpose two Portuguese public universities were chosen as case studies. The empirical material was collected through semi-structured interviews with top management and middle management of each university and through documentary analysis. Data analysis demonstrated that both universities are in the process of institutionalizing and formalising practices of income diversification, notably by getting more professional in how they are dealing with external stakeholders, such as businesses, local community, and students. However, the study also revealed that there is no formal, organised strategy to deal with income diversification. In general, the universities are reacting to external demands rather than pro-actively exploring opportunities. In this respect, the analysis determined several factors that promote or inhibit income diversification activities. Quality and favourable organizational culture were named by the interviewees as the most relevant factors for successful income diversification. External factors such as legal arrangements and funding conditions were cited as major constraints. This research has also revealed that revenue diversification activities tend to develop along the continuum towards higher sophistication and systematisation of activities that are supported by a powerful infrastructure. Together with efforts at the institutional level, the role of government policies proves to be crucial in providing tools and incentives to higher education institutions and creating a harmonious higher education system.

Contribuição para a melhoria da qualidade nutricional do sorgo

Este trabalho teve como principal objectivo sugerir uma forma de processamento de sorgo adaptável à escala industrial que, sendo culturalmente aceite e sensível aos hábitos alimentares, aos factores sociais e às limitações económicas e tecnológicas das populações Africanas de consumo, pudesse dar origem a um produto alimentar seguro e enriquecido em termos nutricionais. Numa primeira fase, efectuou-se um estudo comparativo entre os efeitos promovidos por diferentes formas de processamento: cozimento em água, aquecimento em banho-maria, pipocagem, germinação, fermentação e altapressão. Foram ainda determinadas as condições óptimas de aplicação do processo germinativo e da tecnologia de alta-pressão. Verificou-se que a fermentação, a germinação e a alta-pressão permitem uma melhoria significativa da digestibilidade proteica da farinha de sorgo. A pipocagem conduziu a uma redução da extractibilidade das proteínas não promovendo, contudo, alterações na sua digestibilidade. Comparativamente ao cozimento em água, que promove uma diminuição acentuada na digestibilidade proteica, o cozimento em banho-maria promove uma diminuição ténue e significativamente inferior. Deste estudo comparativo, foi possível concluir que a extractibilidade das proteínas não está correlacionada com a sua digestibilidade e que a água exerce um papel fundamental na diminuição da digestibilidade proteica com o aquecimento. Numa segunda fase, pretendeu-se desenvolver um processo fermentativo que conduzisse a um produto de sorgo com características nutricionais incrementadas. Para tal, foram testadas daiferentes espécies de bactérias lácticas isoladas e conjugadas entre si. Foi ainda testada a adição de malte de sorgo previamente à fermentação e a adição de leveduras ao inóculo. Com este estudo, foi possível concluir que a fermentação do sorgo com um inóculo constituído por culturas puras de Lactobacillus brevis, Lactobacillus fermentum e Streptococcus thermophilus permite a obtenção de uma preparação alimentar com características nutricionais melhoradas no que respeita ao balanço em aminoácidos essenciais, à digestibilidade da proteína e do amido e à viscosidade do produto final.

Empregabilidade e procura do ensino superior: o caso da UA

O principal objectivo deste trabalho consistiu em avaliar as motivações preponderantes dos cursos de 1º ciclo dos alunos da Universidade de Aveiro. Em particular, tentamos perceber se o maior factor seria a taxa de empregabilidade do curso. Para o efeito foram analisados dados relativos a três fontes de informação fundamentais: os dados relativos aos concursos nacionais de acesso disponibilizados pela Direcção Geral do Ensino Superior; dados relativos aos perfil dos estudantes de 1º ciclo da UA no ano lectivo de 2011/12 e, finalmente, dados relativos ao perfil de empregabilidade dos diplomados da UA de 2009/10 a 2011/12. Dos resultados obtidos, concluiu-se que o factor empregabilidade não é o factor com maior peso na hora de um jovem escolher um curso superior da UA. Ainda assim, e apesar de termos verificado que motivos como a vocação e a realização pessoal, são de facto factores mais relevantes, não é claro que exista um factor de motivação claramente preponderante, o que aponta para que este processo de escolha seja multi-dimensional e não apenas um acto de mera racionalidade material.

Channel modelling for MIMO systems

Systems equipped with multiple antennas at the transmitter and at the receiver, known as MIMO (Multiple Input Multiple Output) systems, offer higher capacities, allowing an efficient exploitation of the available spectrum and/or the employment of more demanding applications. It is well known that the radio channel is characterized by multipath propagation, a phenomenon deemed problematic and whose mitigation has been achieved through techniques such as diversity, beamforming or adaptive antennas. By exploring conveniently the spatial domain MIMO systems turn the characteristics of the multipath channel into an advantage and allow creating multiple parallel and independent virtual channels. However, the achievable benefits are constrained by the propagation channel’s characteristics, which may not always be ideal. This work focuses on the characterization of the MIMO radio channel. It begins with the presentation of the fundamental results from information theory that triggered the interest on these systems, including the discussion of some of their potential benefits and a review of the existing channel models for MIMO systems. The characterization of the MIMO channel developed in this work is based on experimental measurements of the double-directional channel. The measurement system is based on a vector network analyzer and a two-dimensional positioning platform, both controlled by a computer, allowing the measurement of the channel’s frequency response at the locations of a synthetic array. Data is then processed using the SAGE (Space-Alternating Expectation-Maximization) algorithm to obtain the parameters (delay, direction of arrival and complex amplitude) of the channel’s most relevant multipath components. Afterwards, using a clustering algorithm these data are grouped into clusters. Finally, statistical information is extracted allowing the characterization of the channel’s multipath components. The information about the multipath characteristics of the channel, induced by existing scatterers in the propagation scenario, enables the characterization of MIMO channel and thus to evaluate its performance. The method was finally validated using MIMO measurements.