Wind drift of snowfall between the radar volume and ground

This study evaluates how the advection of precipitation, or wind drift, between the radar volume and ground affects radar measurements of precipitation. Normally precipitation is assumed to fall vertically to the ground from the contributing volume, and thus the radar measurement represents the geographical location immediately below. In this study radar measurements are corrected using hydrometeor trajectories calculated from measured and forecasted winds, and the effect of trajectory-correction on the radar measurements is evaluated. Wind drift statistics for Finland are compiled using sounding data from two weather stations spanning two years. For each sounding, the hydrometeor phase at ground level is estimated and drift distance calculated using different originating level heights. This way the drift statistics are constructed as a function of range from radar and elevation angle. On average, wind drift of 1 km was exceeded at approximately 60 km distance, while drift of 10 km was exceeded at 100 km distance. Trajectories were calculated using model winds in order to produce a trajectory-corrected ground field from radar PPI images. It was found that at the upwind side from the radar the effective measuring area was reduced as some trajectories exited the radar volume scan. In the downwind side areas near the edge of the radar measuring area experience improved precipitation detection. The effect of trajectory-correction is most prominent in instant measurements and diminishes when accumulating over longer time periods. Furthermore, measurements of intensive and small scale precipitation patterns benefit most from wind drift correction. The contribution of wind drift on the uncertainty of estimated Ze (S) - relationship was studied by simulating the effect of different error sources to the uncertainty in the relationship coefficients a and b. The overall uncertainty was assumed to consist of systematic errors of both the radar and the gauge, as well as errors by turbulence at the gauge orifice and by wind drift of precipitation. The focus of the analysis is error associated with wind drift, which was determined by describing the spatial structure of the reflectivity field using spatial autocovariance (or variogram). This spatial structure was then used with calculated drift distances to estimate the variance in radar measurement produced by precipitation drift, relative to the other error sources. It was found that error by wind drift was of similar magnitude with error by turbulence at gauge orifice at all ranges from radar, with systematic errors of the instruments being a minor issue. The correction method presented in the study could be used in radar nowcasting products to improve the estimation of visibility and local precipitation intensities. The method however only considers pure snow, and for operational purposes some improvements are desirable, such as melting layer detection, VPR correction and taking solid state hydrometeor type into account, which would improve the estimation of vertical velocities of the hydrometeors.

Postoperative Volume Therapy in Cardiac Surgery : Effects on Hemostatic and Circulatory Variables

Background: Patients may need massive volume-replacement therapy after cardiac surgery because of large fluid transfer perioperatively, and the use of cardiopulmonary bypass. Hemodynamic stability is better maintained with colloids than crystalloids but colloids have more adverse effects such as coagulation disturbances and impairment of renal function than do crystalloids. The present study examined the effects of modern hydroxyethyl starch (HES) and gelatin solutions on blood coagulation and hemodynamics. The mechanism by which colloids disturb blood coagulation was investigated by thromboelastometry (TEM) after cardiac surgery and in vitro by use of experimental hemodilution. Materials and methods: Ninety patients scheduled for elective primary cardiac surgery (Studies I, II, IV, V), and twelve healthy volunteers (Study III) were included in this study. After admission to the cardiac surgical intensive care unit (ICU), patients were randomized to receive different doses of HES 130/0.4, HES 200/0.5, or 4% albumin solutions. Ringer’s acetate or albumin solutions served as controls. Coagulation was assessed by TEM, and hemodynamic measurements were based on thermodilutionally measured cardiac index (CI). Results: HES and gelatin solutions impaired whole blood coagulation similarly as measured by TEM even at a small dose of 7 mL/kg. These solutions reduced clot strength and prolonged clot formation time. These effects were more pronounced with increasing doses of colloids. Neither albumin nor Ringer’s acetate solution disturbed blood coagulation significantly. Coagulation disturbances after infusion of HES or gelatin solutions were clinically slight, and postoperative blood loss was comparable with that of Ringer’s acetate or albumin solutions. Both single and multiple doses of all the colloids increased CI postoperatively, and this effect was dose-dependent. Ringer’s acetate had no effect on CI. At a small dose (7 mL/kg), the effect of gelatin on CI was comparable with that of Ringer’s acetate and significantly less than that of HES 130/0.4 (Study V). However, when the dose was increased to 14 and 21 mL/kg, the hemodynamic effect of gelatin rose and became comparable with that of HES 130/0.4. Conclusions: After cardiac surgery, HES and gelatin solutions impaired clot strength in a dose-dependent manner. The potential mechanisms were interaction with fibrinogen and fibrin formation, resulting in decreased clot strength, and hemodilution. Although the use of HES and gelatin inhibited coagulation, postoperative bleeding on the first postoperative morning in all the study groups was similar. A single dose of HES solutions improved CI postoperatively more than did gelatin, albumin, or Ringer’s acetate. However, when administered in a repeated fashion, (cumulative dose of 14 mL/kg or more), no differences were evident between HES 130/0.4 and gelatin.

Acute renal failure in critically ill patients : With special reference to prediction of outcome

Acute renal failure (ARF) is a clinical syndrome characterized by rapidly decreasing glomerular filtration rate, which results in disturbances in electrolyte- and acid-base homeostasis, derangement of extracellular fluid volume, and retention of nitrogenous waste products, and is often associated with decreased urine output. ARF affects about 5-25% of patients admitted to intensive care units (ICUs), and is linked to high mortality and morbidity rates. In this thesis outcome of critically ill patients with ARF and factors related to outcome were evaluated. A total of 1662 patients from two ICUs and one acute dialysis unit in Helsinki University Hospital were included. In study I the prevalence of ARF was calculated and classified according to two ARF-specific scoring methods, the RIFLE classification and the classification created by Bellomo et al. (2001). Study II evaluated monocyte human histocompatibility leukocyte antigen-DR (HLA-DR) expression and plasma levels of one proinflammatory (interleukin (IL) 6) and two anti-inflammatory (IL-8 and IL-10) cytokines in predicting survival of critically ill ARF patients. Study III investigated serum cystatin C as a marker of renal function in ARF and its power in predicting survival of critically ill ARF patients. Study IV evaluated the effect of intermittent hemodiafiltration (HDF) on myoglobin elimination from plasma in severe rhabdomyolysis. Study V assessed long-term survival and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in ARF patients. Neither of the ARF-specific scoring methods presented good discriminative power regarding hospital mortality. The maximum RIFLE score for the first three days in the ICU was an independent predictor of hospital mortality. As a marker of renal dysfunction, serum cystatin C failed to show benefit compared with plasma creatinine in detecting ARF or predicting patient survival. Neither cystatin C nor plasma concentrations of IL-6, IL-8, and IL-10, nor monocyte HLA-DR expression were clinically useful in predicting mortality in ARF patients. HDF may be used to clear myoglobin from plasma in rhabdomyolysis, especially if the alkalization of diuresis does not succeed. The long-term survival of patients with ARF was found to be poor. The HRQoL of those who survive is lower than that of the age- and gender-matched general population.

The thickness and volume of lake ice in Finland

Yhteenveto: Järvijään paksuus ja volyymi Suomessa jaksolla 1961-90

Scientific Journal Publishing – Yearly Volume and Open Access Availability

Introduction. We estimate the total yearly volume of peer-reviewed scientific journal articles published world-wide as well as the share of these articles available openly on the Web either directly or as copies in e-print repositories. Method. We rely on data from two commercial databases (ISI and Ulrich's Periodicals Directory) supplemented by sampling and Google searches. Analysis. A central issue is the finding that ISI-indexed journals publish far more articles per year (111) than non ISI-indexed journals (26), which means that the total figure we obtain is much lower than many earlier estimates. Our method of analysing the number of repository copies (green open access) differs from several earlier studies which have studied the number of copies in identified repositories, since we start from a random sample of articles and then test if copies can be found by a Web search engine. Results. We estimate that in 2006 the total number of articles published was approximately 1,350,000. Of this number 4.6% became immediately openly available and an additional 3.5% after an embargo period of, typically, one year. Furthermore, usable copies of 11.3% could be found in subject-specific or institutional repositories or on the home pages of the authors. Conclusions. We believe our results are the most reliable so far published and, therefore, should be useful in the on-going debate about Open Access among both academics and science policy makers. The method is replicable and also lends itself to longitudinal studies in the future.

Analysts' Accuracy of Estimation and the Relative Trading Volume

This study contributes to the neglect effect literature by looking at the relative trading volume in terms of value. The results for the Swedish market show a significant positive relationship between the accuracy of estimation and the relative trading volume. Market capitalisation and analyst coverage have in prior studies been used as proxies for neglect. These measures however, do not take into account the effort analysts put in when estimating corporate pre-tax profits. I also find evidence that the industry of the firm influence the accuracy of estimation. In addition, supporting earlier findings, loss making firms are associated with larger forecasting errors. Further, I find that the average forecast error increased in the year 2000 – in Sweden.

Estimation of cutting volume with three inventory methods for harvest planning in Canadian boreal forests.

Two methods of pre-harvest inventory were designed and tested on three cutting sites containing a total of 197 500 m3 of wood. These sites were located on flat-ground boreal forests located in northwestern Quebec. Both methods studied involved scaling of trees harvested to clear the road path one year (or more) prior to harvest of adjacent cut-blocks. The first method (ROAD) considers the total road right-of-way volume divided by the total road area cleared. The resulting volume per hectare is then multiplied by the total cut-block area scheduled for harvest during the following year to obtain the total estimated cutting volume. The second method (STRATIFIED) also involves scaling of trees cleared from the road. However, in STRATIFIED, log scaling data are stratified by forest stand location. A volume per hectare is calculated for each stretch of road that crosses a single forest stand. This volume per hectare is then multiplied by the remaining area of the same forest stand scheduled for harvest one year later. The sum of all resulting estimated volumes per stand gives the total estimated cutting-volume for all cut-blocks adjacent to the studied road. A third method (MNR) was also used to estimate cut-volumes of the sites studied. This method represents the actual existing technique for estimating cutting volume in the province of Quebec. It involves summing the cut volume for all forest stands. The cut volume is estimated by multiplying the area of each stand by its estimated volume per hectare obtained from standard stock tables provided by the governement. The resulting total estimated volume per cut-block for all three methods was then compared with the actual measured cut-block volume (MEASURED). This analysis revealed a significant difference between MEASURED and MNR methods with the MNR volume estimate being 30 % higher than MEASURED. However, no significant difference from MEASURED was observed for volume estimates for the ROAD and STRATIFIED methods which respectively had estimated cutting volumes 19 % and 5 % lower than MEASURED. Thus the ROAD and STRATIFIED methods are good ways to estimate cut-block volumes after road right-of-way harvest for conditions similar to those examined in this study.

Ketoprofeenin biologinen käytettävyys ja farmakokinetiikka sioilla eri antotavoilla ja ketoprofeeniyliannoksen farmakokinetiikka ja vaikutus munuaisiin lampailla

Ketoprofeeni on yleisesti käytetty ei-steroidinen tulehduskipulääke (NSAID) lampaiden ja sikojen kivunlievityksessä. Tietoa ketoprofeenin oikeista annosmääristä eri eläinlajeilla on saatavilla rajallisesti. Oikeaa lääkeainemäärää ei voida luotettavasti ekstrapoloida toisten eläinlajien tai ihmisten perusteella. Epäillyissä tulehduskipulääkemyrkytyksissä ongelmana on tietää, oliko eläimen saama lääkeannos toksinen. Lampailla tehdyn tutkimuksen tavoitteena oli selvittää, muuttuuko ketoprofeenin kinetiikka kymmenkertaisella yliannoksella, tutkia yliannoksen vaikutusta munuaisiin ja löytää yksinkertainen tapa diagnosoida yliannos virtsasta. Sioilla tehdyn tutkimuksen tavoitteena oli selvittää ketoprofeenin biologista käytettävyyttä ja ketoprofeenin farmakokinetiikkaa sioilla intravaskulaarisella, intramuskulaarisella ja peroraalisella annolla. Keskeiset tutkimuksessa määritettävät muuttujat olivat AUC0-_, Cmax ja tmax. Hyötyosuus laskettiin i.v. -annon perusteella. Kuudelle lampaalle annettiin 30 mg/kg i.v. -ketoprofeenia. Ketoprofeenin pitoisuuksia seurattiin 24 tunnin ajan plasmanäytteillä, joiden perusteella määritettiin farmakokineettiset parametrit. Veri- ja virtsanäytteistä tutkittiin muun muassa mahdollisesta munuaisvauriosta kertovia entsyymejä. 24 tunnin kuluttua lääkkeenannosta lampaat lopetettiin ja munuaiset tutkittiin histologisesti. Tutkittaville kahdeksalle sialle annosteltiin 3 mg/kg intravaskulaarista, intramuskulaarista ja oraalista ketoprofeenia sekä 6 mg/kg oraalista ketoprofeenia. Tutkimus suoritettiin satunnaistettuna vaihtovuorotutkimuksena. Ketoprofeenin pitoisuuksia seurattiin plasmanäytteillä 48 tunnin ajan lääkkeenannosta ja kaikille antotavoille laskettiin farmakokineettiset parametrit. Lisäksi tutkittiin valmisteiden biologinen samanarvoisuus. Molempien tutkimusten in vivo -kokeet suoritettiin Eläinlääketieteellisessä tiedekunnassa. Samoin munuaisten histologinen tutkimus ja virtsasta ja verestä tehdyt määritykset, lukuun ottamatta ketoprofeeninpitoisuuden analysointia. Plasman ketoprofeenipitoisuus analysoitiin korkean erotuskyvyn nestekromatografialla (HPLC). Ketoprofeenimääritykset ja farmakokineettinen analyysi suoritettiin Farmasian tiedekunnassa. Lampaiden kymmenkertainen ketoprofeeniyliannos oli toksinen. Seerumin urea- ja kreatiniinipitoisuus nousivat ja histologisissa näytteissä näkyi akuutti munuaistiehyen vaurio. Useiden entsyymien pitoisuus nousi virtsassa. Selvimmin ja nopeimmin nousi virtsan laktaattidehydrogenaasipitoisuus, jonka määrittäminen vaikuttaa potentiaaliselta tavalta diagnosoida ketoprofeenin toksinen annos. Ketoprofeenin eliminaation puoliintumisaika toksisella annoksella oli samaa suuruusluokkaa kuin aiemmissa tutkimuksissa terapeuttisella annoksella, joten yliannos ei muuttanut ketoprofeenin kinetiikkaa. AUC- ja Cmax -arvot olivat suhteessa suurempia kuin terapeuttisella annoksella, joten tutkimuksen perusteella kyseiset arvot eivät nousseet lineaarisesti annoksen noustessa toksiseksi. Sioille annetut ketoprofeenivalmisteet eivät olleet biologisesti samanarvoisia keskenään. Hyötyosuus oli erittäin hyvä kaikilla antotavoilla. tmax oli kaikilla antotavoilla hieman yli tunnin kuluttua lääkkeenannosta. Oraalisen 3 mg/kg -annoksen Cmax oli 5,1 mg/l ja AUC 32 mg l-1 h ja intramuskulaarisen vastaavat arvot olivat 7,6 mg/l ja 37 mg l-1 h. Oraalisen ketoprofeenin annostasojen AUC- ja Cmax -arvot korreloivat keskenään, joten ketoprofeenin kinetiikka oli lineaarista. Intravaskulaarisen ja oraalisen annon puoliintumisajoissa oli tilastollisesti merkitsevä ero. Ketoprofeenin jakautumistilavuudessa ja puhdistumassa ei ollut tilastollisesti merkitsevää eroa eri antotapojen välillä.